Deep models for financial transactions are vulnerable to adversarial attacks, especially when adding transaction tokens.
problem Vulnerability of deep models to adversarial attacks on financial transaction records.
method Examine adversarial attacks and defenses on transaction records data, considering black-box attacks and adding transaction tokens.
result A few generated transactions can fool a deep-learning model, highlighting the need for robustness improvements.
Paper predicts transaction confirmation time in Ethereum blockchain using machine learning.
problem Estimating transaction confirmation time in Ethereum blockchain.
method Uses machine learning, specifically Random Forest Regressor and Multilayer Perceptron, to predict transaction confirmation time.
result Proposed model shows improved accuracy in predicting transaction confirmation time compared to statistical models.
This research develops heuristics to detect CoinJoin transactions on Bitcoin blockchain.
problem Compromised privacy in Bitcoin transactions due to CoinJoin.
method Analyzed open-source CoinJoin implementations to develop heuristics.
result Refined heuristics for identifying CoinJoin transactions on the blockchain.
This survey analyzes knowledge discovery in cryptocurrency transactions.
problem Understanding user behaviors and collective actions in cryptocurrency transactions.
method Data mining techniques and literature review.
result Classified existing research into three aspects and discussed major findings.
It is widely believed that fluctuations in transaction volume, as reflected in the number of transactions and to a lesser extent their size, are the main cause of clustered volatility. Under this view bursts of rapid or slow price diffusion reflect bursts of frequent or less frequent trading, which cause both clustered…
BreachRadar detects points-of-compromise in bank transactions to prevent fraud.
problem Detecting and preventing bank transaction fraud caused by data breaches.
method A distributed alternating algorithm that assigns probabilities to different locations being compromised.
result BreachRadar achieves over 90% precision and recall in detecting compromised cards.
Study shows priority access in ELA auctions is less valuable due to volatility risks.
problem Impact of volatility on time-based transaction ordering policies.
method Single-round model with risk-averse bidders, tested using ETH price data.
result Priority access is discounted due to volatility and risk aversion.
Study reveals inefficiencies in EU carbon trading market.
problem Inefficiencies in carbon trading market undermine emission reduction goals.
method Analysis of granular transaction data from 2005-2020.
result 40% of firms never trade in a given year, and many trade only during high-price months.
This paper analyzes Ethereum blockchain using topology and geometry to uncover crypto-token price dynamics.
problem Lack of understanding on crypto-token price dynamics from blockchain data.
method Topological data analysis and functional data depth.
result Ethereum blockchain provides insights into crypto-token price dynamics not accessible with conventional methods.
We quantitatively investigate the ideas behind the often-expressed adage `it takes volume to move stock prices', and study the statistical properties of the number of shares traded QΔt for a given stock in a fixed time interval Δt. We analyze transaction data for the largest 1000 stocks for the two-year period 1…
Prices of commodities or assets produce what is called time-series. Different kinds of financial time-series have been recorded and studied for decades. Nowadays, all transactions on a financial market are recorded, leading to a huge amount of data available, either for free in the Internet or commercially. Financial t…
Deep neural network predicts event ticket prices considering spatial-temporal data sparsity.
problem Predicting future ticket prices from sparse and spatiotemporal data.
method Bi-level optimizing deep neural network with coarsening and refining layers, bi-level loss function.
result Our model outperforms other methods in real-world ticket price prediction.
The process of liquidity provision in financial markets can result in prolonged exposure to illiquid instruments for market makers. In this case, where a proprietary position is not desired, pro-actively targeting the right client who is likely to be interested can be an effective means to offset this position, rather …
Paper uses LLMs to detect financial anomalies.
problem Detecting irregular financial entries.
method Non-semantic financial data encoding with LLMs embeddings, tested 3 models.
result LLMs improve anomaly detection in financial data.
Interaction graphs, such as those recording emails between individuals or transactions between institutions, tend to be sparse yet structured, and often grow in an unbounded manner. Such behavior can be well-captured by structured, nonparametric edge-exchangeable graphs. However, such exchangeable models necessarily ig…
In this paper we consider an information theoretic approach for the accounting classification process. We propose a matrix formalism and an algorithm for calculations of information theoretic measures associated to accounting classification. The formalism may be useful for further generalizations and computer-based imp…
Intensive development of urban systems creates a number of challenges for urban planners and policy makers in order to maintain sustainable growth. Running efficient urban policies requires meaningful urban metrics, which could quantify important urban characteristics including various aspects of an actual human behavi…
Study confirms eurozone interbank market stability but finds higher collateral reuse.
problem Analyzing eurozone interbank market behavior and stability.
method Examined secured transactions data from ECB, tested stylized facts, measured network properties.
result Observed higher collateral reuse and network symmetry compared to unsecured markets.
