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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,341 papers · 148 categories

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67134200267 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for value premium

Study finds carbon emissions affect stock value, but not bought emissions.

problem Determining if carbon emissions impact stock value and whether this is due to direct or indirect emissions.
method Fixed-effects analysis with propensity score weighting to control for selection bias.
result Firms with higher Scope 1 emissions have a statistically significant positive carbon premium, but Scope 2 emissions do not.

A new method to break down insurance costs into risk and uncertainty.

problem Understanding and quantifying insurance costs in uncertain environments.
method An axiomatic approach to decompose premium principles into risk and deviation measures.
result Maximal risk and minimal deviation measures can be uniquely identified in decompositions.

Study shows excess-loss reinsurance is optimal for insurers under mean-variance criterion.

problem Optimizing reinsurance strategies for insurers under mean-variance criterion.
method Analyzes excess-loss reinsurance under a spectrally negative Lévy insurance model using expected value premium principle and Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation.
result Excess-loss reinsurance is the unique equilibrium strategy under the mean-variance criterion.

A new insurance and reinsurance pricing scheme based on realized loss.

problem Determining fair and risk-adjusted insurance premiums.
method Performance-based variable premium scheme with random initial premium adjusted based on realized loss.
result The variable premium scheme reduces reinsurer's total risk exposure compared to expected-value premium.

Study investigates ruin probability with random premiums and risky investments.

problem Ruin probability with random premiums and risky investments.
method Laplace transform applied to a model with geometric Brownian motion.
result Asymptotic behavior of ruin probability for large initial capital values.

The paper explores optimal insurance contracts using various deviation measures.

problem Optimal insurance contracts with mean-deviation measures.
method Study of convex signed Choquet integrals and standard deviation as deviation measures, analyzing premium principles like expected value, Value-at-Risk, and Expected Shortfall.
result Characterization of optimal indemnities and deductibles under different premium principles.

Fair reinsurance premiums calculated for a perturbed risk model with capital injections.

problem Determining fair reinsurance premiums in a perturbed risk model with capital injections.
method Using a subordinator and Brownian perturbation, an explicit formula for reinsurance premiums is derived.
result An explicit formula for fair reinsurance premiums exists in a specific risk model setting.

The study evaluates tradeability in markets using Lévy models.

problem Market illiquidity and its impact on asset prices.
method Adapting McDonald and Siegel's problem, deriving tradeability premiums and solving free-boundary problems.
result A simple method to compute non-tradeability values and express non-tradeable asset prices as a percentage of tradeable equivalents.

Study finds farmers are willing to pay higher premiums for higher coverage in agricultural insurance.

problem Determining the demand factors and WTP for agricultural insurance.
method Conducted a survey of 200 farmers to analyze the impact of socio-demographic variables and premium on insurance purchase decisions.
result Farmers are willing to pay higher premiums for higher coverage in agricultural insurance.

Unified approach to optimal reinsurance models for insurers and reinsurers.

problem Optimal reinsurance models for both unconstrained and constrained optimization problems.
method Geometric approach to solve optimal reinsurance problems.
result Explicit solutions for optimal reinsurance in various forms.

We present extensive evidence that ``risk premium'' is strongly correlated with tail-risk skewness but very little with volatility. We introduce a new, intuitive definition of skewness and elicit an approximately linear relation between the Sharpe ratio of various risk premium strategies (Equity, Fama-French, FX Carry,…

2014-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Methodology calculates car insurance premiums for partial damage losses.

problem Estimating premiums for partial damage losses in automobile insurance.
method Used generalized linear models to analyze claim frequency and severity.
result Identified key variables influencing claim frequency and severity.

Study resolves the Korean LVRP puzzle by showing HVRP exists but is masked by investor heterogeneity and improper intensity normalization.

problem Puzzling Low Volume Return Premium (LVRP) in Korea, contradicting global High Volume Return Premium (HVRP) evidence.
method Used Korean market data (2020-2024) to demonstrate HVRP exists but is masked by investor heterogeneity and improper intensity normalization. Normalized institutional buying intensity by market capitalization rather than trading value.
result Demonstrated a perfect monotonic relationship between highest-conviction institutional buying and positive cumulative abnormal returns, while lowest-intensity trades yield modest returns.

Study analyzes AI's impact on firms, markets, and workers using large language model data.

problem Understanding AI's effect on firms, markets, and workers.
method Used 380 trillion tokens from 400+ large language models to analyze AI's impact.
result Firms with higher AI exposure earn higher returns, creating an AI premium.

The paper examines how risk reduction and insurance choices interact under convex premium principles.

problem Interaction between self-protection and insurance demand under convex premium principles.
method Investigates optimal prevention efforts and insurance shares using distortion risk measures.
result Self-protection and insurance are complementary, but ex ante moral hazard can turn this into a substitution effect.

