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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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71142213284 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for tracking guarantees

New approach uses Gaussian processes to learn and track complex systems with guaranteed accuracy.

problem Inaccurate first principle models for complex systems due to data complexity.
method Bayesian prediction error bound for Gaussian process regression, derived from kernel-based data density.
result Achieves vanishing tracking error with increasing data density, providing time-varying accuracy guarantees.

Extends tracking guarantees for time-varying variational inequalities.

problem Tracking solutions of time-varying variational inequalities.
method Extends existing results to sublinear solution paths and periodic problems.
result Discrete dynamical systems of periodic time-varying VI can exhibit chaotic behavior or converge to the solution.

In this paper, we propose new conditions guaranteeing that the trajectories of a mechanical control system can track any curve on the configuration manifold. We focus on systems that can be represented as forced affine connection control systems and we generalize the sufficient conditions for tracking known in the lite…

2015-01-16abs ↗pdf ↗

In this work, we study the robust subspace tracking (RST) problem and obtain one of the first two provable guarantees for it. The goal of RST is to track sequentially arriving data vectors that lie in a slowly changing low-dimensional subspace, while being robust to corruption by additive sparse outliers. It can also b…

2017-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper presents neural network controllers for offset-free setpoint tracking.

problem Offset-free setpoint tracking using neural network controllers.
method Exploiting slope-restricted activation functions, linear matrix inequalities are used to verify stability.
result Global and local stability conditions for neural network controllers are derived.

This paper proposes a DGP approach with UCBs for point target tracking over WSNs.

problem Uncertainty quantification in distributed machine learning-based tracking over WSNs.
method Distributed Gaussian process (DGP) approach with upper confidence bounds (UCBs).
result UCBs provide 88% and 42% higher probability of encompassing true target states in X and Y coordinates, respectively.

SOOTT framework optimizes target tracking with robust and learning-augmented algorithms.

problem Optimizing target tracking in dynamic environments with adversarial perturbations.
method Integrates robust and learning-augmented algorithms for online decision-making.
result CoRT learning-augmented algorithm strictly improves over robust BEST when predictions are accurate.

We study the problem of subspace tracking in the presence of missing data (ST-miss). In recent work, we studied a related problem called robust ST. In this work, we show that a simple modification of our robust ST solution also provably solves ST-miss and robust ST-miss. To our knowledge, our result is the first `compl…

2018-10-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are widely employed in control and learning because of their principled treatment of uncertainty. However, tracking uncertainty for iterative, multi-step predictions in general leads to an analytically intractable problem. While approximation methods exist, they do not come with guarantees, mak…

2019-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Fast robust subspace tracking in sparse data-dependent noise with near-optimal delay.

problem Robustly tracking time-varying subspaces in the presence of sparse outliers.
method Introduces a fast mini-batch robust ST solution under mild assumptions.
result Provably correct subspace tracking with near-optimal delay and same time complexity as simple PCA.

Gradient filters track moving parameters under noisy data and misspecification.

problem Tracking multidimensional time-varying parameters under noisy observations and model misspecification.
method Gradient-based filters update parameters using the gradient of a postulated objective function, evaluated at either the predicted or updated parameters.
result Novel sufficient conditions for exponential stability of the filtered parameter path, and finite-sample and asymptotic mean squared error bounds.

The paper analyzes Adam and SGD in nonstationary optimization, revealing tradeoffs between noise and drift.

problem Analyzing Adam and SGD in nonstationary optimization problems.
method Theoretical analysis of Adam and SGD under non-stationary stochastic objectives, separating two regimes.
result Characterizes the tradeoff between noise and drift in Adam and SGD, revealing when adaptive step-sizing is beneficial or harmful.

Dynamic robust PCA refers to the dynamic (time-varying) extension of robust PCA (RPCA). It assumes that the true (uncorrupted) data lies in a low-dimensional subspace that can change with time, albeit slowly. The goal is to track this changing subspace over time in the presence of sparse outliers. We develop and study …

2017-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm tackles optimization with distributed constraints.

problem Optimization problems with generalized orthogonality constraints in a decentralized setting.
method Introduced a novel algorithm that tracks gradients and Jacobians simultaneously.
result Global convergence with an iteration complexity established.

Computing the permanent of a non-negative matrix is a core problem with practical applications ranging from target tracking to statistical thermodynamics. However, this problem is also #P-complete, which leaves little hope for finding an exact solution that can be computed efficiently. While the problem admits a fully …

2019-11-26abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a computationally efficient random walk on a convex body which rapidly mixes and closely tracks a time-varying log-concave distribution. We develop general theoretical guarantees on the required number of steps; this number can be calculated on the fly according to the distance from and the shape of the next…

2013-09-23abs ↗pdf ↗

For many modern applications in science and engineering, data are collected in a streaming fashion carrying time-varying information, and practitioners need to process them with a limited amount of memory and computational resources in a timely manner for decision making. This often is coupled with the missing data pro…

2018-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Transformers learn chain-of-thought reasoning for longer problems, proving length generalization.

problem Challenging problems require deeper reasoning, but how do models generalize this to longer tasks?
method Theoretical analysis of transformers on synthetic state-tracking tasks, proving length generalization through attention concentration.
result Transformers can learn chain-of-thought reasoning for longer problems, proving length generalization.

