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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for unidirectional trust

Critiques causal reductionism in financial studies, suggesting alternative approaches.

problem Limitations of unidirectional causation in self-referencing systems like finance.
method Critical assessment of causal inference in empirical finance, using ecological models.
result Current financial tools may be limited to ex post inference, especially in reflexive contexts.

We prove a version of the Tits alternative for groups acting on complete, finite rank median spaces. This shows that group actions on finite rank median spaces are much more restricted than actions on general median spaces. Along the way, we extend to median spaces the Caprace-Sageev machinery and part of Hagen's theor…

2017-08-03abs ↗pdf ↗

New trust matrix quantifies breakdowns in deep neural networks.

problem Understanding trust breakdowns in deep learning models.
method Introduces trust matrix and conditional trust densities to analyze deep neural networks.
result Trust matrices reveal areas needing improvement for deep neural networks.

Trust-aware MAB improves learning performance by accounting for human deviation.

problem Learning performance suffers when humans deviate from recommended policies due to lack of trust.
method Integrates a dynamic trust model into MAB framework, establishing minimax regret and proposing a two-stage trust-aware procedure.
result Proves near-optimal statistical guarantees for trust-aware MAB algorithms.

Artemis framework improves distributed learning with bidirectional compression and partial participation.

problem Learning in distributed or federated settings with communication constraints and device partial participation.
method Artemis framework using bidirectional compression, memory mechanism, and Polyak-Ruppert averaging.
result Fast rates of convergence (linear up to a threshold) under weak assumptions on stochastic gradients.

Study finds transparency and model performance metrics increase trust in AutoML systems.

problem Understanding what information influences trust in AutoML systems.
method Three studies: qualitative interviews, controlled experiment, and card-sorting task.
result Transparency and model performance metrics are most important for establishing trust in AutoML systems.

Study explores fairness in financial deep learning through multi-scale trust quantification.

problem Ensuring fairness in financial deep learning models, especially under regulatory compliance.
method Conducts multi-scale trust quantification on a deep neural network for credit card default prediction.
result Demonstrates the feasibility and utility of multi-scale trust quantification for financial deep learning fairness.

Trust is a collective, self-fulfilling phenomenon that suggests analogies with phase transitions. We introduce a stylized model for the build-up and collapse of trust in networks, which generically displays a first order transition. The basic assumption of our model is that whereas trust begets trust, panic also begets…

2014-09-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a Quasi-Newton trust region method for policy optimization in reinforcement learning.

problem Lack of stepsize selection criterion and slow convergence in gradient descent for policy optimization.
method Uses a trust region method with Quasi-Newton approximation for the Hessian.
result Demonstrates improved performance and efficiency in continuous control tasks.

PRCD-MAP learns to trust imperfect priors in causal discovery, improving accuracy and robustness.

problem Tackles the brittle trade-off between blind trust and rejection of external priors in causal discovery.
method Proposes PRCD-MAP, a soft prior-consumption layer that assigns per-edge trust to imperfect priors and modulates regularization in a MAP objective.
result Enjoys a population-level safety guarantee and outperforms existing methods on real-world causal discovery tasks.

Knowing when a classifier's prediction can be trusted is useful in many applications and critical for safely using AI. While the bulk of the effort in machine learning research has been towards improving classifier performance, understanding when a classifier's predictions should and should not be trusted has received …

2018-05-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Two new algorithms solve nonconvex-strongly concave problems efficiently.

problem Solving nonconvex-strongly concave minimax problems.
method Proposed MINIMAX-TR and MINIMAX-TRACE algorithms.
result Find (ε,ε)(ε, \sqrtε)-second order stationary points within O(ε1.5)\mathcal{O}(ε^{-1.5}) iterations.

Study examines how uncertainty visualization affects analyst trust in automated classification systems.

problem The impact of uncertainty on analyst trust in automated classification systems.
method Empirical study evaluating different active learning query policies and visualizations.
result Query policy significantly influences analyst trust in automated classification systems.

AdaScale-TuRBO improves high-dimensional Bayesian optimization by dynamically scaling the GP lengthscale.

problem Inappropriate lengthscale design in TuRBO's local GP model causes suboptimal performance in high dimensions.
method Proposes AdaScale-TuRBO, which scales the GP lengthscale with both problem dimension and trust region size.
result AdaScale-TuRBO robustly outperforms standard TuRBO and other methods on synthetic and real-world tasks.

Study finds significant price declines and capital reallocation from centralized to decentralized exchanges after FTX collapse.

problem Quantifying trust dynamics and redistribution between centralized and decentralized exchanges.
method Interdisciplinary approach combining causal inference and computational text analysis.
result Significant price declines and capital reallocation from centralized to decentralized exchanges following the FTX collapse.

