Applying machine learning in the health care domain has shown promising results in recent years. Interpretable outputs from learning algorithms are desirable for decision making by health care personnel. In this work, we explore the possibility of utilizing causal relationships to refine diagnostic prediction. We focus…
Spectral measurements reveal hidden representation geometry in language model training.
problem Hidden internal representation in language model training is hard to examine.
method Empirical protocol using activation covariance and per-sample gradient SVD spectra.
result Batch size affects representation geometry, and activation spectra predict token efficiency.
Quickly adapts fault diagnosis models for industrial machines.
problem Fault diagnostic models trained for lab machines fail on industrial ones.
method Net2Net transformation followed by fine-tuning.
result Models can be quickly adapted for new operating conditions.
Paper improves predictive distributions for rare events using a simple framework.
problem Local miscalibration of predictive distributions for rare events.
method Semiparametric diagnostic transport maps to correct tail probabilities.
result Semiparametric maps improve predictions for severe weather hazards.
Study examines influence diagnostics in high-dimensional M-estimation.
problem Understanding influence diagnostics in high-dimensional settings.
method Characterized the distribution of leave-one-out influences in high-dimensional Gaussian M-estimation.
result The distribution of influences converges to a limiting measure in high-dimensional settings.
Graph-based approach repairs programs from diagnostic feedback.
problem Learning to repair programs from limited labeled data and compiler error messages.
method Introduces program-feedback graph and graph neural network for reasoning, and self-supervised learning with unlabeled programs.
result DrRepair significantly outperforms prior work, achieving high repair rates.
Recent studies have shown promising results in using Deep Learning to detect malignancy in whole slide imaging. However, they were limited to just predicting positive or negative finding for a specific neoplasm. We attempted to use Deep Learning with a convolutional neural network algorithm to build a lymphoma diagnost…
The paper introduces a diagnostic method to detect grokking transitions in models before test accuracy improves.
problem Detecting the transition from training to generalization in machine learning models.
method Summarize task-dependent observables as empirical distributions, map them to Wasserstein/quantile coordinates, and analyze using Hankel dynamic mode decomposition.
result The diagnostic method achieves AUROC \(\approx\) 0.93 for grokking-vs-non-grokking discrimination at the run level.
Bias in training data affects diagnostic algorithms' performance.
problem Bias in training data leads to biased predictions in diagnostic algorithms.
method Survey of MICCAI 2018 proceedings, analysis of a skin lesions dataset, adversarial training setup.
result Classifier performance varies significantly between subgroups based on age and sex.
This paper simplifies deep ReLU networks into local linear models for better interpretability.
problem Limited transparency and interpretability of deep neural networks, especially ReLU networks.
method Local linear representation and equivalent set of local linear models (LLMs).
result Simplified deep ReLU networks for better interpretability and diagnostics.
Cockpit provides tools for debugging deep neural networks during training.
problem Limited real-time training diagnostics for deep learning models.
method Cockpit uses novel higher-order information about gradient distribution and curvature.
result Facilitates identification of learning phases and failure modes.
Paper proposes a diagnostic tool for evaluating model performance out-of-sample.
problem Evaluating model performance on unseen data.
method Uses a finite calibration dataset to assess future losses.
result Provides guarantees under weak assumptions and quantifies distribution shifts.
Automated suggestions help train technicians diagnose incidents faster.
problem Manual and time-consuming incident diagnosis by train maintenance technicians.
method Developed and deployed a learning machine to suggest diagnostics to technicians.
result The model refines its accuracy through feedback from experts and uses feature engineering.
Transfer learning improves machine learning models for equipment diagnostics.
problem Limited model performance due to training data mismatch.
method Transfer learning to reuse knowledge from similar tasks.
result Transfer learning enhances model applicability in PHM.
New diagnostics detect variability in individual risk estimates from machine learning models in healthcare.
problem Variability in individual risk estimates from machine learning models in healthcare, leading to unreliable treatment decisions.
method Proposed evaluation framework using empirical prediction interval width and empirical decision flip rate diagnostics.
result Randomness in optimization and initialization can lead to substantial individual-level variability in risk estimates, affecting clinical decisions.
Paper presents a probabilistic diagnostic model for identifying and treating supervised learning degradation issues.
problem Degradation problems in supervised learning, including class imbalance, overlapping, small-disjuncts, noisy labels, and sparseness.
method Develops a novel probabilistic diagnostic model to identify and treat degradation issues in supervised learning.
result Early and correct diagnosis of degradation issues allows for selecting appropriate remediation treatments and unbiased performance metrics.
