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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for treatment imbalance

A new method flips class values to address class and treatment imbalance in uplift modeling and HTE.

problem Class and treatment imbalance in imbalanced RCT data.
method Class flipping approach to address imbalance without distorting predictions.
result The method does not distort predicted effects and does not require calibration.

Robust X-Learner improves HTE estimation in imbalanced and heavy-tailed data.

problem Estimating HTE in imbalanced and heavy-tailed data.
method Integrates γ-divergence objective and Proxy Hessian strategy into gradient boosting.
result Reduces PEHE metric by 98.6% in semi-synthetic Criteo Uplift dataset.

Proposes Infomax and Domain-Independent Representations for robust causal inference.

problem Handling treatment selection bias and domain imbalance in causal inference with real-world data.
method Utilizes mutual information to learn domain-invariant representations that maximize predictive common information.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance on causal effect inference across various data distributions.

Paper tackles gene mutation prediction for HCC using multi-instance multi-label learning.

problem Gene mutation prediction in hepatocellular carcinoma for personalized treatments.
method Multi-instance multi-label learning with oversampling for data imbalance.
result Proposed approach shows superiority in gene mutation prediction.

Proposes a fusion method for many treatment groups in ITRs.

problem Challenges in handling many treatment groups with data sparsity and covariate imbalance.
method Calibration-weighted treatment fusion procedure that balances covariates and fuses similar treatments.
result Ensures robust treatment group recovery and policy value compared to existing methods.

MDCN improves treatment effect estimation in multicenter observational studies.

problem Incongruities in multicenter observational studies due to center-specific protocols and treatment reactions.
method MDCN learns a new feature embedding to address selection bias and strengthen information sharing between similar centers.
result MDCN provides more accurate treatment insights for new, unobserved centers compared to existing methods.

New method improves causal effect estimation by addressing imbalance in training data.

problem Imbalance between treatment and control groups in training data.
method Combines distributionally robust optimization and weight regularization.
result Consistent improvements over existing methods in experiments.

Generative framework improves causal estimation from observational data.

problem Estimating individualized treatment effects from non-randomized data.
method Importance-Weighted Diffusion Distillation (IWDD) combining diffusion models and IPW.
result IWDD achieves state-of-the-art prediction performance and significantly improves causal estimation.

Framework assesses treatment effects by risk groups in observational studies.

problem Evaluating treatment effects in observational studies with risk stratification.
method Five-step framework for risk-based assessment of treatment effect heterogeneity.
result Low-risk patients received negligible absolute benefits, while high-risk patients had pronounced effects.

Machine learning can help personalized decision support by learning models to predict individual treatment effects (ITE). This work studies the reliability of prediction-based decision-making in a task of deciding which action aa to take for a target unit after observing its covariates x~\tilde{x} and predicted outcom…

2019-04-10abs ↗pdf ↗

CCN estimates full potential outcome distributions without restrictive assumptions.

problem Estimating CATE is insufficient; full potential outcome distributions provide greater insights.
method Collaborating Causal Networks (CCN) learns full potential outcome distributions without restrictive assumptions.
result CCN learns distributions that asymptotically capture true potential outcome distributions.

Brain cancer can be very fatal, but chances of survival increase through early detection and treatment. Doctors use Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) to detect and locate tumors in the brain, and very carefully analyze scans to segment brain tumors. Manual segmentation is time consuming and tiring for doctors, and it ca…

2018-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved stock price prediction model using generalized order flow imbalance.

problem Improving stock price prediction models using new order flow imbalance indicators.
method Proposed a generalized order flow imbalance construction method and applied it to CSI 500 stocks.
result Generalized Stationarized Order Flow Imbalance (log-GOFI) shows significant improvement in explaining stock price changes.

This paper examines biases in foundation models under long-tailed data and proposes a method to mitigate parameter imbalance.

problem The bias introduced by imbalanced training data in foundation models affects long-tailed downstream tasks.
method The paper examines parameter imbalance and data imbalance, proposing a backdoor adjustment method to mitigate parameter imbalance.
result An average performance increase of about 1.67% on each dataset.

Globalization processes interweave economic structures at a worldwide scale, trade playing a central role as one of the elemental channels of interaction among countries. Despite the significance of such phenomena, measuring economic globalization still remains an open problem. More quantitative treatments could improv…

2006-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper tackles causal inference with partially labeled data, introducing robust methods.

problem Challenges in causal inference due to partially labeled datasets and potential bias.
method Decaying missing-at-random framework and BRSS estimator for doubly robust causal inference.
result Established asymptotic normality of BRSS estimator under decaying labeling propensity scores.

We investigate the probability distribution of order imbalance calculated from the order flow data of 43 Chinese stocks traded on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange. Two definitions of order imbalance are considered based on the order number and the order size. We find that the order imbalance distributions of individual stoc…

2017-07-18abs ↗pdf ↗

This chapter tackles class imbalance in datasets to promote data democracy.

problem Class imbalance in datasets leading to biased decisions and policies.
method Statistical measures and data-level methods (oversampling, undersampling, etc.) applied to a real dataset.
result Popular data-level methods improve performance in handling class imbalance.

We analyze anomaly detection class imbalance using a solvable model.

problem Class imbalance hampers anomaly detection performance.
method We use an exact solution of the teacher-student perceptron model through replica theory.
result Optimal train imbalance is often different from 50%, influenced by intrinsic imbalance and data abundance.

Theoretical and empirical taxonomy of imbalance in binary classification.

problem Class imbalance degrades binary classification performance.
method Proposed a principled framework based on three scales: imbalance coefficient, sample-dimension ratio, and intrinsic separability. Derived closed-form Bayes errors and analyzed degradation across models.
result The triplet (η, κ, Δ) provides a model-agnostic explanation of imbalance-induced deterioration.

