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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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6131925 · Oct 201919922001200920172026
48 results for textual sentiment

A new framework predicts stock movements using news sentiment and relational data.

problem Predicting stock prices from textual information is challenging due to market uncertainty and natural language complexity.
method Multi-Graph Recurrent Network (MGRN) combining textual sentiment from financial news and relational data.
result The model outperforms benchmarks in predicting stock movements.

Social media is increasingly used by humans to express their feelings and opinions in the form of short text messages. Detecting sentiments in the text has a wide range of applications including identifying anxiety or depression of individuals and measuring well-being or mood of a community. Sentiments can be expressed…

2018-07-20abs ↗pdf ↗

An increasing number of people are using online social networking services (SNSs), and a significant amount of information related to experiences in consumption is shared in this new media form. Text mining is an emerging technique for mining useful information from the web. We aim at discovering in particular tweets s…

2016-03-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Can textual data be compressed intelligently without losing accuracy in evaluating sentiment? In this study, we propose a novel evolutionary compression algorithm, PARSEC (PARts-of-Speech for sEntiment Compression), which makes use of Parts-of-Speech tags to compress text in a way that sacrifices minimal classification…

2017-09-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Images have become one of the most popular types of media through which users convey their emotions within online social networks. Although vast amount of research is devoted to sentiment analysis of textual data, there has been very limited work that focuses on analyzing sentiment of image data. In this work, we propo…

2014-11-21abs ↗pdf ↗

The marvel of markets lies in the fact that dispersed information is instantaneously processed and used to adjust the price of goods, services and assets. Financial markets are particularly efficient when it comes to processing information; such information is typically embedded in textual news that is then interpreted…

2018-07-18abs ↗pdf ↗

This study uses NLP to predict stock performance based on analyst reports.

problem Predicting stock performance using textual information from analyst reports.
method Natural language processing (NLP) and a customized BERT deep learning model for Chinese text.
result Strong positive sentiment in analyst reports increases excess return and intraday volatility, while strong negative sentiment increases volatility and trading volume but decreases excess return.

Hybrid model predicts stock prices using online forum sentiments and popularity.

problem Predicting stock prices accurately considering investor sentiment.
method XLNET for sentiment analysis, BiLSTM-highway model integration, combining post popularity.
result Hybrid model outperforms traditional methods in stock price prediction.

A model integrates CNN and LSTM with LLM for better stock forecasting.

problem Complex stock market prediction with volatile patterns and multifaceted data.
method Two-Level Conv-LSTM Neural Network with LLM for holistic stock advising.
result Improved prediction accuracy and contextual insights.

Paper proposes a deep learning model to predict stock prices using sentiment analysis.

problem Predicting future stock movement using financial textual and numerical data.
method A blending ensemble deep learning model with two levels of RNNs, LSTM, and GRU followed by a fully connected neural network.
result The model improves prediction accuracy compared to traditional methods.

Paper proposes a hybrid model for financial time series prediction using sentiment analysis.

problem Challenges in forecasting in non-stationary, complex environments with heterogeneous data.
method Hybrid model combining GANs with NLP-based sentiment analysis.
result Hybrid model enhances robustness in non-stationary environments.

As machine learning ascends the peak of computer science zeitgeist, the usage and experimentation with sentiment analysis using various forms of textual data seems pervasive. The effect is especially pronounced in formulating securities trading strategies, due to a plethora of reasons including the relative ease of imp…

2017-12-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Study investigates micro-event detection on FLOSS version releases from Stack Overflow.

problem Detecting micro-events in FLOSS version release events from textual messages.
method Developed pipelines using LDA topic modeling, hSBM topics, and sentiment analysis; optimized feature spaces with RFECV; evaluated models with statistical analysis.
result Found characteristic changes in topics or sentiment features before or after FLOSS version releases.

Study predicts market bubbles using machine learning and financial news sentiment.

problem Predicting market bubbles in the S&P 500 index.
method Three-step approach combining financial news sentiment and macroeconomic indicators.
result Proposed three-step ensemble approach significantly improves bubble prediction accuracy.