Nowadays, with the availability of massive amount of trade data collected, the dynamics of the financial markets pose both a challenge and an opportunity for high frequency traders. In order to take advantage of the rapid, subtle movement of assets in High Frequency Trading (HFT), an automatic algorithm to analyze and …
Polymarket-v1 Database tracks 1.2B trades across 1.3M markets with 100% ground-truth direction.
problem Lack of ground-truth data in prediction markets archives.
method Ground-truth archive of 1.2B trades from Polymarket's CTF Exchange.
result Ground-truth data reveals systematic errors in microstructure metrics.
FinSurvival provides a large-scale financial survival modeling benchmark.
problem Lack of large-scale, realistic, and freely available datasets for benchmarking AI survival models.
method Derived 16 survival modeling tasks from cryptocurrency lending data using an automated pipeline.
result Demonstrated that existing AI survival models are not well-suited for these challenging tasks.
Real world markets display power-law features in variables such as price fluctuations in stocks. To further understand market behavior, we have conducted a series of market experiments on our web-based prediction market platform which allows us to reconstruct transaction networks among traders. From these networks, we …
TLMG4Eth combines language and graph models for Ethereum fraud detection.
problem Current fraud detection methods fail to consider semantic and similarity patterns in Ethereum transactions.
method TLMG4Eth uses a transaction language model and graph-based methods to capture semantic, similarity, and structural features.
result TLMG4Eth detects anomalies in Ethereum transactions more effectively than existing methods.
Investment strategy optimized in markets with transaction costs and search delays.
problem Maximizing wealth in an illiquid market with transaction costs and search frictions.
method Characterized no-trade region and provided asymptotic expansions of value function for small transaction costs.
result The effects of transaction costs are more pronounced in illiquid markets.
The study examines portfolio optimization with quadratic transaction costs, complicating the optimization process.
problem Portfolio optimization with quadratic transaction costs is more challenging than with linear costs.
method Introduced numerical algorithms to solve the optimization problem with quadratic transaction costs.
result Quadratic transaction costs significantly impact the expected returns of optimized portfolios.
Transaction costs appear in financial markets in more than one form. There are several results in the literature on small proportional transaction cost and not that many on fixed transaction cost. In the present work, we heuristically study the effect of both types of transaction cost by focusing on a portfolio optimiz…
Model shows how price impact and transaction costs affect trading behavior and profits.
problem Analyzing trading behavior and profits in markets with transaction costs and price impact.
method Proves the existence of an equilibrium in a model with transaction costs and price impact.
result Existence of a strictly positive optimal transaction cost from the exchange's perspective.
The study examines pricing American options with both exogenous and endogenous transaction costs.
problem Pricing American options with transaction costs and liquidity risks.
method Modeling liquidity risks as a mean-reverting process and transaction costs as proportional to trading amount. Two nonlinear PDEs are used to characterize option values. Numerical solution via ADI method and model calibration using maximum likelihood estimation.
result The model incorporating liquidity risks significantly outperforms the Leland model.
Study reveals dynamic causal relationships between Ethereum transaction fees and economic subsystems.
problem Historical gas fee volatility caused economic disequilibria and stakeholder challenges.
method Time-varying Granger causality analysis using data on active wallets and transaction volume.
result Dynamic bidirectional causal relationships between transaction fees and economic subsystems across Ethereum.
The paper bridges stochastic control and deep hedging for European call options with transaction costs.
problem Hedging and pricing European call options with proportional transaction costs.
method Complementary perspectives: stochastic control and deep hedging. Two architectures proposed: NTBN-Delta and WW-NTBN.
result WW-NTBN converges faster, matches no-transaction bands more closely, and generalizes well across transaction cost regimes.
New method improves blockchain analysis by handling temporal changes and scalability.
problem Limited focus on evolving nature and scalability of blockchain transaction networks.
method Incremental approach with Metropolis-Hastings random walks.
result Comparable performance in node classification tasks with reduced computational overhead.
