Accurate traffic speed prediction is an important and challenging topic for transportation planning. Previous studies on traffic speed prediction predominately used spatio-temporal and context features for prediction. However, they have not made good use of the impact of urban traffic incidents. In this work, we aim to…
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48 results for “incidences”
Critical incident stages identification and reasonable prediction of traffic incident duration are essential in traffic incident management. In this paper, we propose a traffic incident duration prediction model that simultaneously predicts the impact of the traffic incidents and identifies the critical groups of tempo…
Sparse incidence tensors can represent a variety of structured data. For example, we may represent attributed graphs using their node-node, node-edge, or edge-edge incidence matrices. In higher dimensions, incidence tensors can represent simplicial complexes and polytopes. In this paper, we formalize incidence tensors,…
This paper aims to optimize incident-specific cyber insurance design.
problem Complexity in determining optimal risk retention and transfer.
method Economic foundation for incident-specific cyber insurance with Pareto optimality.
result Illustrates feasibility of designing incident-specific indemnities for both parties.
Crowdsourced data helps detect incidents faster, balancing accuracy and practicality.
problem Detecting incidents from crowdsourced data is challenging due to noise and uncertainty.
method CROME (Crowdsourced Multi-objective Event Detection) uses CNN and Pareto optimization.
result The approach outperforms existing methods in incident detection and practicality.
Arterial incident duration prediction using a bi-level framework of extreme gradient-tree boostingcs.LG
Predicting traffic incident duration is a major challenge for many traffic centres around the world. Most research studies focus on predicting the incident duration on motorways rather than arterial roads, due to a high network complexity and lack of data. In this paper we propose a bi-level framework for predicting th…
Study uses vehicle trajectory data to predict traffic incidents on highways.
problem Early detection of traffic incidents to reduce secondary crashes.
method Machine learning algorithms (Logistic Regression, Random Forest, Extreme Gradient Boost, Artificial Neural Network) applied to vehicle trajectory data.
result Random Forest model performs best for incident prediction.
HYVINT generates hypergraphs with intensity-driven incidence formation and variational learning.
problem Challenges in generating hypergraphs with mechanistic interpretation and limited latent space.
method HYVINT uses intensity-driven incidence formation and a lower-bound variational estimator for latent representations.
result HYVINT achieves strong fidelity and novelty on synthetic and real-world hypergraphs.
Study shows data breaches cause significant financial losses for firms, especially in health sector.
problem Understanding the economic impact of cyber incidents on listed firms.
method Event study using abnormal returns over 2012-2022, adjusting for event-induced variance and residual cross-correlation.
result Data breaches cause significant financial losses for firms, especially in health sector.
Automated suggestions help train technicians diagnose incidents faster.
problem Manual and time-consuming incident diagnosis by train maintenance technicians.
method Developed and deployed a learning machine to suggest diagnostics to technicians.
result The model refines its accuracy through feedback from experts and uses feature engineering.
Investigates proving geometric theorems over complex and real numbers using tilings.
problem Proving incidence theorems over C and R using the master theorem.
method Formalizes tiling proofs and introduces a hierarchy of theorems based on topological spaces.
result Identifies which theorems can or cannot be proved over C and R.
This paper proposes a real-time signal plan recommendation system for traffic incidents.
problem Limited effectiveness of traffic incident management due to late response and workload.
method Decomposes recommendation task into real-time traffic prediction and plan association, learning from historical data and metric learning.
result Precision score of 96.75% and recall of 87.5% on testing plan, with 22.5 minutes lead time ahead of Waze alerts.
We characterize the boundary at infinity of a complex hyperbolic space as a compact Ptolemy space that satisfies four incidence axioms.
The paper studies how points and lines can move while preserving incidences.
problem Understanding how point-line configurations can move while maintaining their geometric relationships.
method Developed a projective rigidity matrix to analyze the infinitesimal motions and dependencies of point-line configurations.
result The symmetry-adapted projective rigidity matrix provides a more detailed analysis of symmetric configurations and their motions.
Crimes emerge out of complex interactions of human behaviors and situations. Linkages between crime incidents are highly complex. Detecting crime linkage given a set of incidents is a highly challenging task since we only have limited information, including text descriptions, incident times, and locations. In practice,…
Develops regression trees for estimating cumulative incidence curves in competing risks.
problem Estimating cumulative incidence functions in competing risks settings.
method Uses augmented estimators of the Brier score risk to build and prune regression trees.
result Demonstrates the utility of the proposed methods through simulation studies and real data.
