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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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275480107 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for unimodal likelihood

Proposes models to better represent ordinal data with non-unimodal distributions.

problem Real-world ordinal data often have non-unimodal conditional probability distributions.
method Develops approximately unimodal likelihood models to better represent non-unimodal CPDs.
result Proposed models can effectively represent both unimodal and nearly unimodal CPDs.

A new UU-test decides unimodality of datasets.

problem Deciding on the unimodality of a dataset for better data analysis.
method UU-test operates on the empirical cumulative density function (ecdf) to build a piecewise linear approximation that models the data as a Uniform Mixture Model.
result The UU-test provides a statistical model of the data in the form of a Uniform Mixture Model.

Proposes a deep ordinal regression framework using optimal transport loss and unimodal output probabilities.

problem Lack of unimodal output probabilities in recent ordinal regression models.
method Introduces a deep learning framework based on optimal transport loss and unimodal output distribution, inspired by the Proportional Odds model.
result Demonstrates improved performance and unimodal output probabilities on real-world datasets compared to existing methods.

Deep Gaussian Processes improve likelihood-free inference for complex distributions.

problem Limited flexibility of Bayesian Optimization with GPs for multimodal distributions.
method Proposes Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) as a surrogate model for likelihood-free inference.
result DGPs outperform GPs on multimodal distributions while maintaining comparable performance on unimodal cases.

Human language is a rich multimodal signal consisting of spoken words, facial expressions, body gestures, and vocal intonations. Learning representations for these spoken utterances is a complex research problem due to the presence of multiple heterogeneous sources of information. Recent advances in multimodal learning…

2019-05-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhances multimodal generation with Normalizing Flows and correlation analysis.

problem Generating coherent cross-modal data from multiple sources.
method Uses Deep Canonical Correlation Analysis for shared information, Normalizing Flows for diversity, and Product of Experts for scalability.
result Improves likelihood, diversity, and coherence in conditional generation.

Proposes a method to partition univariate data into unimodal subsets.

problem Partitioning univariate multimodal data into unimodal subsets.
method Recursive splitting around valley points of the data density using properties of critical points on the convex hull of the ecdf plot.
result Obtains a hierarchical statistical model of the initial dataset as a mixture of UMMs.

Bayesian model updating uses VAEs to approximate likelihood with small data.

problem Approximating likelihood for small data sets in structural analysis.
method Uses multimodal VAEs to approximate likelihood, suitable for high-dimensional correlated observations.
result Demonstrates computational efficiency and accuracy compared to original VAE approach.

Study on unimodality of plucking polynomial with delay function.

problem Exploring unimodality of plucking polynomial with delay function.
method Presented a formula for the plucking polynomial of hedgehog rooted trees and explored unimodality with specific delay functions.
result Found interesting examples and speculations on unimodality of plucking polynomials with delay functions.

This paper provides a new unimodality test with application in hierarchical clustering methods. The proposed method denoted by signature test (Sigtest), transforms the data based on its statistics. The transformed data has much smaller variation compared to the original data and can be evaluated in a simple proposed un…

2014-01-09abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method improves Bayesian inference for multimodal posteriors.

problem Insensitivity to well-separated modes in multimodal posteriors.
method Weighted Kernel Stein Discrepancy method.
result Significantly improved mode sensitivity compared to standard KSD-Bayes.

Optimal unimodal fitting for linear loss functions in a sequential, efficient manner.

problem Optimal unimodal transformation of univariate model scores under linear loss functions.
method Proposes a sequential approach to estimate the optimal rectangular fit for observed samples with each new sample.
result Sequential approach achieves optimal efficiency with logarithmic time complexity per iteration.

This paper strengthens the computational separation between multimodal and unimodal learning, showing unimodal learning is hard on typical instances.

problem Theoretical justification for empirical success of multimodal machine learning.
method Introduced a stronger average-case computational separation between unimodal and multimodal learning.
result For typical instances, unimodal learning is computationally hard, while multimodal learning is easy.

Unimodal sequences of moves connect 3-manifold triangulations.

problem Understanding the structure of sequences of bistellar flips.
method Examined unimodal sequences of moves that increase and decrease triangulation size.
result Proved that any two one-vertex triangulations are connected by a unimodal sequence of moves.

We classify rooted trees which have strictly unimodal q-polynomials (plucking polynomial). We also give criteria for a trapezoidal shape of a plucking polynomial. We generalize results of Pak and Panova on strict unimodality of q-binomial coefficients. We discuss which polynomials can be realized as plucking polynomial…

2016-01-14abs ↗pdf ↗

High-dimensional unimodal distributions can cause MCMC methods to fail.

problem Failure of MCMC methods in high-dimensional unimodal distributions.
method Examples and theoretical analysis of MCMC methods, including Metropolis-Hastings adjusted methods.
result MCMC methods can take an exponential run-time for high-dimensional unimodal distributions.

Synthesizes sensor likelihoods to enforce accuracy constraints in uncertain systems.

problem Designing sensing architectures for systems with uncertain or unavailable sensor models and accuracy requirements.
method Inverts the design flow, synthesizing measurement likelihoods that minimize Kullback-Leibler divergence from the prior while enforcing an accuracy bound.
result The method synthesizes a maximum-entropy posterior and induced likelihood, accommodating various discrepancy metrics.

