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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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326496128 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for unknown interventions

Bayesian method for causal discovery from unknown general interventions.

problem Learning causal DAGs from unknown interventions that modify parent sets.
method Bayesian approach with MCMC for approximating posterior DAGs and intervention targets.
result Bayesian method can identify DAGs and intervention targets up to equivalence classes.

MetaCaDI learns causal graphs and unknown interventions from few data instances.

problem Discovering causal mechanisms in systems with high data costs and unknown interventions.
method MetaCaDI is a Bayesian meta-learning framework that optimizes for rapid adaptation to new intervention targets.
result MetaCaDI significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods in causal graph recovery and intervention target prediction.

This paper tackles unknown causal graphs and soft interventions, establishing regret bounds and an efficient algorithm.

problem Designing causal bandit algorithms with unknown causal graphs and stochastic intervention models.
method Establishes novel regret bounds and presents a computationally efficient algorithm for unknown graph and soft interventions.
result Regret bounds for unknown graph and soft interventions, with a universal minimax lower bound.

Model identifies causal structure from paired observational and interventional data with unknown soft interventions.

problem Identifying causal structure from observational and interventional data with unknown soft interventions.
method Proposes a scalable causal discovery model that aggregates subset-level PDAGs and applies contrastive cross-regime orientation rules.
result The model asymptotically recovers the identifiable PDAG and can orient additional edges compared to non-contrastive subset-restricted methods.

This paper tackles CRL for multi-node interventions, achieving identifiability guarantees.

problem CRL under unknown multi-node interventions, focusing on single-node assumptions.
method Establishes identifiability results for general latent causal models under stochastic interventions.
result Identifiability up to ancestors using soft interventions, perfect identifiability using hard interventions.

Method identifies unknown intervention targets in structural causal models from diverse data.

problem Identifying unknown intervention targets in structural causal models from heterogeneous data.
method Two-phase approach: first recovers exogenous noises, second matches with endogenous variables.
result Proposed method uniquely identifies intervention targets under causal sufficiency assumption.

Study identifies components of unknown interventions in a mixture.

problem Identify components of a mixture of unknown interventions on a causal Bayesian Network.
method Construct example showing components not identifiable. Prove identifiability under mild conditions. Develop efficient algorithm for recovery. Analyze performance in simulation.
result Components of a mixture of unknown interventions can be uniquely identified under certain conditions.

GACBO optimizes unknown causal graphs with interventions.

problem Optimizing a target variable on an unknown causal graph with interventions.
method Graph Agnostic Causal Bayesian Optimisation (GACBO) seeks to balance exploitation and exploration of causal structures and functions.
result GACBO outperforms baselines in simulated and real-world applications.

Study identifies causal relationships without direct supervision from unknown interventions.

problem Identify causal relationships from unknown interventions without direct supervision.
method General nonparametric setting with multiple datasets from unknown interventions.
result Identify ground truth latents and causal graph up to ambiguities.

Bayesian method for inferring causal relations from mixed observational and interventional data.

problem Challenges in causal inference from heterogeneous study conditions with unknown soft interventions.
method Interventional Bayesian Gaussian equivalent score for a mixture of observational and interventional data.
result Effective characterisation of posterior distributions of causal structures and intervention effects.

We consider testing and learning problems on causal Bayesian networks as defined by Pearl (Pearl, 2009). Given a causal Bayesian network M\mathcal{M} on a graph with nn discrete variables and bounded in-degree and bounded `confounded components', we show that O(logn)O(\log n) interventions on an unknown causal Bayesian ne…

2018-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes scalable algorithm to estimate intervention targets in linear models.

problem Estimating intervention targets in linear models from observational and interventional data.
method The paper proposes a scalable algorithm that estimates intervention sites from the difference between precision matrices of observational and interventional datasets.
result The algorithm consistently identifies all intervention targets and updates observational Markov equivalence classes to interventional ones.

New method identifies causal relationships from interventions in complex systems.

problem Learning causal representations from unknown, latent interventions with general nonlinear mixing.
method Strong identifiability results with unknown single-node interventions, using geometric structure of transformed data.
result First instance of causal identifiability from non-paired interventions for deep neural network embeddings.

The paper tackles causal bandits with unknown SCMs and soft interventions, providing upper and lower bounds on regret.

problem Optimizing interventions in a causal system with unknown SCMs and soft interventions.
method Assumes unknown SCMs from a general class, allows infinite interventions, and provides upper and lower bounds on regret.
result General upper and lower bounds on cumulative achievable regret for various SCMs.

Paper recovers latent causal structure and linear transformation from indirect observations.

problem Recovering latent causal structure and linear transformation from indirect observations.
method Established sufficient conditions for DAG recovery, leveraged score function properties, and used soft/hard interventions.
result Perfect recovery of latent DAG structure and linear transformation up to scaling using soft interventions, hard interventions with additional hypothesis testing.

The paper shows how to learn causal representations with few environments and finite samples.

problem Learning causal representations from limited data and environments.
method Explicit, finite-sample guarantees with a logarithmic number of interventions.
result Consistent recovery of latent causal graph, mixing matrix, and unknown intervention targets.

Promising results have driven a recent surge of interest in continuous optimization methods for Bayesian network structure learning from observational data. However, there are theoretical limitations on the identifiability of underlying structures obtained from observational data alone. Interventional data provides muc…

2019-10-02abs ↗pdf ↗

New analysis shows surprising results on adaptation speed of causal models.

problem Investigate the adaptation speed of causal models under interventions.
method Use convergence rates from stochastic optimization to measure adaptation speed.
result Surprising findings: anticausal model can be faster than causal model under certain conditions.

