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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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7152229 · Mar 202019922001200920172026
48 results for traffic conflicts

Increasingly available city data and advanced learning techniques have empowered people to improve the efficiency of our city functions. Among them, improving the urban transportation efficiency is one of the most prominent topics. Recent studies have proposed to use reinforcement learning (RL) for traffic signal contr…

2019-05-12abs ↗pdf ↗

A new framework uses deep reinforcement learning to improve aircraft separation in busy airspace.

problem Improving aircraft separation in high-density, dynamic airspace constrained by human controllers.
method Proximal Policy Optimization with an attention network for distributed vehicle autonomy.
result The framework significantly reduces offline training time and increases performance.

Signalized intersections are managed by controllers that assign right of way (green, yellow, and red lights) to non-conflicting directions. Optimizing the actuation policy of such controllers is expected to alleviate traffic congestion and its adverse impact. Given such a safety-critical domain, the affiliated actuatio…

2019-12-23abs ↗pdf ↗

The study extends Tutte's conflict graph concept to nonplanar graphs.

problem Understanding the structure of nonplanar graphs through conflict graphs.
method Defining a signed conflict graph for maximally planar subgraphs and analyzing their balance.
result For graphs with a flat embedding, every maximal planar subgraph has unbalanced conflict graphs if and only if the graph is intrinsically linked.

A distinction has been drawn in fair machine learning research between `group' and `individual' fairness measures. Many technical research papers assume that both are important, but conflicting, and propose ways to minimise the trade-offs between these measures. This paper argues that this apparent conflict is based on…

2019-12-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Signed Evidence Flow (SEF) combines fitted prediction with signed feature attributions to measure evidence conflict and stability.

problem Modern data analysis lacks mechanisms to show the clarity, conflict, or stability of evidence behind predictions.
method Signed Evidence Flow (SEF) combines fitted prediction with signed feature attributions.
result SEF measures conflict and stability, and shows that conflict can improve loss prediction beyond confidence.

Russia-Ukraine conflict impacts global agricultural futures and spot markets' extreme risks.

problem Impact of Russia-Ukraine conflict on global agricultural futures and spot markets' extreme risks.
method Analytical framework for tail dependence, Copula-CoVaR method, ARMA-GARCH-skewed Student-t model.
result The outbreak of the conflict intensified risks in the wheat market the most and showed significant asymmetries in extreme risk spillovers.

The paper uses conformal prediction for forecasting conflict sequences in Markov processes.

problem Forecasting future conflict states for national policy decisions.
method Conformal prediction on Markov processes for temporally-dependent data.
result Conformal prediction provides valid uncertainty quantification and robustness to model misspecification.

Automatic conflict detection has grown in relevance with the advent of body-worn technology, but existing metrics such as turn-taking and overlap are poor indicators of conflict in police-public interactions. Moreover, standard techniques to compute them fall short when applied to such diversified and noisy contexts. W…

2017-11-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Critical to evaluating the capacity, scalability, and availability of web systems are realistic web traffic generators. Web traffic generation is a classic research problem, no generator accounts for the characteristics of web robots or crawlers that are now the dominant source of traffic to a web server. Administrator…

2017-12-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The goal of this project is to introduce and present a machine learning application that aims to improve the quality of life of people in Singapore. In particular, we investigate the use of machine learning solutions to tackle the problem of traffic congestion in Singapore. In layman's terms, we seek to make Singapore …

2018-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper tackles multilingual speech processing by optimizing conflicting objectives hierarchically.

problem Training models for multilingual, multi-task speech processing is hampered by conflicting objectives.
method Investigates three multi-objective MSP formulations and introduces a lightweight layer-selection mechanism.
result A bi-level recipe outperforms standard flat optimization in state-of-the-art MSP models.

Accurate and real-time traffic forecasting plays an important role in the Intelligent Traffic System and is of great significance for urban traffic planning, traffic management, and traffic control. However, traffic forecasting has always been considered an open scientific issue, owing to the constraints of urban road …

2018-11-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Urban traffic systems worldwide are suffering from severe traffic safety problems. Traffic safety is affected by many complex factors, and heavily related to all drivers' behaviors involved in traffic system. Drivers with aggressive driving behaviors increase the risk of traffic accidents. In order to manage the safety…

2018-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗

GeneraLight improves traffic signal control models' generalization ability.

problem Overfitting and lack of generalization ability in RL TSC models.
method GeneraLight uses a meta-RL framework with a traffic flow generator based on GANs.
result GeneraLight significantly boosts generalization performance across different traffic flows.

