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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,291 papers · 148 categories

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8.3%16.7%25.0%33.3% · Jan 199319922001200920182026
48 results for true label estimation

Paper tackles noisy label distributions in machine learning.

problem Learning from noisy label distributions where true labels are distorted by unknown noise.
method Proposes a probabilistic model with hidden noise parameters and learns it using variational Bayesian methods.
result The proposed model outperforms existing methods in true label estimation.

New method improves false-/true-positive-rate estimation in fraud detection with noisy labels.

problem Estimating FPR/TPR in fraud detection with class-conditional label noise.
method Directly cleaning model's validation data to de-correlate cleaning error with model scores.
result Improves accuracy of FPR/TPR estimates, especially in asymmetric label noise scenarios.

BCCP uses bandit feedback to provide reliable predictions with limited labeled data.

problem Limited labeled data and bandit feedback challenge online set-valued classification.
method BCCP uses stochastic gradient descent to train model and make set-valued inferences with unbiased estimation of true label.
result BCCP offers coverage guarantees on a class-specific granularity.

Paper proposes a new PLL framework with a progressive identification algorithm.

problem Weakly supervised learning with partial labels.
method Flexible model and optimization algorithm for PLL, progressive identification algorithm.
result Established an estimation error bound and set new state of the art.

The paper studies how to use AI-generated labels in econometrics to avoid bias.

problem Small misclassification errors in AI-generated labels can lead to large biases in econometric estimators.
method The paper proposes a coupled-label bootstrap method to correct bias and deliver valid inference.
result The coupled-label bootstrap method is valid without the strong independence condition between true and imputed labels.

This paper introduces a new learning method for classification without true labels.

problem Learning with only complementary labels, not true class labels.
method Derives a novel framework for arbitrary losses and models, using unbiased risk estimation.
result Demonstrates improved risk estimator through non-negative correction and gradient ascent.

In most classification tasks there are observations that are ambiguous and therefore difficult to correctly label. Set-valued classifiers output sets of plausible labels rather than a single label, thereby giving a more appropriate and informative treatment to the labeling of ambiguous instances. We introduce a framewo…

2016-09-02abs ↗pdf ↗

UREs lead to overfitting in complex models, especially in complementary label learning.

problem Overfitting in weakly supervised learning with complementary labels.
method Proposed a surrogate complementary loss (SCL) framework to reduce gradient variance.
result SCL mitigates overfitting and improves URE-based methods.

Paper tackles online adaptation to changing label distributions.

problem Adapting machine learning models to changing label distributions in real-world settings.
method Leverages novel analysis to show estimation of expected test loss is possible without true labels. Proposes adaptation algorithms inspired by classical online learning techniques.
result Empirically verified that OGD is particularly effective and robust to various label shift scenarios.

Generative Augmented Inference improves AI-generated data for causal inference.

problem Challenges in using AI-generated annotations for reliable causal inference.
method Generative Augmented Inference (GAI) treats AI outputs as informative features for learning true labels, flexibly modeling the relationship using nonparametric methods.
result GAI significantly reduces estimation error and improves confidence interval quality compared to human-only and PPI-based methods.

Paper proposes a method to adapt classifiers using complementary labels instead of true labels.

problem Training classifiers with true labels from the source domain is costly and sometimes impossible.
method Proposes a novel setting with complementary labels and a complementary label adversarial network (CLARINET).
result CLARINET significantly outperforms baselines on handwritten digits and object recognition tasks.

Develops methods to measure and reduce fairness in datasets with limited protected attribute labels.

problem Measuring and reducing fairness in datasets with limited protected attribute labels.
method Proposes methods to estimate fairness metrics and train models to limit fairness violations using probabilistic protected attribute labels.
result Our methods provide tighter bounds on true disparity and effectively reduce fairness violations with lesser fairness-accuracy trade-offs.

OASIS optimizes ER evaluation by reducing labelling needs with optimal sampling.

problem Extreme class imbalance in ER leads to high labelling costs.
method OASIS uses a biased instrumental distribution and Bayesian updates to focus on unlabelled items.
result OASIS estimates F-measure, precision, recall converge to true values with significant labelling reductions.

The paper resolves the paradox of using unlabeled data for treatment effect estimation.

problem Using unlabeled data to estimate propensity scores for treatment effect estimation.
method Proposes a simple procedure to reconcile the use of estimated propensity scores with the advice to use true propensity scores.
result Direct regression may be preferable to inverse-propensity weighting in many circumstances.

Majority Vote is optimal for reliable data labeling under certain conditions.

problem Reliable data labeling requires aggregating multiple annotators' labels, but the optimality of Majority Vote is not well understood.
method Characterized conditions under which Majority Vote achieves the optimal label estimation error.
result Majority Vote optimally recovers labels for a given class distribution under tolerable annotation noise limits.

Clarinet uses complementary labels to train classifiers with less source data.

problem Training classifiers with true-label data from source domain is costly.
method Proposes CLARINET to train classifiers with complementary-label source data and unlabeled target data.
result CLARINET significantly outperforms baselines in unsupervised domain adaptation.

Paper introduces a novel method for estimating model confidence in deep neural classifiers.

problem Reliable confidence estimation for deep neural classifiers in safety-critical applications.
method Proposes a novel target criterion (true class probability) and learns it from data with an auxiliary model.
result The proposed method outperforms strong baselines in various tasks and network architectures.

Paper proposes an unbiased risk estimator for PLLAC, handling unseen classes.

problem Handling unseen classes in PLLAC where some classes are not present in the training set.
method Proposes an unbiased risk estimator that estimates the distribution of augmented classes by differentiating known classes from unlabeled data.
result The estimator provides theoretical guarantees and converges to true risk minimizer as data increases.

Algorithm constructs prediction sets with PAC guarantees in label shift settings.

problem Reliable uncertainty quantification in the face of distribution shift.
method Estimates predicted probabilities and confusion matrix, then propagates uncertainty through Gaussian elimination to compute confidence intervals and construct prediction sets.
result Satisfies PAC guarantees and produces smaller, more informative prediction sets.

Graph neural networks often assume vertex labels are independent, but we show this is rarely true and propose a method to improve predictions.

problem Graph neural networks often assume vertex labels are conditionally independent given their neighborhood features, which is rarely true.
method We model the joint distribution of residuals on vertices with a parameterized multivariate Gaussian and estimate parameters by maximizing the marginal likelihood of the observed labels.
result Our method achieves substantially higher accuracy than competing baselines and can be interpreted as the strength of correlation among connected vertices.

A new method for weakly supervised learning that improves model accuracy.

problem Training machine learning models with precise labels is expensive; weak supervision provides a low-cost alternative.
method Data consistent weak supervision algorithm that searches over classifiers to find plausible labelings, considering features of the training data and estimating labels for low/no coverage data.
result Empirically, the method significantly outperforms state-of-the-art weak supervision methods on text and image classification tasks.

A new learning method uses data to learn from large model sets.

problem Learning with large sets of candidate models where uniform convergence is hard.
method Data-dependent learning that incorporates empirical data less reliant on prior assumptions.
result Demonstrates improved generalization in various learning assumptions.

Gaussian Processes outperform other models in estimating uncertainty for radiology report observation detection.

problem Uncertainty quantification in automatic data labelling for semi-supervised learning in clinical NLP.
method Investigation of uncertainty estimates from various predictive models using NLPP and MMPCL metrics.
result Gaussian Processes provide superior performance in quantifying uncertainty for radiology report observation detection.