New framework uses geometry of embeddings to predict robustness.
problem Monitoring robustness in models without OOD labels.
method Constructs graphs from embeddings, measures spectral complexity and curvature.
result Representation geometry predicts robustness reliably.
Protocol diagnoses neural HJB-PIDE solvers for Lévy jumps, revealing a missing factor in their importance-proposal density.
problem Neural PDE solvers can match scalar diagnostics but miscompute operators, leading to systematic errors.
method Five-step diagnostic protocol decomposes neural solve into components, compares them with independent reference solutions.
result Corrected a missing 1/2-mixture factor in the neural method's importance-proposal density, improving control accuracy.
Magnetic resonance image (MRI) reconstruction is a severely ill-posed linear inverse task demanding time and resource intensive computations that can substantially trade off {\it accuracy} for {\it speed} in real-time imaging. In addition, state-of-the-art compressed sensing (CS) analytics are not cognizant of the imag…
The multi-scale, mutli-physics nature of fusion plasmas makes predicting plasma events challenging. Recent advances in deep convolutional neural network architectures (CNN) utilizing dilated convolutions enable accurate predictions on sequences which have long-range, multi-scale characteristics, such as the time-series…
Establishes statistical and computational bounds for influence diagnostics.
problem Identifying influential datapoints or subsets in machine learning models.
method Finite-sample statistical bounds and computational complexity for influence functions and approximate maximum influence perturbations.
result Established statistical and computational guarantees for influence diagnostics.
The article explains how to estimate confusion matrices for classifiers using unlabeled data.
problem Estimating sensitivity and specificity of binary medical diagnostic tests without gold standard tests.
method Modifying diagnostic test solutions to estimate confusion matrices for classifiers on unlabeled data.
result The approach can be used to estimate accuracy statistics for supervised or unsupervised binary classifiers on unlabeled data.
Machine learning models have spread to almost every area of life. They are successfully applied in biology, medicine, finance, physics, and other fields. With modern software it is easy to train even a~complex model that fits the training data and results in high accuracy on the test set. The problem arises when models…
This work improves diffusion models by estimating the optimal loss value for better training diagnostics.
problem The optimal loss value of diffusion models is unknown and not indicative of absolute data-fitting quality.
method Derive the optimal loss in closed form and develop effective estimators, including a stochastic variant.
result Unlocking the optimal loss as a metric for diagnosing training quality of diffusion models.
A framework monitors and diagnoses concept drift in supervised learning models.
problem Changes in predictive relationships over time render models suboptimal.
method Score vector monitoring using exponentially weighted moving average.
result Score-based approach detects concept drift more effectively than error-based methods.
Machine learning detects NASH patients from medical claims data.
problem Detecting undiagnosed NASH patients for screening and management.
method Gradient-boosted decision trees trained on administrative medical claims data.
result Model precision for NASH detection is significantly higher than NASH incidence.
Deep chest X-ray classifiers show bias in predicting diagnoses.
problem Bias in deep learning classifiers predicting diagnoses from chest X-rays.
method Trained convolutional neural networks on multiple public datasets to predict 14 diagnostic labels.
result True positive rates vary significantly among different protected attributes, indicating bias.
New method improves robustness in partially observable domains by training against latent distribution shifts.
problem Challenges in robustness under latent distribution shift in partially observable reinforcement learning.
method Formalizes adversarial latent-initial-state POMDP, proves minimax principle, derives best-response inequalities.
result Reduces robustness gaps from 10.3 to 3.1 shots with targeted exposure to shifted latent distributions.
New method predicts y distributions from imperfect data.
problem Predicting y from imperfect data (discrete, truncated, censored).
method Optimal transformations to estimate p(y|x).
result Estimates location, scale, and shape of y distribution.
AI enhances cancer diagnostics using spectroscopy.
problem Early and accurate cancer diagnosis.
method Combining AI with spectroscopy-based techniques.
result AI improves cancer diagnostics speed and safety.
Supervised topic models can help clinical researchers find interpretable cooccurence patterns in count data that are relevant for diagnostics. However, standard formulations of supervised Latent Dirichlet Allocation have two problems. First, when documents have many more words than labels, the influence of the labels w…
Paper introduces a diagnostic for approximate inference methods.
problem Estimating errors in probabilistic inference algorithms, especially for approximate methods.
method Repeatedly simulate datasets from the prior and perform inference on each, estimating a symmetric KL-divergence.
result A diagnostic for approximate inference methods can be estimated using symmetric KL-divergence.