We consider stochastic multi-armed bandits where the expected reward is a unimodal function over partially ordered arms. This important class of problems has been recently investigated in (Cope 2009, Yu 2011). The set of arms is either discrete, in which case arms correspond to the vertices of a finite graph whose stru…

2014-05-20abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper calculates bounds for risk metrics and entropies under partial information constraints.

problem Analyzing risk metrics and entropies for unimodal, symmetric distributions with limited information.
method Develops lower and upper bounds for worst-case distortion riskmetrics and weighted entropy for unimodal, symmetric distributions with known mean and variance.
result Sharp upper bounds for distortion riskmetrics and weighted entropy for symmetric distributions.

Study calculates slope gaps on polygon surfaces, finding non-unimodal distributions.

problem Understanding the distribution of slope gaps on polygon surfaces.
method Explicit computation of slope gap distributions for 2n-gons, providing bounds on non-differentiability points.
result Slope gap distributions are not always unimodal, answering a question by Athreya.

Proposes methods for local clustering in attributed graphs.

problem Finding a single cluster concentrated on a specific region in a graph.
method Introduces Graph Unimodality (GU) and Attribute Unimodality (AU) measures, and LOCLU algorithm to optimize Compactness score.
result Local cluster detected by LOCLU concentrates on the region of interest and exhibits unimodal data distribution.

Proposes new loss functions for better handling bimodal predictive uncertainty.

problem Bimodal predictive uncertainty in machine learning models.
method Family of distribution-aware loss functions integrating normalized RMSE with Wasserstein and Cramér distances.
result Proposed loss functions reduce predictive uncertainty estimation error by 45% on complex bimodal datasets.

Paper relaxes independence assumption for non-centered data.

problem Failing to account for dependencies in data leads to model failures.
method Proposes 'Kronecker-sum-structured mean' assumption to relax zero-mean requirement.
result Models with nonconvex but unimodal log-likelihoods can be solved efficiently.

Stochastic Rank-One Bandits (Katarya et al, (2017a,b)) are a simple framework for regret minimization problems over rank-one matrices of arms. The initially proposed algorithms are proved to have logarithmic regret, but do not match the existing lower bound for this problem. We close this gap by first proving that rank…

2019-12-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Probability distributions produced by the cross-entropy loss for ordinal classification problems can possess undesired properties. We propose a straightforward technique to constrain discrete ordinal probability distributions to be unimodal via the use of the Poisson and binomial probability distributions. We evaluate …

2017-05-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on financial systems using perturbed unimodal maps with heteroscedastic noise.

problem Analyzing systemic risk in financial systems using mathematical models.
method Investigation of one-dimensional unimodal maps perturbed by heteroscedastic noise, proving stability, convergence, and Lyapunov exponent continuity.
result Continuous dependence of average Lyapunov exponent on Markov chain parameters, and Gumbel's law for extreme values.

Generative Stochastic Networks (GSNs) have been recently introduced as an alternative to traditional probabilistic modeling: instead of parametrizing the data distribution directly, one parametrizes a transition operator for a Markov chain whose stationary distribution is an estimator of the data generating distributio…

2013-12-19abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm reduces regret in multi-armed bandit problems with Gaussian rewards.

problem Optimizing decisions in multi-armed bandit problems with Gaussian rewards.
method Proposed TSCG and UTSCG algorithms using Thompson Sampling with Gaussian prior.
result Achieved lower regret bounds for optimal arm selection.

Policy gradient based reinforcement learning algorithms coupled with neural networks have shown success in learning complex policies in the model free continuous action space control setting. However, explicitly parameterized policies are limited by the scope of the chosen parametric probability distribution. We show t…

2019-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

An infinite family of generalized pseudo-Anosov homeomorphisms of the sphere S is constructed, and their invariant foliations and singular orbits are described explicitly by means of generalized train tracks. The complex strucure induced by the invariant foliations is described, and is shown to make S into a complex sp…

2003-07-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Multimodal fusion is considered a key step in multimodal tasks such as sentiment analysis, emotion detection, question answering, and others. Most of the recent work on multimodal fusion does not guarantee the fidelity of the multimodal representation with respect to the unimodal representations. In this paper, we prop…

2019-08-13abs ↗pdf ↗

This work improved clustering methods by analyzing various datasets and dendrograms.

problem Avoiding false positives in clustering, especially for unimodal and bimodal data.
method Applied agglomerative clustering methods (single, average, median, complete, centroid, Ward's) to various datasets.
result Many methods detected two clusters in unimodal data, with single-linkage being more resilient.

Paper introduces clock moves for plane graphs and proves Alexander polynomial properties.

problem Alexander polynomial of plane graphs and unimodality of coefficients.
method Introduces clock moves for plane graphs and develops a spanning tree model of Alexander polynomial.
result Proves unimodal property of Alexander polynomial coefficients and confirms conjectures.

MINTS uses a minimalist Bayesian framework to tackle multi-armed bandits with structural constraints.

problem Sequential decision-making under uncertainty with complex structural constraints.
method Minimalist Bayesian framework with profile likelihood to eliminate nuisance parameters.
result MINTS achieves near-optimal regret guarantees and adapts to unimodal structure.

We find stationary distributions in a financial model with trends and mean-reversion.

problem Financial markets with competing trends and mean-reversion.
method Analytical derivation of stationary distributions in various noise and feedback regimes.
result The distributions are unimodal Gaussians in small noise, small feedback limits, but can be bimodal for stronger trends.

We propose a differentiable sigmoid function for efficient p-value calculation in clustering.

problem Efficient and accurate p-value calculation for clustering algorithms.
method Designed a differentiable sigmoid function to approximate the Dip-p-value transformation.
result Accelerates computation and integrates well with gradient descent-based learning schemes.