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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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2875748611,148 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for uncertain data visualization

The study evaluates different probability models for uncertainty visualization using entropy calculations.

problem Choosing the right probability model affects memory use, run time, and accuracy in uncertainty visualization.
method Entropy calculation on ensemble data to compare various probability models (uniform, Gaussian, histogram, quantile).
result Models matching the ensemble data distribution have the lowest entropy, indicating better accuracy.

Paper speeds up visualization of uncertain data.

problem High computational cost in reconstructing data uncertainties.
method Subdivide data spatially, adaptively reconstructing only necessary values, using GPR kernel and saved data observations to estimate upper bounds for level-crossing probabilities.
result Accurate estimation of value occurrence probabilities with low computation cost.

Interactive steering improves hierarchical clustering for diverse user needs.

problem Existing hierarchical clustering methods fail to meet diverse user needs.
method Knowledge-driven and data-driven constraints, interactive steering through a visual interface.
result Facilitates the building of customized clustering trees efficiently and effectively.

TIE framework detects out-of-distribution samples and estimates uncertainty without external datasets.

problem Detecting and estimating uncertainty for out-of-distribution samples in neural networks.
method TIE framework extends a classifier to an (n+1)-class model, iteratively refining through training, inversion, and exclusion.
result Unified and interpretable framework for robust anomaly detection and calibrated uncertainty estimation.

Bayesian Gaussian process models handle uncertain data locations in PDE approximations.

problem Handling uncertainties in data locations for PDE approximations.
method Bayesian inference of uncertain inputs integrated into Gaussian process predictions.
result Substantial reduction in predictive uncertainties achieved through Bayesian inference.

The paper tackles robust control with uncertain dependence using data-driven methods.

problem Nonparametric robust control under dependence uncertainty in multi-period stochastic systems.
method Nonparametric adaptive robust control framework using stochastic gradient descent ascent algorithm.
result The controller benefits from knowing more about the uncertain model.

This paper improves learning uncertain Bayesian networks from incomplete data.

problem Learning conditional probabilities in Bayesian networks with limited data.
method Develops methods to estimate and quantify uncertainty in conditional probabilities with incomplete data.
result Improves state-of-the-art approaches for handling uncertain Bayesian networks with incomplete data.

Federated learning uses worst-case optimization to handle uncertain local data impacts.

problem Handling uncertainty in local data sets in federated learning.
method Reformulate FL problem using worst-case optimization theory, considering local data as uncertain functions bounded in a closed region.
result Comparison of FL performance with centralized learning and application of regularization factors.

The paper explores how to handle uncertain evidence in probabilistic models.

problem Handling uncertain evidence in probabilistic models and stochastic simulators.
method The paper considers distributional evidence, Jeffrey's rule, and virtual evidence as methods for interpreting uncertain evidence.
result The paper provides guidelines on how to account for uncertain evidence and highlights the importance of careful consideration.

Paper proposes online optimization for uncertain systems using machine learning and DRO.

problem Optimization of uncertain dynamical systems with distributional uncertainty.
method Combines machine learning with Distributional Robust Optimization (DRO) to handle uncertainty.
result Online solutions with probabilistic regret bounds for uncertain systems.

New clustering method for uncertain data using Wasserstein barycenters.

problem Clustering uncertain and structured data with observational/experimental error.
method Wasserstein barycenters and geodesic criterion for optimal clustering.
result Effective clustering of complex data in astronomy, biology, and remote sensing.

For autonomous vehicles (AVs) to behave appropriately on roads populated by human-driven vehicles, they must be able to reason about the uncertain intentions and decisions of other drivers from rich perceptual information. Towards these capabilities, we present a probabilistic forecasting model of future interactions b…

2019-05-03abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, within the framework of uncertainty theory, the valuation of equity warrants is investigated. Different from the methods of probability theory, the equity warrants pricing problem is solved by using the method of uncertain calculus. Based on the assumption that the firm price follows an uncertain differe…

2017-11-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Quantum methods model uncertain volatility in financial markets.

problem Modeling financial asset prices with uncertain volatility.
method Quantum stochastic calculus with unitary and non-unitary time evolution.
result Different volatility levels encoded in quantum states, leading to varied market price evolutions.