New method disentangles mixed interventional and observational data in SEMs.

problem Learning causal relationships from mixed interventional and observational data.
method Developed a method to disentangle mixed interventional and observational data in linear SEMs with Gaussian noise.
result The method can identify causal graphs up to their interventional Markov Equivalence Class.

Paper relaxes faithfulness assumption for causal discovery using interventions.

problem Violation of faithfulness assumption in natural systems leads to incorrect causal structure identification.
method Use intervention-immediacy faithfulness assumption to identify causal structures with hard interventions.
result Interventions contain information about causal structure that can identify causal structures when faithfulness is violated.

New method uses neural networks to learn causal graphs from interventional data.

problem Challenges in learning causal directed acyclic graphs from data.
method Reformulates as continuous constrained optimization, uses neural networks, leverages interventional data.
result Method compares favorably to state of the art in various settings.

fCBO optimizes interventions in causal graphs using Gaussian processes.

problem Optimizing interventions in known causal graphs.
method Functional causal Bayesian optimization (fCBO) using Gaussian processes and expected improvement acquisition.
result Functional interventions can lead to better target effects and optimal conditional effects.

Study efficient algorithms for identifying minimum interventional sets to learn causal relationships.

problem Identify the smallest set of interventions to learn causal relationships between a subset of edges.
method Develop algorithms for subset verification and search problems under assumptions of faithfulness, causal sufficiency, and ideal interventions.
result For subset verification, an efficient algorithm is provided to compute a minimum sized interventional set.

Game theory approach to predicting and responding to interventions based on causal relationships.

problem Optimizing predictions and interventions in response to observational data.
method Prediction-intervention game framework, focusing on invariant subsets of covariates.
result Stable-blanket predictors are optimal for certain follower objectives and under specific conditions.

Paper tackles confounded ANMs, estimating ACEs with minimal interventions.

problem Estimating causal effects in the presence of unobserved confounders.
method Interventional distributions and randomized algorithm to reduce the number of required interventions.
result Poly-logarithmic number of interventions sufficient to infer causal effects in confounded ANMs.

Generative Intervention Models predict perturbation effects without knowing the underlying mechanisms.

problem Predicting perturbation effects when the mechanisms are unknown.
method Generative Intervention Models (GIM) that map perturbation features to distributions over atomic interventions in a causal model.
result GIMs achieve robust out-of-distribution predictions and infer underlying perturbation mechanisms.

This paper tackles causal interactions in mixtures of DAGs using interventions.

problem Learning causal interactions among variables governed by a mixture of causal systems.
method Establishes necessary and sufficient conditions for intervention size, designs an adaptive algorithm.
result Identifies true edges in a mixture of DAGs using optimal or near-optimal interventions.

New method for selective prediction under interventions learns causal structure from data.

problem Tight uncertainty sets in selective conformal prediction under unknown interventional settings.
method Partial causal structure learning for descendant indicators, contamination-robust coverage theorem, algorithms for descendant discovery and distance estimation.
result Valid selective conformal prediction under contamination up to 30% with controlled coverage.

Optimizes causal effects on unknown graphs using Causal Entropy Optimization.

problem Optimizing causal effects in unknown causal graphs.
method Causal Entropy Optimization (CEO) framework that generalizes Causal Bayesian Optimization (CBO). Incorporates causal structure uncertainty in surrogate models and intervention selection.
result CEO achieves faster convergence to global optimum compared to CBO and improves upon sequential structure learning.

PLOT uses optimal transport to find neural site handles for causal abstraction.

problem Finding the relevant neural site for causal analysis is computationally challenging.
method PLOT employs optimal transport to localize causal variables from neural network outputs.
result PLOT efficiently finds intervention handles for causal abstraction in neural networks.

In many application areas---lending, education, and online recommenders, for example---fairness and equity concerns emerge when a machine learning system interacts with a dynamically changing environment to produce both immediate and long-term effects for individuals and demographic groups. We discuss causal directed a…

2019-09-18abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper tackles causal representation learning with linear and general transformations.

problem Identify and recover latent causal variables and graphs under unknown transformations.
method Score-based algorithms that use gradients of log-density functions for identifiability and achievability.
result Two stochastic hard interventions per node are sufficient for identifiability of general transformations.

New algorithms for causal bandits without knowing the graph structure.

problem Causal bandit problems with unknown graph structure.
method Developed novel causal bandit algorithms for causal trees, forests, and general graphs without prior knowledge of the causal graph.
result Regret guarantees significantly improved over standard MAB algorithms under mild conditions.

We identify which latent factors change between environments in linear causal models.

problem Identify latent factors that change between environments in linear causal models with fewer than dd interventions.
method Propose a method to identify shifted nodes in a smaller number of environments with coarser interventions.
result It is possible to identify the set of shifted nodes under mild assumptions.

We consider the problem of learning the functions computing children from parents in a Structural Causal Model once the underlying causal graph has been identified. This is in some sense the second step after causal discovery. Taking a probabilistic approach to estimating these functions, we derive a natural myopic act…

2017-06-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates joint causal effects using single-variable interventions on nonlinear models.

problem Estimating joint causal effects from single-variable interventions.
method Identifiability result and practical estimator for decomposing causal effects.
result Joint effects can be inferred without joint interventional data for nonlinear additive models.