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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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7142128 · Mar 202019922001200920172026
48 results for traffic incident

Model predicts traffic incident duration and identifies key features.

problem Predict traffic incident duration and identify critical features.
method Multi-task learning framework with sparsity optimization and ADMM algorithm.
result Model predicts incident duration and identifies key features effectively.

Model predicts traffic speed using urban incidents.

problem Accurately predicting traffic speed in urban areas.
method Deep Incident-Aware Graph Convolutional Network (DIGC-Net).
result Model outperforms competing benchmarks in traffic speed prediction.

Study uses vehicle trajectory data to predict traffic incidents on highways.

problem Early detection of traffic incidents to reduce secondary crashes.
method Machine learning algorithms (Logistic Regression, Random Forest, Extreme Gradient Boost, Artificial Neural Network) applied to vehicle trajectory data.
result Random Forest model performs best for incident prediction.

This paper proposes a real-time signal plan recommendation system for traffic incidents.

problem Limited effectiveness of traffic incident management due to late response and workload.
method Decomposes recommendation task into real-time traffic prediction and plan association, learning from historical data and metric learning.
result Precision score of 96.75% and recall of 87.5% on testing plan, with 22.5 minutes lead time ahead of Waze alerts.

Despite the robust structure of the Internet, it is still susceptible to disruptive routing updates that prevent network traffic from reaching its destination. Our research shows that BGP announcements that are associated with disruptive updates tend to occur in groups of relatively high frequency, followed by periods …

2019-05-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Model traffic congestion events using multi-modal data and attention-based neural networks.

problem Capture non-homogeneous temporal and directional spatial dependencies in traffic congestion events.
method Attention-based neural networks for point processes, adapted tail-up model for spatial statistics.
result Superior performance compared to state-of-the-art methods on synthetic and real data.

Crowdsourced data helps detect incidents faster, balancing accuracy and practicality.

problem Detecting incidents from crowdsourced data is challenging due to noise and uncertainty.
method CROME (Crowdsourced Multi-objective Event Detection) uses CNN and Pareto optimization.
result The approach outperforms existing methods in incident detection and practicality.

Congestion prediction represents a major priority for traffic management centres around the world to ensure timely incident response handling. The increasing amounts of generated traffic data have been used to train machine learning predictors for traffic, however this is a challenging task due to inter-dependencies of…

2019-07-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Sparse incidence tensors can represent a variety of structured data. For example, we may represent attributed graphs using their node-node, node-edge, or edge-edge incidence matrices. In higher dimensions, incidence tensors can represent simplicial complexes and polytopes. In this paper, we formalize incidence tensors,…

2019-05-27abs ↗pdf ↗

HYVINT generates hypergraphs with intensity-driven incidence formation and variational learning.

problem Challenges in generating hypergraphs with mechanistic interpretation and limited latent space.
method HYVINT uses intensity-driven incidence formation and a lower-bound variational estimator for latent representations.
result HYVINT achieves strong fidelity and novelty on synthetic and real-world hypergraphs.

Vehicular Ad-hoc NETworks (VANET) can efficiently detect traffic congestion, but detection is not enough because congestion can be further classified as recurrent and non-recurrent congestion (NRC). In particular, NRC in an urban network is mainly caused by incidents, workzones, special events and adverse weather. We p…

2019-04-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Study shows data breaches cause significant financial losses for firms, especially in health sector.

problem Understanding the economic impact of cyber incidents on listed firms.
method Event study using abnormal returns over 2012-2022, adjusting for event-induced variance and residual cross-correlation.
result Data breaches cause significant financial losses for firms, especially in health sector.

Automated suggestions help train technicians diagnose incidents faster.

problem Manual and time-consuming incident diagnosis by train maintenance technicians.
method Developed and deployed a learning machine to suggest diagnostics to technicians.
result The model refines its accuracy through feedback from experts and uses feature engineering.

The paper studies how points and lines can move while preserving incidences.

problem Understanding how point-line configurations can move while maintaining their geometric relationships.
method Developed a projective rigidity matrix to analyze the infinitesimal motions and dependencies of point-line configurations.
result The symmetry-adapted projective rigidity matrix provides a more detailed analysis of symmetric configurations and their motions.

Crimes emerge out of complex interactions of human behaviors and situations. Linkages between crime incidents are highly complex. Detecting crime linkage given a set of incidents is a highly challenging task since we only have limited information, including text descriptions, incident times, and locations. In practice,…

2019-02-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops regression trees for estimating cumulative incidence curves in competing risks.

problem Estimating cumulative incidence functions in competing risks settings.
method Uses augmented estimators of the Brier score risk to build and prune regression trees.
result Demonstrates the utility of the proposed methods through simulation studies and real data.

