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1122 · Nov 202519922001200920172026
7 results for winsorization

New method uses Winsorized mean estimators for privacy-preserving statistics on dependent data.

problem Privacy-preserving statistics on dependent data with sensitive information.
method Adapting noisy Winsorized mean estimators to handle dependence via log-Sobolev inequalities.
result Asymptotic and finite sample guarantees for item-level and user-level mean estimation similar to \iid{} settings.

Gradient boosting detects insider purchases predicting abnormal returns in microcap stocks.

problem Predicting abnormal returns in U.S. microcap stocks using insider purchase signals.
method Gradient boosting classifier trained on insider identity, transaction history, and market conditions.
result Gradient boosting classifier achieves AUC of 0.70 on out-of-sample data, with precision and recall of 0.38 and 0.69 respectively.

Thinking LLMs struggle with stock prediction, especially as data complexity increases.

problem Evaluating the performance of 'thinking' LLMs in stock prediction, especially under varying levels of cross-sectional complexity.
method Rolling 48m/1m walk-forward evaluation, comparing direct LLMs, TLLMs, and classical learners on cross-sectional ranking loss, MSE, and backtests with transaction costs.
result TLLMs' ranking quality deteriorates as cross-sectional complexity grows, while direct LLMs remain stable.