A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
We test the price momentum effect in the Korean stock markets under the momentum universe shrinkage to subuniverses of the KOSPI 200. Performance of the momentum strategy is not homogeneous with respect to change of the momentum universe. It is found that some submarkets generate the higher momentum returns than other …
ELF simplifies normalizing flows, making them more efficient and universal.
problem Computational inefficiency of normalizing flows.
method ELF introduces a simple, one-layer network with closed-form Lipschitz constants, combining the ease of residual flows with the performance of autoregressive flows.
result ELF is a provably universal density approximator, more efficient computationally and parameter-wise.
Framework for universal graph function approximators outperforms existing methods.
problem Graph classification and separation of graph classes.
method Inspired by persistent homology, dependency parsing, and multivalued functions, the framework constructs universal approximators on graph isomorphism classes.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance on four graph datasets.
The study finds cash productivity predicts stock performance in a specific subset of firms.
problem Predicting future stock performance using cash productivity.
method Using financial and market data, calculated cash returns as a proxy for operational efficiency, and tested a long-only strategy on Nasdaq-listed non-financial firms.
result Cash productivity has significant predictive power in a handpicked portfolio but limited across the broader Nasdaq universe.
Using detailed statistical analyses of the size distribution of a universe of equity exchange-traded funds (ETFs), we discover a discrete hierarchy of sizes, which imprints a log-periodic structure on the probability distribution of ETF sizes that dominates the details of the asymptotic tail. This allows us to propose …
Convolutional neural networks (CNN) have become one of the most popular machine learning tools and are being applied in various tasks, however, CNN models are vulnerable to universal perturbations, which are usually human-imperceptible but can cause natural images to be misclassified with high probability. One of the s…
This note provides a neat and enjoyable expansion and application of the magnificent Ordentlich-Cover theory of "universal portfolios." I generalize Cover's benchmark of the best constant-rebalanced portfolio (or 1-linear trading strategy) in hindsight by considering the best bilinear trading strategy determined in hin…
Deep learning approaches have recently achieved impressive performance on both audio source separation and sound classification. Most audio source separation approaches focus only on separating sources belonging to a restricted domain of source classes, such as speech and music. However, recent work has demonstrated th…
A universal collection of 4 invariants improves neural network accuracy for molecular dynamics.
problem Improving accuracy of neural networks in molecular dynamics.
method Developed a universal collection of 4 smooth scalar invariants on M(3) x M(3) and evaluated their effectiveness in a PONITA neural network architecture.
result Using a universal collection of invariants significantly improves neural network accuracy.
This paper fine-tunes LLMs for stock return prediction using financial news.
problem Improving stock return forecasting accuracy using LLMs.
method Fine-tuning LLMs with text and forecasting modules, comparing encoder-only and decoder-only models, and integrating token-level representations.
result LLMs' aggregated token-level embeddings enhance return predictions for long-only and long-short portfolios.
Universal AI seeks high-optionality states through empowerment and curiosity.
problem Understanding and optimizing AI behavior in uncertain environments.
method Unified framework combining AIXI and variational empowerment, showing how universal AI agents balance goal-directed behavior with uncertainty reduction curiosity.
result Self-AIXI asymptotically converges to AIXI performance and exhibits power-seeking behavior due to intrinsic motivations.
Classifiers such as deep neural networks have been shown to be vulnerable against adversarial perturbations on problems with high-dimensional input space. While adversarial training improves the robustness of image classifiers against such adversarial perturbations, it leaves them sensitive to perturbations on a non-ne…
We study the problem of learning classifiers robust to universal adversarial perturbations. While prior work approaches this problem via robust optimization, adversarial training, or input transformation, we instead phrase it as a two-player zero-sum game. In this new formulation, both players simultaneously play the s…
In this work, we demonstrate the existence of universal adversarial audio perturbations that cause mis-transcription of audio signals by automatic speech recognition (ASR) systems. We propose an algorithm to find a single quasi-imperceptible perturbation, which when added to any arbitrary speech signal, will most likel…
Diffusion models generate data with Gaussian Universality, matching linear model test errors.
problem Analyzing the performance of models trained on synthetic data generated by diffusion models.
method Investigates Gaussian Universality for data distributions generated via diffusion models, matching test errors of linear models trained on synthetic data to Gaussian Mixture models.
result The test error of a linear model trained on diffusion-generated data matches the test error of a linear model trained on Gaussian Mixture data with matching means and covariances per class.
The Bayesian framework is a well-studied and successful framework for inductive reasoning, which includes hypothesis testing and confirmation, parameter estimation, sequence prediction, classification, and regression. But standard statistical guidelines for choosing the model class and prior are not always available or…
The problem of universal outlying sequence detection is studied, where the goal is to detect outlying sequences among M sequences of samples. A sequence is considered as outlying if the observations therein are generated by a distribution different from those generating the observations in the majority of the sequenc…