The paper explains the topological origin of the distinction between incidence theorems over division rings and fields.

problem Understanding the distinction between incidence theorems over division rings and fields.
method Extending the surface-graph approach to noncommutative settings, the paper analyzes the topological properties of graphs embedded on surfaces of different genera.
result Theorems associated with graphs on the sphere hold over any division ring, while those on surfaces of positive genus typically hold only if the ground ring is a field.

In a recent work of Ayaka Shimizu[5]^{[5]}, she defined an operation named region crossing change on link diagrams, and showed that region crossing change is an unknotting operation for knot diagrams. In this paper, we prove that region crossing change on a 2-component link diagram is an unknotting operation if and only…

2011-01-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhances cyber risk assessment with entity-specific features.

problem Lack of high-quality public cyber incident data.
method Develops an InsurTech framework to enrich cyber incident data with entity-specific attributes and implements machine learning models.
result InsurTech features improve prediction robustness and provide customized risk profiles.

Study finds companies react negatively to material cybersecurity incident disclosures.

problem Understanding market reactions to cybersecurity incidents.
method Examined daily stock price movements of companies disclosing material cybersecurity incidents.
result Companies tend to experience negative price reactions after disclosing material cybersecurity incidents.

Critical to evaluating the capacity, scalability, and availability of web systems are realistic web traffic generators. Web traffic generation is a classic research problem, no generator accounts for the characteristics of web robots or crawlers that are now the dominant source of traffic to a web server. Administrator…

2017-12-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Statistical models outperform mechanistic models in short-term COVID-19 incidence forecasts.

problem Comparing accuracy of mechanistic vs statistical models for short-term COVID-19 incidence forecasts.
method Empirical comparison of forecasts from mechanistic and statistical models using daily incidence data from six US states.
result Statistical models are at least as accurate as mechanistic models and better capture volatility.

The goal of this project is to introduce and present a machine learning application that aims to improve the quality of life of people in Singapore. In particular, we investigate the use of machine learning solutions to tackle the problem of traffic congestion in Singapore. In layman's terms, we seek to make Singapore …

2018-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

We estimate treatment cost-savings from early cancer diagnosis. For breast, lung, prostate and colorectal cancers and melanoma, which account for more than 50% of new incidences projected in 2017, we combine published cancer treatment cost estimates by stage with incidence rates by stage at diagnosis. We extrapolate to…

2017-08-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Accurate and real-time traffic forecasting plays an important role in the Intelligent Traffic System and is of great significance for urban traffic planning, traffic management, and traffic control. However, traffic forecasting has always been considered an open scientific issue, owing to the constraints of urban road …

2018-11-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep neural network reconstructs traffic speeds from sparse vehicle data.

problem Reconstructing traffic speeds from limited probe vehicle data.
method Convolutional neural network architecture for spatio-temporal learning.
result The method can reconstruct traffic speeds with low probe vehicle penetration.

Urban traffic systems worldwide are suffering from severe traffic safety problems. Traffic safety is affected by many complex factors, and heavily related to all drivers' behaviors involved in traffic system. Drivers with aggressive driving behaviors increase the risk of traffic accidents. In order to manage the safety…

2018-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper extends group constructions to coset geometries, creating new ways to combine geometries.

problem Combining and gluing incidence geometries in a general framework.
method Extending classical group-theoretic constructions to coset geometries.
result Provides a general framework for combining or gluing incidence geometries.

GeneraLight improves traffic signal control models' generalization ability.

problem Overfitting and lack of generalization ability in RL TSC models.
method GeneraLight uses a meta-RL framework with a traffic flow generator based on GANs.
result GeneraLight significantly boosts generalization performance across different traffic flows.

We consider the traffic data reconstruction problem. Suppose we have the traffic data of an entire city that are incomplete because some road data are unobserved. The problem is to reconstruct the unobserved parts of the data. In this paper, we propose a new method to reconstruct incomplete traffic data collected from …

2013-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

MSCT predicts post-crash traffic speed using causal inference.

problem Time-varying confounding bias in post-crash traffic prediction.
method Marginal Structural Causal Transformer (MSCT) incorporating Marginal Structural Models and balanced loss function.
result MSCT outperforms state-of-the-art models in multi-step-ahead prediction.