Motivated by electricity consumption metering, we extend existing nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF) algorithms to use linear measurements as observations, instead of matrix entries. The objective is to estimate multiple time series at a fine temporal scale from temporal aggregates measured on each individual serie…
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
169,181 papers · 148 categories
Trend · papers per month
48 results for “temporal-aggregate learning”
Aggregation distorts causal discovery results but recovery is possible with partial linearity or prior.
problem Understanding how temporal aggregation affects causal discovery in aggregated data.
method Functional consistency and conditional independence consistency methods.
result Causal discovery results may be distorted by aggregation, but recovery is possible with certain conditions.
FLUXtrapolation benchmarks machine learning for extrapolating ecosystem fluxes under distribution shifts.
problem Machine learning challenges in extrapolating ecosystem fluxes under distribution shifts.
method Defined temporal, spatial, and temperature-based extrapolation scenarios; evaluated performance across domains, temporal aggregations, and tail errors.
result Baselines perform similarly under median hourly RMSE but differ under tail-focused and multi-scale evaluations.
CT-OT Flow estimates continuous-time dynamics from discrete snapshots.
problem Estimating continuous-time dynamics from temporally aggregated snapshots with noisy or uncertain timestamps.
method Two-stage framework: aligning neighboring intervals via partial optimal transport (POT) and reconstructing a continuous-time distribution through temporal kernel smoothing.
result Reduces distributional and trajectory errors compared with existing methods across synthetic and real datasets.
The study introduces measures of collective mobility from aggregated OD data.
problem Understanding large-scale mobility patterns from aggregated data.
method Developed a framework using synthetic and real data to interpret network-level mobility.
result Aggregated mobility measures reveal network structure and flow constraints.
Labels define the effective timescale for learning from short observations.
problem Learning from short observations with aggregated labels.
method Analytical and Monte Carlo methods to study label variance and effective timescales.
result Labels define the effective timescale for learning, distinguishing architectural from protocol limits.
A method for fast, accurate cross-temporal forecasts using machine learning.
problem Inconsistent forecasts across different levels of platform data.
method Non-linear hierarchical forecast reconciliation using machine learning.
result Automated direct production of reconciled forecasts for high-frequency decision making.
Enhanced federated learning reduces communication costs and improves model accuracy.
problem Reducing communication costs in federated learning.
method Asynchronous model update and temporally weighted aggregation.
result The proposed algorithm outperforms baseline in terms of communication cost and model accuracy.
New core inflation measure predicts future headline inflation.
problem Creating a better measure of core inflation for timely policy decisions.
method Assemblage Regression, a nonnegative ridge regression that optimizes subcomponent weights.
result Significant improvements in forecasting medium-term inflation developments.
Temporal threat model defends against data poisoning with timestamps.
problem Adversaries can poison more samples than expected, rendering existing defenses ineffective.
method Leverage timestamps to define earliness and duration metrics for temporal robustness.
result Temporal aggregation provides provable temporal robustness against data poisoning.
Study analyzes fluctuations in Mexican financial market index.
problem Understanding intra-day fluctuations in Mexican financial market index.
method Statistical analysis of high frequency tick-to-tick data, temporal aggregation, and comparison of distributions.
result Intra-day fluctuations do not follow alpha-stable distributions, suggesting autocorrelations.
Paper improves multi-step chord prediction in jazz music.
problem Chord sequence prediction accuracy is poor in multi-step scenarios.
method Aggregated multi-scale encoder-decoder network architecture.
result Our model outperforms state-of-the-art methods in accuracy and perplexity.
Temporal Coarse-Graining of Latent Default-Probability Paths Generates Effective Default Correlationq-fin.ST
Temporal aggregation reveals latent default correlation from monthly data.
problem Understanding effective default correlation from monthly default data.
method Temporal coarse-graining of latent default-probability paths.
result Temporal coarse-graining improves identifiability and reduces over-allocation of long-horizon fluctuations.
This study examines how financial tick data becomes more random with time aggregation.
problem Investigating the randomness of financial tick data over time.
method Applied statistical randomness tests from NIST and TestU01 batteries to ultra-high frequency financial data.
result Financial tick data becomes increasingly random as the aggregation level of transaction time increases.
Meta-learning adapts models for unseen tasks across AI, robotics, and NLP.
problem Adapting models to unseen tasks efficiently and accurately.
method Black-box, metric-based, layered, and Bayesian approaches.
result Meta-learning enhances model generalization and adaptation to unseen tasks.