Federated learning has emerged as an umbrella term for centralized coordination strategies in multi-agent environments. While many federated learning architectures process data in an online manner, and are hence adaptive by nature, most performance analyses assume static optimization problems and offer no guarantees in…

2020-02-20abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper provides guarantees for feedback control with sensor errors.

problem Certifying performance and safety in feedback control systems with sensor errors.
method Solving a supervised learning problem to characterize sensor errors and providing uniform error bounds.
result Finite-time convergence rate on sub-optimality of using a regressor in closed-loop for waypoint tracking.

Paper presents adaptive minimax risk classifiers for multidimensional concept drift.

problem Multidimensional concept drift in supervised classification.
method Adaptive minimax risk classifiers (AMRCs) tracking multivariate and high-order distribution changes.
result AMRCs provide computable tight performance guarantees and improve classification.

We propose an algorithm combining calibrated prediction and generalization bounds from learning theory to construct confidence sets for deep neural networks with PAC guarantees---i.e., the confidence set for a given input contains the true label with high probability. We demonstrate how our approach can be used to cons…

2019-12-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Algorithm identifies best policy in MDPs with adaptive sampling.

problem Best policy identification in discounted MDPs with limited samples.
method Derive lower and upper bounds on sample complexity, design KLB-TS algorithm.
result KLB-TS algorithm achieves nearly-optimal sample allocation.

This work uses SVM to identify track component failures in AC Track Circuits.

problem Detecting and identifying specific track component failures in AC Track Circuits.
method Applied SVM classifier to STDS track circuit data.
result Successfully classified 15 different track component failures.

Principal Components Analysis (PCA) is one of the most widely used dimension reduction techniques. Robust PCA (RPCA) refers to the problem of PCA when the data may be corrupted by outliers. Recent work by Cand{è}s, Wright, Li, and Ma defined RPCA as a problem of decomposing a given data matrix into the sum of a low-ran…

2018-03-01abs ↗pdf ↗

New method uses cluster shapes to improve track finding in particle collisions.

problem Combining timing and additional detector information for efficient track finding.
method Neural networks to analyze cluster shapes for track seeding.
result Cluster shapes reduce fake combinatorial backgrounds while maintaining high track efficiency.

Unified framework for subsampling mechanisms with tighter privacy guarantees.

problem Improving privacy in machine learning models through subsampling.
method Conditional optimal transport for deriving mechanism-specific subsampling guarantees.
result Tighter privacy bounds for subsampled mechanisms compared to traditional methods.

New algorithm infers trajectories from partial observations using optimal transport.

problem Inferring trajectories from partial observations of coupled systems.
method Extends MFL algorithm to latent SDEs using observable state space models and partial observations.
result Experiments show significant outperformance over latent-free baseline.

This paper optimizes object tracking on edge devices with small matrices.

problem Efficiently tracking objects in video sequences on edge devices with small matrices.
method Parallelized a Simple Online and Real-time Tracking (SORT) application on shared-memory multicores.
result Throughput-based parallelization technique outperforms multi-threading for small matrices.

Optimal best-arm identification with known number of optimal arms.

problem Identifying the best arm in a multi-armed bandit with multiple optimal arms under fixed confidence.
method Deriving a new information-theoretic lower bound and proposing a modified stopping rule.
result Achieving asymptotic instance-optimality with a new lower bound and new stopping rule.

A DRL-based strategy improves vehicle tracking accuracy while saving energy.

problem Enhancing vehicle tracking accuracy in WSNs without increasing energy consumption.
method Decentralized strategy with dynamic reinforcement learning to adjust sensing areas.
result Simulation results demonstrate superior performance of DRL-aided design.

Paper introduces TAP-Vid, a benchmark for tracking any point in videos.

problem Tackles the problem of tracking arbitrary physical points on surfaces over longer video clips.
method Formalizes the problem as TAP, introduces TAP-Vid benchmark, uses crowdsourced pipeline with optical flow estimates, proposes TAP-Net model.
result TAP-Net outperforms all prior methods on TAP-Vid benchmark when trained on synthetic data.

In this paper, we define the rectangle condition on the bridge sphere for a nn-bridge decomposition of a knot whose definition is analogous to the definition of the rectangle condition for Heegaard splittings of 33-manifolds. We show that the satisfaction of the rectangle condition for a nn-bridge decomposition can …

2014-04-28abs ↗pdf ↗

The efficiency of a modern economy depends on what we call the Value-Tracking Hypothesis: that market prices of key assets broadly track some underlying value. This can be expected if a sufficient weight of market participants are valuation-based traders, buying and selling an asset when its price is, respectively, bel…

2019-03-23abs ↗pdf ↗

We show that the subsurface projection of a train track splitting sequence is an unparameterized quasi-geodesic in the curve complex of the subsurface. For the proof we introduce induced tracks, efficient position, and wide curves. This result is an important step in the proof that the disk complex is Gromov hyperbolic…

2010-04-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Dynamic tracking error framework shows similar performance but varying volatility across different constraints.

problem Differences in governance parameters between Total Portfolio Approach and Strategic Asset Allocation.
method Portfolio simulations using U.S. equity and bond data from 2000 to 2026, spanning 2004 to 2026.
result Realized tracking error volatility varies 12-fold across different constraints, with costs highest during crises.

A new decentralized algorithm DESTINY solves optimization over Stiefel manifold with single communication round.

problem Decentralized optimization over the Stiefel manifold with private data.
method Gradient tracking with approximate augmented Lagrangian function.
result DESTINY achieves global convergence with a single communication round.