Modeling territorial control in civil wars using HMMs.
problem Lack of fine-grained data on territorial control in civil wars.
method Theoretical model of territorial control and Hidden Markov Models (HMMs).
result HMMs can estimate levels of territorial control in civil wars.
Study examines diversification of mid-mountain ski tourism.
problem Understanding transformations in ski mid-mountain territories.
method Applied regional diversification theory to French ski areas.
result Identified three steps in tourism diversification paths.
Paper presents a method for geographic ratemaking using spatial embeddings.
problem Lack of historical loss data in areas with high exposures.
method Construct spatial features within a complex representation model and use them as inputs to a predictive model.
result Predictions have smaller bias and variance than other spatial interpolation models.
A general theory of innovation and progress in human society is outlined, based on the combat between two opposite forces (conservatism/inertia and speculative herding "bubble" behavior). We contend that human affairs are characterized by ubiquitous ``bubbles'', which involve huge risks which would not otherwise be tak…
Hybridizes genetic algorithms with PROMOTHEE for better economic activity localization decisions.
problem Making optimal location decisions for economic activities considering multiple criteria.
method Hybridization of genetic algorithms with PROMOTHEE method for multicriteria analysis.
result Improves decision-making for economic activity localization.
Georgia needs a new budget code to manage fiscal policies effectively.
problem Weak and incomplete law on Budget System hinders fiscal policy implementation.
method Develop and adopt a new Budget Code with equal force as the Tax Code.
result Effective correlation between state, regional, and local budgets is crucial for social-economic development.
Bayesian analysis predicts properties of proton-emitting nuclei beyond the proton drip line.
problem Predicting properties of unstable nuclei in the proton-rich region.
method Bayesian Gaussian processes and mass models corrected with statistical emulators.
result Quantified predictions for separation energies and probabilities of proton emission.
Improved electrical load forecasting model using Fourier-enhanced RNN.
problem Electrical load time series downscaling with high accuracy and low error.
method Combines recurrent neural network with Fourier seasonal embeddings and self-attention.
result Significantly reduces RMSE across different time horizons compared to existing methods.
Study classifies Einstein 4-manifolds with specific curvature properties.
problem Classifying Einstein 4-manifolds with specific curvature properties.
method Classification based on self-dual Weyl curvature and harmonic forms.
result Similar results obtained for non-negative curvature, differing from positive curvature cases.
Study quantifies firm risks from nature decline, showing significant equity losses.
problem Estimating the financial impact of nature deterioration on companies.
method Developed metrics (Country Degradation Index, Nature Risk Score) and assessed five environmental hazards.
result Global equities lose 26.8% in a nature decline scenario, with worst firms losing 75%.
A new oversampling framework generates minority samples by perturbing majority classes.
problem Oversampling in imbalanced classification often neglects majority classes, leading to samples spread across the minority space.
method Introduces a counterfactual objective to generate new minority samples by perturbing majority samples.
result Generated minority samples are near the decision boundary and significantly outperform state-of-the-art methods.
We study a large economy in which firms cannot compute exact solutions to the non-linear equations that characterize the equilibrium price at which they can sell future output. Instead, firms use polynomial expansions to approximate prices. The precision with which they can compute prices is endogenous and depends on t…
We study surface groups Γ in SO(4,1), which is the group of Mobius tranformations of S3, and also the group of isometries of H4. We consider such Γ so that its limit set ΛΓ is a quasi-circle in S3, and so that the quotient (S3−ΛΓ)/Γ is a circle bundle over a surface. This circle bundl…
It is demonstrated that the US economy has on the long-term in reality been governed by the Keynesian approach to economics independent of the current official economical policy. This is done by calculating the two-point correlation function between the fluctuations of the DJIA and the US public debt. We find that the …
Deep learning improves speaker recognition verification and identification.
problem Limited progress in speaker recognition for 5-6 years.
method Applied deep learning techniques in speaker verification and identification.
result Deep learning becomes the state-of-the-art solution for speaker recognition.
Study on wind speed variability in Switzerland using multifractal analysis.
problem Understanding wind speed variability in mountainous regions.
method Multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis applied to daily wind speed data.
result Persistent and multifractal nature of wind speed series, with larger fluctuations in Swiss plateau.
