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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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52103155206 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for temporal sequences

Video sequences contain rich dynamic patterns, such as dynamic texture patterns that exhibit stationarity in the temporal domain, and action patterns that are non-stationary in either spatial or temporal domain. We show that a spatial-temporal generative ConvNet can be used to model and synthesize dynamic patterns. The…

2016-06-03abs ↗pdf ↗

TOQ-Nets learn to recognize complex temporal events with varying objects and sequences.

problem Recognizing complex relational-temporal events with varying numbers of objects and sequence lengths.
method Neuro-symbolic networks with reasoning layers for finite-domain quantification over objects and time.
result TOQ-Nets can generalize to scenarios with more objects than training data and temporal warpings.

Improved incremental sequence classification with temporal consistency.

problem Updating predictions as new sequence elements are revealed.
method Temporal-difference learning and a temporal-consistency condition for successive predictions.
result Optimizing a novel loss function improves data efficiency and predictive accuracy.

GTEA learns node representations in temporal interaction graphs.

problem Inductive representation learning on temporal interaction graphs.
method Integrates sequence model with time encoder and self-attention scheme for edge and node embeddings.
result GTEA learns comprehensive node representations capturing temporal and structural characteristics.

Survey on modeling event sequences through temporal processes.

problem Modeling phenomena with sequences of events over continuous time.
method Probabilistic models based on point processes, categorized into simple, marked, and spatio-temporal.
result Analysis of existing approaches and their applicability to prediction and modeling.

Study develops curvature for contact-sequence networks, revealing temporal dynamics.

problem Lack of geometric analysis for temporal network sequences.
method Develops Forman--Ricci curvature on spatiotemporal prism complexes.
result Two curvature variants disagree on 56-67% of temporal edges.

Networks evolve continuously over time with the addition, deletion, and changing of links and nodes. Such temporal networks (or edge streams) consist of a sequence of timestamped edges and are seemingly ubiquitous. Despite the importance of accurately modeling the temporal information, most embedding methods ignore it …

2019-04-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Improves spatio-temporal forecasting by reducing errors between training and inference.

problem Accumulation of small errors in Seq2Seq models during inference due to different distributions of training and inference phases.
method Curriculum learning based on Temporal Progressive Growing Sampling to replace some ground-truth context with generated predictions.
result Better models long-term dependencies and outperforms baseline approaches on two datasets.

We report an extension of a Keras Model, called CTCModel, to perform the Connectionist Temporal Classification (CTC) in a transparent way. Combined with Recurrent Neural Networks, the Connectionist Temporal Classification is the reference method for dealing with unsegmented input sequences, i.e. with data that are a co…

2019-01-23abs ↗pdf ↗

New insights into how encoder-decoder networks generate attention matrices.

problem Understanding how encoder-decoder networks use attention matrices.
method Decomposing hidden states into temporal and input-driven components.
result Attention matrices are formed based on task requirements, not architecture type.

Deep conditional generative models are developed to simultaneously learn the temporal dependencies of multiple sequences. The model is designed by introducing a three-way weight tensor to capture the multiplicative interactions between side information and sequences. The proposed model builds on the Temporal Sigmoid Be…

2016-05-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Recent works demonstrated the usefulness of temporal coherence to regularize supervised training or to learn invariant features with deep architectures. In particular, enforcing smooth output changes while presenting temporally-closed frames from video sequences, proved to be an effective strategy. In this paper we pro…

2015-11-10abs ↗pdf ↗

TIMeSynC combines financial service interactions for intent prediction.

problem Aligning and learning from multi-domain, multi-resolution sequences for accurate intent prediction.
method An encoder-decoder transformer model addressing sequence alignment, temporal dynamics, and dynamic/static sequence combination.
result Significant improvement in intent prediction over existing methods.

Sequence models assign probabilities to variable-length sequences such as natural language texts. The ability of sequence models to capture temporal dependence can be characterized by the temporal scaling of correlation and mutual information. In this paper, we study the mutual information of recurrent neural networks …

2019-05-10abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper tackles video prediction by estimating conditional densities implicitly.

problem Temporal prediction uncertainty and high-dimensional probabilistic inference in natural scenes.
method Score-based conditional density estimation using sequence-to-image networks trained on a resilience-to-noise objective.
result The method handles occlusion boundaries and weights predictive evidence by reliability.

Deep learning model predicts traffic flows across entire network for multiple steps ahead.

problem Accurately forecasting future traffic flows across all network links.
method Spatial-Temporal Sequence to Sequence (STSeq2Seq) model combining seq2seq and graph convolution.
result STSeq2Seq achieves state-of-the-art performance in traffic forecasting.

