The paper gauges AGI's impact on GDP growth using mathematical metrics.
problem Determining the economic effect of AGI on GDP growth.
method Analysis of historical data, development of a new mathematical algorithm, regression analysis.
result There is a positive correlation between AGI growth and real GDP growth.
An artificial general intelligence (AGI) might have an instrumental drive to modify its utility function to improve its ability to cooperate, bargain, promise, threaten, and resist and engage in blackmail. Such an AGI would necessarily have a utility function that was at least partially observable and that was influenc…
SE-RRMs solve structured problems like Sudoku and ARC-AGI by enforcing symbol equivariance.
problem Structured reasoning problems like Sudoku and ARC-AGI.
method Symbol-equivariant recurrent reasoning models enforcing permutation equivariance.
result SE-RRMs outperform prior RRMs on 9x9 Sudoku and generalize to larger and smaller instances.
New analysis shows rational actors will deploy AGI despite negative social value due to catastrophic risk.
problem Rational actors will deploy AGI despite negative social value due to shared catastrophic risk.
method Continuous-time preemption game with shared catastrophic externalities, showing suicide region and welfare distortion.
result The suicide region widens as catastrophic risk grows, and two mechanisms can close it.
To maximize its success, an AGI typically needs to explore its initially unknown world. Is there an optimal way of doing so? Here we derive an affirmative answer for a broad class of environments.
Universal AI seeks high-optionality states through empowerment and curiosity.
problem Understanding and optimizing AI behavior in uncertain environments.
method Unified framework combining AIXI and variational empowerment, showing how universal AI agents balance goal-directed behavior with uncertainty reduction curiosity.
result Self-AIXI asymptotically converges to AIXI performance and exhibits power-seeking behavior due to intrinsic motivations.
The construction of artificial general intelligence (AGI) was a long-term goal of AI research aiming to deal with the complex data in the real world and make reasonable judgments in various cases like a human. However, the current AI creations, referred to as "Narrow AI", are limited to a specific problem. The constrai…
The paper applies math and physics to language models, introducing entropy and geometric concepts.
problem Understanding and improving language models to approximate intelligent language.
method Formal definitions, functional analysis, topology, thermodynamics, and set theory.
result Entropy function reveals key obstacles for LLMs and offers insights into language models.
Chess engines Stockfish and LCZero differ in their approach to solving endgame puzzles.
problem Comparing machine and human chess problem-solving abilities.
method Used Plaskett's Puzzle to compare Stockfish and LCZero's performance.
result Stockfish outperforms LCZero on the puzzle.
New optimizer MARS-M combines variance reduction with Muon for faster LLM training.
problem Training large-scale neural networks efficiently.
method Integrates MARS variance reduction with Muon optimizer.
result MARS-M converges to a first-order stationary point at a rate of ildeO(T−1/3). MARS optimizes large model training by reducing variance, outperforming AdamW.
problem Training large models efficiently and scalably.
method Unified optimization framework MARS combining preconditioned gradient updates and variance reduction.
result MARS outperforms AdamW in training GPT-2 models.
This paper introduces Probability Engineering to improve deep learning models.
problem Challenges in traditional probabilistic modeling for AI applications.
method Treats learned probability distributions as engineering artifacts and actively modifies them.
result Improves robustness, efficiency, adaptability, and trustworthiness of deep learning models.
AMSAs adaptively manage crypto-currency trading by selecting multiple strategies based on market conditions.
problem Maximizing gains in volatile crypto-currency markets with high uncertainty.
method AMSAs use multiple sub-agents with different strategies, dynamically selecting them based on market conditions.
result AMSAs can achieve high positive alpha in long-term crypto-currency trading.