Model traffic congestion events using multi-modal data and attention-based neural networks.

problem Capture non-homogeneous temporal and directional spatial dependencies in traffic congestion events.
method Attention-based neural networks for point processes, adapted tail-up model for spatial statistics.
result Superior performance compared to state-of-the-art methods on synthetic and real data.

We consider the traffic data reconstruction problem. Suppose we have the traffic data of an entire city that are incomplete because some road data are unobserved. The problem is to reconstruct the unobserved parts of the data. In this paper, we propose a new method to reconstruct incomplete traffic data collected from …

2013-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

MSCT predicts post-crash traffic speed using causal inference.

problem Time-varying confounding bias in post-crash traffic prediction.
method Marginal Structural Causal Transformer (MSCT) incorporating Marginal Structural Models and balanced loss function.
result MSCT outperforms state-of-the-art models in multi-step-ahead prediction.

Study uncovers uncertainty in traffic prediction models across cities.

problem Lack of interpretability in deep learning models for traffic prediction.
method Investigated uncertainty quantification methods for image-based traffic prediction.
result Meaningful uncertainty estimates can be recovered for traffic prediction.

PSTN improves traffic condition forecasting with deep neural networks.

problem Challenges in accurately forecasting traffic conditions due to complex spatiotemporal correlations.
method Proposes PSTN with three modules: graph convolutional network, temporal convolutional network, and gated recurrent unit framework.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art benchmarks in short-term traffic conditions forecasting.

NCPF model improves traffic data imputation with neural and tensor methods.

problem Pervasive missing data in traffic analysis due to sensor failures and gaps.
method Neural Canonical Polyadic Factorization (NCPF) integrating CP decomposition and deep learning.
result NCPF outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in urban traffic datasets.

This paper proposes a real-time signal plan recommendation system for traffic incidents.

problem Limited effectiveness of traffic incident management due to late response and workload.
method Decomposes recommendation task into real-time traffic prediction and plan association, learning from historical data and metric learning.
result Precision score of 96.75% and recall of 87.5% on testing plan, with 22.5 minutes lead time ahead of Waze alerts.

New neural network predicts traffic flow across different cities.

problem Forecasting traffic flow across different cities is challenging due to spatio-temporal correlations.
method Proposes a local-spacetime neural network (STNN) that captures universal spatio-temporal correlations.
result Improves prediction accuracy by 4% over state-of-the-art methods.

DistPre predicts traffic speeds efficiently for large networks.

problem Fine-grained, accurate speed prediction for large-scale transportation networks.
method Customizes LSTM models on a cluster, sharing trained models between detectors.
result Efficient and accurate fine-grained traffic-speed prediction.

Proposes a feature transformation for spatio-temporal traffic models to improve performance and transferability.

problem Limited transferability of deep learning models for traffic flow prediction across different locations.
method Integrates Newell's traffic flow estimators to capture broader dynamics and incorporates spatial dependencies.
result Improves model performance in predicting traffic flows over different horizons.

Proposes a graph neural network for traffic forecasting in WANs.

problem Traffic forecasting challenges in WANs due to dynamic and large data volumes.
method Dynamic diffusion convolutional recurrent neural networks for multistep traffic forecasting.
result Significant improvements in forecasting accuracy compared to classical methods.

We propose a statistical learning-based traffic speed estimation method that uses sparse vehicle trajectory information. Using a convolutional encoder-decoder based architecture, we show that a well trained neural network can learn spatio-temporal traffic speed dynamics from time-space diagrams. We demonstrate this for…

2020-01-21abs ↗pdf ↗

We analyze the accuracy of traffic simulations metamodels based on neural networks and gradient boosting models (LightGBM), applied to traffic optimization as fitness functions of genetic algorithms. Our metamodels approximate outcomes of traffic simulations (the total time of waiting on a red signal) taking as an inpu…

2018-12-02abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper presents a mesoscopic traffic flow model that explicitly describes the spatio-temporal evolution of the probability distributions of vehicle trajectories. The dynamics are represented by a sequence of factor graphs, which enable learning of traffic dynamics from limited Lagrangian measurements using an effic…

2018-06-22abs ↗pdf ↗