Study reviews tree-based methods and introduces new ensemble strategies.
problem Improving the efficiency and performance of tree-based machine learning models.
method Review of tree-based methods, introduction of ISLE framework, ARM model combination strategy, and modified ISLEs.
result Performance evaluation of modified ISLEs on real data sets.
Optimal survival trees ensemble reduces tree count and improves predictive performance.
problem Improving predictive performance in survival analysis.
method Grows a forest of optimal survival trees by ranking and selecting the best trees based on out-of-bag error.
result Reduces the number of trees in the ensemble while improving predictive performance.
The paper predicts travel times using tree-based ensembles.
problem Predicting travel times between urban points over short and long horizons.
method Tree-based ensemble methods trained on taxi trip records with additional features from weather and routing data.
result Adding routing data improves model performance and short-term predictions require less data.
Enhanced tree-based classifiers use derivatives and geometry for better function classification.
problem Improving classification of high-dimensional time series data.
method Integrates Functional Data Analysis with tree-based ensemble techniques, leveraging derivative and geometric features.
result Significant improvements over traditional approaches in function classification.
A new tree-based model improves uncertainty estimation in sequential optimization.
problem Improving uncertainty estimation in sequential model-based optimization.
method Proposed a new ensemble of randomized trees (BwO forest) with bagging and oversampling.
result BwO forest outperforms existing tree-based models in various optimization scenarios.
Tree ensembles like RF and GBT can be seen as kernels, improving regression and classification performance.
problem Improving kernel methods for tree ensemble based models.
method Investigation of RF and GBT kernels in simulation and real data.
result RF and GBT kernels are competitive to their respective ensembles in higher dimensions, particularly with noisy features.
In many real-world AD applications including computer security and fraud prevention, the anomaly detector must be configurable by the human analyst to minimize the effort on false positives. One important way to configure the detector is by providing true labels (nominal or anomaly) for a few instances. Recent work on …
Develops fair feature importance scores for tree-based models to interpret fairness.
problem Ensuring fairness in machine learning models, especially tree-based ones.
method Inspired by decision trees, proposes a novel fair feature importance score based on mean decrease in group bias.
result Valid interpretations of fairness for tree-based ensembles and surrogates of other ML systems.
Develops RKHS framework for analyzing tree ensembles.
problem Analyzing the theoretical properties of tree ensembles.
method Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces (RKHS) for tree ensembles.
result Characterizes Random Forest predictor as minimizer of a penalized empirical risk functional in RKHS.
Paper studies ensemble probabilistic regression trees for smooth approximations.
problem Smooth approximations of regression functions.
method Ensemble versions of probabilistic regression trees.
result Ensemble probabilistic regression trees are consistent and perform well.
Boost-R uses gradient boosted trees for analyzing recurrence data.
problem Analyzing recurrence data with static and dynamic features.
method Gradient boosted additive trees with time-dependent functions.
result Estimates the cumulative intensity function of recurrent event processes.
SCORE improves tree-based predictions with boosted residual extraTrees.
problem Improving tree-based prediction models with reduced errors.
method Inspired by representation learning, SCORE uses boosting, regularized regression, and variable selection.
result SCORE provides comparable or superior performance compared to other models.
Tree-based model averaging improves CATE estimation from diverse sites.
problem Limited sample size and privacy concerns prevent accurate personalized treatment effect estimation.
method Tree-based model averaging approach to estimate CATEs from multiple heterogeneous sites.
result Improved accuracy in estimating conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) across sites.
We study the robustness verification problem for tree-based models, including decision trees, random forests (RFs) and gradient boosted decision trees (GBDTs). Formal robustness verification of decision tree ensembles involves finding the exact minimal adversarial perturbation or a guaranteed lower bound of it. Existin…
Study forecasts vegetable prices in Nepal using a novel index and ensemble model.
problem High volatility and cultural influences on agricultural commodity prices.
method Developed KVPI, created features, evaluated multiple models, introduced Momentum-Corrected Online Stacking Ensemble.
result Achieved RMSE of 1.771, MAPE of 0.68%, and R-squared of 0.845 at 90-day horizon.
