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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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265278104 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for temporal persistence

New model clusters mixed-type data with missing values, improving air quality analysis.

problem Clustering mixed-type data with missing values and regime persistence.
method Statistical jump model incorporating regime persistence and handling missing data.
result Superior performance in inferring persistent air quality regimes compared to traditional methods.

News sentiment in U.S. economic newspapers has become more persistent over 45 years.

problem Understanding the temporal dynamics of U.S. economic news sentiment over time.
method Daily economic news sentiment index from 1980-2025, analyzed using sentiment indexes.
result News sentiment states have become more persistent, with longer residence times in optimistic or pessimistic regimes.

Study uses topological signatures to quantify financial market complexity.

problem Capturing temporal organization beyond volatility measures.
method Null validated topological approach using L1L^1 norm of persistence landscapes.
result Persistence landscape norms reveal dynamical structure during market stress.

Simplicial persistence measures financial market dynamics, revealing long-term structure evolution.

problem Understanding the long-term structure evolution of financial markets.
method Simplicial persistence, null models, TMFG filtering, thresholding, generative process analysis.
result More liquid markets exhibit slower persistence decay, suggesting higher fragility to systemic shocks.

Algorithm estimates parameters over time-varying graphs without special assumptions.

problem Estimating parameters over time-varying graphs without assuming independence.
method Decentralized online regularized learning with innovation, consensus, and regularization terms.
result Estimations converge almost surely under certain conditions.

In many applications, observed data are influenced by some combination of latent causes. For example, suppose sensors are placed inside a building to record responses such as temperature, humidity, power consumption and noise levels. These random, observed responses are typically affected by many unobserved, latent fac…

2019-04-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Study reveals investor heterogeneity in Korean equity market cash flows.

problem Investor heterogeneity and its impact on market dynamics.
method Detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) on aggregated cash flows.
result Persistence in cash flows varies by investor type, with retail flows showing strong persistence.

Study of 2D Ising model reveals patterns in financial markets.

problem Understanding stylized facts in financial markets using statistical physics.
method 2D Ising model with spin interactions; analysis of spin clusters, persistence, and dynamics.
result Microscopic mechanisms explain stylized facts like sharp peaks in returns and heavy-tailed distributions.

Temporal aggregation reveals latent default correlation from monthly data.

problem Understanding effective default correlation from monthly default data.
method Temporal coarse-graining of latent default-probability paths.
result Temporal coarse-graining improves identifiability and reduces over-allocation of long-horizon fluctuations.

Temporal coarse-graining of latent default paths explains effective correlation in corporate defaults.

problem Understanding effective default correlation in corporate defaults.
method Temporal coarse-graining of latent default-probability paths, applied to corporate default-count data.
result Temporal coarse-graining provides a scale-consistent baseline that improves identifiability and reduces over-allocation of long-horizon fluctuations.

Enhanced Zika spread forecasting using topological data analysis.

problem Challenging prediction of Zika virus spread due to nonlinear spatio-temporal dependency and lack of historical records.
method Integrates topological data analysis, specifically persistent homology, into predictive machine learning models.
result Ensemble forecasting improves Zika spread predictions in Brazil.

We study the temporal fluctuations in time-dependent stock prices (both individual and composite) as a stochastic phenomenon using general techniques and methods of nonequilibrium statistical mechanics. In particular, we analyze stock price fluctuations as a non-Markovian stochastic process using the first-passage stat…

2005-07-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Study finds long-range dependence in financial markets, but deep generative models struggle to replicate it.

problem Long-range dependence in financial markets and challenges of deep generative models.
method Empirical analysis of financial data from three sectors, including LRD through various statistical methods and deep learning models.
result Deep generative models can reproduce stylized features but fail to capture long-range dependence structures.

Recurrent neural networks can be difficult to train on long sequence data due to the well-known vanishing gradient problem. Some architectures incorporate methods to reduce RNN state updates, therefore allowing the network to preserve memory over long temporal intervals. To address these problems of convergence, this p…

2019-01-22abs ↗pdf ↗

New method clusters infant vocalizations using topological data.

problem Clustering infant vocalizations for developmental analysis.
method Topologically augmented signal representation with Dirichlet process mixture model.
result 8 clusters of vocalizations identified in the first 12 months of life.

Study shows different price correlations in European electricity markets.

problem Stochastic variability and temporal correlation in electricity prices.
method Comparison of Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA) and Kramers--Moyal equation.
result Intraday 15 minutes spot markets show strong negative correlations, unlike other markets.

SGDm with fixed step-size diverges under covariate shift, similar to a parametric oscillator.

problem SGDm with fixed step-size diverges under covariate shift.
method Approximated learning system as a time-varying system of ODEs and characterized divergence/convergence modes.
result SGDm with fixed step-size can diverge under covariate shift, similar to resonance in oscillators.

Paper proposes BOCPD for real-time order flow and market impact prediction.

problem Persistent order flow patterns in financial markets.
method Bayesian online change-point detection (BOCPD) with score-driven approach.
result Model outperforms existing models in predicting order flow and market impact.

Persistence landscapes map persistence diagrams into a function space, which may often be taken to be a Banach space or even a Hilbert space. In the latter case, it is a feature map and there is an associated kernel. The main advantage of this summary is that it allows one to apply tools from statistics and machine lea…

2018-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

We perform an analysis of fractal properties of the positive and the negative changes of the German DAX30 index separately using Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MFDFA). By calculating the singularity spectra f(α)f(α) we show that returns of both signs reveal multiscaling. Curiously, these spectra display a s…

2008-03-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes deep graph persistence to address neural persistence issues in deep learning.

problem Variance of weights and lack of spatial structure in deep neural networks impact neural persistence.
method Extends neural persistence to the whole network, considering interactions between layers.
result Deep graph persistence alleviates variance-related issues and captures persistent paths through the network.

This paper demonstrates the flaws of co-persistence theory proposed by Bollerslev and Engle (1993) which cause the theory can hardly be applied. With the introduction of the half-life of decay coefficient as the measure of the persistence, and both the weak definition of persistence and co-persistence in variance, this…

2011-12-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes wavelets for graph classification using spectral wavelet signatures and persistence diagrams.

problem Graph classification with geometric properties encoded in persistence diagrams.
method Optimizes spectral wavelets for graph datasets to capture best-suited features for classification.
result Competitive performance in graph classification problems compared to other persistence-based architectures.

This paper interprets critical scales in persistent homology for compact metric spaces.

problem Understanding critical scales in persistent homology for general compact metric spaces.
method Analyzing local minima of the distance function and their impact on persistence.
result Each decrease in zero-dimensional persistence and increase in one-dimensional persistence is induced by local minima of the distance function.

MuRiT efficiently computes multi-parameter persistence barcodes.

problem Efficient computation of multi-parameter persistent homology.
method Vietoris-Rips transformation to reduce multi-parameter to single-parameter computation.
result MuRiT computes pathwise persistence barcodes for multi-filtered flag complexes.

This article analyzes the relationship between co-persistence and hedging which indicates co-persistence ratio is just the long-term hedging ratio. The new method of exhaustive search algorithm for deriving co-persistence ratio is derived in the article. And we also develop a new hedging strategy of combining co-persis…

2011-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