AnChain.AI detects NFT wash trading with 0.14% of transactions flagged.
problem NFT market manipulation through wash trading.
method Algorithm flags transactions within 30 days of repurchase.
result 0.14% of NFT transactions are involved in wash trading.
Manipulation is an important issue for both developed and emerging stock markets. For the study of manipulation, it is critical to analyze investor behavior in the stock market. In this paper, an analysis of the full transaction records of over a hundred stocks in a one-year period is conducted. For each stock, a tradi…
We study trade-based manipulation of stock prices from the perspective of complex trading networks constructed by using detailed information of trades. A stock trading network consists of nodes and directed links, where every trader is a node and a link is formed from one trader to the other if the former sells shares …
Adversarial attacks can manipulate deep trading policies, compromising their performance.
problem Adversarial attacks can compromise deep reinforcement learning trading policies.
method Developed a threat model and proposed two attack techniques.
result Demonstrated the effectiveness of adversarial attacks against DQN trading agents.
New system resists meme coin copy trading bots.
problem Manipulative bots exploit copy trading in illiquid meme coins.
method Multi-agent architecture with LLM and CoT reasoning.
result System outperforms other methods in prediction and economic performance.
Online trading platforms manipulate profits and losses, causing 82% of retail traders to lose money.
problem Manipulation of online trading platforms leading to financial losses for retail traders.
method Independent recording of trade details using REST API responses, comparison with broker reviews.
result 82% of retail traders lose money due to platform technical issues.
Market manipulation is a strategy used by traders to alter the price of financial securities. One type of manipulation is based on the process of buying or selling assets by using several trading strategies, among them spoofing is a popular strategy and is considered illegal by market regulators. Some promising tools h…
New framework detects crypto wash trading using liquidity measures.
problem Detecting and monitoring wash trading in crypto assets.
method Developed a new framework to detect wash trading through real-time liquidity fluctuation measures.
result Joint elevation in liquidity jump and diffusion indicates wash trading in crypto assets.
Study reveals widespread manipulation of meme coins, leading to significant economic losses.
problem Widespread manipulation of meme coins leading to economic losses.
method Cross-chain analysis of 34,988 tokens across Ethereum, BNB Smart Chain, Solana, and Base.
result 82.8% of high-return tokens show evidence of artificial growth strategies.
Framework detects covert financial market manipulation using LOB representations.
problem Detecting covert financial market manipulation (spoofing) from complex anomaly patterns in multilevel prices.
method Cascaded contrastive representation learning of LOB data.
result Transformer-based architectures achieve state-of-the-art results in detection performance.
In financial markets, liquidity is not constant over time but exhibits strong seasonal patterns. In this article we consider a limit order book model that allows for time-dependent, deterministic depth and resilience of the book and determine optimal portfolio liquidation strategies. In a first model variant, we propos…
The paper analyzes how leverage affects manipulation in event-linked markets, offering new insights into regulation.
problem Manipulation and insider information in leveraged event-linked markets.
method Develops a two-axis manipulation taxonomy and analyzes leverage's effects on market-price and outcome manipulation.
result Leverage scales market-price manipulation linearly but shifts the cost-benefit threshold for outcome manipulation.
This paper examines how wash traders exploit market conditions in Bitcoin, finding strategic timing and spillover effects.
problem Wash trading in cryptocurrency markets to inflate volume and manipulate market conditions.
method Analysis of 18 million Mt. Gox transactions, exogenous demand shock study.
result Wash trading intensifies in low legitimate trading volume and responds to demand shocks, indicating strategic behavior.
AI detects 38% NFT trades likely manipulated, improving on indirect methods.
problem Detecting crypto wash trading using indirect methods and leaked data.
method Public NFT data analysis, direct estimation, AI-based estimator.
result AI reduces estimation errors in NFT markets, improving on indirect methods.
Adversarial attacks can fool algorithmic trading systems.
problem Adversarial perturbations can manipulate algorithmic trading models.
method Real-time adversarial attacks on trading algorithms using universal perturbations.
result Perturbations can fool trading algorithms at unseen data points.
Prediction markets can be manipulated by traders who can move contract settlements, harming price discovery.
problem Manipulation of settlement times in prediction markets leads to unfair wealth transfer and harms price discovery.
method Developed a model showing how settlement manipulation transfers wealth and harms price discovery, and observed real-world effects on Polymarket's Bitcoin contract.
result Manipulators capture significant profits from retail traders, especially when settlement times are short.