The paper explains the topological origin of the distinction between incidence theorems over division rings and fields.
problem Understanding the distinction between incidence theorems over division rings and fields.
method Extending the surface-graph approach to noncommutative settings, the paper analyzes the topological properties of graphs embedded on surfaces of different genera.
result Theorems associated with graphs on the sphere hold over any division ring, while those on surfaces of positive genus typically hold only if the ground ring is a field.
In a recent work of Ayaka Shimizu, she defined an operation named region crossing change on link diagrams, and showed that region crossing change is an unknotting operation for knot diagrams. In this paper, we prove that region crossing change on a 2-component link diagram is an unknotting operation if and only…
Enhances cyber risk assessment with entity-specific features.
problem Lack of high-quality public cyber incident data.
method Develops an InsurTech framework to enrich cyber incident data with entity-specific attributes and implements machine learning models.
result InsurTech features improve prediction robustness and provide customized risk profiles.
Study finds companies react negatively to material cybersecurity incident disclosures.
problem Understanding market reactions to cybersecurity incidents.
method Examined daily stock price movements of companies disclosing material cybersecurity incidents.
result Companies tend to experience negative price reactions after disclosing material cybersecurity incidents.
In this paper we continue the study of generic properties of the Novikov complex, began in the work "The incidence coefficients in the Novikov complex are generically rational functions" ( dg-ga/9603006). For a Morse map there is a refined version of Novikov complex, defined over the Novikov completion of …
QTIP improves traffic prediction in sudden disruptions.
problem Traffic models fail during sudden disruptions.
method Simulation-based framework for real-time adaptation.
result QTIP improves traffic prediction in critical minutes of incidents.
Characterizes groups with specific boundary properties.
problem Groups with Schottky set boundaries.
method Study relatively hyperbolic group pairs with Schottky boundaries.
result Groups with boundaries where Schottky sets have 1 or 2 component incidence graphs.
Finite rigid sets found in surface curve complexes.
problem Finding rigid sets in surface curve complexes.
method Incidence-preserving maps to find rigid subcomplexes.
result Finite rigid subcomplexes identified in surface curve complexes.
Statistical models outperform mechanistic models in short-term COVID-19 incidence forecasts.
problem Comparing accuracy of mechanistic vs statistical models for short-term COVID-19 incidence forecasts.
method Empirical comparison of forecasts from mechanistic and statistical models using daily incidence data from six US states.
result Statistical models are at least as accurate as mechanistic models and better capture volatility.
We estimate treatment cost-savings from early cancer diagnosis. For breast, lung, prostate and colorectal cancers and melanoma, which account for more than 50% of new incidences projected in 2017, we combine published cancer treatment cost estimates by stage with incidence rates by stage at diagnosis. We extrapolate to…
Despite the robust structure of the Internet, it is still susceptible to disruptive routing updates that prevent network traffic from reaching its destination. Our research shows that BGP announcements that are associated with disruptive updates tend to occur in groups of relatively high frequency, followed by periods …
The paper extends group constructions to coset geometries, creating new ways to combine geometries.
problem Combining and gluing incidence geometries in a general framework.
method Extending classical group-theoretic constructions to coset geometries.
result Provides a general framework for combining or gluing incidence geometries.
Generative model for hypergraphs captures complex interactions without pairwise reductions.
problem Challenges in generating realistic hypergraphs with pairwise reductions.
method Structured stochastic diffusion on relaxed incidence matrices.
result Generative model preserves structure-aware noising and yields explicit Gaussian law.
A new Euclidean approach reveals the pentagram map's beauty.
problem Exploring the pentagram map through classical geometry.
method Introducing an alternative Euclidean approach.
result Demonstrates the pentagram map's elegance through classical geometry.
Although aviation accidents are rare, safety incidents occur more frequently and require a careful analysis to detect and mitigate risks in a timely manner. Analyzing safety incidents using operational data and producing event-based explanations is invaluable to airline companies as well as to governing organizations s…
Compactifies strata of d-differentials in genus 0.
problem Compactify strata of d-differentials in genus 0.
method Specify an ideal sheaf and show isomorphism to blow-up of .
result Incidence variety compactification is isomorphic to the blow-up of .
