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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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16314762 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for treatment prioritization

RATE metrics evaluate treatment prioritization rules, subsuming existing methods.

problem Comparing and testing the quality of treatment prioritization rules.
method Rank-weighted average treatment effect (RATE) metrics.
result RATE metrics enable asymptotically exact inference in various study settings.

A framework uses proxies to prioritize treatment without estimating causal effects.

problem Prioritizing treatment when causal effects are hard to estimate.
method Decision-focused framework identifying conditions for proxy usefulness.
result Proxies can recover correct effect ordering under specific conditions.

Heteroskedasticity biases uplift model rankings, leading to inefficient treatment allocation.

problem Bias in uplift model rankings due to heteroskedasticity.
method Theoretical analysis and simulation on real-world data.
result Heteroskedasticity can cause individuals with high treatment effects to be ranked at the bottom, leading to inefficient treatment allocation.

Precision medicine is becoming a focus in medical research recently, as its implementation brings values to all stakeholders in the healthcare system. Various statistical methodologies have been developed tackling problems in different aspects of this field, e.g., assessing treatment heterogeneity, identifying patient …

2019-10-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Designs for allocating resources to prioritize needy applicants while estimating treatment effects.

problem Resource allocation under uncertainty with prioritized queues.
method Priority-queue randomization for treatment assignment and estimation of treatment effects.
result Identification of causal effects under different arrival and treatment assignment scenarios.

New methods prioritize acquiring confounding features for efficient treatment effect estimation.

problem Efficient treatment effect estimation from observational data with missing confounding information.
method Proposes two acquisition strategies: covariate balancing and reducing factual outcome error.
result Our proposed methods, especially reducing factual outcome error, improve sample efficiency for treatment effect estimation.

Traditional medicine typically applies one-size-fits-all treatment for the entire patient population whereas precision medicine develops tailored treatment schemes for different patient subgroups. The fact that some factors may be more significant for a specific patient subgroup motivates clinicians and medical researc…

2017-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Uplift modeling is an emerging machine learning approach for estimating the treatment effect at an individual or subgroup level. It can be used for optimizing the performance of interventions such as marketing campaigns and product designs. Uplift modeling can be used to estimate which users are likely to benefit from …

2019-08-14abs ↗pdf ↗

AACE learns treatment policies from EHRs using annotations to improve accuracy.

problem Learning treatment policies from multimodal EHRs with bias and inefficiency.
method Annotation-assisted coarsened effects (AACE) method.
result AACE outperforms existing methods in predicting treatment benefit from multimodal EHRs.

Proposes a new method for dynamic treatment regimes that improves sample efficiency and stability.

problem Challenges in estimating optimal treatments for individuals with dynamic decision-making stages.
method Focuses on prioritizing alignment between observed and optimal treatment trajectories across decision stages.
result Improves sample efficiency and stability of IPWE-based methods by relaxing the alignment requirement.

Enhances credit card limit adjustments by considering treatment uncertainty and prediction criteria.

problem Optimal treatment selection under multitreatment scenarios.
method Proposes a comprehensive methodology incorporating conditional value-at-risk and prediction criterion for continuous outcomes.
result Significantly improved policy performance in credit card limit adjustments.

A new method prioritizes and recycles experiences for better reinforcement learning.

problem Improving reinforcement learning efficiency by prioritizing and recycling experiences.
method Double-prioritized state-recycled (DPSR) experience replay.
result DPSR achieved state-of-the-art results in Atari games, outperforming original and prioritized methods.

Experience replay is widely used in deep reinforcement learning algorithms and allows agents to remember and learn from experiences from the past. In an effort to learn more efficiently, researchers proposed prioritized experience replay (PER) which samples important transitions more frequently. In this paper, we propo…

2019-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Study shows targeting students with intermediate predicted outcomes is most effective for financial aid renewal.

problem Determining which students to target for financial aid renewal to maximize effectiveness.
method Used causal forest to estimate heterogeneous treatment effects and targeted students accordingly; compared targeting low vs high predicted probability outcomes.
result Targeting students with intermediate predicted outcomes yields the highest effectiveness in financial aid renewal.

Two novel methods identify influential features in CMABs for better reward distribution.

problem Suboptimal features degrade rewards, interpretability, and efficiency in CMABs.
method Heterogeneous Incremental Effect (HIE) and Heterogeneous Distribution Divergence (HDD) methods.
result Consistent ability to identify influential HTE features, enhancing CMAB performance.