We propose and evaluate alternative ensemble schemes for a new instance based learning classifier, the Randomised Sphere Cover (RSC) classifier. RSC fuses instances into spheres, then bases classification on distance to spheres rather than distance to instances. The randomised nature of RSC makes it ideal for use in en…
Two algorithms for interpreting and boosting tree-based models using rule covering.
problem Interpreting and boosting tree-based ensemble methods.
method Mathematical programming models constructed from decision tree rules.
result Selects a few rules that closely match the accuracy of the model.
This work analyzes tree-based methods from a ranking perspective, providing insights and new statistics.
problem Understanding the effectiveness of tree-based methods in finite-sample settings, especially symbolic feature selection.
method Local ranking perspective, finite-sample analysis, oracle bounds, posterior contraction results, concordant divergence statistics.
result New insights and statistics for evaluating symbolic feature mappings.
Understanding how "black-box" models arrive at their predictions has sparked significant interest from both within and outside the AI community. Our work focuses on doing this by generating local explanations about individual predictions for tree-based ensembles, specifically Gradient Boosting Decision Trees (GBDTs). G…
Networks are ubiquitous in biology and computational approaches have been largely investigated for their inference. In particular, supervised machine learning methods can be used to complete a partially known network by integrating various measurements. Two main supervised frameworks have been proposed: the local appro…
This study compares multivariate vs univariate machine learning for multi-output regression.
problem When to use multivariate ensemble techniques over separate univariate models.
method Comparative analysis of different multivariate approaches for multi-output regression.
result Multivariate ensemble techniques outperform separate univariate models in simulations.
The paper explores features from orderbooks to improve intraday electricity price forecasting.
problem Improving probabilistic forecasting of intraday electricity prices.
method Extracted 384 features from orderbooks, selected powerful features, and benchmarked models across two countries and product types.
result Revealed an asymmetric generalization phenomenon in electricity price forecasting models.
Survey of machine learning methods for time series forecasting.
problem Improving accuracy of time series predictions.
method Linear and nonlinear machine learning models, including neural networks and ensemble methods.
result Demonstrates superior predictive ability of certain machine learning models.
Ensembling improves performance when classifiers disagree more than average.
problem When do ensembles provide significant performance improvements in classification tasks?
method Theoretical and empirical analysis of ensemble improvement rate and disagreement-error ratio.
result Ensembling improves performance significantly when the disagreement rate is large relative to the average error rate.
New method tests tree models without causing computational pressure.
problem Incompatibility of adversarial robustness testing with tree ensembles.
method Smooths tree ensembles with sigmoid functions and uses gradient descent.
result Successfully reveals adversarial vulnerability of tree ensemble models.
K-nearest neighbor (kNN) search has wide applications in many areas, including data mining, machine learning, statistics and many applied domains. Inspired by the success of ensemble methods and the flexibility of tree-based methodology, we propose random projection forests (rpForests), for kNN search. rpForests finds …
Local MDI+ improves feature importance for tree-based models, enhancing interpretability and performance.
problem Lack of instance-specific feature importance for tree-based models.
method Local MDI+ extends MDI+ framework to provide instance-specific feature importances.
result Local MDI+ outperforms existing baselines, improving predictive performance by 10%.
New method initializes MLPs for tabular data with tree-based feature interactions.
problem No dedicated neural network architecture for tabular data.
method Sparse tree-based initialization for MLPs.
result New method outperforms default MLP initialization and gradient boosting.
The study investigates kernel-target alignment in tree ensemble kernels.
problem The degree of kernel-target alignment affects the performance of tree ensemble kernels in kernel learning.
method Eigenanalysis of the kernel matrix and sensitivity analysis via landmark learning.
result Good performance of tree ensemble kernels is associated with strong kernel-target alignment.
Ensemble methods are among the state-of-the-art predictive modeling approaches. Applied to modern big data, these methods often require a large number of sub-learners, where the complexity of each learner typically grows with the size of the dataset. This phenomenon results in an increasing demand for storage space, wh…
A framework infers feature importance with uncertainties for high-dimensional data.
problem Estimating feature importance in high-dimensional data with uncertainty.
method Shapley value based framework, sub-SAGE, bootstrapping.
result Uncertainties in feature importance can be estimated from bootstrapping.
New framework detects model weaknesses in decision tree ensembles.
problem Detecting feature sensitivity in decision tree ensembles.
method Data-aware sensitivity framework using MILP and SMT.
result Realistic and interpretable examples of model weaknesses.
