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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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1234 · Apr 202419922001200920172026
48 results for true-positive-rate

New method improves false-/true-positive-rate estimation in fraud detection with noisy labels.

problem Estimating FPR/TPR in fraud detection with class-conditional label noise.
method Directly cleaning model's validation data to de-correlate cleaning error with model scores.
result Improves accuracy of FPR/TPR estimates, especially in asymmetric label noise scenarios.

We address the problem of non-parametric multiple model comparison: given ll candidate models, decide whether each candidate is as good as the best one(s) or worse than it. We propose two statistical tests, each controlling a different notion of decision errors. The first test, building on the post selection inference…

2019-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

This study benchmarks changepoint detection algorithms on cardiac time series data.

problem Identifying state changes in cardiac time series for disease classification.
method Comparison of 8 changepoint detection algorithms on artificial and real cardiac time series data.
result RMDM algorithm achieved highest true positive rate and cross validated accuracy for classification.

AdaDetectGPT improves text authorship detection with statistical guarantees.

problem Determining if text is authored by a human or an LLM.
method Adaptive learning of a witness function from training data to enhance logits-based detectors.
result AdaDetectGPT nearly uniformly improves text authorship detection, with up to 37% improvement.

SFS-DA method statistically tests FS reliability under domain adaptation.

problem Feature selection reliability under domain adaptation with limited target data.
method Selective Inference framework to control false positive rate and enhance true positive rate.
result SFS-DA method controls FPR below a pre-specified level αα (e.g., 0.05) while maximizing true positive rate.

New optimization method improves AUC for binary classification and changepoint detection.

problem Non-convex AUC and sub-optimal points in ROC curves.
method AUM (Area Under Min(FP, FN)) surrogate loss function based on sorting and summing ROC curve points.
result AUM minimization learning algorithm improves AUC and speeds up compared to previous methods.

We present a powerful new loss function and training scheme for learning binary hash functions. In particular, we demonstrate our method by creating for the first time a neural network that outperforms state-of-the-art Haar wavelets and color layout descriptors at the task of automated scene matching. By accurately rel…

2018-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗

In his seminal work, Schapire (1990) proved that weak classifiers could be improved to achieve arbitrarily high accuracy, but he never implied that a simple majority-vote mechanism could always do the trick. By comparing the asymptotic misclassification error of the majority-vote classifier with the average individual …

2013-07-24abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose to apply deep transfer learning from computer vision to static malware classification. In the transfer learning scheme, we borrow knowledge from natural images or objects and apply to the target domain of static malware detection. As a result, training time of deep neural networks is accelerated while high c…

2018-12-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian methods improve group testing for identifying infected patients.

problem Identifying infected patients from group testing results with false positives.
method Bayesian inference and belief propagation algorithm, combined with expectation-maximization method.
result True-positive rate improved by considering credible intervals.

Mammography is often used as the most common laboratory method for the detection of breast cancer, yet associated with the high cost and many side effects. Machine learning prediction as an alternative method has shown promising results. This paper presents a method based on a multilayer fuzzy expert system for the det…

2019-10-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes RTL model for sentiment classification and key word detection in online reviews.

problem Sentiment classification and key word detection in online reviews for hospitality industry.
method Regularized Text Logistic (RTL) regression model.
result RTL model achieves satisfactory classification performance and identifies key word features.

New algorithm for adaptive experimental design in scientific settings.

problem Identifying true positives while controlling false discoveries in adaptive experimental design.
method Provably sample efficient adaptive algorithm for FDR control.
result First provably sample efficient adaptive algorithm for adaptive experimental design.

To be prepared against cyberattacks, most organizations resort to security information and event management systems to monitor their infrastructures. These systems depend on the timeliness and relevance of the latest updates, patches and threats provided by cyberthreat intelligence feeds. Open source intelligence platf…

2019-04-01abs ↗pdf ↗

New fair regression method improves fairness in chronic kidney disease classification.

problem Mitigating societal bias in health care for multiple groups.
method Penalized fair regression framework for multiple groups, with penalties for true positive rate disparity.
result Achieves fairness-accuracy frontier beyond existing methods in simulations and real-world data.

