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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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3587161,0741,432 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for trajectory modeling

Generative model learns vehicle trajectory distributions for better data generalization.

problem Data sparsity and privacy issues in urban vehicle trajectory analysis.
method Generative adversarial imitation learning framework for urban vehicle trajectory generation.
result TrajGAIL model produces synthetic trajectories similar to real ones, achieving significant performance gains.

Analyzing the urban trajectory in cities has become an important topic in data mining. How can we model the human mobility consisting of stay and travel from the raw trajectory data? How can we infer such a mobility model from the single trajectory information? How can we further generalize the mobility inference to ac…

2020-01-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved Gaussian Process model for predicting trajectories without independence assumption errors.

problem Incorrect independence assumption in previous work on Gaussian Process uncertainty propagation.
method Proposed a novel piecewise linear approximation to correct the independence assumption in continuous models.
result Corrected the independence assumption in Gaussian Process models for predicting trajectories.

We use splines and the Sasaki metric to analyze and compare manifold-valued trajectories.

problem Analyzing and comparing trajectories on Riemannian manifolds.
method Riemannian hierarchical model, Bézier splines, Sasaki metric.
result Spline-based approaches outperform state-of-the-art methods in intensity classification of trajectories.

Reasoning models generate differently based on problem difficulty, not just length.

problem Understanding how reasoning models handle different problem difficulties.
method Examined hidden-state trajectories across competitive programming, mathematics, and Boolean satisfiability.
result Corrected trajectory geometry shows difficulty-dependent differences in reasoning models, with stronger effects in the code domain.

Trajectory optimization using a learned model of the environment is one of the core elements of model-based reinforcement learning. This procedure often suffers from exploiting inaccuracies of the learned model. We propose to regularize trajectory optimization by means of a denoising autoencoder that is trained on the …

2019-03-28abs ↗pdf ↗

A new reinforcement learning method reduces action complexity for robust control.

problem Deep reinforcement learning's susceptibility to spurious correlations.
method Minimizing trajectory entropy to encourage simple, predictable actions.
result Trajectory Entropy Reinforcement Learning achieves superior performance and robustness.

WayDCM predicts trajectories considering long-term goals, improving accuracy.

problem Predicting future trajectories of dynamic agents in complex environments.
method WayDCM combines DCM and NN to predict intermediate goals and trajectories, considering long-term goals.
result WayDCM outperforms previous methods on the Waymo Open dataset.

In this paper we propose a new method to predict the final destination of vehicle trips based on their initial partial trajectories. We first review how we obtained clustering of trajectories that describes user behaviour. Then, we explain how we model main traffic flow patterns by a mixture of 2d Gaussian distribution…

2016-05-10abs ↗pdf ↗

A new neural network captures and explains trajectory patterns.

problem Analyzing complex spatial trajectories in urban planning and neuroscience.
method Composite Signal Neural Networks (CompSNN) combining three interpretable ANN modules.
result CompSNN outperforms individual modules and visualizes useful signal parts.

End-to-end model predicts multiagent trajectories using game theory and neural nets.

problem Predicting trajectories of interacting agents in complex scenarios.
method Hybrid neural net with game-theoretic reasoning, using implicit layers to map preferences to Nash equilibria.
result Trains an interpretable model that predicts future trajectories and transfers to decision making.

The paper develops no arbitrage results for trajectory based models by imposing general constraints on the trading portfolios. The main condition imposed, in order to avoid arbitrage opportunities, is a local continuity requirement on the final portfolio value considered as a functional on the trajectory space. The pap…

2014-03-22abs ↗pdf ↗

We address the problem of abnormal event detection from trajectory data. In this paper, a new adversarial approach is proposed for building a deep neural network binary classifier, trained in an unsupervised fashion, that can distinguish normal from abnormal trajectory-based events without the need for setting manual d…

2019-03-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper characterizes optimal learning trajectories for high-dimensional nonlinear models.

problem Characterizing optimal learning trajectories in high-dimensional nonlinear models.
method Exploits maximum principle and dynamic programming for an optimal control problem of a gradient system.
result Constructs optimal learning trajectories leading to optimal model parameters.

