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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,341 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for twenty over

Advanced forecasting models outperform Holt-Winters and ARIMA for stock market data.

problem Forecasting stock market data with improved accuracy.
method Developed 24 two-parameter families of forecasting functions using a nonparametric approach.
result Our models outperform Holt-Winters and ARIMA in terms of lower sum of absolute errors and higher number of accurate forecasts.

Physicists believe, with some justification, that there should be a correspondence between familiar properties of Newtonian gravity and properties of solutions of the Einstein equations. The Positive Mass Theorem (PMT), first proved over twenty years ago \cite{SchoenYau79b,Witten81}, is a remarkable testament to this f…

2003-04-18abs ↗pdf ↗

The strong symmetric genus of a finite group is the minimum genus of a compact Riemann surface on which the group acts as a group of automorphisms preserving orientation. A characterization of the infinite number of groups with strong symmetric genus zero and one is well-known and the problem is finite for each strong …

2011-03-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Summarizes key algorithmic trading problems and recent advances.

problem Optimal execution, placement, and price impact in algorithmic trading.
method Discusses recent advances in algorithmic trading using Machine Learning techniques.
result Recent progress in algorithmic trading includes the use of Deep Learning, Reinforcement Learning, and Generative Adversarial Networks.

Framework evaluates medical image classification methods using a probabilistic model and a Twenty Questions paradigm.

problem Lack of detailed understanding of how machine learning methods make decisions in medical imaging.
method Inspired by the Turing Test, uses a probabilistic model and a Twenty Questions paradigm to evaluate classification methods based on task-specific concepts.
result Probabilistic model exposes dataset and method biases, reducing the number of queries needed for confident performance evaluation.

LES reduces over-exploration in LSO, improving solution quality.

problem Over-exploration in LSO leads to unrealistic solutions.
method LES uses a decoder's approximation of the data distribution to mitigate over-exploration.
result LES enhances solution quality while maintaining high objective values.

We consider self-dual metrics on 3CP^2 of positive scalar curvature admitting a non-trivial Killing field, but which is not conformally isometric to LeBrun's metrics. Firstly, we determine defining equations of the twistor spaces of such self-dual metrics. Next we prove that conversely, the complex threefolds defined b…

2004-03-31abs ↗pdf ↗

This work is an introduction to the local geometric theory of Veronese webs developed in the last twenty years. Among the different possible approach, here one has chosen the point of view of differential forms. Moreover, in order to make its reading easier, this text is self-contained in which directly regards Verones…

2010-01-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Let DD be a Riemannian 2-disc of area AA, diameter dd and length of the boundary LL. We prove that it is possible to contract the boundary of DD through curves of length L+200dmax{1,lnAd}\leq L + 200d\max\{1,\ln {\sqrt{A}\over d} \}. This answers a twenty-year old question of S. Frankel and M. Katz, a version of which was asked …

2012-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

A simplified model shows how wealth distribution can be derived from random exchanges.

problem Understanding wealth inequality and its distribution over time.
method Stylized random exchange model, Markov chain, discrete and continuous stochastic processes, Boltzmann-type kinetic equations.
result Existence of equilibrium distribution in the stylized model.

Twenty years ago Gromov asked about how large is the set of isomorphism classes of groups whose systolic area is bounded from above. This article introduces a new combinatorial invariant for finitely presentable groups called {\it simplicial complexity} that allows to obtain a quite satisfactory answer to his question.…

2015-01-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Model predicts risk-adjusted returns across various financial markets.

problem Stationary models fail in predicting risk-adjusted returns due to market regime changes.
method Asset-independent regime-switching model using hidden Markov models.
result Accurately detects bull, bear, and high volatility periods for improved risk-adjusted returns.

The economy globalization measure problem is discussed. Four macroeconomic indices of twenty among the "richest" countries are examined. Four types of "distances" are calculated.Two types of networks are next constructed for each distance measure definition. It is shown that the globalization process can be best charac…

2009-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Makeev proved that among centrally symmetric four-dimensional polytopes, with more than twenty facets and circumscribed about the Euclidean ball of diameter one, there is no universal cover for the family of unit diameter sets. In this paper we examine the converse problem, and prove that each centrally symmetric polyt…

2010-07-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The choice of admissible trading strategies in mathematical modelling of financial markets is a delicate issue, going back to Harrison and Kreps (1979). In the context of optimal portfolio selection with expected utility preferences this question has been a focus of considerable attention over the last twenty years. We…

2009-10-20abs ↗pdf ↗

MEMGAN uses memory to improve anomaly detection by isolating abnormal data.

problem Weak guarantees for detecting anomalous data in classical algorithms.
method Memory-augmented Generative Adversarial Networks (MEMGAN) with a memory module.
result MEMGAN provides strong guarantees for anomaly detection with improved reconstruction.

HIRM models noisy, sparse, heterogeneous relational data using hierarchical clustering and Dirichlet processes.

problem Modeling noisy, sparse, and heterogeneous relational data.
method Hierarchical Chinese restaurant process and Dirichlet process mixture for clustering and modeling relation values.
result HIRM generalizes standard models and discovers relational structure in real-world datasets.

Algorithmic trading systems on DEXs reject most candidate tokens, but the counterfactual outcome of rejected candidates is rarely measured.

problem Measuring the counterfactual outcome of rejected tokens in algorithmic trading systems on decentralized exchanges.
method Post-Rejection Follow-up Sampling (PRFS) introduces a methodology for collecting and analyzing the data needed to evaluate filter precision against actual market outcomes of rejected candidates.
result PRFS produces the data needed to evaluate filter precision against actual market outcomes of rejected candidates, not against synthetic backtest reconstructions.

Paper proposes a new embedding method for face verification and clustering.

problem Unconstrained face verification remains challenging.
method Coupling deep CNN with triplet probability constraints for low-dimensional embedding.
result The proposed method outperforms state-of-the-art methods in verification and identification metrics.

The Hull-White one factor model is used to price interest rate options. The parameters of the model are often calibrated to simple liquid instruments, in particular European swaptions. It is therefore very important to have very efficient pricing formula for simple instruments. Such a formula is proposed here for Europ…

2009-01-13abs ↗pdf ↗

EGPR method forecasts power grid load and generation with high accuracy.

problem Accurate week-long forecasting of load demand and power generation for efficient power grid operation.
method Gaussian process regression with ensembles of preceding weeks' data.
result EGPR method outperforms traditional methods in forecasting weekly load and generation.

Econophysics is a new research field, which makes an attempt to bring economics in the fold of natural sciences or specifically attempts for a "physics of economics". The term Econophysics was formally born in Kolkata in 1995. The entry on Econophysics in The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 2nd Ed., Vol 2, Macmil…

2010-10-17abs ↗pdf ↗

By proving precisely which singularity index lists arise from the pair of invariant foliations for a pseudo-Anosov surface homeomorphism, Masur and Smillie determined a Teichmüller flow invariant stratification of the space of quadratic differentials. In this final paper of a three-paper series, we give a first step to…

2013-01-29abs ↗pdf ↗

In an orientable surface with boundary, free homotopy classes of curves on surfaces are in one to one correspondence with cyclic reduced words in a set of standard generators of the fundamental group. The combinatorial length of a class is the number of letters of the corresponding word. The self-intersection of a free…

2010-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper disproves a theorem about Kauffman bracket skein module structure.

problem Disproving a 22-year-old theorem about Kauffman bracket skein module structure.
method Analyzing handle slidings on compressing discs in handlebodies.
result More relations found than previously predicted for connected sum of handlebodies.