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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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86173259345 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for variance adaptivity

Improved variance reduction for Riemannian non-convex optimization with adaptive batch size.

problem Optimizing non-convex functions on Riemannian manifolds.
method Batch size adaptation in R-SVRG, R-SRG, and R-SPIDER.
result Achieves lower total complexities for various non-convex functions.

This paper balances bias and variance in adaptive importance sampling using mirror descent.

problem Large variance in adaptive importance sampling weights.
method Regularization strategy with power raised importance weights connected to mirror descent.
result The regularization parameter balances bias and variance.

EVA adapts LoRA for faster, more efficient fine-tuning.

problem Fast and efficient fine-tuning of large models for specific tasks.
method EVA uses directions capturing most activation variance for initialization, maximizing gradient signal and reducing parameters.
result EVA achieves faster convergence and higher average scores across tasks, reducing parameters.

New method forecasts time series with changing variances.

problem Real-world processes with changing variances cannot be captured by classical models.
method State-space model with Markov switching variances, using online learning and expert aggregation.
result Proposed method outperforms traditional expert aggregation and is robust to misspecification.

The learning rate warmup heuristic achieves remarkable success in stabilizing training, accelerating convergence and improving generalization for adaptive stochastic optimization algorithms like RMSprop and Adam. Here, we study its mechanism in details. Pursuing the theory behind warmup, we identify a problem of the ad…

2019-08-08abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper develops a method for self-normalized inference in adaptive experiments.

problem Adaptive experiments require a fixed horizon for ATE estimation, but propensities can change.
method The method uses self-normalized martingale limit theory to estimate ATE.
result The Studentized statistic is asymptotically N(0,1) at the prespecified horizon.

Study introduces AMVP and AMRR for dynamic portfolio optimization in volatile markets.

problem Optimizing portfolios in volatile and nonstationary financial markets.
method Adaptive Minimum-Variance Portfolio (AMVP) framework with ARFIMA-FIGARCH processes and non-Gaussian innovations.
result Demonstrated superior performance in risk reduction and portfolio stability during market breaks.

We propose algorithms for online principal component analysis (PCA) and variance minimization for adaptive settings. Previous literature has focused on upper bounding the static adversarial regret, whose comparator is the optimal fixed action in hindsight. However, static regret is not an appropriate metric when the un…

2019-01-23abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm reduces regret for linear bandits with unknown noise variance.

problem Finding optimal actions in linear bandits with varying noise variance.
method Adaptive algorithm with Freedman-type concentration inequality and multi-layer structure.
result Achieves ildeO(dk=1Kσk2+d) ilde{O}(d \sqrt{\sum_{k = 1}^K σ_k^2} + d) regret for linear bandits.

Adaptive importance sampling for stochastic optimization is a promising approach that offers improved convergence through variance reduction. In this work, we propose a new framework for variance reduction that enables the use of mixtures over predefined sampling distributions, which can naturally encode prior knowledg…

2019-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

RAVEN-UCB addresses non-stationary MAB problems with tighter regret bounds.

problem Non-stationary environments in multi-armed bandits.
method Combines variance-aware adaptation with three innovations: confidence bounds, adaptive control, and recursive updates.
result Achieves tighter regret bounds than UCB1 and UCB-V.

New algorithm reduces reinforcement learning regret by adapting to interaction variability.

problem Existing reinforcement learning methods lack adaptability to interaction variability.
method Developed a variance-adaptive optimal algorithm for MNL function approximation.
result Achieved instance-wise optimal regret bounds, validating efficiency in practice.

Adaptive linear bandit algorithm with best-of-three-worlds regret bounds.

problem Adaptive to adversarial and stochastic environments with varying sub-optimality gaps and corruption.
method Combines SCRiBLe algorithm with scaled-up sampling and optimistic online learning.
result Achieves best-of-three-worlds regret bounds of O(TlogT)O(\sqrt{T \log T}) for adversarial and O(logTΔmin+ClogTΔmin)O(\frac{\log T}{Δ_{\min}} + \sqrt{\frac{C \log T}{Δ_{\min}}}) for stochastic environments.

This work analyzes the statistical properties of adaptive gradient methods.

problem Lack of understanding of the statistical properties of adaptive gradient methods.
method Theoretical analyses and experiments on the variance of update magnitudes.
result The variance of update magnitudes is an increasing and bounded function of time, not diverging.

Significant improvements in regret analysis for adaptive online learning problems.

problem Exploiting low variance in online learning problems without known variances.
method Novel peeling-based regret analysis leveraging elliptical potential `count` lemma.
result Significant improvements in regret bounds for linear bandits and linear mixture MDPs.

AdaGrad-Norm achieves optimal convergence rates for non-convex objectives without tuning.

problem Optimal convergence rates for non-convex, smooth objectives with adaptive step sizes.
method Adaptive SGD (AdaGrad-Norm) with self-tuning step sizes, analyzing under unbounded gradients and affine variance scaling.
result AdaGrad-Norm achieves order optimal convergence rate of $\mathcal{O}\left(\frac{\mathrm{poly}\log(T)}{\sqrt{T}} ight)$ under optimal assumptions.

