The goal of this project is to introduce and present a machine learning application that aims to improve the quality of life of people in Singapore. In particular, we investigate the use of machine learning solutions to tackle the problem of traffic congestion in Singapore. In layman's terms, we seek to make Singapore …
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,695 papers · 148 categories
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48 results for “traffic density”
Proposes a neural network for estimating traffic density uncertainty.
problem Lack of uncertainty estimates in deep learning traffic prediction models.
method Quantile Graph Wavenet, a Spatio-Temporal neural network trained to estimate density.
result Produces uncertainty estimates efficiently without sampling.
Air traffic control is a real-time safety-critical decision making process in highly dynamic and stochastic environments. In today's aviation practice, a human air traffic controller monitors and directs many aircraft flying through its designated airspace sector. With the fast growing air traffic complexity in traditi…
Study improves vehicle motion prediction by incorporating traffic density.
problem Lack of contextual knowledge in predicting driving behavior.
method Categorize and define external conditions, evaluate motion prediction approach.
result Traffic density significantly improves motion prediction accuracy.
This paper presents a mesoscopic traffic flow model that explicitly describes the spatio-temporal evolution of the probability distributions of vehicle trajectories. The dynamics are represented by a sequence of factor graphs, which enable learning of traffic dynamics from limited Lagrangian measurements using an effic…
H-STGCN predicts traffic using navigation data and improves accuracy.
problem Limited accuracy in traffic forecasting due to lack of contextual information.
method Proposes H-STGCN, a hybrid spatio-temporal graph convolutional network.
result H-STGCN outperforms state-of-the-art methods in various metrics, especially for non-recurring congestion.
It is well known that any sufficiently regular one-dimensional payoff function has an explicit static hedge by bonds, forward contracts and lots of vanilla options. We show that the natural extension of the corresponding representation leads to a static hedge based on the same instruments along with traffic light optio…
A new framework uses deep reinforcement learning to improve aircraft separation in busy airspace.
problem Improving aircraft separation in high-density, dynamic airspace constrained by human controllers.
method Proximal Policy Optimization with an attention network for distributed vehicle autonomy.
result The framework significantly reduces offline training time and increases performance.
Deep learning predicts road GHG emissions with speed, density, and past ERs.
problem Predicting GHG emissions from road networks to mitigate environmental impact.
method Developed a deep learning framework using LSTM networks with exogenous variables.
result LSTM with speed, density, GHG ER, and in-links speed from previous minutes performs best.
Dockless bike sharing systems need effective bike flow prediction models.
problem Imbalanced and dynamic use of bikes leads to mandatory rebalancing operations.
method Divide urban area into regions, model spatio-temporal bike flows, extract traffic patterns, and predict bike flows.
result Interpretable bike flow prediction model provides valuable insights into bike flow analysis.
Critical to evaluating the capacity, scalability, and availability of web systems are realistic web traffic generators. Web traffic generation is a classic research problem, no generator accounts for the characteristics of web robots or crawlers that are now the dominant source of traffic to a web server. Administrator…
Traffic forecasting is a particularly challenging application of spatiotemporal forecasting, due to the time-varying traffic patterns and the complicated spatial dependencies on road networks. To address this challenge, we learn the traffic network as a graph and propose a novel deep learning framework, Traffic Graph C…
Accurate and real-time traffic forecasting plays an important role in the Intelligent Traffic System and is of great significance for urban traffic planning, traffic management, and traffic control. However, traffic forecasting has always been considered an open scientific issue, owing to the constraints of urban road …
Urban traffic systems worldwide are suffering from severe traffic safety problems. Traffic safety is affected by many complex factors, and heavily related to all drivers' behaviors involved in traffic system. Drivers with aggressive driving behaviors increase the risk of traffic accidents. In order to manage the safety…
Accurate traffic speed prediction is an important and challenging topic for transportation planning. Previous studies on traffic speed prediction predominately used spatio-temporal and context features for prediction. However, they have not made good use of the impact of urban traffic incidents. In this work, we aim to…
GeneraLight improves traffic signal control models' generalization ability.
problem Overfitting and lack of generalization ability in RL TSC models.
method GeneraLight uses a meta-RL framework with a traffic flow generator based on GANs.
result GeneraLight significantly boosts generalization performance across different traffic flows.
