The study examines robust decision-making in volatile financial markets, finding action robustness is more impactful than uncertainty tolerance.
problem Sequential decision making in high-frequency markets under evolving uncertainty.
method Analyzes two dimensions of robustness: uncertainty tolerance and action robustness, using simulations and empirical evidence.
result Action robustness has a larger impact on profitability than uncertainty tolerance, and excessive robustness can reduce profitability in illiquid markets.
Wasserstein active regression improves estimation precision.
problem Improving regression model accuracy through active learning.
method Combines Wasserstein distance and GroupSort Neural Networks for uncertainty quantification.
result Wasserstein active regression often provides more precise estimations.
Study on AI-driven modeling for high burnup accident-tolerant fuels in SMRs.
problem Design and optimization of high burnup accident-tolerant fuels for SMRs.
method Artificial intelligence and multi-scale modeling (neutronics, thermal hydraulics, fuel performance).
result Demonstrated the effectiveness of AI in modeling and optimizing SMR fuels.
New algorithm optimizes noisy, potentially corrupted functions.
problem Optimizing unknown functions with noisy bandit feedback, especially when evaluations are corrupted.
method Fast-Slow GP-UCB algorithm, combining robust and non-robust evaluations, enlarged confidence bounds.
result Theoretical analysis upper bounds cumulative regret, showing dependencies on corruption level and kernel.
Proposes methods for online conformal prediction with nested prediction sets across multiple confidence levels.
problem Need for uncertainty quantification with multiple confidence levels in diverse applications.
method Online optimization perspective to enforce nestedness of prediction sets while controlling quantile estimation error.
result Achieves stable coverage across all levels, strictly nested prediction sets, and improved efficiency.
Unified control theory and machine learning for safety in uncertain systems.
problem Safety guarantees for systems with measurement model uncertainty.
method Measurement-Robust Control Barrier Functions (MR-CBFs) for control synthesis.
result MR-CBFs ensure safety in perception systems with measurement model uncertainty.
TAD efficiently finds optimal settings for advanced manufacturing.
problem Optimizing high-dimensional process control parameters for optimal design features.
method TAD uses Gaussian process surrogate models and optimizes log-predictive likelihood to find optimal settings.
result TAD efficiently locates optimal settings with quantified uncertainty.
Cross-regularization adapts model complexity during training.
problem Manual tuning of model complexity for overfitting prevention.
method Directly adapts regularization parameters through validation gradients during training.
result Organic emergence of architecture-specific regularization during training.
This research assesses uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis for DTs in nuclear fuel performance.
problem Understanding the reliability and performance of advanced nuclear fuels using DTs.
method Introduces ML-based uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis methods applied to BISON fuel performance code.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of DTs in multi-criteria decision-making for nuclear fuel performance.
We introduce a differential geometric framework for describing families of quantum error-correcting codes and for understanding quantum fault tolerance. This work unifies the notion of topological fault tolerance with fault tolerance in other kinds of quantum error-correcting codes. In particular, we use fibre bundles …
Environmental stresses such as drought and heat can cause substantial yield loss in agriculture. As such, hybrid crops that are tolerant to drought and heat stress would produce more consistent yields compared to the hybrids that are not tolerant to these stresses. In the 2019 Syngenta Crop Challenge, Syngenta released…
A new reward shaping method balances learning efficiency and effectiveness for robot manipulation.
problem Efficient and effective learning in robot manipulations with system uncertainty.
method Dense2Sparse reward shaping method combining dense and sparse rewards.
result Dense2Sparse method achieves higher expected reward and better system uncertainty tolerance.
Bayesian Robust Optimization for Imitation Learning (BROIL) balances risk and reward.
problem Learning robust policies for new states in imitation learning.
method Bayesian reward function inference and user-specific risk tolerance.
result BROIL outperforms risk-sensitive and risk-neutral algorithms.
Model selection in clustering requires (i) to specify a suitable clustering principle and (ii) to control the model order complexity by choosing an appropriate number of clusters depending on the noise level in the data. We advocate an information theoretic perspective where the uncertainty in the measurements quantize…
Selective prediction framework reduces errors in molecular structure identification from MS/MS.
problem High-stakes applications require reliable molecular structure identification from MS/MS data.
method Selective prediction framework using risk-coverage tradeoff and uncertainty quantification.
result First-order confidence measures and retrieval-level aleatoric uncertainty achieve strong risk-coverage tradeoffs.