We consider the general problem of modeling temporal data with long-range dependencies, wherein new observations are fully or partially predictable based on temporally-distant, past observations. A sufficiently powerful temporal model should separate predictable elements of the sequence from unpredictable elements, exp…

2017-02-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Process Monitoring involves tracking a system's behaviors, evaluating the current state of the system, and discovering interesting events that require immediate actions. In this paper, we consider monitoring temporal system state sequences to help detect the changes of dynamic systems, check the divergence of the syste…

2018-07-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Electronic records contain sequences of events, some of which take place all at once in a single visit, and others that are dispersed over multiple visits, each with a different timestamp. We postulate that fine temporal detail, e.g., whether a series of blood tests are completed at once or in rapid succession should n…

2019-04-27abs ↗pdf ↗

We present our solution to the job recommendation task for RecSys Challenge 2016. The main contribution of our work is to combine temporal learning with sequence modeling to capture complex user-item activity patterns to improve job recommendations. First, we propose a time-based ranking model applied to historical obs…

2016-08-11abs ↗pdf ↗

TG-GAN models dynamic graph evolution for continuous-time temporal graphs.

problem Challenges in modeling dynamic temporal graphs, especially in continuous time.
method Temporal Graph Generative Adversarial Network (TG-GAN) that models truncated edge sequences, time budgets, and node attributes.
result TG-GAN significantly outperforms existing methods in efficiency and effectiveness.

Recent advancements in recurrent neural network (RNN) research have demonstrated the superiority of utilizing multiscale structures in learning temporal representations of time series. Currently, most of multiscale RNNs use fixed scales, which do not comply with the nature of dynamical temporal patterns among sequences…

2019-02-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Event sequences can be modeled by temporal point processes (TPPs) to capture their asynchronous and probabilistic nature. We propose an intensity-free framework that directly models the point process distribution by utilizing normalizing flows. This approach is capable of capturing highly complex temporal distributions…

2019-10-18abs ↗pdf ↗

The study formalizes temporal precision and recall for anomaly detection in sequences.

problem Insufficient understanding of precision and recall in sequential anomaly detection.
method Formalized temporal precision and recall measures, developed time-tolerant confusion matrices, and demonstrated statistical significance.
result Precision and recall may overestimate performance with temporal tolerance.

iCITRIS learns causal variables from interactive systems with instantaneous effects.

problem Identifying causal variables from temporal sequences with instantaneous effects.
method iCITRIS method for causal representation learning that handles instantaneous effects in intervened temporal sequences.
result iCITRIS accurately identifies causal variables and their causal graph from three interactive system datasets.

Variable order sequence modeling is an important problem in artificial and natural intelligence. While overcomplete Hidden Markov Models (HMMs), in theory, have the capacity to represent long-term temporal structure, they often fail to learn and converge to local minima. We show that by constraining HMMs with a simple …

2019-05-01abs ↗pdf ↗

New framework infers causal shifts in event sequences under out-of-domain interventions.

problem Inferring causal relationships in event sequences without considering out-of-domain interventions.
method Proposes a new causal framework to define ATE, designs an unbiased ATE estimator, and uses a Transformer-based neural network model.
result Demonstrates superior performance in ATE estimation and goodness-of-fit under out-of-domain-augmented point processes.

Spacetimeformer learns spatiotemporal relationships from data alone.

problem Forecasting multivariate time series with distinct spatial relationships.
method Transformers with dynamic graph connections learning interactions between space, time, and value.
result Competitive results on various time series prediction benchmarks.

New algorithm predicts spatio-temporal events with improved accuracy.

problem Non-stationary spatio-temporal prediction on dense and sparse sequences.
method Probabilistic approach using point processes and self-organizing decision trees.
result Significant performance improvements over baseline and state-of-the-art methods.

Generative model for TPPs using signatures and distributional discrepancies.

problem Limitations of signature methods for TPPs and lack of global sequence-level loss in neural models.
method Introduce interarrival embedding to lift jump paths to continuous paths of bounded variation, enabling signature methods for discrete event sequences. Develop sigTPP, a signature-based generative model trained on path-level loss.
result sigTPP achieves the best average rank across multiple metrics and outperforms or is within a standard error of the strongest baseline in 64% of dataset-metric pairs.

We introduce a variational approach to learning and inference of temporally hierarchical structure and representation for sequential data. We propose the Variational Temporal Abstraction (VTA), a hierarchical recurrent state space model that can infer the latent temporal structure and thus perform the stochastic state …

2019-10-02abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a framework for general probabilistic multi-step time series regression. Specifically, we exploit the expressiveness and temporal nature of Sequence-to-Sequence Neural Networks (e.g. recurrent and convolutional structures), the nonparametric nature of Quantile Regression and the efficiency of Direct Multi-Ho…

2017-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