DOFEN improves DNN performance on tabular data benchmarks.
problem DOFEN tackles the performance gap between DNNs and tree-based models on tabular data.
method DOFEN uses a two-level rODT forest ensembling process inspired by oblivious decision trees.
result DOFEN achieves state-of-the-art results on the Tabular Benchmark.
Oblique BART improves tree-based predictions.
problem Axis-aligned decision rules in BART can be suboptimal.
method Developed an oblique version of BART using data-adaptive hyperplane partitions.
result Oblique BART outperformed axis-aligned BART and other tree methods on benchmarks.
Hybrid ML ensemble predicts market risk and generates alpha.
problem Forecasting short-horizon market risk and generating alpha.
method Neural networks and tree-based voting models integrated for trading signal.
result Sharpe ratio of 2.51 and annualized CAPM alpha of +0.28.
A hybrid strategy forecasts short-term loads using Warm-start Gradient Tree Boosting.
problem Lack of effective short-term load forecasting methods.
method Hybrid strategy integrating four different inference models: tree-based ensemble method Warm-start Gradient Tree Boosting (WGTB).
result Demonstrates effectiveness of hybrid strategy on real datasets.
This work uses decision trees to encode relevant features and their interactions into neural networks, improving model performance.
problem Overfitting in neural networks with many irrelevant variables.
method Defines a mapping to encode decision tree extracted relationships into a neural network.
result The approach outperforms fully connected neural networks and tree-based methods.
JUCAL jointly calibrates aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties in classifier ensembles.
problem Misrepresentation of predictive uncertainty due to unbalanced aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties.
method Joint Uncertainty Calibration (JUCAL) that jointly calibrates two constants to weight and scale uncertainties.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art calibration methods across various text classification tasks.
We adapt the idea of random projections applied to the output space, so as to enhance tree-based ensemble methods in the context of multi-label classification. We show how learning time complexity can be reduced without affecting computational complexity and accuracy of predictions. We also show that random output spac…
Decision-tree-based ensemble classification methods (DTEMs) are a prevalent tool for supervised anomaly detection. However, due to the continued growth of datasets, DTEMs result in increasing drawbacks such as growing memory footprints, longer training times, and slower classification latencies at lower throughput. In …
Random Planted Forest interprets tree-based models by keeping some splits, leading to more interpretable predictions.
problem Estimating the unknown regression function from lower-order interaction terms.
method Modifying the random forest algorithm by keeping certain leaves instead of deleting them, resulting in non-binary trees called planted trees.
result The random planted forest achieves asymptotically optimal convergence rates up to a logarithmic factor when the interaction bound is low.
HECT tests climate model outputs for reproducibility.
problem Ensuring climate models accurately reflect physical processes.
method Probabilistic classifiers for high-dimensional spatio-temporal data.
result A principled way to assess statistical reproducibility of climate models.
New NIDS uses hypergraphs for real-time detection of evolving port scans.
problem Challenges in offline NIDS for auto-generated port scans.
method Hypergraph-based metrics for real-time ML ensemble NIDS.
result High accuracy, precision, and recall in detecting port scans and attacks.
Double descent observed in tree-based models for genomic prediction.
problem Understanding the generalization behavior of tree-based models in machine learning.
method Systematic variation of model complexity in a genomic prediction task using whole-genome sequencing data.
result Double descent emerges only when complexity is scaled jointly across learner capacity and ensemble size.
Proposes a new algorithm for accurate tree-based models with guaranteed recourse actions.
problem Ensuring recourse actions for models optimized for predictive performance.
method Formulates and solves an optimization task to ensure reasonable actions for as many instances as possible, using adversarial training techniques.
result Successfully provided reasonable actions to more instances than baselines without significantly degrading accuracy and computational efficiency.
Machine-learned models are often described as "black boxes". In many real-world applications however, models may have to sacrifice predictive power in favour of human-interpretability. When this is the case, feature engineering becomes a crucial task, which requires significant and time-consuming human effort. Whilst s…
Both neural networks and decision trees are popular machine learning methods and are widely used to solve problems from diverse domains. These two classifiers are commonly used base classifiers in an ensemble framework. In this paper, we first present a new variant of oblique decision tree based on a linear classifier,…
New trees-based models handle correlated data better.
problem Standard trees-based models ignore correlation structure.
method Explicitly accounts for correlation structure in splitting criterion, stopping rules, and fitted values.
result New approach superior to standard models in simulations and real data.