FinDPO uses preference optimization to improve financial sentiment analysis models.

problem Financial sentiment analysis models often fail to generalize to unseen data.
method FinDPO uses Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) to align LLMs with human preferences.
result FinDPO achieves state-of-the-art performance and maintains positive returns under realistic trading conditions.

Anonymization reduces economic signal extraction from financial texts.

problem Reducing meaningful economic signals from financial texts due to anonymization.
method Analyzed the impact of anonymization on textual understanding and economic signal extraction.
result Information loss due to anonymization is severe and pervasive, outweighing its benefits in certain financial applications.

Improved crypto market forecasting using historical price reactions to tweets.

problem Challenges in inferring market impact from human sentiment labels.
method Market-derived labeling approach to assign tweet sentiment labels based on historical price trends. Fine-tuned language model with context-aware prompt-tuning.
result 89.6% accuracy on Bitcoin news events, outperforming traditional fusion models.

BioFinBERT analyzes sentiment of biotech press releases and financial text around inflection points.

problem Analyzing sentiment of biotech press releases and financial text around inflection points.
method Finetuning BioBERT on financial datasets to create BioFinBERT for sentiment analysis.
result BioFinBERT accurately analyzes sentiment of biotech press releases and financial text around inflection points.

In this paper, we use several techniques with conventional vocal feature extraction (MFCC, STFT), along with deep-learning approaches such as CNN, and also context-level analysis, by providing the textual data, and combining different approaches for improved emotion-level classification. We explore models that have not…

2019-05-19abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper improves cryptocurrency price forecasting using deep learning and NLP on financial, blockchain, and social media data.

problem Improving cryptocurrency price forecasting accuracy and profitability.
method Integrates financial, blockchain, and social media data; applies BART MNLI model for sentiment analysis; uses deep learning NLP models; compares with traditional methods; uses local extrema as predictive targets.
result Significantly improves forecasting accuracy and profitability of cryptocurrency price predictions.

The study identifies impactful news articles based on liquidity changes, improving asset return prediction.

problem Evaluating the sentiment of financial news articles for institutional investors.
method Liquidity-driven variables are used to identify impactful news articles, focusing on liquidity mode switches.
result The screened dataset leads to superior performance in short-term asset return prediction.

Study improves U.S. monetary policy forecasting by integrating text and data.

problem Forecasting central bank policy decisions, especially the Fed's rate changes.
method Multi-modal approach combining structured data and unstructured text from Fed communications.
result Hybrid models outperform unimodal baselines, achieving a test AUC of 0.83.

IUS framework predicts EUR/USD exchange rate with improved accuracy.

problem Accurate forecasting of EUR/USD exchange rate.
method Combines large language models for sentiment analysis, deep learning for forecasting, and feature selection.
result Optuna-optimized Bi-LSTM model reduces MAE and RMSE by 10.69% and 9.56% respectively.

A trading system uses LLMs to adapt to volatile crypto markets.

problem Volatility and market sentiment in cryptocurrencies make traditional models ineffective.
method Specialized LLM agents for technical analysis, sentiment evaluation, and decision-making; verbal feedback for continuous improvement.
result Agents outperform buy-and-hold strategy with consistent gains across market phases.

Recurrent neural networks have become ubiquitous in computing representations of sequential data, especially textual data in natural language processing. In particular, Bidirectional LSTMs are at the heart of several neural models achieving state-of-the-art performance in a wide variety of tasks in NLP. However, BiLSTM…

2018-05-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Study improves cryptocurrency price prediction using unlabeled text data.

problem Predicting cryptocurrency returns from unlabelled text data.
method Introduced weak learning approach to finetune BERT on unlabeled text data.
result Finetuning pretrained NLP models with weak labels enhances forecast accuracy.

Estimating the intensity of emotion has gained significance as modern textual inputs in potential applications like social media, e-retail markets, psychology, advertisements etc., carry a lot of emotions, feelings, expressions along with its meaning. However, the approaches of traditional sentiment analysis primarily …

2019-03-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a new trading strategy using corporate event detection from news articles.

problem Predicting stock movements based on corporate events from news articles.
method Bi-level event detection model: low-level for token-level event identification, high-level for article-level event identification.
result The proposed strategy outperforms existing models in stock prediction metrics.