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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,978 papers · 148 categories

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109219328437 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for two-step process

A conjugate Bayesian method detects change points in Hawkes processes efficiently.

problem Non-conjugacy between Hawkes process likelihood and prior causes inefficiency in change point detection.
method Data augmentation to propose a conjugate Bayesian two-step change point detection method.
result The conjugate method is more accurate and efficient than non-conjugate methods.

We consider evaluation methods for payoffs with an inherent financial risk as encountered for instance for portfolios held by pension funds and insurance companies. Pricing such payoffs in a way consistent to market prices typically involves combining actuarial techniques with methods from mathematical finance. We prop…

2011-09-08abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper extends two-step homogeneous geodesics to homogeneous Finsler spaces.

problem Extending two-step homogeneous geodesics to Finsler spaces.
method Providing sufficient conditions for (α,β)(α,β) spaces and decomposable cubic spaces to have two-step Finsler geodesic orbit spaces.
result Presented examples of two-step Finsler geodesic orbit spaces.

We consider a method popular in the literature of associating a two-step nilpotent Lie algebra with a finite simple graph. We prove that the two-step nilpotent Lie algebras associated with two graphs are Lie isomorphic if and only if the graphs from which they arise are isomorphic.

2013-10-12abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper merges deterministic policy gradient estimations to improve deep reinforcement learning performance.

problem The bias-variance tradeoff in estimating and using policy gradients for deep reinforcement learning.
method Introduces elite policy gradients and a two-step merging method to balance bias-variance tradeoffs.
result Two-step merging outperforms interpolation merging and state-of-the-art algorithms on benchmark control tasks.

New method improves wind and solar energy forecasts by 48 hours.

problem Volatility of wind and solar energy makes accurate forecasts difficult.
method Two-step machine learning approach to calibrate ensemble forecasts.
result Statistical post-processing improves forecast skill by at least 48 hours.

Paper introduces new actuarial-consistent valuations for insurance liabilities.

problem Valuation of insurance liabilities considering both financial and actuarial risks.
method Proposes two-step actuarial valuations and actuarial-consistent procedures.
result Actuarial-consistent valuations are equivalent to two-step actuarial valuations under coherence.

We study time-consistency questions for processes of monetary risk measures that depend on bounded discrete-time processes describing the evolution of financial values. The time horizon can be finite or infinite. We call a process of monetary risk measures time-consistent if it assigns to a process of financial values …

2004-10-21abs ↗pdf ↗

A new training method improves stability and generalization of DeepONets.

problem Training deep operator networks (DeepONets) is challenging due to nonconvex and nonlinear nature.
method Two-step training method: first train trunk network, then branch network. Introduced Gram-Schmidt orthonormalization.
result Generalization error estimate and numerical examples demonstrating effectiveness.

Proves conjecture about compatible SKT and balanced metrics on compact solvmanifolds.

problem Compact complex manifolds with both SKT and balanced metrics.
method Shear construction and classification of two-step solvable Lie algebras.
result Proves conjecture for compact two-step solvmanifolds with invariant complex structures.

A Riemannian Einstein solvmanifold (possibly, any noncompact homogeneous Einstein space) is almost completely determined by the nilradical of its Lie algebra. A nilpotent Lie algebra, which can serve as the nilradical of an Einstein metric solvable Lie algebra, is called an Einstein nilradical. Despite a substantial pr…

2008-05-06abs ↗pdf ↗

A two-step nonparametric method estimates financial systemic risk.

problem Estimating CoVaR due to unobservability of multivariate-quantiles.
method Two-step nonparametric approach using Monte-Carlo simulation and kernel method.
result Consistency and asymptotic normality of the two-step estimator established.

Two-step conformal prediction method for adaptive bounding box uncertainties in multi-object detection.

problem Quantifying predictive uncertainty for multi-object detection in safety-critical applications.
method Developed a two-step conformal prediction approach to propagate uncertainty in predicted class labels into bounding box uncertainties, ensuring coverage for incorrectly classified objects.
result Desired coverage levels are satisfied with practically tight predictive uncertainty intervals on real-world datasets.