PRAGMA models financial event sequences for various banking tasks.
problem Handling diverse financial data for multiple applications.
method Pre-training a Transformer model on a large banking event corpus with a self-supervised objective.
result PRAGMA achieves superior performance across multiple financial domains from raw event sequences.
Improved option pricing model with transaction costs.
problem Inaccurate option pricing without considering transaction costs.
method Developed a replicating strategy with exponentially decreasing transaction costs.
result Validated the effectiveness of the new model through simulations.
The paper optimizes portfolios with transaction costs in a large asset universe.
problem Optimizing portfolios with transaction costs in a large asset universe.
method Mean-variance optimization with nonconvex penalty for proportional and quadratic transaction costs.
result The proposed models show satisfactory performance and highlight the importance of transaction costs.
The definition of time is still an open question when one deals with high frequency time series. If time is simply the calendar time, prices can be modeled as continuous random processes and values resulting from transactions or given quotes are discrete samples of this underlying dynamics. On the contrary, if one take…
Study how transaction costs impact stock returns and holdings in equilibrium.
problem Impact of quadratic transaction costs on equilibrium stock returns and holdings.
method Developed a continuous-time risk-sharing model with FBSDEs to characterize equilibrium stock holdings and trading rates.
result Equilibrium stock holdings and trading rates are uniquely determined by FBSDEs, and equilibrium return by a system of coupled FBSDEs.
Bank transactions help predict macroeconomic indexes faster and more accurately.
problem Lag in macroeconomic index availability and autoregressive models' limitations in complex scenarios.
method Use financial transactions data to estimate macroeconomic indexes using neural networks and smart sampling.
result Neural network approach outperforms baseline methods on hand-crafted features based on transactions.
Ethereum block builders can earn up to $14M/month by reordering transactions, harming users.
problem Block builders can exploit transaction reordering to earn significant profits, harming users.
method Estimation of MEV payments and analysis of reordering effects.
result Block builders can earn up to $14M/month by reordering transactions, skewing the distribution.
Generative model predicts NFT collection transactions based on early history.
problem Predict future transactions of newly minted NFT collections.
method Unsupervised learning to extract contexts, then generate future transactions.
result Projected market value of new NFT collections.
The paper addresses hedging Asian options with transaction costs using asymptotic hedging.
problem Hedging Asian options in markets with transaction costs.
method Asymptotic hedging approach.
result Probability convergence of investment portfolio value to payment function as revision count approaches infinity.
We examine the relationship between trading volumes, number of transactions, and volatility using daily stock data of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Following the mixture of distributions hypothesis, we use trading volumes and the number of transactions as proxy for the rate of information arrivals affecting stock volatilit…
Unified asymptotics for investment in markets with transaction costs and search frictions.
problem Investment in markets with transaction costs and search frictions.
method Power-utility maximization problem with proportional transaction costs and Poisson-triggered trades, analyzed using a novel asymptotic framework.
result Explicit asymptotics for the no-trade region and value function derived.
Investigates how trading boundaries change with transaction costs in portfolio selection.
problem Investigates how trading boundaries vary with transaction costs in portfolio selection.
method Analyzes Merton's problem with proportional transaction costs, showing monotonicity of trading boundaries.
result Cost-adjusted trading boundaries are monotone in transaction costs, with implications for the Merton line.
The M and A transactions represent a wide range of unique business optimization opportunities in the corporate transformation deals, which are usually characterized by the high level of total risk. The M and A transactions can be successfully implemented by taking to an account the size of investments, purchase price, …
Study finds public procurement awards, especially NGEU-funded ones, boost new lending.
problem Understanding the impact of public procurement on new lending.
method Panel data local projections model, controlling for various factors.
result Public procurement awards, particularly NGEU-funded ones, significantly increase new lending.
Cohort analysis speeds up Bitcoin blockchain data queries.
problem Efficiently querying Bitcoin blockchain data for economic insights.
method Cohort analysis applied to Bitcoin transaction data.
result Creation of datasets and visualizations for key Bitcoin transaction indicators.
We study partial hedging for game options in markets with transaction costs bounded from below. More precisely, we assume that the investor's transaction costs for each trade are the maximum between proportional transaction costs and a fixed transaction costs. We prove that in the continuous time Black--Scholes (BS) mo…
Money flow models are essential tools to understand different economical phenomena, like saving propensities and wealth distributions. In spite of their importance, most of them are based on synthetic transaction networks with simple topologies, e.g. random or scale-free ones, as the characterisation of real networks i…