Study examines reasons for Nutek India's share price drop.
problem Deep fall in Nutek India Limited's share price.
method Analyzed transactions and market forces to identify manipulation.
result Identified intentional interference in supply and demand.
The study examines how backrun auctions can protect traders from price manipulation.
problem Price manipulation by arbitrageurs in batched trading venues.
method Developed a laminated queueing model to study price manipulation and introduced a price manipulation coefficient.
result Bound the price manipulation coefficient and found it approximated by a 'zeta value' with measurable parameters.
Article examines NFT market microstructure and trading risks.
problem Difficulty in distinguishing genuine NFTs from fads and scams.
method Analyzes price formation, market structure, and transparency.
result Provides due-diligence pointers to mitigate NFT trading risk.
Network analysis detects insider trading by flagging coordinated trades.
problem Detecting insider trading due to limited labelled data.
method Data-driven network approach using SEC trade data.
result Algorithm identifies insider trading clusters with high accuracy.
This study reviews decentralized prediction markets, identifying key design variants and open problems.
problem Designing and implementing decentralized prediction markets with desirable properties.
method Modular workflow comprising eight stages: infrastructure, market topic, share structure, pricing, market initialization, trading, resolution, settlement, and archiving. Analysis of design variants and trade-offs.
result Identification of open problems for researchers in the field of decentralized prediction markets.
Investigates optimal execution under time-varying liquidity, preventing price manipulation.
problem Optimal execution with time-varying liquidity impacts and price manipulation prevention.
method Almgren-Chriss framework, deterministic time variation, well-posedness, second-order conditions, price manipulation prevention.
result Sufficient conditions for a unique solution and prevention of price manipulation.
Study detects unusual trading patterns on crypto exchanges using complexity measures.
problem Detecting artificial trading activity on cryptocurrency exchanges.
method Complexity and statistical-structure measures derived from high-frequency trade-level data.
result Unusual trading patterns detected on Bitget for BTC and ETH after mid-May 2025.
As the decade turns, we reflect on nearly thirty years of successful manipulation of the world's public equity markets. This reflection highlights a few of the key enabling ingredients and lessons learned along the way. A quantitative understanding of market impact and its decay, which we cover briefly, lets you move l…
Quant firms manipulate stock markets overnight and intraday.
problem Unexplained consistent overnight and intraday returns in stock markets.
method Analysis of trading patterns and market movements.
result Large quant firms expand and contract portfolios to create mark-to-market gains.
Study on costs of manipulating AMM-based price oracles.
problem Cost of manipulation in AMM-based on-chain price oracles.
method Analyzes the robustness of AMM-based oracles to strategic manipulation, considering different aggregation methods and market conditions.
result Manipulation costs depend on the total quote depth and can be minimized by optimal liquidity weights.
Study improves detection of cryptocurrency pump-and-dump schemes.
problem Class imbalance in P&D detection due to rare events.
method Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) and ensemble learning models.
result XGBoost and LightGBM achieved high recall rates (94.87% and 93.59%) with strong F1-scores.
We provide direct evidence of market manipulation at the beginning of the financial crisis in November 2007. The type of manipulation, a "bear raid," would have been prevented by a regulation that was repealed by the Securities and Exchange Commission in July 2007. The regulation, the uptick rule, was designed to preve…
Model detects market anomalies using a Hawkes process with hidden Markov chain.
problem Detecting high-frequency market manipulation in cryptocurrency trades.
method Developed a Markov-modulated Hawkes process with piecewise constant excitation kernels.
result Demonstrated the model's effectiveness in detecting suspicious trading activities.
Framework detects and ranks suspicious market manipulation using temporal convolutions and expert assessment.
problem Detecting and deterring rogue agents in financial markets.
method Weakly supervised learning, expert assessment, similarity search.
result Promising preliminary results in detecting and ranking suspicious market manipulation.
We model the impact costs of a strategy that trades a basket of correlated instruments, by extending to the multivariate case the linear propagator model previously used for single instruments. Our specification allows us to calibrate a cost model that is free of arbitrage and price manipulation. We illustrate our resu…
Twitter promotes cryptocurrency pump-and-dumps, affecting trading behavior and returns.
problem The influence of Twitter on cryptocurrency pump-and-dump events.
method Analysis of abnormal returns, trading volume, and tweet activity.
result Investors relying on Twitter information sell later, leading to significant losses.