Gaussian Processes (GPs) are widely employed in control and learning because of their principled treatment of uncertainty. However, tracking uncertainty for iterative, multi-step predictions in general leads to an analytically intractable problem. While approximation methods exist, they do not come with guarantees, mak…
Study examines how risk tolerance impacts long-term investment returns.
problem Understanding the impact of risk tolerance on investment returns over time.
method Used Malliavin calculus and Hansen--Scheinkman decomposition.
result Risk aversion affects long-term investment utility through eigenvalues and eigenfunctions.
We analyze the adversarial examples problem in terms of a model's fault tolerance with respect to its input. Whereas previous work focuses on arbitrarily strict threat models, i.e., ε-perturbations, we consider arbitrary valid inputs and propose an information-based characteristic for evaluating tolerance to diverse …
Framework for private, noise-tolerant, and efficient learning algorithms.
problem Private and efficient learning of large-margin halfspaces in noisy environments.
method Simple framework using differential privacy and noise tolerance conditions.
result Noise-tolerant and private PAC learners for large-margin halfspaces with sample complexity independent of dimension.
Fault-tolerant neural networks inspired by biological error correction codes.
problem Achieving reliable computation with unreliable neurons.
method Using biological error correction codes from grid cells in the mammalian cortex to develop a fault-tolerant neural network.
result Noisy biological neurons operate below a fault-tolerance threshold, suggesting a mechanism for reliable computation in the brain.
A novel dose-finding design for cancer clinical trials using level set estimation.
problem Finding the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) in phase I cancer clinical trials.
method Proposes a novel dose-finding design based on level set estimation (LSE) to determine the next dose.
result The proposed LSE design achieves higher accuracy in estimating the MTD and lower risk of overdosing compared to existing designs.
JAWS audits predictive uncertainty under covariate shift using jackknife+ weighted methods.
problem Auditing predictive uncertainty under data distribution shifts.
method JAW and JAWA methods for distribution-free uncertainty quantification.
result JAW relaxes the jackknife+'s assumption of data exchangeability for covariate shift.
DRO optimizes decisions under uncertain distributions, considering worst-case scenarios.
problem Optimizing decisions when the distribution of uncertainties is itself uncertain.
method Defines ambiguity sets and seeks decisions optimal under the worst-case distribution.
result DRO models can be connected to regularization techniques and machine learning.
Paper addresses fault-tolerance in distributed machine learning with stochastic gradient descent.
problem Fault-tolerance in distributed stochastic gradient descent (D-SGD) for machine learning.
method Proposes norm-based comparative gradient elimination (CGE) to robustify D-SGD against Byzantine faulty agents.
result CGE guarantees fault-tolerance against a bounded fraction of Byzantine agents under standard stochastic assumptions.
A new reinforcement learning framework separates users into risk-tolerant and risk-averse groups for better performance.
problem Improving performance for risk-averse users in reinforcement learning.
method Introducing a tiered reinforcement learning approach with two policies: πextO and πextE. result Achieving constant regret for risk-averse users, independent of the number of episodes.
This paper reviews quantum machine learning from NISQ to fault tolerance.
problem The challenges and opportunities in quantum machine learning.
method Comprehensive review of quantum machine learning concepts.
result Coverage of NISQ and fault-tolerant quantum computing approaches.
Paper introduces Lambda EVaR, a new risk measure.
problem Risk management, especially in finance.
method Lambda extension of Rényi entropic value-at-risk (Λ-EVaR). Defines properties and provides axiomatic characterization.
result Λ-EVaR bridges adaptive risk tolerance and moment-sensitive risk assessment.
Recently, new defense techniques have been developed to tolerate Byzantine failures for distributed machine learning. The Byzantine model captures workers that behave arbitrarily, including malicious and compromised workers. In this paper, we break two prevailing Byzantine-tolerant techniques. Specifically we show robu…
Methods for prediction and tolerance intervals in non-normal models.
problem Constructing prediction and tolerance intervals for non-normal data.
method Two approaches: pivotal quantity approximation and confidence interval for mean.
result Intuitive, simple, efficient methods with proper operating characteristics.
Gradient codes adapt to varying straggler counts in distributed learning.
problem Mitigating slow worker nodes (stragglers) in distributed machine learning.
method Proposes a flexible gradient coding scheme that concatenates codes for different straggler tolerances, adapting to actual straggler counts.
result Significantly lower latency compared to fixed-tolerance gradient codes.
New method learns robustly with less data, bridging theory and practice.
problem Adversarial robust learning with metric perturbation.
method Tolerant adversarial PAC-learning with perturb-and-smooth approach and compression-based algorithm.
result First PAC-type guarantees for popular adversarial learning techniques.