New algorithm infers trajectories from partial observations using optimal transport.

problem Inferring trajectories from partial observations of coupled systems.
method Extends MFL algorithm to latent SDEs using observable state space models and partial observations.
result Experiments show significant outperformance over latent-free baseline.

TraLFM models human mobility patterns from traffic trajectories.

problem Understanding human mobility patterns from traffic data.
method Latent factor modeling of sequential, personal, and temporal factors.
result TraLFM significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods in latent factor analysis and next location prediction.

PhysVarMix predicts diverse urban trajectories with physics constraints.

problem Predicting complex urban agent trajectories with multiple plausible scenarios.
method Physics-informed variational mixture model combining learning and physics constraints.
result Superior performance compared to existing methods on benchmark datasets.

Algorithm learns mixtures of Markov chains and MDPs from short trajectories.

problem Learning mixtures of Markov chains and MDPs from short unlabeled trajectories.
method Subspace estimation, spectral clustering, EM algorithm, model estimation, classification.
result 96.6% average accuracy on a mixture of two MDPs in gridworld, outperforming EM algorithm with random initialization.

Study uses vehicle trajectory data to predict traffic incidents on highways.

problem Early detection of traffic incidents to reduce secondary crashes.
method Machine learning algorithms (Logistic Regression, Random Forest, Extreme Gradient Boost, Artificial Neural Network) applied to vehicle trajectory data.
result Random Forest model performs best for incident prediction.

Improves neural relational inference for dynamic multi-agent trajectories.

problem Limited accuracy of NRI in short output sequences for relational inference in multi-agent trajectories.
method Proposes DYnamic multi-AgentRelational Inference (DYARI) model to handle changing interactions over time.
result DYARI model outperforms NRI in dynamic relational inference tasks.

Robots need models of human behavior for both inferring human goals and preferences, and predicting what people will do. A common model is the Boltzmann noisily-rational decision model, which assumes people approximately optimize a reward function and choose trajectories in proportion to their exponentiated reward. Whi…

2020-01-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Trajectory owner prediction is the basis for many applications such as personalized recommendation, urban planning. Although much effort has been put on this topic, the results archived are still not good enough. Existing methods mainly employ RNNs to model trajectories semantically due to the inherent sequential attri…

2020-01-05abs ↗pdf ↗

New method improves learning from multiple correlated data trajectories.

problem Learning from multiple correlated data trajectories without mixing assumptions.
method Hellinger localization framework for maximum likelihood estimation.
result Instance-optimal bounds that scale with full data budget under broad conditions.

Deep Reinforcement Learning has shown tremendous success in solving several games and tasks in robotics. However, unlike humans, it generally requires a lot of training instances. Trajectories imitating to solve the task at hand can help to increase sample-efficiency of deep RL methods. In this paper, we present a simp…

2018-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Algorithm recovers graph from Glauber dynamics trajectory without mixing.

problem Learning Gaussian graphical models from a single Glauber dynamics trajectory.
method Three components: conditional variance estimation, pairwise influence test, robust median aggregation.
result Polynomial-time recovery of conditional independence graph from a single trajectory.

Navigating complex urban environments safely is a key to realize fully autonomous systems. Predicting future locations of vulnerable road users, such as pedestrians and cyclists, thus, has received a lot of attention in the recent years. While previous works have addressed modeling interactions with the static (obstacl…

2019-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Variational inference improves training of generative flow networks.

problem Training generative flow networks efficiently and accurately.
method Define variational objectives in terms of KL divergences and optimize convex combinations.
result Variational inference methods can reduce the variance of gradients in training generative flow networks.

The paper proposes a deep generative model for complex disease trajectories.

problem Modeling and analyzing complex disease trajectories.
method Deep generative time series approach with semi-supervised latent processes.
result The model can discover novel aspects of diseases and cluster them into new sub-types.

DETECT clusters mobility behaviors from trajectories using deep learning.

problem Clustering similar mobility behaviors in large, complex trajectory data.
method DETECT uses deep learning to cluster mobility behaviors from trajectories, transforming and summarizing them to identify similar behaviors.
result DETECT effectively clusters mobility behaviors from real-world datasets.