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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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1223 · Sep 202419922001200920172026
22 results for wheat

Study finds intrinsic multifractality in maize and barley spot markets, but not in wheat and rice.

problem Understanding the complex price behavior of global grain spot markets.
method Utilized multifractal fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA) to investigate intrinsic multifractality.
result Intrinsic multifractality found in maize and barley sub-indices, but not in wheat and rice.

Paper detects anomalies in wheat and rapeseed crops using satellite data.

problem Detecting anomalies in crop development at parcel-level.
method Unsupervised outlier detection using SAR and multispectral features.
result Best performance with a 10% outlier ratio, achieving 94.1% true positives for rapeseed and 95.5% for wheat.

Study finds multifractal cross-correlations between agricultural markets and external uncertainties.

problem Investigating relationships between agricultural spot markets and external uncertainties.
method Multifractal detrending moving-average cross-correlation analysis (MF-X-DMA).
result Maize exhibits intrinsic joint multifractality with all uncertainty proxies.

Bayesian model predicts phenotype effects from multi-environmental factors.

problem Predict phenotype effects from multi-environmental trials.
method Bayesian tensor regression with spike-and-slab structure.
result Model outperforms previous methods in simulation and real-world data.

Paper uses robust GMM to reconstruct missing data in Sentinel-2 images for crop monitoring.

problem Missing data in remote sensing images, especially from multispectral and SAR sensors.
method Robust Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM) with outlier detection using isolation forest.
result Robust GMM outperforms standard GMM in reconstructing imputed values, reducing errors.

Russia-Ukraine conflict impacts global agricultural futures and spot markets' extreme risks.

problem Impact of Russia-Ukraine conflict on global agricultural futures and spot markets' extreme risks.
method Analytical framework for tail dependence, Copula-CoVaR method, ARMA-GARCH-skewed Student-t model.
result The outbreak of the conflict intensified risks in the wheat market the most and showed significant asymmetries in extreme risk spillovers.

Study measures risk spillovers between US and China's agricultural futures markets.

problem Interconnectedness and risk transmission in agricultural futures markets.
method TVP-VAR-DY model with quantile method.
result CBOT corn, soybean, and wheat are primary risk transmitters; DCE corn and soybean are main receivers.

Analyzing available FAO data from 176 countries over 21 years, we observe an increase of complexity in the international trade of maize, rice, soy, and wheat. A larger number of countries play a role as producers or intermediaries, either for trade or food processing. In consequence, we find that the trade networks bec…

2019-01-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Price fluctuations of commodities like cotton and wheat are thought to display probability distributions of returns that follow a Lévy stable distribution. Recent analysis of stocks and foreign exchange markets show that the probability distributions are not Lévy stable, a plausible result since commodity markets have …

2002-02-02abs ↗pdf ↗

For the first time, we apply the wavelet coherence methodology on biofuels (ethanol and biodiesel) and a wide range of related commodities (gasoline, diesel, crude oil, corn, wheat, soybeans, sugarcane and rapeseed oil). This way, we are able to investigate dynamics of correlations in time and across scales (frequencie…

2012-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

We analyze the market efficiency of 25 commodity futures across various groups -- metals, energies, softs, grains and other agricultural commodities. To do so, we utilize recently proposed Efficiency Index to find that the most efficient of all the analyzed commodities is heating oil, closely followed by WTI crude oil,…

2013-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper classifies U.S. crop types using hyperspectral satellite imagery.

problem Classifying crop types from hyperspectral satellite imagery.
method Gaussian Bayesian models and neural networks applied to NASA data.
result Bayesian methods outperform standard LDA and QDA.

Study examines grain futures connectedness during Russia-Ukraine conflict.

problem Quantile return connectedness of grain futures markets during geopolitical instability.
method Dynamic quantile VAR combined with frequency-domain decomposition.
result Heterogeneous spillovers across quantiles, with strong transmitters and persistent receivers.

Study analyzes climate impact on agricultural prices, offering insurance solutions.

problem Financial risk from climate-induced agricultural price volatility.
method Historical and future climate projections, EGARCH and SARIMAX models, Black-Scholes framework.
result Improved agricultural risk modeling and insurance mechanisms.

Study finds long-range dependence in financial markets, but deep generative models struggle to replicate it.

problem Long-range dependence in financial markets and challenges of deep generative models.
method Empirical analysis of financial data from three sectors, including LRD through various statistical methods and deep learning models.
result Deep generative models can reproduce stylized features but fail to capture long-range dependence structures.