Model traffic congestion events using multi-modal data and attention-based neural networks.
problem Capture non-homogeneous temporal and directional spatial dependencies in traffic congestion events.
method Attention-based neural networks for point processes, adapted tail-up model for spatial statistics.
result Superior performance compared to state-of-the-art methods on synthetic and real data.
We consider the traffic data reconstruction problem. Suppose we have the traffic data of an entire city that are incomplete because some road data are unobserved. The problem is to reconstruct the unobserved parts of the data. In this paper, we propose a new method to reconstruct incomplete traffic data collected from …
Traffic speed prediction is a critically important component of intelligent transportation systems (ITS). Recently, with the rapid development of deep learning and transportation data science, a growing body of new traffic speed prediction models have been designed, which achieved high accuracy and large-scale predicti…
Paper uses DeePC to improve urban traffic lights, reducing congestion and emissions.
problem Urban traffic congestion in expanding cities.
method Behavioral system theory, data-driven control, DeePC algorithm.
result DeePC outperforms existing traffic control methods in travel time and CO2 emissions.
MSCT predicts post-crash traffic speed using causal inference.
problem Time-varying confounding bias in post-crash traffic prediction.
method Marginal Structural Causal Transformer (MSCT) incorporating Marginal Structural Models and balanced loss function.
result MSCT outperforms state-of-the-art models in multi-step-ahead prediction.
Paper presents LSTMMDN for hourly bike flow estimation in Copenhagen.
problem Sparse or unavailable hourly bike flow data for safety analysis.
method Hybrid LSTM MDN model for hourly bike flow estimation.
result 66-77% more accurate bike flow estimates compared to calibration factors.
Existing inefficient traffic light control causes numerous problems, such as long delay and waste of energy. To improve efficiency, taking real-time traffic information as an input and dynamically adjusting the traffic light duration accordingly is a must. In terms of how to dynamically adjust traffic signals' duration…
Adaptive traffic control uses deep RL to improve decision-making.
problem Improving traffic control using deep RL.
method Integrates recent deep RL techniques into a novel DQN-based algorithm (TC-DQN+) for traffic control.
result Proposes a new reward function for traffic control.
New method improves traffic data recovery for streaming data.
problem Improve data quality in traffic data for ITS.
method Online robust tensor recovery algorithm leveraging spatio-temporal correlations and local consistency.
result Significantly improved computational efficiency and high recovery accuracy.
Transportation and traffic are currently undergoing a rapid increase in terms of both scale and complexity. At the same time, an increasing share of traffic participants are being transformed into agents driven or supported by artificial intelligence resulting in mixed-intelligence traffic. This work explores the impli…
Stochastic models analyze traffic network performance.
problem Evaluate traffic system performance.
method Stochastic cell transmission models, preference functionals, Gaussian process regression.
result Illustrated in two case studies.
Study uncovers uncertainty in traffic prediction models across cities.
problem Lack of interpretability in deep learning models for traffic prediction.
method Investigated uncertainty quantification methods for image-based traffic prediction.
result Meaningful uncertainty estimates can be recovered for traffic prediction.
Critical incident stages identification and reasonable prediction of traffic incident duration are essential in traffic incident management. In this paper, we propose a traffic incident duration prediction model that simultaneously predicts the impact of the traffic incidents and identifies the critical groups of tempo…
PSTN improves traffic condition forecasting with deep neural networks.
problem Challenges in accurately forecasting traffic conditions due to complex spatiotemporal correlations.
method Proposes PSTN with three modules: graph convolutional network, temporal convolutional network, and gated recurrent unit framework.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art benchmarks in short-term traffic conditions forecasting.
NCPF model improves traffic data imputation with neural and tensor methods.
problem Pervasive missing data in traffic analysis due to sensor failures and gaps.
method Neural Canonical Polyadic Factorization (NCPF) integrating CP decomposition and deep learning.
result NCPF outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in urban traffic datasets.
This paper proposes a real-time signal plan recommendation system for traffic incidents.
problem Limited effectiveness of traffic incident management due to late response and workload.
method Decomposes recommendation task into real-time traffic prediction and plan association, learning from historical data and metric learning.
result Precision score of 96.75% and recall of 87.5% on testing plan, with 22.5 minutes lead time ahead of Waze alerts.