Machine learning improves diagnostic test accuracy for bovine tuberculosis.
problem Improving diagnostic test sensitivity for bovine tuberculosis.
method Machine learning to assess risk landscapes and predict infection.
result Test sensitivity improved, detecting 240 more infected herds per year.
TRACE analyzes risk changes in models trained on shifted data.
problem Understanding performance changes when a model trained on shifted data is used.
method TRACE framework decomposes risk change into four factors: generalization gaps, model change penalty, and covariate shift penalty.
result TRACE provides a diagnostic tool to understand and quantify risk changes due to covariate shift.
AI predicts medical specialty diagnostic choices from EHR records.
problem Predicting timely medical specialty diagnostic workups for patients.
method Ensemble of feed-forward neural networks trained on EHR data.
result Significantly higher accuracy compared to traditional checklists.
Study highlights robustness issues in healthcare diagnostic models due to distribution shifts.
problem Robustness of diagnostic models in healthcare is compromised by distribution shifts.
method Theoretical analysis and simulation studies to understand and mitigate shortcuts learned by models.
result Ignoring covariates or using invariant learning approaches leads to non-robust predictors.
A method for interpreting SVMs using polynomial kernels, revealing model complexity.
problem Interpreting SVMs built with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels.
method Orthogonal Representation Contribution Analysis (ORCA) with normalized Orthogonal Kernel Contribution (OKC) indices.
result The method reveals structural aspects of model complexity not captured by predictive accuracy.
Background and Purpose: Biopsy is the main determinants of glioma clinical management, but require invasive sampling that fail to detect relevant features because of tumor heterogeneity. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the accuracy of a voxel-wise, multiparametric MRI radiomic method to predict features and d…
Lung cancer continues to be a major healthcare challenge with high morbidity and mortality rates among both men and women worldwide. The majority of lung cancer cases are of non-small cell lung cancer type. With the advent of targeted cancer therapy, it is imperative not only to properly diagnose but also sub-classify …
Data-driven fault diagnostics of safety-critical systems often faces the challenge of a complete lack of labeled data associated with faulty system conditions (i.e., fault types) at training time. Since an unknown number and nature of fault types can arise during deployment, data-driven fault diagnostics in this scenar…
Paper proposes machine learning model for early Alzheimer's diagnosis.
problem Early and accurate diagnosis of Alzheimer's Disease.
method Machine learning models, demographic, biomarker, and cognitive test data.
result 90% accuracy and 87% accuracy in predicting Alzheimer's development.
Bayesian analysis reveals epistemic uncertainty as a key diagnostic for delayed generalization in in-context learning.
problem Delayed generalization in in-context learning from few examples.
method Bayesian perspective, modular arithmetic tasks, approximate Bayesian techniques, spectral mechanism analysis.
result Epistemic uncertainty collapses sharply when the model groks, indicating a practical diagnostic of generalization.
The paper analyzes convergence in SGD with momentum and proposes a diagnostic test.
problem Detecting convergence in stochastic gradient descent with momentum.
method Analyzes the transient and stationary phases of SGD with momentum, constructs a statistical diagnostic test.
result The proposed diagnostic test effectively detects convergence in the stationary phase of SGD with momentum.
Melanoma is the deadliest form of skin cancer. Computer systems can assist in melanoma detection, but are not widespread in clinical practice. In 2016, an open challenge in classification of dermoscopic images of skin lesions was announced. A training set of 900 images with corresponding class labels and semi-automatic…
Paper proposes a coupling-based diagnostic for SGD stepsize optimization.
problem Optimizing stepsize for SGD convergence.
method Coupling-based convergence diagnostic for monitoring stationarity.
result Proposed stepsize scheme achieves superior performance across convex and non-convex problems.
Computer vision model automates residual plot assessment for diagnosing model assumptions.
problem Automating residual plot assessment for model diagnostics.
method Trains a computer vision model to predict disparity between residual distributions and reference distributions using Kullback-Leibler divergence.
result Computer vision model is less sensitive to non-linearity but more sensitive than human judgment and conventional tests.
TADDAA improves accuracy diagnostics for variational approximations.
problem Challenges in evaluating the accuracy of variational approximations.
method Uses many short parallel MCMC chains to obtain lower bounds on the error of each posterior functional of interest.
result Validates the practical utility and computational efficiency of TADDAA on various models.
Proposes a diagnostic method to evaluate factor models using cap-axis integrals.
problem Improving factor model evaluation in low-dimensional spaces.
method Lifts pricing errors into a bridge-alpha curve along the market-capitalization rank axis.
result The cap-axis norm is distinct from Sharpe gain and size exposure.