Improves ROC/AUC for multi-class classification.

problem Lack of sensible plots, sensitivity to imbalanced data, inability to specify mis-classification cost, and lack of evaluation uncertainty quantification.
method Factorizes multi-class ROC into a one-dimensional vector representation for visualization and summary.
result Provides a binary AUC-equivalent summary and mis-classification weights specification.

Generalizes prediction-powered inference for binary classifier evaluation.

problem Evaluation of binary classifiers with partially observed outcomes.
method Generalizes PPI to any regular asymptotically linear estimator and proposes modified estimators for covariate shift.
result PPI can be a computationally-simple alternative to existing methods, achieving no greater than the semi-parametric efficiency lower bound in certain scenarios.

New framework reduces strategic manipulation cost for minority groups in fair classification.

problem Strategic manipulation disparities in fair classification.
method Constrained optimization framework that constructs classifiers to reduce strategic manipulation cost for minority groups.
result Empirically, the approach reduces strategic manipulation cost for minority groups over multiple real-world datasets.

Bayesian neural networks' performance varies with prior choice, affecting their ability to identify unknowns.

problem The impact of prior choice on Bayesian neural networks' ability to identify unknowns.
method Evaluation of different prior distributions on classification tasks using BNNs and NNs with Monte Carlo dropout.
result Prior choice significantly impacts BNNs' ability to identify unknowns, affecting true and false positive rates.

As algorithmic prediction systems have become widespread, fears that these systems may inadvertently discriminate against members of underrepresented populations have grown. With the goal of understanding fundamental principles that underpin the growing number of approaches to mitigating algorithmic discrimination, we …

2019-04-22abs ↗pdf ↗

We investigate a long-debated question, which is how to create predictive models of recidivism that are sufficiently accurate, transparent, and interpretable to use for decision-making. This question is complicated as these models are used to support different decisions, from sentencing, to determining release on proba…

2015-03-26abs ↗pdf ↗

In regression settings where explanatory variables have very low correlations and there are relatively few effects, each of large magnitude, we expect the Lasso to find the important variables with few errors, if any. This paper shows that in a regime of linear sparsity---meaning that the fraction of variables with a n…

2015-11-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Limited annotated data available for the recognition of facial expression and action units embarrasses the training of deep networks, which can learn disentangled invariant features. However, a linear model with just several parameters normally is not demanding in terms of training data. In this paper, we propose an el…

2017-01-11abs ↗pdf ↗

DSDE improves OoD detection by estimating model library proportions.

problem Uncertainty quantification and balanced error rates in model selection for OoD detection.
method Inverted sequential p-value strategies, change-point detection, automatic hyperparameter selection.
result DSDE reduces FPR from 11.07% to 3.31% on CIFAR10.

Deep chest X-ray classifiers show bias in predicting diagnoses.

problem Bias in deep learning classifiers predicting diagnoses from chest X-rays.
method Trained convolutional neural networks on multiple public datasets to predict 14 diagnostic labels.
result True positive rates vary significantly among different protected attributes, indicating bias.

Private online FDR control for adaptive testing under differential privacy.

problem Controlling false discoveries in adaptive multiple hypothesis testing with privacy constraints.
method Private online algorithms based on non-private results, ensuring privacy and statistical performance.
result Strong guarantees for privacy and statistical performance in FDR and power.

Cross-validation (CV) is often used to select the regularization parameter in high dimensional problems. However, when applied to the sparse modeling method Lasso, CV leads to models that are unstable in high-dimensions, and consequently not suited for reliable interpretation. In this paper, we propose a model-free cri…

2013-03-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Framework uses human feedback to safely set OOD detection thresholds, reducing false positives.

problem Challenges in setting OOD detection thresholds for safety-critical applications.
method Mathematically grounded framework leveraging expert feedback to dynamically update thresholds.
result Guaranteed to meet FPR constraint while minimizing human feedback, maintaining FPR at most 5%.