The focus of these lectures is the Gopakumar-Vafa's insight that ``Large N dualities'' (relating gauge theories and closed strings) are realized, in certain cases, by "transition in geometry". In their pivotal 1998 example, the gauge theory is SU(N) Chern-Simons theory on S^3, for large N, and the transition is the "co…
New ML model predicts long-term power generation at large areas.
problem Accurate forecasting of long-term power generation from renewable sources.
method Machine learning model applied to aggregated power generation data.
result The model predicts power generation with high accuracy over 15 days.
For the last few years, the amount of data has significantly increased in the companies. It is the reason why data analysis methods have to evolve to meet new demands. In this article, we introduce a practical analysis of a large database from a telecommunication operator. The problem is to segment a territory and char…
ATL learns from many streaming processes without labeled data.
problem Knowledge transfer across many streaming processes with covariate shift and drifts.
method Autonomous transfer learning with generative and discriminative phases, KL divergence optimization, and elastic network structure.
result Improved performance and faster training speed compared to existing methods.
Automated valuation model uses diverse data sources for real estate appraisal.
problem Accurate and efficient automated valuation of real estate properties.
method Web data acquisition and machine learning model combining structural and geographical data.
result The model achieves high prediction accuracy for real estate values.
This review establishes a taxonomy for modular neural networks.
problem Scaling ANNs for complex and multi-disciplinary problems.
method Systematic analysis of modularization techniques in MNNs.
result A universal framework for studying MNNs.
Understanding urban growth is one with understanding how society evolves to satisfy the needs of its individuals in sharing a common space and adapting to the territory. We propose here a quantitative analysis of the historical development of a large urban area by investigating the spatial distribution and the age of c…
Study identifies spatial inequalities in urban services access based on income.
problem Spatial inequalities in urban services and accessibility based on income.
method Multidimensional approach using land use and public transportation data.
result Low-income population has low access to hospitals and cultural centers, while public schools and sports centers have intermediate accessibility.
New AI model improves grid planning efficiency and reliability.
problem Improving distribution grid planning with AI for energy sustainability.
method Hyperstructures Graph Convolutional Neural Networks (Hyper-GCNNs) with attention mechanism.
result Hyper-GCNNs outperforms existing models in computational efficiency and accuracy.
Method generates prototypes from small datasets for efficient learning.
problem Efficiently learning from small datasets with soft labels.
method Modular method for generating soft-label prototypical lines and Hierarchical Soft-Label Prototype k-Nearest Neighbor algorithm.
result High classification accuracy with significantly fewer prototypes than classes.
Study predicts adverse events in Afghanistan using time series data.
problem Predicting the number of negative events in Afghanistan's theater of war.
method Regression analysis on time series data, non-conventional aggregation of districts, machine learning models.
result Predictive models show reasonable performance on historical data, but other variables do not improve prediction quality.
TerraNova models Earth and societies as a unified system.
problem Modeling the physical Earth and human societies as a coupled system.
method TerraNova integrates physical Earth fields and societal indicators in their native geometries using encoders, cross-modal transformers, and a hypernetwork.
result TerraNova represents the physical Earth and societies without lossy averaging over borders, achieving competitive performance and spanning axes not represented by purpose-built encoders.
New method for credible intervals of Covid19 reproduction number.
problem Lack of credibility intervals in existing estimates.
method Combines Langevin Monte Carlo with Proximal operators.
result Produces credible intervals for reproduction number estimates.
We consider extensive data on Spanish international trades and population composition and, through statistical-mechanics and graph-theory driven analysis, we unveil that the social network made of native and foreign-born individuals plays a role in the evolution and in the diversification of trades. Indeed, migrants na…
This paper reviews deep learning and knowledge-based methods for molecular design.
problem Optimizing molecular properties for scientific advances and process performance.
method Survey of deep learning and knowledge-based methods for molecular design.
result Deep learning models show promise in overcoming computational challenges.
Deep learning improves weather modeling for electricity load forecasting.
problem Accurate load and renewable energy forecasting requires complex spatio-temporal weather modeling.
method Automated spatio-temporal feature extraction using deep neural networks.
result Deep learning outperforms traditional methods in French national load forecasting.
