We quantify causal bias in continuous treatment settings.
problem Identifying and quantifying causal bias in continuous treatment scenarios.
method Developed a novel characterization of causal bias in structural causal models, proving conditions for zero bias and efficient estimation.
result Causal bias can be estimated efficiently under certain structural equation restrictions, allowing for causal regularization of predictive models.
GraphTEE estimates treatment effects on graph-structured targets, mitigating bias.
problem Understanding treatment effects on graph-structured targets with observational bias.
method GraphTEE framework focusing on confounding variable sets and new regularization.
result GraphTEE mitigates bias better than previous methods.
Paper tackles treatment leakage in text-based causal inference, proposing methods to mitigate bias.
problem Treatment leakage in text-as-confounder applications introduces bias in causal estimates.
method Formal definitions, four text distillation methods (passage removal, classification, salient feature removal, nullspace projection).
result Moderate distillation optimally balances bias reduction against confounder retention.
TCFimt forecasts causal effects of multiple interventions from individual data.
problem Estimating causal effects of temporal multi-interventions from individual data.
method TCFimt uses adversarial tasks in seq2seq framework to alleviate bias and contrastive learning to decouple effects.
result TCFimt outperforms state-of-the-art methods in predicting future outcomes and choosing optimal treatments.
Heteroskedasticity biases uplift model rankings, leading to inefficient treatment allocation.
problem Bias in uplift model rankings due to heteroskedasticity.
method Theoretical analysis and simulation on real-world data.
result Heteroskedasticity can cause individuals with high treatment effects to be ranked at the bottom, leading to inefficient treatment allocation.
CFR-Pro enhances treatment effect estimation by incorporating local proximity.
problem Treatment selection bias in HTE estimation from observational data.
method Proximity-enhanced CounterFactual Regression (CFR-Pro) with pair-wise proximity regularizer and subspace projector.
result Significantly outperforms competitors in HTE estimation accuracy.
Reduces selection bias in estimating individual treatment effects.
problem Selection bias in counterfactual reasoning.
method Auto-encoder with regularized loss based on Pearson Correlation Coefficient.
result Improves performance in estimating individual treatment effects.
New method estimates individual treatment effects using domain generalization.
problem Estimating causal individual treatment effects from observational data with treatment bias.
method Invariant Risk Minimization (IRM) framework to learn predictors invariant to domain-dependent factors.
result IRM-based ITE estimator shows gains over classical regression approaches in settings with pronounced support mismatch.
We discovered secular trend bias in a drug effectiveness study for a recently approved drug. We compared treatment outcomes between patients who received the newly approved drug and patients exposed to the standard treatment. All patients diagnosed after the new drug's approval date were considered. We built a machine …
Selective imputation improves treatment effect estimation from missing data.
problem Missing data complicates treatment effect estimation, especially with treatment variables.
method Introduced mixed confounded missingness (MCM) and selective imputation.
result Selective imputation provides unbiased treatment effect estimates.
New framework minimizes interference and selection bias in network A/B testing.
problem Interference and selection bias in network A/B testing.
method Proposes a principled framework that jointly minimizes interference and selection bias using edge spillover probability and cluster matching.
result Significantly lower error in causal effect estimation compared to existing solutions.
A neural framework corrects bias in estimating individual treatment effects.
problem Estimating individual treatment effects from observational data.
method An anchored neural architecture and precision-corrected intersection-bound inference.
result Corrected bias and maintained nominal coverage in high-dimensional settings.
Proposes ESCFR to estimate treatment effects from biased data.
problem Treatment selection bias in observational data.
method Stochastic optimal transport with relaxed mass-preserving and proximal factual outcome regularizers.
result Significantly better performance in estimating treatment effects.
VTD uses deep embeddings to estimate treatment effects from longitudinal data without unconfoundedness assumption.
problem Challenges in estimating individualized treatment effects from longitudinal observational data due to confounding bias.
method Leverages deep variational embeddings and observed proxies to learn hidden confounders.
result Effective in estimating treatment effects when hidden confounding is the leading bias.
A new method corrects weight values to improve treatment effect estimation.
problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in high-dimensional data with sample selection bias.
method Differentiable Pareto-Smoothed Weighting (DPSW) framework.
result Our method outperforms existing methods in treatment effect estimation.
Novel strategy benchmarks observational studies against randomized trials.
problem Benchmarking observational studies for treatment effect bias.
method Statistical test for null hypothesis of treatment effect difference.
result Valid lower bound on maximum bias strength for any subgroup.