Meta-learning improves neural networks by adapting learning algorithms.
problem Conventional AI approaches solve tasks from scratch, but meta-learning aims to improve the learning algorithm.
method Meta-learning adapts a learning algorithm based on multiple learning episodes.
result Meta-learning can tackle deep learning challenges like data and computation bottlenecks.
metric-learn simplifies metric learning in Python.
problem Performing distance metric learning efficiently.
method Unified scikit-learn compatible interface for supervised and weakly-supervised metric learning.
result Unified interface for cross-validation and model selection.
Meta-learning speeds up learning new tasks.
problem Designing and improving machine learning pipelines.
method Observing and learning from different machine learning approaches.
result Learning new tasks much faster than traditional methods.
Survey explores how transfer learning improves deep reinforcement learning.
problem Challenges in reinforcement learning efficiency and effectiveness.
method Categorizes and analyzes transfer learning approaches.
result Transfer learning enhances reinforcement learning performance.
Machine learning models adapt to motor learning but face challenges.
problem Adapting machine learning to handle motor variability and differentiate new movements from known ones.
method Parameter adaptation, transfer and meta-learning, reinforcement learning.
result Challenges in applying machine learning models for motor learning support systems.
Optimal learning paths designed for E-learning systems using reinforcement learning.
problem Designing optimal learning paths for E-learning systems.
method Developed a hierarchical skill model and a proficiency level model, applied reinforcement learning to find the optimal learning strategy.
result Demonstrated the effectiveness of the proposed framework via numerical experiments.
New theory improves deep learning performance without statistical assumptions.
problem Improving deep learning performance without statistical assumptions.
method Measure-theoretic theory for machine learning, derived regularization method.
result New regularization method outperforms previous methods in various datasets.
HGAIL learns policies without expert demonstrations.
problem Lack of expert demonstrations in imitation learning.
method Combines hindsight and GAIL to learn policies.
result Comparable performance to current methods, with curriculum learning.
New method uses bi-level optimization to learn useful representations for imitation learning.
problem Learning useful representations for multiple tasks in imitation learning settings.
method Formulates representation learning as a bi-level optimization problem.
result Bi-level optimization framework provides sample complexity benefits for imitation learning.
Tabular Q-Learning with learned state abstractions solves continuous control tasks.
problem Challenging reinforcement learning problems in continuous control.
method Learned state abstraction to transform continuous state-space into discrete.
result Tabular Q-Learning with learned abstractions achieves efficient learning in unseen tasks.
Unsupervised meta-learning speeds up reinforcement learning tasks.
problem Efficiently solving new reinforcement learning tasks.
method Formulating unsupervised meta-reinforcement learning and using mutual information for task proposals.
result Unsupervised meta-reinforcement learning effectively acquires accelerated procedures without manual task design.
Pymc-learn simplifies probabilistic machine learning for non-specialists.
problem Making probabilistic machine learning accessible to non-experts.
method Inspired by scikit-learn, Pymc-learn provides a high-level language for probabilistic models.
result Pymc-learn brings probabilistic machine learning to non-specialists with ease, performance, and flexibility.
Study Whittle index learning algorithms for restless bandits with constant stepsizes.
problem Optimizing decisions in restless multi-armed bandits with constant stepsizes.
method Developed Q-learning algorithms with constant stepsizes for index learning in restless bandits, extending to DQN and function approximations.
result The algorithms learn the Whittle index effectively.
Paper discusses flaws in traditional RL for lifelong learning.
problem Traditional RL fails to model lifelong learning systems.
method Simplified prototype of lifelong RL system.
result Insights into lifelong RL, showing traditional RL's limitations.
AI learns to learn sequentially without forgetting.
problem Preventing catastrophic forgetting in machine learning models.
method Meta-learning a neuromodulatory activation-gating function to control selective activation in deep neural networks.
result State-of-the-art continual learning performance with 600 classes (9,000 updates).
New unsupervised learning technique learns independent kernels for better machine learning tasks.
problem Improving unsupervised representation learning for machine learning tasks.
method Stacking convolutional transforms using alternating proximal minimization scheme.
result DCTL outperforms shallow version CTL on benchmark datasets.
Poisson learning doesn't solve graph semi-supervised learning issues.
problem Global information loss in graph-based semi-supervised learning.
method Poisson learning is Laplace regularization with thresholding.
result Poisson learning cannot overcome the global information loss problem.
