A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
VisitHGNN predicts visit probabilities between neighborhoods and POIs using graph neural networks.
We present here a general framework and a specific algorithm for predicting the destination, route, or more generally a pattern, of an ongoing journey, building on the recent work of [Y. Lassoued, J. Monteil, Y. Gu, G. Russo, R. Shorten, and M. Mevissen, "Hidden Markov model for route and destination prediction," in IE…
The paper introduces return parity for fairness in MDPs, addressing delayed and adverse effects.
Electronic medical record (EMR) data contains historical sequences of visits of patients, and each visit contains rich information, such as patient demographics, hospital utilisation and medical codes, including diagnosis, procedure and medication codes. Most existing EMR embedding methods capture visit-code associatio…
Framework identifies comorbidities for frequent ED and inpatient visits.
Conventional Monte Carlo simulations are stochastic in the sense that the acceptance of a trial move is decided by comparing a computed acceptance probability with a random number, uniformly distributed between 0 and 1. Here we consider the case that the weight determining the acceptance probability itself is fluctuati…
Exploration is widely regarded as one of the most challenging aspects of reinforcement learning (RL), with many naive approaches succumbing to exponential sample complexity. To isolate the challenges of exploration, we propose a new "reward-free RL" framework. In the exploration phase, the agent first collects trajecto…
Given a huge set of applicants, how should a firm allocate sequential resume screenings, phone interviews, and in-person site visits? In a tiered interview process, later stages (e.g., in-person visits) are more informative, but also more expensive than earlier stages (e.g., resume screenings). Using accepted hiring mo…
Study predicts ad conversions based on URL embeddings.
Is it true that patients with similar conditions get similar diagnoses? In this paper we show NLP methods and a unique corpus of documents to validate this claim. We (1) introduce a method for representation of medical visits based on free-text descriptions recorded by doctors, (2) introduce a new method for clustering…
The K-Mean and EM algorithms are popular in clustering and mixture modeling, due to their simplicity and ease of implementation. However, they have several significant limitations. Both coverage to a local optimum of their respective objective functions (ignoring the uncertainty in the model space), require the apriori…
Study automates detection of visitation disruptions in ICU patients.
RECODE uses clustering and embedding to track state visitation counts in RL.
Computational models that forecast the progression of Alzheimer's disease at the patient level are extremely useful tools for identifying high risk cohorts for early intervention and treatment planning. The state-of-the-art work in this area proposes models that forecast by using latent representations extracted from t…
The paper introduces a new intrinsic reward method for exploration in reinforcement learning.
Real-Time Bidding is nowadays one of the most promising systems in the online advertising ecosystem. In the presented study, the performance of RTB campaigns is improved by optimising the parameters of the users' profiles and the publishers' websites. Most studies about optimising RTB campaigns are focused on the biddi…
BeBold improves exploration in sparse-reward tasks by regulating visitation counts.
A web browser should not be only for browsing web pages but also help users to find out their target websites and recommend similar type websites based on their behavior. Throughout this paper, we propose two methods to make a web browser more intelligent about link prediction which works during typing on address-bar a…
Unsupervised model detects healthcare fraud from patient visit data.
The paper analyzes how SGD visits different regions of a non-convex problem's state space.
Study best arm identification in restless bandits with unknown TPMs.
New RL approach uses future state and action visitation measures for better exploration.
Understanding how users navigate in a network is of high interest in many applications. We consider a setting where only aggregate node-level traffic is observed and tackle the task of learning edge transition probabilities. We cast it as a preference learning problem, and we study a model where choices follow Luce's a…
Paper proposes machine learning model for early Alzheimer's diagnosis.
The paper develops personalized DAG models for web user behavior.
In this paper, we apply neural networks into digital marketing world for the purpose of better targeting the potential customers. To do so, we model the customer online behaviours using dedicated neural network architectures. Starting from user searched keywords in a search engine to the landing page and different foll…
This paper re-visits the spectral method for learning latent variable models defined in terms of observable operators. We give a new perspective on the method, showing that operators can be recovered by minimizing a loss defined on a finite subset of the domain. A non-convex optimization similar to the spectral method …
HDT improves MCMC on graphs with history-dependent sampling.
We study the detailed path-wise behavior of the discrete-time Langevin algorithm for non-convex Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) through the lens of metastability, adopting some techniques from Berglund and Gentz (2003. For a particular local optimum of the empirical risk, with an arbitrary initialization, we show tha…
We present several new results on the feasibility of inferring the hidden states in strongly-connected trackable weak models. Here, a weak model is a directed graph in which each node is assigned a set of colors which may be emitted when that node is visited. A hypothesis is a node sequence which is consistent with a g…
This article was withdrawn by the arXiv.org administrators since it plagiarizes math.GT/0011056.
New algorithm reduces sample complexity for planning in MDPs.
Many practical environments contain catastrophic states that an optimal agent would visit infrequently or never. Even on toy problems, Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) agents tend to periodically revisit these states upon forgetting their existence under a new policy. We introduce intrinsic fear (IF), a learned reward…
Predicting the patient's clinical outcome from the historical electronic medical records (EMR) is a fundamental research problem in medical informatics. Most deep learning-based solutions for EMR analysis concentrate on learning the clinical visit embedding and exploring the relations between visits. Although those wor…
Enhances early risk assessments for pediatric outcomes using contrastive learning.
Method predicts biomarker trajectories with uncertainty bands for Alzheimer's disease.
A game theory study on optimal hiding and searching strategies in discrete locations.
We show how to learn low-dimensional representations (embeddings) of patient visits from the corresponding electronic health record (EHR) where International Classification of Diseases (ICD) diagnosis codes are removed. We expect that these embeddings will be useful for the construction of predictive statistical models…
Modeling infection hotspots to quantify effects of contact tracing and testing.
Pediatric asthma is the most prevalent chronic childhood illness, afflicting about 6.2 million children in the United States. However, asthma could be better managed by identifying and avoiding triggers, educating about medications and proper disease management strategies. This research utilizes deep learning methodolo…
Study online RL with mismatched dynamics, achieving sublinear regret.
Defines a new process for financial modeling.
Transforming sparse outcomes into dense process rewards for efficient reinforcement learning.
Reinforcement learning with sparse rewards is still an open challenge. Classic methods rely on getting feedback via extrinsic rewards to train the agent, and in situations where this occurs very rarely the agent learns slowly or cannot learn at all. Similarly, if the agent receives also rewards that create suboptimal m…
In batch reinforcement learning (RL), one often constrains a learned policy to be close to the behavior (data-generating) policy, e.g., by constraining the learned action distribution to differ from the behavior policy by some maximum degree that is the same at each state. This can cause batch RL to be overly conservat…
Algorithm optimizes constrained reinforcement learning with dual variables.
Unsupervised Domain Adaptation (DA) is used to automatize the task of labeling data: an unlabeled dataset (target) is annotated using a labeled dataset (source) from a related domain. We cast domain adaptation as the problem of finding stable labels for target examples. A new definition of label stability is proposed, …
Study how untrained policies explore in RL environments.