Generative ML learns optimal pursuit trajectories in pursuit-evasion games.
problem Optimizing Blue's pursuit trajectory to intercept Red in a game of pursuit-evasion.
method Applying generative machine learning to learn optimal action policies for Blue.
result Generative ML models can learn relevant representations for pursuit-evasion dynamics.
Torus graphs analyze multivariate phase coupling among brain signals.
problem Identifying coordinated phase changes across multiple brain regions.
method Torus graphs based on full exponential family with pairwise interactions.
result Torus graphs accurately identify conditional associations in multivariate phase data.
Hybrid framework predicts Arctic permafrost decline, risks infrastructure, and provides tools.
problem Tackles permafrost decline and infrastructure risk assessment in Arctic territories.
method Hybrid physics-machine learning framework integrating 2.9 million observations.
result Projects mean permafrost fraction decline of -20.3 pp under RCP8.5 forcing, with high-risk zones identified.
This paper examines how labeling error affects contrastive learning and proposes data dimensionality reduction methods to mitigate its impact.
problem The impact of labeling error on the performance of contrastive learning.
method Data dimensionality reduction methods (e.g., SVD) are applied to reduce false positive samples and improve downstream classification accuracy.
result Data dimensionality reduction methods can mitigate the negative impacts of labeling error on downstream classification performance.
This study forecasts climate data in Chile using EOFs and machine learning models.
problem Predicting climatic variability in Chile for resource management and planning.
method Combines EOF decomposition, wavelet analysis, and neural networks for spatiotemporal forecasting.
result Improved accuracy in forecasting climate data through a hybrid ML approach.
This paper explains tax policy for crypto assets in a rapidly evolving tech landscape.
problem Rapid technological changes in crypto assets create regulatory and tax policy blind spots.
method Explains principles of crypto assets, their technology, and tax issues.
result Tax policies are lagging behind innovation in blockchain and crypto.
This study simulates the evolution of artificial economies in order to understand the tax relevance of administrative boundaries in the quality of life of its citizens. The modeling involves the construction of a computational algorithm, which includes citizens, bounded into families; firms and governments; all of them…
The relevance of data quantifies learning efficiency.
problem Understanding the statistical nature of high-dimensional, sparse data.
method Defining relevance as information content, and using it to define ideal limits of samples and learning machines.
result Maximally informative samples and optimal learning machines exhibit critical features like power-law frequency distributions and anomalously large susceptibility.
CausalRivers benchmarks causal discovery methods on real-world river discharge data.
problem Lack of in-the-wild evaluation of causal discovery methods on complex, real-world data.
method Introduces CausalRivers, a large-scale dataset of river discharge data for benchmarking.
result Demonstrates the utility of CausalRivers in evaluating causal discovery methods.
Deep learning predicts Dota 2 deaths with high precision and recall.
problem Predicting key events like hero deaths in fast-paced esports matches.
method Shared weights deep learning network trained on Dota 2 data.
result 0.377 precision and 0.725 recall in predicting deaths within 5 seconds.
Neural PID controllers improve control system performance and are more interpretable.
problem Lack of interpretability in neural PID controllers limits their use in control engineering.
method Extensive study using four benchmark systems with and without noise and disturbances, applying GDNN to PID controllers.
result Neural PID controllers outperform standard PID and model-based control in most tasks.
Boosting improves control of complex systems.
problem Improving performance of controllers for dynamical systems.
method Proposes a boosting framework for online control of dynamical systems.
result An efficient boosting algorithm that combines weak controllers into a more accurate one.
Paper generalizes control contraction metrics to Finsler geometry.
problem Designing nonlinear controllers for complex geometries.
method Generalization of CCMs to Finsler geometry, providing open loop and sampled data controllers.
result Simplified computation of sampled data control without real-time shortest path computation.
Derives optimal control conditions using calculus of variations.
problem Optimizing Markov control in stochastic control problems.
method Calculus of variations approach to derive necessary conditions.
result Solves the Merton portfolio optimization problem.
Framework simplifies vision-based control and goal discovery.
problem Learning proportional control from visual data.
method Introduces NewtonianVAE for proportional control and goal discovery.
result Dramatic simplification and acceleration of vision-based controllers.
The paper introduces new tests for global controllability in hybrid systems.
problem Global controllability in hybrid systems with discrete events.
method Geometric formulation of hybrid systems and analysis of jump points.
result Hybrid systems can be globally controllable even if continuous systems are not.