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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for wind driven optimization

Optimal wind farm placement using quantile constraints for better power output.

problem Optimizing wind farm placement to maximize power output considering spatial and temporal wind speed correlations.
method Used a probabilistic neural network with ReLU activation functions to reformulate constraints as linear ones, embedding them into a two-stage stochastic optimization problem.
result The constraint learning approach outperforms classical methods, especially for risk-averse investors.

Inspired from recent insights into the common ground of machine learning, optimization and decision-making, this paper proposes an easy-to-implement, but effective procedure to enhance both the quality of renewable energy forecasts and the competitive edge of renewable energy producers in electricity markets with a dua…

2019-07-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Method reconstructs missing wind farm data using graph theory and nearest neighbors.

problem Missing data in wind farm records due to sensor failures.
method Combines spectral graph theory and k-Nearest Neighbors to estimate missing data.
result Significant improvement in data reconstruction over existing methods.

Paper develops adaptive models for robust energy forecasting with missing data.

problem Operational models assume complete data; missing data can degrade forecast accuracy.
method Adaptive robust optimization and adversarial machine learning for missing data.
result Proposed models perform well even with short-term missing data and significantly outperform imputation with longer-term missing data.

MLM models match or exceed RN in generating wind power time series without location info.

problem Generating accurate long-term wind power time series without location information.
method Applied neural networks to MERRA2 wind speed data with and without location info.
result MLM models produce time series of equal or better quality than RN.

Deep learning model predicts wind-wave relationship.

problem Characterize ocean wave climate for engineering applications.
method Two-stage deep learning model: CNN for spatial features, LSTM for temporal dependencies.
result Predicts spatio-temporal relationship between wind and significant wave height.

Case study shows impact of co-optimizing energy and reserve for wind energy.

problem Impact of lack of co-optimization of energy and reserve in high wind penetration scenarios.
method Developed two models with and without co-optimization, calibrated with Spanish market parameters.
result Models show significant differences in energy and reserve management.

Study uses CNNs to upscale wind speed data from 100 km to 3 km, improving subgrid-scale variability.

problem Recovering fine-scale wind speed information from coarse data.
method Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) with different input configurations (coarse wind speed, fine-scale topography, diurnal cycle) were tested.
result CNN models with coarse wind and fine topography inputs perform best in generalizing to unseen regions.

PhI-GPR improves power grid state estimation and forecasting.

problem Accurate state estimation and forecasting in power grids with sparse measurements.
method Physics-informed Gaussian process regression (PhI-GPR) for stochastic differential equations.
result PhI-GPR provides more accurate forecasts and estimates of power grid states compared to ARIMA.

Hybrid model improves wind speed prediction accuracy using MLP and WOA.

problem Improving wind speed prediction accuracy for renewable energy control.
method Combining MLP with Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA) for data preprocessing and model optimization.
result The hybrid MLP-WOA model outperformed standalone MLP model in wind speed prediction accuracy.

We study the optimal trading policies for a wind energy producer who aims to sell the future production in the open forward, spot, intraday and adjustment markets, and who has access to imperfect dynamically updated forecasts of the future production. We construct a stochastic model for the forecast evolution and deter…

2016-09-07abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm reduces costs in wind energy systems by minimizing decision changes.

problem Costs associated with decision changes in wind energy systems.
method Episodic CBO with movement costs using Gaussian Process and mirror descent.
result Our algorithm consistently outperforms standard CBO in altitude optimization.

Wind farm layout optimisation tackles space constraints with Bayesian multi-objective approach.

problem Optimizing wind farm layout due to limited space and conflicting objectives.
method Set-based multi-objective Bayesian optimisation using Gaussian process.
result Demonstrates potential of set-based Bayesian multi-objective optimisation for wind farm layout.

The study optimizes wind farm yaw control using Gaussian process regression and high-fidelity simulations.

problem Improving yaw control inputs for maximum power production in wind farms.
method Gaussian process regression and modifier adaptation scheme based on high-fidelity simulation data.
result Both modifier adaptation and Bayesian optimization improve power production with smaller yaw misalignments.

Solves time-optimal navigation on slippery slopes with cross gravitational wind.

problem Time-optimal navigation on a slippery cross slope under gravitational wind.
method New Finsler metric derived for the problem, considering both lateral and longitudinal gravitational effects.
result Conditions for strong convexity and purely geometric solution provided.

Fossil power firms have recently profited more than renewables, but this may be a temporary phenomenon.

problem The profitability gap between renewable and fossil power firms in Europe.
method Machine-learning clustering and Bayesian model averaging.
result Renewable power firms are becoming more profitable, while fossil power firms are becoming less so.