Mini-batch stochastic gradient descent and variants thereof have become standard for large-scale empirical risk minimization like the training of neural networks. These methods are usually used with a constant batch size chosen by simple empirical inspection. The batch size significantly influences the behavior of the …

2016-12-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Ant colonies and boosting algorithms both reduce bias and variance through adaptive mechanisms.

problem Understanding the mathematical principles behind ensemble learning and ant colony behavior.
method Developed a formal mapping between AdaBoost's adaptive reweighting and ant recruitment dynamics.
result Proved that the fundamental theorem of weak learnability has a direct analog in colony decision-making.

New strategy optimally identifies best arm in unknown variance Gaussian bandits.

problem Identifying the best arm in two-armed Gaussian bandits with unknown variances.
method Proposes a Neyman Allocation (NA)-Augmented Inverse Probability weighting (AIPW) strategy to estimate variances and draw arms adaptively.
result Demonstrates asymptotic optimality of the proposed strategy in the small-gap regime.

New algorithms reduce regret in online MDPs by adapting to data and variance.

problem Adapting to both adversarial and stochastic environments in online MDPs.
method Develops algorithms based on global optimization and policy optimization, using optimistic follow-the-regularized-leader with log-barrier regularization.
result Achieves refined data-dependent and variance-dependent regret bounds.

This paper proposes a new AED framework for multi-metric experiments with fixed budget.

problem Statistical power challenges in testing multiple metrics simultaneously.
method Two-phase structure: adaptive exploration followed by validation. SHRVar algorithm with relative-variance-based sampling.
result Achieves provable error probability that decreases exponentially.

Paper proposes adaptive parameter selection for KGD algorithms.

problem Improving parameter selection for kernel-based gradient descent.
method Integrates bias-variance analysis with splitting method, introduces empirical effective dimension.
result Adaptive parameter selection strategy achieves optimal generalization error bound.

Meta-learning variance reduced via Laplace approximation for regression tasks.

problem High variance in meta-learning due to limited support data for each task.
method Laplace approximation to estimate posterior variance and reduce gradient estimate variance.
result Effective variance reduction in meta-learning, improving generalization performance.

The paper analyzes sparse high-dimensional linear regression with random design and unknown error variance, providing adaptiveness and concentration rates.

problem Sparse high-dimensional linear regression with random design and unknown error variance.
method Analysis of posterior concentration rates, employing techniques to address model misspecification.
result Adaptiveness and concentration rates of the posterior for sparse high-dimensional linear regression.

Unified framework combines views and optimization for better portfolio management.

problem Optimizing portfolio weights with dynamic adjustment based on volatility.
method Dynamic sliding window adjusting horizon, factor estimates, BL posterior returns, and weights over time.
result Outperforms dynamic mean-variance optimization without BL views, providing stronger downside risk control.

New algorithm offers costless model selection in contextual bandits.

problem Minimizing cumulative regret in stochastic contextual bandits.
method Gradually increasing class complexity and adapting to the simplest class with dominant estimation variance.
result Costless model selection is feasible under certain conditions, providing improved regret guarantees.

Estimators computed from adaptively collected data do not behave like their non-adaptive brethren. Rather, the sequential dependence of the collection policy can lead to severe distributional biases that persist even in the infinite data limit. We develop a general method -- W\mathbf{W}-decorrelation -- for transformi…

2017-12-18abs ↗pdf ↗

This study optimizes covariate density and propensity score for efficient ATE estimation.

problem Efficiently estimating average treatment effects (ATEs) with minimal variance.
method Adaptive experiment optimizing both covariate density and propensity score.
result Proposed method minimizes the semiparametric efficiency bound for ATE estimation.

The paper proposes a method for distribution-free prediction sets that adapt to unknown temporal changes.

problem Distribution-free prediction sets require reliable calibration data, which is often unavailable in real-world settings with temporal changes.
method The method selects an adaptive window to construct prediction sets, optimizing a bias-variance tradeoff.
result The method provides sharp coverage guarantees and is shown to be adaptive to temporal drift through numerical experiments.

New algorithm resists corruption in linear contextual bandits.

problem Adversarial corruption in linear contextual bandits.
method Variance-aware algorithm with multi-level partition and adaptive confidence sets.
result Regret bound of ildeO(C2dt=1Tσt2+C2RdT) ilde{O}(C^2d\sqrt{\sum_{t = 1}^T σ_t^2} + C^2R\sqrt{dT}).

New algorithm for contextual combinatorial bandits with probabilistic arm triggering.

problem Optimizing decisions in dynamic environments with probabilistic arm availability.
method C^2-UCB-T and VAC^2-UCB algorithms with TPM and VM conditions.
result Achieved improved regret bounds for contextual combinatorial bandits.

Improved SGD with AdaGrad stepsizes adapts to unknown parameters and unbounded gradients.

problem Adaptive optimization with unknown parameters and unbounded gradients.
method Stochastic Gradient Descent with AdaGrad stepsizes, without assuming problem parameters or strong global Lipschitz conditions.
result Sharp rates of convergence in both low-noise and high-noise regimes, supporting an affine variance noise model.

New algorithm optimizes multi-armed bandit performance in stochastic and adversarial settings.

problem Optimizing multi-armed bandit performance in both stochastic and adversarial environments.
method Follow-the-regularized-leader method with adaptive learning rates.
result First BOBW algorithm with gap-variance-dependent regret bounds in adversarial settings.