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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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3537061,0591,412 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for traffic modeling

GeneraLight improves traffic signal control models' generalization ability.

problem Overfitting and lack of generalization ability in RL TSC models.
method GeneraLight uses a meta-RL framework with a traffic flow generator based on GANs.
result GeneraLight significantly boosts generalization performance across different traffic flows.

Model traffic congestion events using multi-modal data and attention-based neural networks.

problem Capture non-homogeneous temporal and directional spatial dependencies in traffic congestion events.
method Attention-based neural networks for point processes, adapted tail-up model for spatial statistics.
result Superior performance compared to state-of-the-art methods on synthetic and real data.

MSCT predicts post-crash traffic speed using causal inference.

problem Time-varying confounding bias in post-crash traffic prediction.
method Marginal Structural Causal Transformer (MSCT) incorporating Marginal Structural Models and balanced loss function.
result MSCT outperforms state-of-the-art models in multi-step-ahead prediction.

Accurate and real-time traffic forecasting plays an important role in the Intelligent Traffic System and is of great significance for urban traffic planning, traffic management, and traffic control. However, traffic forecasting has always been considered an open scientific issue, owing to the constraints of urban road …

2018-11-12abs ↗pdf ↗

NCPF model improves traffic data imputation with neural and tensor methods.

problem Pervasive missing data in traffic analysis due to sensor failures and gaps.
method Neural Canonical Polyadic Factorization (NCPF) integrating CP decomposition and deep learning.
result NCPF outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in urban traffic datasets.

We consider the traffic data reconstruction problem. Suppose we have the traffic data of an entire city that are incomplete because some road data are unobserved. The problem is to reconstruct the unobserved parts of the data. In this paper, we propose a new method to reconstruct incomplete traffic data collected from …

2013-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a feature transformation for spatio-temporal traffic models to improve performance and transferability.

problem Limited transferability of deep learning models for traffic flow prediction across different locations.
method Integrates Newell's traffic flow estimators to capture broader dynamics and incorporates spatial dependencies.
result Improves model performance in predicting traffic flows over different horizons.

Critical to evaluating the capacity, scalability, and availability of web systems are realistic web traffic generators. Web traffic generation is a classic research problem, no generator accounts for the characteristics of web robots or crawlers that are now the dominant source of traffic to a web server. Administrator…

2017-12-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uncovers uncertainty in traffic prediction models across cities.

problem Lack of interpretability in deep learning models for traffic prediction.
method Investigated uncertainty quantification methods for image-based traffic prediction.
result Meaningful uncertainty estimates can be recovered for traffic prediction.

Develops a new model for controllable and realistic traffic simulation.

problem Lack of models that offer both controllability and realism in traffic simulation.
method Guided Conditional Diffusion (CTG) model using diffusion modeling and differentiable logic.
result Improves controllability-realism tradeoff over strong baselines.

DistPre predicts traffic speeds efficiently for large networks.

problem Fine-grained, accurate speed prediction for large-scale transportation networks.
method Customizes LSTM models on a cluster, sharing trained models between detectors.
result Efficient and accurate fine-grained traffic-speed prediction.

Increasingly available city data and advanced learning techniques have empowered people to improve the efficiency of our city functions. Among them, improving the urban transportation efficiency is one of the most prominent topics. Recent studies have proposed to use reinforcement learning (RL) for traffic signal contr…

2019-05-12abs ↗pdf ↗

CONTINA provides adaptive confidence intervals for traffic demand prediction.

problem Uncertainty in future traffic demand predictions and the need for valid confidence intervals.
method Adaptive confidence interval method that adjusts based on deployment errors.
result Valid confidence intervals with shorter lengths and theoretical coverage guarantee.

Urban traffic systems worldwide are suffering from severe traffic safety problems. Traffic safety is affected by many complex factors, and heavily related to all drivers' behaviors involved in traffic system. Drivers with aggressive driving behaviors increase the risk of traffic accidents. In order to manage the safety…

2018-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian model improves traffic prediction with uncertainty estimates.

problem Lack of uncertainty estimates in deep-learning traffic models.
method Proposes a Bayesian recurrent neural network with spectral normalization.
result Spectral normalization improves uncertainty estimates and generalizability.

Deep learning model predicts traffic flows across entire network for multiple steps ahead.

problem Accurately forecasting future traffic flows across all network links.
method Spatial-Temporal Sequence to Sequence (STSeq2Seq) model combining seq2seq and graph convolution.
result STSeq2Seq achieves state-of-the-art performance in traffic forecasting.