Proposes methods to improve multi-label learning by addressing local label imbalance.

problem Local label imbalance within minority class examples degrades multi-label learning performance.
method Introduces a measure to assess local label imbalance and two sampling approaches (MLSOL, MLUL) to address it.
result Experimental results show MLSOL and MLUL improve performance on multi-label datasets.

GWIB improves counterfactual regression by balancing latent distributions and reducing selection bias.

problem Selection bias between control and treatment groups negatively impacts counterfactual regression performance.
method GWIB uses Gromov-Wasserstein information bottleneck to maximize mutual information between covariates and outcomes while penalizing kernelized mutual information between latent representations and covariates.
result GWIB consistently outperforms state-of-the-art CFR methods in ITE estimation tasks.

Online class imbalance learning constitutes a new problem and an emerging research topic that focusses on the challenges of online learning under class imbalance and concept drift. Class imbalance deals with data streams that have very skewed distributions while concept drift deals with changes in the class imbalance s…

2018-09-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Modeling price dynamics in response to order flow imbalance in Chinese futures markets.

problem Understanding price dynamics in markets with order flow imbalance.
method Modeling order flow imbalance as an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with memory and mean-reverting characteristics.
result Horizon-dependent heterogeneity in conventional metrics' interaction with order flow imbalance.

The study examines how class imbalance impacts logistic regression models in low-default credit portfolios.

problem The impact of class imbalance on logistic regression models in low-default credit portfolios.
method Simulation study with controlled data-generating mechanisms to vary class imbalance and predictor-response association strength.
result Classification accuracy decreases significantly as event rate decreases, and optimal cut-off shifts with imbalance.

New method addresses class imbalance in federated learning.

problem Class imbalance in federated learning training data.
method Proposes a monitoring scheme to infer training data composition and a new loss function, Ratio Loss, to mitigate imbalance.
result Demonstrates effectiveness in mitigating class imbalance in federated learning, outperforming previous methods.

The study analyzes trading imbalances from SEC Form 13F-HR filings to identify profitable trading opportunities.

problem Identifying profitable trading opportunities based on SEC Form 13F-HR filings.
method Statistical analysis of holdings variations and imbalances between consecutive reporting periods.
result A profitable trading strategy can be implemented by betting against the sign of imbalances with a 1-2 month time horizon.

Analysis shows data imbalance slows learning curves for minority and majority classes.

problem Data imbalance impacts learning dynamics and model performance.
method Theoretical analysis of GD and SGD, including per-class normalization.
result Data imbalance causes sub-optimal learning trajectories for minority and majority classes.

Study characterizes and mitigates imbalances in neurosymbolic learning.

problem Characterizing and mitigating class-specific risks in neural classifiers.
method Theoretical analysis and practical techniques including estimating marginal gold labels and mitigating imbalances at training and testing time.
result Learning imbalances can be greatly impacted by the symbolic component σ, unlike in supervised and weakly supervised learning.

Meta-Router optimizes LLM selection using gold-standard and preference-based data.

problem Training a high-quality LLM router with combined data sources is challenging due to bias and scarcity.
method Developed an integrative causal router training framework to correct bias and improve routing accuracy.
result Our approach delivers more accurate routing and improves the trade-off between cost and quality.

Study shows GAN and GMM data augmentation improves AF signal classification accuracy.

problem Class imbalance in atrial fibrillation ECG datasets.
method Investigated various data augmentation techniques (oversampling, GMMs, GANs).
result GAN and GMM data augmentation lead to better AF signal classification accuracy.

Paper presents a probabilistic diagnostic model for identifying and treating supervised learning degradation issues.

problem Degradation problems in supervised learning, including class imbalance, overlapping, small-disjuncts, noisy labels, and sparseness.
method Develops a novel probabilistic diagnostic model to identify and treat degradation issues in supervised learning.
result Early and correct diagnosis of degradation issues allows for selecting appropriate remediation treatments and unbiased performance metrics.

A novel approach reduces class imbalance in network traffic classification.

problem Severe class imbalance in network traffic leads to poor classification performance.
method Group & Reweight strategy: clusters classes, updates weights, optimizes model.
result Improves comprehensive performance in prediction and reduces class imbalance.

Framework tackles class imbalance and noisy labels in active learning.

problem Class imbalance and noisy labels in real-world datasets.
method Uses foundation model priors to select informative samples for active learning.
result Substantial annotation savings (over 50%) with preserved performance and robustness.

Study reveals class disparities in balanced datasets through spectral imbalance.

problem Class disparities in balanced datasets are overlooked despite model performance gaps.
method Developed a theoretical framework and studied 11 encoders to diagnose spectral imbalance.
result Identified spectral imbalance as a source of class disparities in balanced datasets.

Analyzes how class imbalance and heterogeneity affect diffusion model learning dynamics.

problem Understanding how class imbalance and heterogeneity impact the learning dynamics of diffusion models.
method Developed a high-dimensional analytical framework to study class-dependent learning in score-based diffusion models.
result Class variance is the primary determinant of learning order, favoring higher-variance classes; centroid geometry plays a secondary role.

The paper introduces a new price model based on entropy that better fits high-frequency market data.

problem Understanding fair prices in high-frequency markets with bid-ask imbalance.
method A parametrized family of prices derived from the Maximum Entropy Principle, minimizing bias given volume imbalance.
result The model can generate higher kurtosis and heavy-tailed distributions compared to standard models.

Paper optimizes internal balancing of wind and hydropower to reduce intraday market volatility.

problem Reduction of intraday market volatility for power producers with wind and hydropower assets.
method Internal balancing within the same river system and sales/purchase in a pay-as-bid intraday market.
result Reduction in short-term marginal cost and risk through internal balancing.