Proposes TSCI method to infer causal effects with weak or invalid instruments using machine learning.
problem Causal inference with weak or invalid instrumental variables.
method Two-stage curvature identification (TSCI) using machine learning.
result Asymptotically unbiased and Gaussian estimator for causal effects.
Estimates treatment effects in bipartite systems with partial eligibility and interference.
problem Randomized experiments in bipartite systems with partial treatment eligibility and interference.
method Formalizes eligibility-constrained bipartite experiments, defines PTTE and STTE, identifies conditions, develops ensemble estimators, introduces projection.
result Proposed estimators recover PTTE and STTE with low bias and variance, corrects interference bias in field experiments.
Improves treatment effect estimation by reducing sample size needed.
problem Estimating causal treatment effects from observational data requires many covariates, increasing sample size.
method Proposes a nonconvex joint sparsity regularization objective function to recover a sparse subset of covariates.
result Improves sample complexity to scale with the size of the sparse subset and log of the total covariates.
Method estimates treatment effects with continuous values, correcting for confounding.
problem Estimating treatment effects with continuous values, dealing with confounding.
method Two-stage kernel ridge regression: first stage learns response, second stage corrects for distribution shift.
result Optimal learning bounds achieved without estimating treatment density, adapts to unknown overlap and kernel spectral decay.
Paper tackles causal inference with partially labeled data, introducing robust methods.
problem Challenges in causal inference due to partially labeled datasets and potential bias.
method Decaying missing-at-random framework and BRSS estimator for doubly robust causal inference.
result Established asymptotic normality of BRSS estimator under decaying labeling propensity scores.
This study optimizes neural networks for doubly robust ATE estimation to balance bias and variance.
problem Balancing bias and variance in doubly robust estimators with neural networks.
method Investigates two neural network architectures and their hyperparameters in the presence of confounders and IVs.
result Optimal hyperparameters for neural networks reduce bias-variance tradeoff for ATE estimators.
The paper addresses bias in survival analysis due to informative censoring.
problem Bias in treatment effect estimates due to informative censoring in survival analysis.
method Assumption-lean framework using partial identification to derive bounds on CATE.
result Proposes a meta-learner, SurvB-learner, to estimate bounds on CATE.
Study proposes a new method to estimate bias-correction term for ATE estimation.
problem Estimating the bias-correction term for ATE estimation.
method Directly estimating the bias-correction term by minimizing Bregman divergence.
result Automatic covariate balancing property achieved through specific model choices.
CONE evaluates treatment assignment functions using networked observational data to mitigate hidden confounding bias.
problem Evaluate treatment assignment functions using networked observational data with hidden confounders.
method CONE framework that learns partial representations of latent confounders and combines them for counterfactual evaluation.
result Network information mitigates hidden confounding bias in counterfactual evaluation.
Improves treatment effect estimates using coordinated deep learning.
problem Estimating treatment effects from observational data with high-dimensional covariates.
method Uses double machine learning with a coordinated deep learning algorithm to reduce bias.
result Demonstrates improved empirical performance through numerical experiments.
From scientific experiments to online A/B testing, the previously observed data often affects how future experiments are performed, which in turn affects which data will be collected. Such adaptivity introduces complex correlations between the data and the collection procedure. In this paper, we prove that when the dat…
Paper introduces new importance metrics for machine learning models, linking them to CATE.
problem Interpreting black-box models' importance metrics due to data dependence and non-parametric nature.
method Introduces MVIM and CVIM, proposing permutation-based estimation and bias-variance decomposition.
result MVIM and CVIM have a quadratic relationship with CATE, addressing bias in correlated predictors.
This study quantifies uncertainty in comparing treatments using RCTs with before-and-after measures.
problem Uncertainty in comparing treatments using RCTs with before-and-after measures.
method New statistical modeling principle called ETZ enables counterfactual uncertainty quantification (CUQ) in RCTs with Before-and-After Repeated Measures.
result CUQ typically has lower variability than factual uncertainty quantification and can be achieved in RCTs.
MDCN improves treatment effect estimation in multicenter observational studies.
problem Incongruities in multicenter observational studies due to center-specific protocols and treatment reactions.
method MDCN learns a new feature embedding to address selection bias and strengthen information sharing between similar centers.
result MDCN provides more accurate treatment insights for new, unobserved centers compared to existing methods.
A new estimator reduces bias and improves efficiency for staggered adoption studies.
problem Bias in difference-in-differences estimates for staggered adoption studies.
method Fused Extended Two-Way Fixed Effects (FETWFE) estimator with automatic parameter selection.
result FETWFE identifies correct restrictions with probability tending to one, improving efficiency.
