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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,341 papers · 148 categories

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148296444592 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for tree sampling

A new algorithm, Regular Tree Search, tackles non-convex simulation optimization problems.

problem Non-convex objective functions in simulation optimization.
method Integrates adaptive sampling with recursive partitioning of the search space.
result Proves global convergence and reliably identifies the global optimum.

The paper introduces a new model to correct bias in treatment effect estimates due to sample selection.

problem Bias in treatment effect estimates due to sample selection.
method Type 2 Tobit Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (TOBART-2) with Dirichlet Process Mixture distribution and soft trees.
result Corrects bias in treatment effect estimates by accounting for nonlinearities and model uncertainty.

This work analyzes tree-based methods from a ranking perspective, providing insights and new statistics.

problem Understanding the effectiveness of tree-based methods in finite-sample settings, especially symbolic feature selection.
method Local ranking perspective, finite-sample analysis, oracle bounds, posterior contraction results, concordant divergence statistics.
result New insights and statistics for evaluating symbolic feature mappings.

BARK optimizes black-box functions using Bayesian Additive Regression Trees.

problem Bayesian optimization of complex, black-box functions with uncertainty quantification.
method BART Kernel using tree agreement for posterior over piecewise-constant functions, explored using MCMC.
result BARK obtains samples of Gaussian processes for function distributions, enabling acquisition functions for optimization.

A new algorithm improves sample complexity for thresholding in Monte Carlo Tree Search.

problem Determining if the root node value of a tree is at least a given threshold.
method Developed a δ-correct sequential sampling algorithm based on the Track-and-Stop strategy.
result Ratio-based modification of D-Tracking strategy reduces sample complexity and computational cost.

Optimized decision trees for reinforcement learning, improving sample complexity and interpretability.

problem Updating decision trees online in reinforcement learning.
method Gradient update over differentiable decision trees, including theoretical justification and empirical validation.
result Our approach outperforms neural networks in sample complexity and achieves higher rewards online.

Improved algorithm for partial recovery of tree-structured graphs with noisy data.

problem Learning Ising tree models with noisy observations.
method Symmetrized Geometric Averaging (SGA) algorithm with improved sample complexity.
result Significantly better sample complexity for partial tree recovery.

This work considers the problem of learning the structure of multivariate linear tree models, which include a variety of directed tree graphical models with continuous, discrete, and mixed latent variables such as linear-Gaussian models, hidden Markov models, Gaussian mixture models, and Markov evolutionary trees. The …

2011-07-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Multistage Defer Trees improve model accuracy while maintaining interpretability.

problem Balancing model accuracy and interpretability, especially in noisy domains.
method A sequence of sparse decision trees that defer predictions to the next tree or a black box.
result Matches the performance of complex tree-based ensembles while using only one or a few sparse trees.

For a density ff on Rd{\mathbb R}^d, a {\it high-density cluster} is any connected component of {x:f(x)λ}\{x: f(x) \geq λ\}, for some λ>0λ> 0. The set of all high-density clusters forms a hierarchy called the {\it cluster tree} of ff. We present two procedures for estimating the cluster tree given samples from ff. The first…

2014-06-05abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper improves sample complexity for tree-structured Ising model learning with noisy data.

problem Learning tree-structured Ising models with noisy data.
method High-probability sample complexity guarantees for structure recovery and predictive learning.
result Sample complexity remains logarithmic in the number of vertices, but depends on noise level.

This paper shows how to predict variable values given some others using a tree model, requiring fewer samples than previously thought.

problem Predicting variable values given some others using a tree model.
method Defining a new distance metric (ssTV) to measure prediction accuracy and deriving sample complexity bounds.
result Fewer samples are needed for accurate predictions compared to recovering the underlying tree.

Paper proposes a new method for density estimation using tree tensor-network states.

problem Density estimation for complex graphical models with loops.
method Determines tree topology with Chow-Liu algorithm and uses sketching techniques to define tensor-network components.
result Sample complexity guarantees and empirical validation provided.

Method learns hierarchical representations of samples and features simultaneously.

problem Hierarchical structures in samples and features not considered by existing methods.
method Jointly learns hierarchical representations via Tree-Wasserstein Distance alternating between samples and features.
result Method improves performance in link prediction and node classification tasks.

DTS improves inference-time alignment of diffusion models with less compute.

problem Inference-time alignment of diffusion models suffers from inaccurate value estimation and inefficient reuse of past computations.
method Diffusion Tree Sampling (DTS) uses a tree-based approach to propagate terminal rewards and iteratively refine value estimates.
result DTS produces asymptotically exact samples and matches the FID of best-performing baselines with up to 10x less compute.