Study shows trust and trustworthiness emerge through reinforcement learning.

problem Trust and trustworthiness are universal but not predicted by traditional economic models.
method Used Q-learning algorithm to simulate trust and trustworthiness dynamics in a trust game.
result High levels of trust and trustworthiness emerge when individuals consider both past and future experiences.

We study the motion of a particle in the hyperbolic plane (embedded in Minkowski space), under the action of a potential that depends only on one variable. This problem is the analogous to the spherical pendulum in a unidirectional force field. However, for the discussion of the hyperbolic plane one has to distinguish …

2013-05-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Decisions by Machine Learning (ML) models have become ubiquitous. Trusting these decisions requires understanding how algorithms take them. Hence interpretability methods for ML are an active focus of research. A central problem in this context is that both the quality of interpretability methods as well as trust in ML…

2019-01-20abs ↗pdf ↗

TRUST improves tree models' accuracy while maintaining interpretability.

problem Piecewise-constant regression trees lack in predictive accuracy compared to black-box models.
method Combines Random Forest accuracy with interpretability of shallow trees and sparsity of linear models, using LLMs for explanations.
result TRUST outperforms other interpretable models in predictive accuracy and matches Random Forest's accuracy.

Proposes a new algorithm for solving optimization problems with stochastic objectives and equality constraints.

problem Optimization problems with stochastic objectives and deterministic equality constraints.
method Trust-region stochastic sequential quadratic programming (TR-StoSQP) with adaptive relaxation techniques.
result Established a global almost sure convergence guarantee for TR-StoSQP.

TROLL improves RL for LLMs by replacing clipping with a trust region projection.

problem Clipping in RL for LLMs causes instability and suboptimal performance.
method TROLL uses a discrete differentiable trust region projection to replace clipping, balancing computational cost and effectiveness.
result TROLL consistently outperforms PPO-like clipping in training speed, stability, and final success rates.

Bidirectional VAE reduces parameters and improves image tasks.

problem Improving image reconstruction, classification, interpolation, and generation.
method Uses a single neural network for both encoding and decoding in both forward and backward directions.
result Bidirectional VAEs reduce parameters by almost 50% and slightly outperform unidirectional VAEs.

Bayesian optimization tackles constrained high-dimensional problems with penalties and trust regions.

problem Constrained optimization in high-dimensional black-box settings with expensive evaluations and complex feasibility regions.
method Penalty formulation, surrogate model, trust region strategy, Expected Improvement acquisition function.
result The proposed Trust Region method identifies high-quality feasible solutions with fewer evaluations and maintains stable performance.

We propose to improve trust region policy search with normalizing flows policy. We illustrate that when the trust region is constructed by KL divergence constraints, normalizing flows policy generates samples far from the 'center' of the previous policy iterate, which potentially enables better exploration and helps av…

2018-09-27abs ↗pdf ↗

A macroeconomic model based on the economic variables (i) assets, (ii) leverage (defined as debt over asset) and (iii) trust (defined as the maximum sustainable leverage) is proposed to investigate the role of credit in the dynamics of economic growth, and how credit may be associated with both economic performance and…

2015-12-11abs ↗pdf ↗

TREGO improves EGO for global optimization of high-dimensional problems.

problem Efficient Global Optimization struggles with high dimensions and lacks theoretical guarantees.
method TREGO alternates between EGO steps and local steps within a trust region.
result TREGO outperforms EGO and other methods in black-box optimization problems.

Improved traffic forecasting model handles missing data.

problem Short-term traffic forecasting with missing values.
method Proposed SBU-LSTM architecture with bidirectional and unidirectional LSTM.
result Superior performance in accuracy and robustness for network-wide traffic prediction.

Trust lies at the crux of most economic transactions, with credit markets being a notable example. Drawing on insights from the literature on coordination games and network growth, we develop a simple model to clarify how trust breaks down in financial systems. We show how the arrival of bad news about a financial agen…

2009-11-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Report on enhancing trust in ML models with visualizations.

problem Understanding and trusting the results of black box ML models.
method Categorization of visualization techniques, statistical overview, topic analyses, and interactive web-based survey.
result Expanded categorization of trust against different facets of interactive ML.

People who design, use, and are affected by autonomous artificially intelligent agents want to be able to \emph{trust} such agents -- that is, to know that these agents will perform correctly, to understand the reasoning behind their actions, and to know how to use them appropriately. Many techniques have been devised …

2017-11-08abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper improves privacy in federated learning without a trusted server.

problem Privacy in federated learning with silos that distrust each other.
method Introduces Inter-Silo Record-Level Differential Privacy (ISRL-DP) and accelerated algorithms for convex and smooth losses.
result Achieves optimal privacy and accuracy tradeoffs in federated learning.

As technology become more advanced, those who design, use and are otherwise affected by it want to know that it will perform correctly, and understand why it does what it does, and how to use it appropriately. In essence they want to be able to trust the systems that are being designed. In this survey we present assura…

2017-08-01abs ↗pdf ↗