The study formalizes temporal precision and recall for anomaly detection in sequences.
problem Insufficient understanding of precision and recall in sequential anomaly detection.
method Formalized temporal precision and recall measures, developed time-tolerant confusion matrices, and demonstrated statistical significance.
result Precision and recall may overestimate performance with temporal tolerance.
We develop and evaluate tolerance interval methods for dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) that can provide more detailed prognostic information to patients who will follow an estimated optimal regime. Although the problem of constructing confidence intervals for DTRs has been extensively studied, prediction and tolerance…
New method reduces sample complexity for robust learning.
problem Developing simple, sample-efficient learning algorithms for robust classification.
method Tolerant empirical risk minimization (RERM) for robust learning.
result Tolerant RERM requires only O(VC(H)dlog(D/γδ)/ε^2) samples for robustness regions of diameter D.
Neural network compression methods have enabled deploying large models on emerging edge devices with little cost, by adapting already-trained models to the constraints of these devices. The rapid development of AI-capable edge devices with limited computation and storage requires streamlined methodologies that can effi…
Split conformal prediction provides finite-sample guarantees for black-box models without distributional assumptions.
problem Weak performance guarantees for modern predictive models under minimal assumptions.
method Develops finite-sample guarantees for split conformal prediction, a method that uses nested prediction sets and order statistics.
result The coverage of prediction sets based on order statistics stochastically dominates the Beta distribution.
Study efficient learning of halfspaces with constant noise tolerance.
problem Learning halfspaces in the presence of both instance and label corruption.
method Develops an algorithm to minimize reweighted hinge loss for robustness.
result Achieves constant noise tolerance for halfspace learning.
In real-world applications of reinforcement learning (RL), noise from inherent stochasticity of environments is inevitable. However, current policy evaluation algorithms, which plays a key role in many RL algorithms, are either prone to noise or inefficient. To solve this issue, we introduce a novel policy evaluation a…
New algorithm quantifies uncertainty in regression models for complex data types.
problem Uncertainty quantification in regression models for complex data types.
method Model-free uncertainty quantification algorithm based on conditional depth measures and kernel mean embeddings.
result Provides faster convergence rates and non-asymptotic guarantees for prediction regions.
Model shows how heterogeneity in strategies and risk tolerance affects financial market stability.
problem Understanding how heterogeneity impacts financial market dynamics.
method Agent-based model incorporating heterogeneous investment strategies and risk tolerance.
result Heterogeneity in strategies and risk tolerance suppresses price fluctuations.
SignSGD improves distributed learning by tolerating faulty devices, including Byzantine adversaries.
problem Faulty devices, including Byzantine adversaries, disrupt convergence in distributed learning.
method Developed SignSGD from SGD, proving its robustness to Byzantine adversaries with upper bound convergence rate.
result SignSGD converges in the presence of Byzantine adversaries, providing a fault-tolerant solution.
This study optimizes energy storage scheduling under price uncertainty, balancing risk and reward.
problem Optimizing energy storage operation under price uncertainty and risk.
method Two-stage stochastic risk-constrained approach using conditional value-at-risk.
result Increasing risk aversion leads to substantial benefits in terms of risk reduction and expected reward.
ADGAN improves risk tolerance prediction by aligning cross-domain data.
problem Lack of professional knowledge and domain-specific models in risk tolerance studies.
method Asymmetric cross-Domain Generative Adversarial Network (ADGAN) for domain scale inequality.
result ADGAN better handles class imbalance and unqualified data than state-of-the-art methods.
We consider the problem of engineering robust direct perception neural networks with output being regression. Such networks take high dimensional input image data, and they produce affordances such as the curvature of the upcoming road segment or the distance to the front vehicle. Our proposal starts by allowing a neur…
We focus in this paper on dataset reduction techniques for use in k-nearest neighbor classification. In such a context, feature and prototype selections have always been independently treated by the standard storage reduction algorithms. While this certifying is theoretically justified by the fact that each subproblem …
New insights into distribution testing with tolerance.
problem Tolerant distribution testing in the intermediate regime.
method Characterization of sample complexity as a function of n, ε1, and ε2. result Smooth tradeoff between sample complexity and the ratio ε1/ε22. Algorithms optimize fair portfolios for diverse risk-tolerant consumers.
problem Designing fair portfolios for consumers with varying risk tolerances.
method Two-player zero-sum game-based algorithms for optimal and near-optimal portfolio design.
result Efficient algorithms for fair portfolio design with and without group structure assumptions.
We consider distributed on-device learning with limited communication and security requirements. We propose a new robust distributed optimization algorithm with efficient communication and attack tolerance. The proposed algorithm has provable convergence and robustness under non-IID settings. Empirical results show tha…