New neural network predicts traffic flow across different cities.
problem Forecasting traffic flow across different cities is challenging due to spatio-temporal correlations.
method Proposes a local-spacetime neural network (STNN) that captures universal spatio-temporal correlations.
result Improves prediction accuracy by 4% over state-of-the-art methods.
DistPre predicts traffic speeds efficiently for large networks.
problem Fine-grained, accurate speed prediction for large-scale transportation networks.
method Customizes LSTM models on a cluster, sharing trained models between detectors.
result Efficient and accurate fine-grained traffic-speed prediction.
GANF uses normalizing flows to detect anomalies in multiple time series.
problem Detecting anomalies in multiple time series with interdependencies.
method Bayesian network integration with normalizing flows for unsupervised anomaly detection.
result GANF effectively detects anomalies and identifies distribution drift in time series data.
We address two shortcomings in online travel time estimation methods for congested urban traffic. The first shortcoming is related to the determination of the number of mixture modes, which can change dynamically, within day and from day to day. The second shortcoming is the wide-spread use of Gaussian probability dens…
Autonomous terrestrial vehicles must be capable of perceiving traffic lights and recognizing their current states to share the streets with human drivers. Most of the time, human drivers can easily identify the relevant traffic lights. To deal with this issue, a common solution for autonomous cars is to integrate recog…
Two autoencoding models learn latent traffic scene representations.
problem Learning latent representations of traffic scenarios.
method CNN and RNN models for spatio-temporal and temporal data, incorporating permutation invariance.
result Latent scenario embeddings can be used for clustering and similarity retrieval.
Proposes a feature transformation for spatio-temporal traffic models to improve performance and transferability.
problem Limited transferability of deep learning models for traffic flow prediction across different locations.
method Integrates Newell's traffic flow estimators to capture broader dynamics and incorporates spatial dependencies.
result Improves model performance in predicting traffic flows over different horizons.
Proposes a graph neural network for traffic forecasting in WANs.
problem Traffic forecasting challenges in WANs due to dynamic and large data volumes.
method Dynamic diffusion convolutional recurrent neural networks for multistep traffic forecasting.
result Significant improvements in forecasting accuracy compared to classical methods.
We propose a statistical learning-based traffic speed estimation method that uses sparse vehicle trajectory information. Using a convolutional encoder-decoder based architecture, we show that a well trained neural network can learn spatio-temporal traffic speed dynamics from time-space diagrams. We demonstrate this for…
We analyze the accuracy of traffic simulations metamodels based on neural networks and gradient boosting models (LightGBM), applied to traffic optimization as fitness functions of genetic algorithms. Our metamodels approximate outcomes of traffic simulations (the total time of waiting on a red signal) taking as an inpu…
Unified approach detects traffic conflicts across various interactions.
problem Inconsistent detection of traffic conflicts across different interactions.
method Unified probabilistic approach decomposes conflicts into statistical learning tasks.
result Effective collision warnings across diverse datasets and environments.
Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks: A Deep Learning Framework for Traffic Forecastingcs.LG
Timely accurate traffic forecast is crucial for urban traffic control and guidance. Due to the high nonlinearity and complexity of traffic flow, traditional methods cannot satisfy the requirements of mid-and-long term prediction tasks and often neglect spatial and temporal dependencies. In this paper, we propose a nove…
CONTINA provides adaptive confidence intervals for traffic demand prediction.
problem Uncertainty in future traffic demand predictions and the need for valid confidence intervals.
method Adaptive confidence interval method that adjusts based on deployment errors.
result Valid confidence intervals with shorter lengths and theoretical coverage guarantee.
Traffic actors' future motion predicted using a hybrid graph model.
problem Predicting long-term behaviors of traffic actors in complex scenes.
method A hybrid graph model with nodes for actors and traffic elements, and edges for interaction types.
result TrafficGraphNet achieves state-of-the-art trajectory prediction accuracy.
Traffic flow forecasting is hot spot research of intelligent traffic system construction. The existing traffic flow prediction methods have problems such as poor stability, high data requirements, or poor adaptability. In this paper, we define the traffic data time singularity ratio in the dropout module and propose a …
Accurate and reliable traffic forecasting for complicated transportation networks is of vital importance to modern transportation management. The complicated spatial dependencies of roadway links and the dynamic temporal patterns of traffic states make it particularly challenging. To address these challenges, we propos…