Proposes efficient data acquisition for personalized treatment effects from observational data.
problem Efficiently acquiring outcomes for personalized treatment effects in observational studies.
method Introduces causal, Bayesian acquisition functions to select points with overlapping support.
result Demonstrates improved sample efficiency and accuracy in learning personalized treatment effects.
New estimator reduces bias in interference studies on content marketplaces.
problem Interference bias in experiments on content marketplaces like Douyin.
method Developed a Monte-Carlo estimator based on DQ techniques.
result Achieved bias second-order in treatment effect with low variance.
Estimates CATEs for structured treatments using a new decomposition method.
problem Estimating conditional average treatment effects for complex data types.
method Generalized Robinson decomposition, isolating causal estimand, arbitrary model plugging, quasi-oracle convergence guarantee.
result Demonstrates superior performance in CATE estimation compared to prior work.
Study evaluates machine learning for predicting treatment effects in observational studies.
problem Challenges in measuring treatment effects due to confounding bias in observational studies.
method Simulated two scenarios with and without confounding, using linear and non-linear relationships. Used machine learning models (linear regression, lasso regression, random forest) to predict counterfactuals and treatment effects.
result Machine learning models perform well under linearity but poorly under non-linearity, even in the presence of confounding.
Proposes stabilized weights for causal inference using isotonic calibration.
problem Stability and bias issues in inverse propensity weighting.
method Post-hoc isotonic calibration of inverse propensity weights.
result Improves performance of doubly robust estimators of average treatment effect.
Estimates heterogeneous treatment effects by grouping conditional average treatment effects.
problem Non-randomized experiments suffer from selection bias.
method Doubly-robust estimator, machine learning for propensity score and conditional mean functions, linear projection model, Neyman-orthogonal moments.
result Lower absolute errors and smaller bias compared to benchmark estimator.
New method estimates treatment effects across different populations.
problem Estimating treatment effects across populations with changing distributions.
method SBRL-HAP framework combining balancing and independence regularizers with hierarchical attention.
result Significant improvement in HTE estimation across out-of-distribution populations.
Synthetic control method improves policy evaluation in high-dimensional settings.
problem Evaluating the impact of new policies in large-scale applications.
method Two-phase approach: nearest neighbor matching followed by supervised learning.
result The method successfully improves estimate accuracy in large-scale experiments.
This paper tackles selection bias in recommender systems by considering the neighborhood effect.
problem Selection bias in recommender systems due to filtering and user selection.
method Formalizes neighborhood effect as interference problem, introduces treatment representation, and proposes ideal loss.
result Proposed methods achieve unbiased learning when both selection bias and neighborhood effect are present.
Proposes bounds on bias from low-dimensional representations in CATE estimation.
problem Bias in CATE estimation due to low-dimensional representations.
method Proposes a refutation framework to estimate bounds on representation-induced confounding bias.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of refutation framework in practice.
Dynamic treatment effects estimated over time using covariate balancing.
problem Estimating treatment effects in panel data with dynamic treatments.
method Dynamic covariate balancing with potential local projections.
result Established inferential guarantees for the proposed method.
This paper addresses external validity bias in causal inference.
problem Estimating causal effects in a target population.
method Synthesis of approaches for generalizability and transportability, including tests for heterogeneity of treatment effects and differences between study and target populations.
result Framework for addressing external validity bias in causal inference.
The sample mean is among the most well studied estimators in statistics, having many desirable properties such as unbiasedness and consistency. However, when analyzing data collected using a multi-armed bandit (MAB) experiment, the sample mean is biased and much remains to be understood about its properties. For exampl…
Aggregation challenges causal interpretation of IV estimators.
problem Aggregation of fine-grained components into an aggregate treatment variable.
method Characterization of conditions for identifying aggregate causal effects.
result Standard IV estimators cannot identify aggregate causal effects due to ambiguous dependencies.
CARD detects treatment responders with machine learning and adjustment.
problem Identifying responders in non-random treatment settings.
method Conformal prediction, machine learning, propensity score adjustment.
result High power responder detection in various scenarios.
BICauseTree improves causal effect estimation by identifying clusters and balancing treatment allocation.
problem Improving interpretability and transparency in causal effect models from observational data.
method Hierarchical bias-driven stratification using decision trees with a customized objective function.
result BICauseTree provides interpretable causal effect estimation and is comparable to existing methods.
Develops a deep survival model for causal inference in longitudinal studies.
problem Estimating treatment effects on time-to-event outcomes in observational studies with time-dependent covariates.
method TCS model using potential outcomes framework and ensemble of recurrent subnetworks.
result Identifies conditional average treatment effects and individual treatment effect heterogeneity over time.