Paper optimizes internal balancing of wind and hydropower to reduce intraday market volatility.

problem Reduction of intraday market volatility for power producers with wind and hydropower assets.
method Internal balancing within the same river system and sales/purchase in a pay-as-bid intraday market.
result Reduction in short-term marginal cost and risk through internal balancing.

Simulation of high-speed train aerodynamics using RANS and machine learning.

problem Aerodynamic analysis of high-speed trains under turbulent flow conditions.
method RANS equations with turbulence model, machine learning (GEP, GPR, RF) for predictions.
result Random Forest (RF) provides the most accurate predictions for aerodynamic coefficients.

New algorithm learns coordinated decisions in loosely-coupled multi-agent systems.

problem Learning coordinated decisions in multi-agent systems with sparse interactions.
method Multi-Agent Thompson Sampling (MATS) for multi-agent multi-armed bandits.
result MATS achieves sublinear regret and outperforms MAUCE on synthetic and real benchmarks.

We consider multi-task regression models where the observations are assumed to be a linear combination of several latent node functions and weight functions, which are both drawn from Gaussian process priors. Driven by the problem of developing scalable methods for forecasting distributed solar and other renewable powe…

2018-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

DeepMIDE forecasts wind speeds across space, time, and height for offshore wind energy.

problem Forecasting wind speeds across multiple heights for large offshore wind turbines.
method Statistical deep learning model that jointly models wind speeds at different heights using a multi-output integro-difference equation.
result DeepMIDE forecasts outperform traditional methods in real-world offshore wind energy data.

Methodology extrapolates wind fields from sparse data with uncertainty quantification.

problem Extrapolating wind fields from limited measurements with uncertainty.
method Nonparametric Bayesian dictionary learning for sparse/incomplete data.
result Enhanced extrapolation accuracy, even in high-dimensional data.

Proposes bivariate DeepKriging for efficient wind field prediction.

problem Challenges in predicting large-scale bivariate wind fields with high spatial variability and heterogeneity.
method Spatially dependent deep neural network (DNN) with embedding layer using spatial radial basis functions.
result Outperforms traditional cokriging predictors and reduces computation time.

Study short-term wind power and speed predictions using machine learning.

problem Accurate short-term wind power and speed predictions for energy systems.
method Combining numerical weather prediction models with local observations, using machine learning for variable selection and forecasting.
result Improved wind power and speed predictions for 4-hour ahead using machine learning.

Paper uses Gaussian processes and neural nets to model sub-km wind accurately.

problem Accurately modeling sub-kilometer surface wind for optimal decision-making.
method Integrates Gaussian processes and neural networks to model wind gusts at sub-kilometer resolution.
result Modeling covariance structure improves prediction quality and calibration.

Estimates graph process with high-frequency data, proving asymptotic properties.

problem Estimating graph process with high-frequency data.
method Discretized maximum likelihood estimators for GrOU process under high-frequency sampling.
result Asymptotic central limit theorems for estimators under finite and infinite jump activity.

This paper presents a novel data-driven technique based on the spatiotemporal pattern network (STPN) for energy/power prediction for complex dynamical systems. Built on symbolic dynamic filtering, the STPN framework is used to capture not only the individual system characteristics but also the pair-wise causal dependen…

2017-02-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Faster WIND accelerates iterative BOND for LLM alignment.

problem Iterative BOND is inefficient in practice due to sample and computation inefficiency.
method Unified game-theoretic connection to self-play alignment, WIND framework with efficient algorithms.
result WIND variant achieves superior sample efficiency and faster computation.

Improved wind speed forecasts for power generation using machine learning.

problem Improving the accuracy and reliability of wind speed predictions for power generation.
method A novel machine learning approach for calibrating wind speed ensemble forecasts.
result The proposed method improves the calibration and accuracy of probabilistic and point forecasts.

New method predicts wind farm power and wakes using weather patterns.

problem Inefficient and computationally intensive wind energy resource assessment.
method Unsupervised clustering of ERA5 data on wind velocity, WRF simulations at cluster centers, and post-processing.
result Accurate long-term predictions of power and wakes with reduced computational time.

Modeling intraday dispatch for wind-battery assets to meet grid targets.

problem Meeting grid targets for wind-battery assets in an intraday context.
method Developed a mathematical model with closed-form solutions and a novel algorithm for stochastic control.
result Calibrated model to 140+ wind-battery assets in Texas, demonstrating economic benefits.

Generative model improves wind field downscaling from coarse climate models.

problem Limited spatial resolution and biases in GCMs for wind energy studies.
method SerpentFlow for domain alignment and conditional fine-scale learning.
result Improved spatial coherence, inter-variable consistency, robustness under climate change.