The paper discusses a new method for constructing two-step Darboux transforms of isothermic surfaces.

problem Constructing two-step Darboux transforms of isothermic surfaces.
method Sym-type construction using parallel sections of the associated family.
result All two-step Darboux transforms of an isothermic surface are given without further integration.

A new Bayesian method optimizes time-dependent expensive functions with lookahead.

problem Maximizing a time-dependent, expensive oracle with limited evaluations.
method Recursive, two-step lookahead expected payoff (r2LEY) acquisition function.
result r2LEY outperforms myopic methods in synthetic and real-world datasets.

New method estimates spatial weights matrix for lattice data, improving prediction accuracy.

problem Estimating spatial dependence structure for regular lattice data.
method Adaptive lasso with cross-sectional resampling to estimate sparse spatial weights matrix.
result Improves prediction accuracy of nitrogen dioxide concentrations.

The paper extends risk measures to two-step approximations and studies log-concave distributions.

problem Extending classical risk measures to two-step approximations.
method Optimization problem for determining optimal regime thresholds and values for log-concave distributions.
result Conditions for the uniqueness of regime changing in log-concave distributions.

The paper studies time-optimal problems on specific Lie groups, describing orbits and integrals.

problem Time-optimal control problems on two-step Carnot groups.
method Description of co-adjoint orbits, Casimir functions, and integrals for the Hamiltonian system.
result Characterization of the flow and constancy of solutions for two-dimensional co-adjoint orbits.

The paper develops a neural network-based method for detecting change points in large-scale time-evolving data.

problem Detecting and locating change points in multivariate time-evolving data.
method Two-step procedure involving neural network training and test error function calibration over moving windows.
result Consistent estimates for the number and locations of change points under temporal dependence.

The paper discusses polynomial convergence to conical Kähler-Einstein metrics.

problem Understanding the convergence of Kähler-Einstein metrics to conical structures.
method Two-step degeneration theory and algebraic singularity analysis.
result Singular Kähler-Einstein metrics are conical if curvature grows quadratically near a point.

New methods use vector search and nearest-neighbor matching for policy learning in causal inference.

problem Learning optimal policies in causal inference with limited data.
method RAG-based policy learning with vector search and nearest-neighbor matching.
result The methods bound the within-candidate choice regret and evaluate the one-step method directly as a policy.

New method estimates volatility for Lévy processes with unbounded jumps efficiently.

problem Efficient estimation of volatility for Lévy processes with unbounded jumps.
method Developed a new estimator based on high-order expansions of truncated moments.
result Method outperforms existing alternatives in estimating volatility.

Patch priors have become an important component of image restoration. A powerful approach in this category of restoration algorithms is the popular Expected Patch Log-Likelihood (EPLL) algorithm. EPLL uses a Gaussian mixture model (GMM) prior learned on clean image patches as a way to regularize degraded patches. In th…

2018-02-05abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method for accurately reconstructing signals without knowing the kernel or signal regularity.

problem Recovering signals from noisy measurements without prior knowledge of the convolution kernel or signal regularity.
method Parametrizing the convolution kernel and prior length-scales, jointly estimated in the inversion procedure.
result Accurate reconstructions of signals with varying regularity and unknown kernel size.

Surface parameterizations have been widely used in computer graphics and geometry processing. In particular, as simply-connected open surfaces are conformally equivalent to the unit disk, it is desirable to compute the disk conformal parameterizations of the surfaces. In this paper, we propose a novel algorithm for the…

2014-08-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficiently optimizes constrained problems with two-step lookahead BO.

problem Optimizing constrained problems with limited computational resources.
method Two-step lookahead Bayesian optimization with inequality constraints, using a novel unbiased gradient estimator.
result Significantly improves query efficiency over previous methods.