This paper tackles traffic volume estimation challenges with a deep learning method.

problem Underdetermined and non-equilibrium traffic flows.
method Graph-based deep learning method with adaptive attention mechanisms.
result The proposed model achieves high accuracy even with low sensor coverage.

We analyze the accuracy of traffic simulations metamodels based on neural networks and gradient boosting models (LightGBM), applied to traffic optimization as fitness functions of genetic algorithms. Our metamodels approximate outcomes of traffic simulations (the total time of waiting on a red signal) taking as an inpu…

2018-12-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a new model for imputing missing spatiotemporal traffic data.

problem Missing data and sparsity in spatiotemporal traffic data.
method Low-rank tensor completion (LRTC) framework with truncated nuclear norm (TNN).
result The proposed model outperforms state-of-the-art imputation models in various scenarios.

This paper proposes a real-time signal plan recommendation system for traffic incidents.

problem Limited effectiveness of traffic incident management due to late response and workload.
method Decomposes recommendation task into real-time traffic prediction and plan association, learning from historical data and metric learning.
result Precision score of 96.75% and recall of 87.5% on testing plan, with 22.5 minutes lead time ahead of Waze alerts.

Improved traffic forecasting model handles missing data.

problem Short-term traffic forecasting with missing values.
method Proposed SBU-LSTM architecture with bidirectional and unidirectional LSTM.
result Superior performance in accuracy and robustness for network-wide traffic prediction.

New neural network predicts traffic flow across different cities.

problem Forecasting traffic flow across different cities is challenging due to spatio-temporal correlations.
method Proposes a local-spacetime neural network (STNN) that captures universal spatio-temporal correlations.
result Improves prediction accuracy by 4% over state-of-the-art methods.

Study develops a machine learning-based ramp metering model to improve freeway efficiency.

problem Improving ramp metering to maintain freeway efficiency under various traffic conditions.
method Machine learning approach using historical data to predict and manage traffic flow.
result The novel model outperforms a baseline traffic-responsive ramp metering algorithm.

By interpreting a traffic scene as a graph of interacting vehicles, we gain a flexible abstract representation which allows us to apply Graph Neural Network (GNN) models for traffic prediction. These naturally take interaction between traffic participants into account while being computationally efficient and providing…

2019-03-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhances traffic forecasting with dynamic regression incorporating error modeling.

problem Improving accuracy of traffic forecasts using deep spatiotemporal models.
method Integrates matrix-variate autoregressive (AR) model into loss function for error series of base model.
result Improved traffic forecasting performance on SOTA models with interpretable AR coefficients.

This study evaluates methods to measure traffic forecasting model confidence.

problem Lack of consensus on uncertainty types and techniques for traffic forecasting models.
method Reviews and compares different uncertainty estimation techniques using real traffic data.
result Empirical evidence shows benefits and caveats of various techniques.

We propose a statistical learning-based traffic speed estimation method that uses sparse vehicle trajectory information. Using a convolutional encoder-decoder based architecture, we show that a well trained neural network can learn spatio-temporal traffic speed dynamics from time-space diagrams. We demonstrate this for…

2020-01-21abs ↗pdf ↗

PSTN improves traffic condition forecasting with deep neural networks.

problem Challenges in accurately forecasting traffic conditions due to complex spatiotemporal correlations.
method Proposes PSTN with three modules: graph convolutional network, temporal convolutional network, and gated recurrent unit framework.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art benchmarks in short-term traffic conditions forecasting.

This paper presents a mesoscopic traffic flow model that explicitly describes the spatio-temporal evolution of the probability distributions of vehicle trajectories. The dynamics are represented by a sequence of factor graphs, which enable learning of traffic dynamics from limited Lagrangian measurements using an effic…

2018-06-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Transfer learning improves highway traffic forecasting using graph neural networks.

problem Lack of historical data for traffic forecasting on large highway networks.
method Developed a transfer learning approach for DCRNN, a graph neural network for highway forecasting.
result TL-DCRNN can forecast traffic on unseen regions of the highway network with high accuracy.

Proposes a dynamic model for urban traffic volume prediction.

problem Urban traffic volume prediction for better traffic management and driver planning.
method Combines bidirectional LSTM, attention mechanism, and external features.
result Improves prediction precision by 3-7 percent on NYC-Taxi and NYC-Bike datasets.