New model predicts dynamic volatility in uncertain financial markets.

problem Predicting dynamic volatility in financial markets with uncertainty.
method Generalized Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard (BN-S) model considering delay and fuzziness.
result Effective prediction of dynamic volatility with improved performance.

GPMI method interpolates uncertain atrial conduction velocity on non-Euclidean manifolds.

problem Uncertainty in atrial conduction velocity calculations.
method Gaussian Process Manifold Interpolation (GPMI) on human atrial manifolds.
result GPMI accounts for atrial topology and calculates CV uncertainty.

A machine learning approach to compute Black-Scholes prices with uncertain volatility.

problem Approximating financial markets with continuous-time models like Black-Scholes when data is discrete.
method Generalized Polynomial Chaos (gPC) method combined with a machine learning technique called Bi-Fidelity.
result Efficient numerical method to quantify uncertainty in derivative pricing.

Proposes a spectral method to assess and combine multiple data visualizations.

problem Evaluating and combining the strengths of different data visualization algorithms.
method Spectral method for assessing and combining multiple visualizations.
result Proposes a visualization eigenscore to quantify relative performance and a consensus visualization.

New algorithm for reinforcement learning in uncertain environments with unknown thresholds.

problem Safety in reinforcement learning in unknown and uncertain environments.
method Growing-Window estimator sampling and Stochastic Pessimistic-Optimistic Thresholding (SPOT) algorithm.
result Achieves sublinear regret and constraint violation of ildeO(T) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{T}).

Mining discriminative features for graph data has attracted much attention in recent years due to its important role in constructing graph classifiers, generating graph indices, etc. Most measurement of interestingness of discriminative subgraph features are defined on certain graphs, where the structure of graph objec…

2013-01-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on learning strategies in matching markets with uncertain preferences.

problem Decision-making in scarcity of shared resources with unknown agent preferences.
method Representation of preferences in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space, learning algorithm for uncertainty.
result Optimal strategies derived to maximize agents' expected payoffs, with stability and fairness properties.

Bayesian optimisation (BO) has been a successful approach to optimise functions which are expensive to evaluate and whose observations are noisy. Classical BO algorithms, however, do not account for errors about the location where observations are taken, which is a common issue in problems with physical components. In …

2019-02-21abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper discusses the role of risk communication in macroprudential oversight and of visualization in risk communication. Beyond the soar in data availability and precision, the transition from firm-centric to system-wide supervision imposes vast data needs. Moreover, except for internal communication as in any orga…

2014-04-17abs ↗pdf ↗

A method for accurate pricing of multidimensional derivatives under uncertain volatility.

problem High-dimensional stochastic control problem in uncertain volatility model.
method Backward actor-critic stochastic policy gradient scheme combining DP, PPO, and neural networks.
result Accurate and efficient pricing of multidimensional derivatives compared to benchmarks.

The paper addresses portfolio allocation with uncertain covariance matrices, finding a logarithmic risk dependence.

problem Portfolio allocation with uncertain covariance matrices.
method Calculates the expected value of CARA utility function over a distribution of covariance matrices, considering uncertainty in future returns and covariances.
result Marginalization introduces a logarithmic dependence on risk, leading to lower allocation levels for higher uncertainties.

Framework for games with uncertain parameters, ensuring no player can improve by changing strategy.

problem Non-cooperative games with globally uncertain parameters and no common prior.
method Mixed strategies and subjective priors, Extended Equilibrium defined by fixed-point argument.
result Existence of Extended Equilibrium under certain conditions.

Consensus dimension reduction combines multiple visualizations to identify shared patterns.

problem Conflicting visualizations from different dimension reduction methods.
method Multi-view learning to identify stable patterns across multiple views.
result Consensus visualization effectively identifies shared low-dimensional data structure.

Bayesian filtering optimizes portfolio weights over time with uncertain parameters.

problem Optimizing portfolios over long periods with unknown parameters.
method Bayesian filtering through dynamic linear models for dynamic parameter estimation.
result Bayesian updating improves portfolio performance and is practical.