Polynomial error equidistribution for SL2 groups.
problem Equidistribution of orbits in arithmetic quotients.
method Margulis function, incidence geometry, spectral gap.
result Polynomial error rate for equidistribution.
Splittings and C-complexesmath.GR
The intersection pattern of the translates of the limit set of a quasi-convex subgroup of a hyperbolic group can be coded in a natural incidence graph, which suggests connections with the splittings of the ambient group. A similar incidence graph exists for any subgroup of a group. We show that the disconnectedness of …
The large volume of text in electronic healthcare records often remains underused due to a lack of methodologies to extract interpretable content. Here we present an unsupervised framework for the analysis of free text that combines text-embedding with paragraph vectors and graph-theoretical multiscale community detect…
For a Morse map Novikov [11] has introduced an analog of Morse complex, defined over the ring $\ZZZ[[t]][t^{-1}]$ of integer Laurent power series. Novikov conjectured, that generically the matrix entries of the differentials in this complex are of the form , where grow at most exponenti…
Polynomial density theorem for specific subgroup orbits in quotient spaces.
problem Effective density of orbits in arithmetic quotients of and .
method Use of Margulis function, incidence geometry tools, and spectral gap of ambient space.
result Proved effective density theorems with polynomial error rate.
Given a bordified space, Karlsson defines an incidence geometry of stars at infinity. These stars and their incidence are closely related to well-understood objects when the space is hyperbolic, CAT(0), or a bounded convex domain with the Hilbert metric. A question stemming from Karlsson's original paper was whether or…
Climate has been an important factor in shaping the distribution and incidence of dengue cases in tropical and subtropical countries. In Costa Rica, a tropical country with distinctive micro-climates, dengue has been endemic since its introduction in 1993, inflicting substantial economic, social, and public health repe…
Symmetric TSP is structurally equivalent to a constrained Group Steiner Tree Problem.
problem Finding the shortest tour in a symmetric TSP.
method Structural equivalence between symmetric TSP and constrained Group Steiner Tree Problem.
result Maximizing net weight in the cGSTP is equivalent to minimizing the TSP tour length.
We present a new approach for detecting related crime series, by unsupervised learning of the latent feature embeddings from narratives of crime record via the Gaussian-Bernoulli Restricted Boltzmann Machines (RBM). This is a drastically different approach from prior work on crime analysis, which typically considers on…
We study the 3-dimensional combinatorial Yamabe flow in hyperbolic background geometry. For a triangulation of a 3-manifold, we prove that if the number of tetrahedra incident to each vertex is at least 23, then there exist real or virtual ball packings with vanishing (extended) combinatorial scalar curvature, i.e. the…
Machine learning detects NASH patients from medical claims data.
problem Detecting undiagnosed NASH patients for screening and management.
method Gradient-boosted decision trees trained on administrative medical claims data.
result Model precision for NASH detection is significantly higher than NASH incidence.
This paper addresses questions of quasi-isometric rigidity and classification for fundamental groups of finite graphs of groups, under the assumption that the Bass-Serre tree of the graph of groups has finite depth. The main example of a finite depth graph of groups is one whose vertex and edge groups are coarse Poinca…
Predictive policing systems are increasingly used to determine how to allocate police across a city in order to best prevent crime. Discovered crime data (e.g., arrest counts) are used to help update the model, and the process is repeated. Such systems have been empirically shown to be susceptible to runaway feedback l…
Conventional surveillance systems for monitoring infectious diseases, such as influenza, face challenges due to shortage of skilled healthcare professionals, remoteness of communities and absence of communication infrastructures. Internet-based approaches for surveillance are appealing logistically as well as economica…
The abstract discusses a new causal structure on manifolds using paths and points.
problem Constructing a causal structure on manifolds using paths and points.
method Constructing a four-manifold from pairs of points and paths, and a seven-dimensional manifold from pairs of points and conics.
result The causal structure corresponds to a conformal structure only when the underlying surface is a real projective plane.
Dynamic risk assessment method for WUI fires improves upon static frameworks.
problem Static risk assessment methods fail to capture dynamic changes in WUI fire risks.
method Dynamic evaluation matrix, grey incidence analysis, optimization model.
result The proposed method effectively captures dynamic risk evolution patterns.