Meta-learning helps models learn quickly from few samples.
problem Deep learning requires many samples, which are hard to get.
method Meta-learning optimizes models to adapt quickly to new tasks.
result Meta-learning can improve model efficiency and adaptability.
New self-imitation learning method improves performance in continuous control tasks.
problem Improving off-policy learning in continuous control tasks.
method Proposes a n-step lower bound to generalize lower-bound Q-learning and introduces a new family of self-imitation learning algorithms.
result n-step lower bound Q-learning achieves a better trade-off between bias and contraction rate, leading to improved performance.
Deep reinforcement learning finds optimal learning policies for adaptive systems.
problem Finding individualized learning plans for learners with unknown latent traits.
method Formulated as a Markov decision process, applied deep Q-learning with a transition model estimator.
result The algorithm efficiently discovers optimal learning policies with small data sets.
Unified framework explains all types of learning, including brain.
problem Lack of clear explanation for deep learning success.
method Constructing a learning principle that equates all learning to probability estimation.
result Unified understanding of learning across different fields.
Survey of deep learning in sentiment analysis.
problem Improving sentiment analysis accuracy.
method Overview and survey of deep learning applications.
result Deep learning achieves state-of-the-art sentiment analysis results.
Cyclical learning rates improve DRL performance without manual tuning.
problem Manual hyperparameter tuning in DRL is time-consuming and error-prone.
method Proposes cyclical learning rates for DRL problems.
result Cyclical learning achieves similar or better results than fixed learning rates.
Unsupervised meta-learning improves learning from small labeled data.
problem Acquiring representations from unlabeled data for effective downstream learning.
method Develops an unsupervised meta-learning method that optimizes for task learning ability from unlabeled data.
result Simple task construction mechanisms, like clustering embeddings, lead to good performance on various downstream tasks.
Paper proposes a neural network for learning crossmodal stimuli.
problem Improving crossmodal processing in dynamic environments.
method Deep neural architecture trained by expectation learning.
result Self-adaptable deep learning model for crossmodal stimuli.
Adaptive meta-learning improves few-shot learning and federated learning performance.
problem Improving few-shot learning and federated learning performance.
method Adaptive gradient-based meta-learning methods integrating online convex optimization and sequential prediction algorithms.
result Improved meta-test-time performance on standard problems in few-shot learning and federated learning.
PAC Bounds for Imitation and Model-based Batch Learning of Contextual Markov Decision Processescs.LG
Study batch reinforcement learning methods for personalized medical treatments.
problem Batch reinforcement learning for personalized medical treatments.
method Direct policy learning and model-based learning approaches.
result Model-based learning is impossible with finite model classes but feasible with relaxed conditions.
A new meta-meta classification method tackles few-shot learning tasks.
problem Learning with limited data in small-data settings.
method Designing an ensemble of learners for a large set of problems, then learning how to combine them for a new problem.
result Meta-meta classification outperforms traditional meta-learning and ensembling approaches in one-shot learning tasks.
Private learning can be used to efficiently solve online learning problems.
problem The relationship between differentially private learning and online learning efficiency.
method Derive an efficient black-box reduction from differentially private learning to online learning from expert advice.
result An efficient differentially private learner implies an efficient online learner.
The paper proposes a learning algorithm that improves adaptability and generalization.
problem Improving adaptability and generalization in learning models.
method Learning to meta-learn by meta-finetuning on related tasks before adapting to specific tasks.
result Learning to meta-learn improves adaptability and generalization across various tasks.
Theory vs practice in machine learning, showing practical limitations.
problem Applying machine learning theory to real-world business problems.
method Formalized and compared applied learning and agnostic PAC learning.
result Theoretical learning requires impractically large datasets.
The paper argues all machine learning is supervised, challenging the term 'unsupervised learning'.
problem The categorization of machine learning as supervised vs unsupervised is misleading.
method Analyzes clustering and dimensionality reduction algorithms to argue they are internally supervised.
result All machine learning is internally supervised, challenging the term 'unsupervised learning'.
Deep reinforcement learning combines deep learning with reinforcement learning for complex tasks.
problem Complex tasks with high-dimensional data.
method Combining deep learning architectures (autoencoders, CNN, RNN) with reinforcement learning.
result Successful learning of useful representations for high-dimensional data.