GWHD dataset offers 4,700 high-res images of wheat heads.
arXiv research
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Study finds intrinsic multifractality in maize and barley spot markets, but not in wheat and rice.
Paper detects anomalies in wheat and rapeseed crops using satellite data.
Study finds multifractal cross-correlations between agricultural markets and external uncertainties.
Bayesian model predicts phenotype effects from multi-environmental factors.
Paper uses robust GMM to reconstruct missing data in Sentinel-2 images for crop monitoring.
Apparently random financial fluctuations often exhibit varying levels of complexity, chaos. Given limited data, predictability of such time series becomes hard to infer. While efficient methods of Lyapunov exponent computation are devised, knowledge about the process driving the dynamics greatly facilitates the complex…
Russia-Ukraine conflict impacts global agricultural futures and spot markets' extreme risks.
Study measures risk spillovers between US and China's agricultural futures markets.
Analyzing available FAO data from 176 countries over 21 years, we observe an increase of complexity in the international trade of maize, rice, soy, and wheat. A larger number of countries play a role as producers or intermediaries, either for trade or food processing. In consequence, we find that the trade networks bec…
The present work shows the application of transfer learning for a pre-trained deep neural network (DNN), using a small image dataset ( 12,000) on a single workstation with enabled NVIDIA GPU card that takes up to 1 hour to complete the training task and archive an overall average accuracy of . The DNN …
Price fluctuations of commodities like cotton and wheat are thought to display probability distributions of returns that follow a Lévy stable distribution. Recent analysis of stocks and foreign exchange markets show that the probability distributions are not Lévy stable, a plausible result since commodity markets have …
We provide a machine learning solution that replaces the traditional methods for deciding the pesticide application time of Sunn Pest. We correlate climate data with phases of Sunn Pest in its life-cycle and decide whether the fields should be sprayed. Our solution includes two groups of prediction models. The first gr…
We introduce a multi-factor stochastic volatility model for commodities that incorporates seasonality and the Samuelson effect. Conditions on the seasonal term under which the corresponding volatility factor is well-defined are given, and five different specifications of the seasonality pattern are proposed. We calcula…
For the first time, we apply the wavelet coherence methodology on biofuels (ethanol and biodiesel) and a wide range of related commodities (gasoline, diesel, crude oil, corn, wheat, soybeans, sugarcane and rapeseed oil). This way, we are able to investigate dynamics of correlations in time and across scales (frequencie…
We analyze the market efficiency of 25 commodity futures across various groups -- metals, energies, softs, grains and other agricultural commodities. To do so, we utilize recently proposed Efficiency Index to find that the most efficient of all the analyzed commodities is heating oil, closely followed by WTI crude oil,…
The paper classifies U.S. crop types using hyperspectral satellite imagery.
Study examines grain futures connectedness during Russia-Ukraine conflict.
Optimal transport and neural networks improve trade modeling accuracy.
Study analyzes climate impact on agricultural prices, offering insurance solutions.
Study finds long-range dependence in financial markets, but deep generative models struggle to replicate it.
We present the results of study of a possible relationship between the space weather and terrestrial markets of agricultural products. It is shown that to implement the possible effect of space weather on the terrestrial harvests and prices, a simultaneous fulfillment of three conditions is required: 1) sensitivity of …