A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Variational methods that rely on a recognition network to approximate the posterior of directed graphical models offer better inference and learning than previous methods. Recent advances that exploit the capacity and flexibility in this approach have expanded what kinds of models can be trained. However, as a proposal…
A refinement of Bennett's inequality is introduced which is strictly tighter than the classical bound. The new bound establishes the convergence of the average of independent random variables to its expected value. It also carefully exploits information about the potentially heterogeneous mean, variance, and ceiling of…
Sequence generation models are commonly refined with reinforcement learning over user-defined metrics. However, high gradient variance hinders the practical use of this method. To stabilize this method, we adapt to contextual generation of categorical sequences a policy gradient estimator, which evaluates a set of corr…
This paper develops a new theory for ensemble learning beyond variance reduction.
problem Ensemble learning's effectiveness for stable estimators is not fully explained by variance reduction.
method Develops a general weighting theory for ensemble learning, formalizing ensembles as linear operators and introducing geometric and spectral constraints.
result Structured weights can outperform uniform averaging by reshaping approximation geometry and redistributing spectral complexity.
New algorithms reduce regret in online MDPs by adapting to data and variance.
problem Adapting to both adversarial and stochastic environments in online MDPs.
method Develops algorithms based on global optimization and policy optimization, using optimistic follow-the-regularized-leader with log-barrier regularization.
result Achieves refined data-dependent and variance-dependent regret bounds.
We refine the recent local rigidity result for the marked length spectrum obtained by the first and third author in \cite{Guillarmou-Lefeuvre-18} and give an alternative proof using the geodesic stretch between two Anosov flows and some uniform estimate on the variance appearing in the central limit theorem for Anosov …
The Data Clustering (DC) problem is of central importance for the area of Machine Learning (ML), given its usefulness to represent data structural similarities from input spaces. Differently from Supervised Machine Learning (SML), which relies on the theoretical frameworks of the Statistical Learning Theory (SLT) and t…
The stochastic multi-armed bandit problem is well understood when the reward distributions are sub-Gaussian. In this paper we examine the bandit problem under the weaker assumption that the distributions have moments of order 1+ε, for some ε∈(0,1]. Surprisingly, moments of order 2 (i.e., finite variance) are suffi…
A new methodology has been introduced to clean the correlation matrix of single stocks returns based on a constrained principal component analysis using financial data. Portfolios were introduced, namely "Fundamental Maximum Variance Portfolios", to capture in an optimal way the risks defined by financial criteria ("Bo…
We study refined topological string theory in the presence of orientifolds by counting second-quantized BPS states in M-theory. This leads us to propose a new integrality condition for both refined and unrefined topological strings when orientifolds are present. We define the SO(2N) refined Chern-Simons theory which co…
This paper removes the finite variance assumption for deep convolutional neural networks.
problem Removing the finite variance assumption for deep convolutional neural networks.
method Assuming iid parameters distributed according to a stable distribution, the paper shows that the infinite-channel limit of a deep feed-forward convolutional neural network is a multivariate stable stochastic process.
result The infinite-channel limit of a deep feed-forward convolutional neural network, under suitable scaling, is a multivariate stable stochastic process.
We refine Khovanov homology in the presence of an involution on the link. This refinement takes the form of a triply-graded theory, arising from a pair of filtrations. We focus primarily on strongly invertible knots and show, for instance, that this refinement is able to detect mutation.
In a previous paper we constructed a spectrum-level refinement of Khovanov homology. This refinement induces stable cohomology operations on Khovanov homology. In this paper we show that these cohomology operations commute with cobordism maps on Khovanov homology. As a consequence we obtain a refinement of Rasmussen's …
In this paper we investigate the asymptotics of forward-start options and the forward implied volatility smile in the Heston model as the maturity approaches zero. We prove that the forward smile for out-of-the-money options explodes and compute a closed-form high-order expansion detailing the rate of the explosion. Fu…
Braverman and Kappeler introduced a refinement of the Ray-Singer analytic torsion associated to a flat vector bundle over a closed odd-dimensional manifold. We study this notion and improve the Braverman-Kappeler theorem comparing the refined analytic torsion with Farber-Turaev refinement of the combinatorial torsion. …
We note that our stable homotopy refinements of Khovanov's arc algebras and tangle invariants induce refinements of Chen-Khovanov and Stroppel's platform algebras and tangle invariants, and discuss the topological Hochschild homology of these refinements.
Calibration error is commonly adopted for evaluating the quality of uncertainty estimators in deep neural networks. In this paper, we argue that such a metric is highly beneficial for training predictive models, even when we do not explicitly measure the uncertainties. This is conceptually similar to heteroscedastic ne…
Sparsity promoting norms are frequently used in high dimensional regression. A limitation of such Lasso-type estimators is that the optimal regularization parameter depends on the unknown noise level. Estimators such as the concomitant Lasso address this dependence by jointly estimating the noise level and the regressi…
We formulate large N duality of U(N) refined Chern-Simons theory with a torus knot/link in S3. By studying refined BPS states in M-theory, we provide the explicit form of low-energy effective actions of Type IIA string theory with D4-branes on the Ω-background. This form enables us to relate refined C…