The existence of the pricing kernel is shown to imply the existence of an ambient information process that generates market filtration. This information process consists of a signal component concerning the value of the random variable X that can be interpreted as the timing of future cash demand, and an independent no…

2011-03-16abs ↗pdf ↗

The study finds a liquidity premium in stock returns, but only after correcting for microstructure noise.

problem The positive association between expected idiosyncratic volatility and expected stock returns.
method Developed a novel method to eliminate microstructure influences from stock returns and estimate idiosyncratic volatility.
result The liquidity premium in value-weighted portfolios is driven by liquidity in the prior month after correcting for microstructure noise.

We derive an arbitrage free relationship between recovery swap rates, digital default swap spreads and conventional CDS spreads, and argue that the fair forward recovery rate used in recovery swaps must contain a convexity premium over the expected recovery value.

2010-01-05abs ↗pdf ↗

The study reveals unspanned risks in equity option risk premiums, explaining negative premiums for certain options.

problem Explaining negative risk premiums for certain equity option types.
method Developed a decomposition of equity option risk premiums, operationalized the pricing kernel process, and incorporated unspanned risks.
result Empirical evidence supports the presence of unspanned risks, explaining negative risk premiums for certain options.

The claim arrival process to an insurance company is modeled by a compound Poisson process whose intensity and/or jump size distribution changes at an unobservable time with a known distribution. It is in the insurance company's interest to detect the change time as soon as possible in order to re-evaluate a new fair v…

2007-03-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Study models weather index insurance pricing by insurers and farmers, finding flexible pricing kernels boost profits.

problem Monopoly pricing of weather index insurance with risk and flexibility considerations.
method Bowley-type sequential game with insurer and farmer, using neural networks for farmer's payoff.
result Flexible pricing kernels increase insurer profits closer to indemnity insurance levels.

The net-premium principle is considered to be the most genuine and fair premium principle in actuarial applications. However, an insurance company, applying the net-premium principle, goes bankrupt with probability one in the long run, even if the company covers its entire costs by collecting the respective fees from i…

2013-04-01abs ↗pdf ↗

In electricity markets, it is sensible to use a two-factor model with mean reversion for spot prices. One of the factors is an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process driven by a Brownian motion and accounts for the small variations. The other factor is an OU process driven by a pure jump Lévy process and models the characteri…

2013-08-15abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method calculates risk loadings in classification ratemaking without subjective parameters.

problem Subjective risk loading parameters in classification ratemaking.
method Bootstrap method to calculate total risk premium, then determine risk loading parameters using quantile regression models.
result Risk premiums calculated by the new method reasonably differentiate different risk classes.

New study finds better employee pay leads to better stock performance.

problem Understanding the relationship between employee remuneration and stock performance.
method Developed new asset pricing factors using firm financial characteristics.
result Companies with higher employee remuneration tend to have better stock performance.

Study analyzes FIT schemes under market and regulatory uncertainty.

problem Tackles uncertainty in feed-in tariffs and their impact on investment thresholds.
method Uses semi-analytical real options framework to model and compare FIT schemes.
result Increasing regulatory uncertainty lowers investment thresholds for FIT schemes.

We determine how an individual can use life insurance to meet a bequest goal. We assume that the individual's consumption is met by an income, such as a pension, life annuity, or Social Security. Then, we consider the wealth that the individual wants to devote towards heirs (separate from any wealth related to the afor…

2014-02-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal insurance contracts are designed to screen risk preferences and risk types under asymmetric information.

problem Designing optimal insurance contracts under asymmetric information and risk types.
method Constructing a menu of contracts that maximizes mean-variance utilities, subject to truth-telling constraints.
result Equilibrium contracts exhibit nonlinear pricing with decreasing risk loadings, inducing self-selection.

We present in this paper a new premium computation principle based on the use of prior information from multiple sources for computing the premium charged to a policyholder. Under this framework, based on the use of Ordered Weighted Averaging (OWA) operators, we propose alternative collective and Bayes premiums and des…

2015-11-12abs ↗pdf ↗

We determine the optimal amount of life insurance for a household of two wage earners. We consider the simple case of exponential utility, thereby removing wealth as a factor in buying life insurance, while retaining the relationship among life insurance, income, and the probability of dying and thus losing that income…

2012-05-27abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper values reinsurance contracts for dynamic catastrophe claims without arbitrage.

problem Valuation of reinsurance contracts for dynamic catastrophe claims without arbitrage.
method Compound dynamic contagion process, Esscher transform, Monte Carlo simulation.
result Arbitrage-free premiums for catastrophe stop-loss reinsurance contracts.

Method reconstructs hidden Markov chains from insurance data.

problem Recovering hidden Markov chains from incomplete insurance data.
method Neural architecture to explicitly provide transition probabilities.
result Neural model successfully validates decompression of insurance information.

We consider the concept of equilibrium in economic systems from statistical mechanics viewpoint. A new method is suggested for computing the premium on this basis. The Bühlmann economic premium principle is derived as a special case of our method.

2004-01-17abs ↗pdf ↗