A new gradient tree boosting framework reduces variance and accelerates performance.

problem High variance in stochastic gradient boosting.
method Combining gradient tree boosting with importance sampling and a regularizer.
result Achieves a linear convergence rate on logistic loss and 2.5x--18x acceleration on LogitBoost and LambdaMART.

Efficiently learns Gaussian tree models with near-optimal sample complexity.

problem Learning tree-structured Gaussian distributions efficiently.
method Conditional mutual information tester for Gaussian variables, near-optimal sample complexity.
result Near-optimal sample complexity for structure learning of Gaussian tree models.

The paper proposes a method to efficiently predict using labeled binary trees and analyzes the number of samples needed.

problem Efficiently predicting using compositional nonparametric models.
method A compositional nonparametric method expressed as a labeled binary tree, with a greedy algorithm for regression validation.
result The sufficient number of samples is O(klog(pq)+log(k!))O(k\log(pq)+\log(k!)), and the necessary number of samples is Ω(klog(pq)log(k!))Ω(k\log (pq)-\log(k!)).

Algorithm infers sampling distribution from i.i.d. samples without supervision.

problem Learning probability distributions from unlabeled data.
method Unsupervised tree boosting using additive tree ensembles and new distributional operations.
result Algorithm outperforms deep learning in multivariate density estimation.

A new nonparametric test measures dependence between variables using decision trees.

problem Measuring statistical dependence between two variables robustly and efficiently.
method An ensemble of decision trees discriminates between observed and permuted samples without generating the latter.
result The method effectively detects complex relationships from noisy data.

New method improves feature selection in tree-based models.

problem Previous feature selection methods in tree-based models lack sufficient regularization and sub-optimal performance.
method Developed a new gain penalization approach for tree-based models that allows for flexible feature-specific importance weights.
result The new method improves out-of-sample performance, especially with correlated features.

Deep imagination optimizes decision-making in large trees with limited resources.

problem Optimal planning in large decision trees with limited resources and time.
method Analytical solutions and numerical analysis of sampling capacity allocation.
result Optimal policy is to allocate few samples per level for deep exploration, favoring depth over breadth.

Active-LATHE boosts error exponent for learning homogeneous trees.

problem Learning homogeneous trees from i.i.d. data with active sampling.
method Design and analysis of Active Learning Algorithm for Trees with Homogeneous Edge (Active-LATHE).
result Active-LATHE boosts the error exponent by at least 40% for ρ0.8ρ \geq 0.8.

Bayesian methods improve drug discovery experiment design.

problem Optimizing drug screening experiments in high-dimensional data.
method Bayesian inference and optimisation with upper confidence bound algorithms, Thompson sampling, and sparse tree search.
result Sparse tree search techniques outperform other methods in drug toxicity screening.

A new approach uses partial likelihood to improve tree-based density estimation and inference.

problem Inference on tree-based models suffers from overfitting and reduced efficiency due to data-independent partitioning.
method Proposes a partial likelihood approach to data-dependent partitioning of tree-based models.
result Significant gains in estimation accuracy and computational efficiency from adopting partial likelihood.

flexBART improves BART for categorical predictors by creating flexible tree partitions.

problem Limitation of BART in handling categorical predictors with one-hot encoding.
method flexBART re-implements BART with regression trees that can assign multiple levels to both branches of a decision tree node, and proposes a new decision rule prior for spatial data.
result flexBART often yields improved predictive performance and scales better to larger datasets than existing BART implementations.

Estimates sample size for subgroup analysis in randomized experiments.

problem Determining sample size for accurate subgroup analysis.
method Turns inference problem into simultaneous inference, calculates sample size based on confidence level and margin of error.
result Allows inversion of sample size to feasible number of treatment arms or partition complexity.

Proposes new attribution methods for trees with regularization.

problem Feature attribution for trees trained with regularization.
method Prediction Decomposition Attribution (PreDecomp) and TreeInner.
result TreeInner shows state-of-the-art feature selection performance.

Web crawling, snowball sampling, and respondent-driven sampling (RDS) are three types of network sampling techniques used to contact individuals in hard-to-reach populations. This paper studies these procedures as a Markov process on the social network that is indexed by a tree. Each node in this tree corresponds to an…

2015-05-20abs ↗pdf ↗

The study analyzes when Bayesian averaging over decision trees is reliable.

problem When do Bayesian model averaging weights over decision trees provide reliable information?
method Closed-form solution for Bayesian decision trees with Catalan-exponential priors.
result Established a complete non-asymptotic theory of rational commitment thresholds.

This paper proposes an improved active learning method using classification trees.

problem Reducing the size of training sets while maintaining high accuracy in supervised learning.
method A wrapper active learning method using a classification tree to sub-sample from low-entropy regions.
result The proposed method constructs accurate classification models even with severely restricted labeled data.