Study analyzes cryptocurrency pump-and-dump dynamics using minute-level data.
problem Identifying and quantifying insider trading in cryptocurrency markets.
method Algorithmic identification of insider volume spikes, conservative profit bounds calculation, social-media verification.
result Median returns above 100%, upper-quartile returns exceeding 2000% for insider profits.
While historically, economists have been primarily occupied with analyzing the behaviour of the markets, electronic trading gave rise to a new class of unprecedented problems associated with market fairness, transparency and manipulation. These problems stem from technical shortcomings that are not accounted for in the…
Prime Match protects client stock trades from market price manipulation.
problem Protecting client stock trades from market price manipulation.
method Prime Match uses a two-round secure linear comparison protocol to match orders without revealing information.
result Prime Match reduces market impact and maintains client privacy.
Investigates cross-impact kernels for financial asset prices.
problem Understanding and parameterizing cross-impact kernels for financial asset prices.
method Examined martingale-admissible and no-statistical-arbitrage-admissible kernels, determined their overlap, and provided calibration formulas.
result Identified the overlap between martingale-admissible and no-statistical-arbitrage-admissible kernels and provided formulas for their calibration.
Study reveals risks of investing in new crypto-tokens in decentralized exchanges.
problem Risks associated with investing in newly created tokens in decentralized exchanges.
method Analysis of financial impact, market dynamics, profitability, and liquidity manipulations.
result Significant market liquidity trapped in honeypots, reducing market efficiency and misleading investors.
In this paper we use fuzzy systems theory to convert the technical trading rules commonly used by stock practitioners into excess demand functions which are then used to drive the price dynamics. The technical trading rules are recorded in natural languages where fuzzy words and vague expressions abound. In Part I of t…
Proposes a framework for extracting consistent physiological features across users.
problem Variability of biosignals across different users and tasks.
method Adversarial feature extractor for disentangled universal representations.
result Up to 8.8% improvement in average accuracy of classification.
Study on incentivizing truthfulness in federated learning with heterogeneous data.
problem Manipulated updates in federated learning due to data heterogeneity.
method Formulated a game-theoretic approach to prevent clients from misreporting their gradient updates.
result Developed a payment rule that provably disincentivizes sending modified updates in federated learning.
Paper proposes a GRU model to detect spoofing in retail investors.
problem Spoofing in unregulated markets with retail investors.
method GRU-based detection model using market variables.
result Model performs well in early detection of spoofing attempts.
In financial markets, abnormal trading behaviors pose a serious challenge to market surveillance and risk management. What is worse, there is an increasing emergence of abnormal trading events that some experienced traders constitute a collusive clique and collaborate to manipulate some instruments, thus mislead other …
Study compares statistical and machine learning models for detecting crypto trading anomalies.
problem Detecting outliers in cryptocurrency limit order books for market dynamics analysis.
method Comprehensive comparative analysis of 13 diverse models using a unified testing environment.
result Empirical Covariance (EC) model outperforms standard Buy-and-Hold by 6.70%.
AI learns market manipulation through simulation, suggesting regulation.
problem Regulating AI to prevent market manipulation.
method Used a genetic algorithm in an artificial market simulation.
result AI discovered market manipulation as an optimal strategy.
Modeling option market making with hedging-induced price impact.
problem Tackles the challenge of market making in options markets with price impact.
method Models option order flow using Cox processes and studies the dynamics of inventory and price under hedging-induced impact.
result Establishes the well-posedness of the mixed control problem involving quoting and hedging.
Gray-box attack improves on white-box methods for trading agents.
problem Robustness of Deep RL trading agents against adversarial attacks.
method Hybrid Deep Neural Network policy for gray-box adversarial attack.
result Adversary can reduce trading agent's reward by 214.17%.
New model improves neural network robustness against input manipulations.
problem Improving neural network robustness against input manipulations.
method Causal view and deep causal manipulation augmented model (deep CAMA) with data augmentation and test-time fine-tuning.
result Deep CAMA shows superior robustness against unseen manipulations compared to traditional models.
This paper studies poisoning attacks in episodic RL and discovers their effectiveness depends on reward bounds.
problem Understanding security threats to RL algorithms through poisoning attacks.
method Examined two types of poisoning attacks: reward and action manipulation, in bounded and unbounded reward settings.
result The effectiveness of poisoning attacks depends on reward bounds, with different attack costs and success rates.