Most exact methods for k-nearest neighbour search suffer from the curse of dimensionality; that is, their query times exhibit exponential dependence on either the ambient or the intrinsic dimensionality. Dynamic Continuous Indexing (DCI) offers a promising way of circumventing the curse and successfully reduces the dep…

2017-03-01abs ↗pdf ↗

In Hindsight Experience Replay (HER), a reinforcement learning agent is trained by treating whatever it has achieved as virtual goals. However, in previous work, the experience was replayed at random, without considering which episode might be the most valuable for learning. In this paper, we develop an energy-based fr…

2018-10-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Introduces PIT-plot for prioritizing projects based on their impact.

problem Optimizing R&D investments in project portfolios.
method Develops a new tool (PIT-plot) focusing on project impact rather than project properties.
result Identifies projects with the largest impact for risk mitigation or value-adding.

SAEs struggle with feature consistency across runs, hindering MI reliability.

problem Inconsistency of learned SAE features across different training runs.
method Propose using the Pairwise Dictionary Mean Correlation Coefficient (PW-MCC) to measure feature consistency.
result High levels of feature consistency (0.80 for TopK SAEs on LLM activations) are achievable with appropriate architectural choices.

New methods reduce bias in machine learning predictions for causal inference without extra data.

problem Machine learning predictions from satellite data shrink toward the mean, leading to biased causal estimates.
method Two post-hoc correction methods: Linear Calibration Correction (LCC) and Tweedie's approach, reduce shrinkage-induced bias.
result Tweedie's method yields nearly unbiased treatment-effect estimates, enabling multiple trials with a single map.

Develops adaptive framework for estimating survival effects with censoring.

problem Estimating causal effects in survival data with censoring.
method Derives semiparametric efficiency bound, proposes efficiency-optimal allocation policy, and develops Adaptive Survival Estimator (ASE).
result ASE achieves asymptotic normality via martingale central limit theorem and demonstrates efficiency gains over uniform randomization.

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are increasingly being adopted for sensing and control functions in a variety of safety and mission-critical systems such as self-driving cars, autonomous air vehicles, medical diagnostics, and industrial robotics. Failures of such systems can lead to loss of life or property, which necessit…

2019-01-11abs ↗pdf ↗

New loss function equivalence reveals PER's uniform sampling can be improved.

problem Improving Prioritized Experience Replay (PER) for better learning efficiency.
method Transforming non-uniformly sampled data loss functions into uniformly sampled ones.
result Some environments can replace PER with a new loss function without performance loss.

The paper automates policy learning for nonlinear welfare criteria using machine learning and debiasing techniques.

problem Learning optimal policies from observational data with nonlinear welfare criteria.
method Modeling a nonlinear welfare criterion with a utility function, estimating propensity scores with machine learning, and using sieve approximations and cross-validation for model selection.
result The proposed policy learning method satisfies oracle inequalities, providing theoretical guarantees on performance.

The paper argues for prioritizing identifying structure over complex models for scientific discovery.

problem Underdetermination of mechanisms in high-dimensional data, leading to unreliable explanations.
method Proposes concrete standards for 'mechanistic ML' to avoid collapsing explanations.
result Large language models (LLMs) can collapse large equivalence classes of explanations, making it hard to distinguish between mechanisms.

GraphITE estimates individual effects of graph-structured treatments.

problem Estimating individual effects of complex treatment structures.
method Graph neural networks and Hilbert-Schmidt Independence Criterion regularization.
result GraphITE outperforms baselines in estimating treatment effects for large numbers of treatments.

A variety of methods have been proposed for interpreting nodes in deep neural networks, which typically involve scoring nodes at lower layers with respect to their effects on the output of higher-layer nodes (where lower and higher layers are closer to the input and output layers, respectively). However, we may be inte…

2018-12-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Curious Replay improves model-based reinforcement learning agents' adaptability.

problem Existing model-based reinforcement learning agents struggle to adapt quickly to changing environments.
method Curious Replay uses a curiosity-based priority signal for prioritized experience replay tailored to model-based agents.
result Agents using Curious Replay achieve improved performance in exploration and on benchmarks.

In Reinforcement Learning (RL), an agent explores the environment and collects trajectories into the memory buffer for later learning. However, the collected trajectories can easily be imbalanced with respect to the achieved goal states. The problem of learning from imbalanced data is a well-known problem in supervised…

2019-02-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes COVID-19 testing policy using a Multi-Armed Bandit approach.

problem Balancing discovery of positive cases with population surveillance.
method Risk scoring and random sampling based on Multi-Armed Bandit theory.
result Effective prioritization captures 65-92% of positive cases with varying testing capacity.