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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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3827651,1471,529 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for temporal graph modeling

TG-GAN models dynamic graph evolution for continuous-time temporal graphs.

problem Challenges in modeling dynamic temporal graphs, especially in continuous time.
method Temporal Graph Generative Adversarial Network (TG-GAN) that models truncated edge sequences, time budgets, and node attributes.
result TG-GAN significantly outperforms existing methods in efficiency and effectiveness.

TGR rewires temporal graphs to improve TGNN performance.

problem Temporal graphs in evolving networks can suffer from under-reaching and over-squashing issues.
method TGR uses expander graph propagation to create message-passing highways between temporally distant nodes.
result TGR achieves state-of-the-art results on temporal graph benchmarks.

HYPA-DBGNN detects anomalous sequential patterns in temporal graphs.

problem Modeling temporal patterns in dynamic graphs, especially considering deviations from random shuffling.
method Two-step approach combining null model inference and neural message passing.
result HYPA-DBGNN outperforms baseline methods in static node classification tasks.

GTEA learns node representations in temporal interaction graphs.

problem Inductive representation learning on temporal interaction graphs.
method Integrates sequence model with time encoder and self-attention scheme for edge and node embeddings.
result GTEA learns comprehensive node representations capturing temporal and structural characteristics.

We model GitHub interactions as a temporal knowledge graph for software engineering questions.

problem Insufficient performance of existing temporal models on extrapolated queries and time prediction.
method Introduced an extension to current temporal models using relative temporal information.
result Improved performance on extrapolated queries and time prediction.

TGAT learns node embeddings for evolving graphs, capturing both static and temporal features.

problem Learning node embeddings for dynamic graphs with evolving topological structures and temporal patterns.
method Temporal Graph Attention (TGAT) layer using self-attention and functional time encoding.
result TGAT model can inductively infer node embeddings for new and observed nodes as the graph evolves.

Graph Neural Networks improve volatility prediction in financial markets.

problem Traditional models struggle with complex, non-linear interdependencies in financial markets.
method Temporal Graph Attention Network (Temporal GAT) combines GCNs and GATs to capture dynamic graph structures.
result Temporal GAT outperforms traditional GARCH models in volatility forecasting, especially for short- to mid-term predictions.

Unified model forecasts epidemics with spatial and temporal dynamics.

problem Limited accuracy in traditional models and lack of interpretability in deep learning models.
method CSTGNN integrates Spatio-Contact SIR model with Graph Neural Networks.
result Effective spatiotemporal epidemic forecasting with interpretability.

New method clusters evolving networks using spatio-temporal graph Laplacian.

problem Clustering communities in time-varying graphs.
method Extends spectral clustering to dynamic graphs using CCA and spatio-temporal graph Laplacian.
result The spatio-temporal graph Laplacian clearly interprets cluster evolution over time.

Spatio-temporal graphs such as traffic networks or gene regulatory systems present challenges for the existing deep learning methods due to the complexity of structural changes over time. To address these issues, we introduce Spatio-Temporal Deep Graph Infomax (STDGI)---a fully unsupervised node representation learning…

2019-04-12abs ↗pdf ↗

IMPaCT improves node classification in chronological split temporal graphs.

problem Domain adaptation challenges in graph data due to chronological splits.
method IMPaCT proposes a method to impose invariant properties based on realistic assumptions derived from temporal graph structures.
result IMPaCT achieves a 3.8% performance improvement over current SOTA method on the ogbn-mag graph dataset.

Spatial-temporal graph modeling is an important task to analyze the spatial relations and temporal trends of components in a system. Existing approaches mostly capture the spatial dependency on a fixed graph structure, assuming that the underlying relation between entities is pre-determined. However, the explicit graph…

2019-05-31abs ↗pdf ↗

ST-GCN improves rs-fMRI prediction accuracy by modeling spatio-temporal graph connectivity.

problem Existing rs-fMRI methods neglect functional connectivity or temporal dynamics.
method Spatio-temporal graph convolutional network (ST-GCN) trained on BOLD time series.
result ST-GCN predicts gender and age more accurately than common methods.

TTERGM models improve social network predictions by incorporating triadic relationships.

problem Lack of models capturing triadic relationships and social learning theories in temporal network data.
method Introduced TTERGM, a generative model that includes triadic relationships and social learning theory as additional probability distributions. Parameters are estimated via Monte Carlo maximum likelihood.
result TTERGM achieves improved accuracy and fidelity compared to existing models on social network data.

MTRGL learns temporal correlations from multi-modal data for improved pair trading.

problem Discerning temporal correlations among financial entities.
method Combines time series data and discrete features into a temporal graph, using a memory-based temporal graph neural network.
result MTRGL outperforms traditional methods in temporal graph link prediction and pair trading.

Many real-world graphs or networks are temporal, e.g., in a social network persons only interact at specific points in time. This information directs dissemination processes on the network, such as the spread of rumors, fake news, or diseases. However, the current state-of-the-art methods for supervised graph classific…

2019-10-14abs ↗pdf ↗

TSAM predicts directed temporal links using GCN and self-attention.

problem Predicting links in directed temporal networks.
method GCN, self-attention mechanism, autoencoder architecture, graph attentional layers, graph convolutional layers, graph recurrent unit layer.
result TSAM outperforms benchmarks on four realistic networks.

FreST Loss decorrelates spatio-temporal dependencies in graph signals.

problem Complex spatio-temporal dependencies in graph-structured signals are not well captured by standard forecasting models.
method FreST Loss extends supervision to the joint spatio-temporal spectrum using Joint Fourier Transform (JFT).
result FreST Loss reduces estimation bias and improves forecasting accuracy on real-world datasets.

StrGNN detects anomalies in dynamic graphs by analyzing subgraphs and temporal features.

problem Detecting anomalies in dynamic graphs with structural changes.
method StrGNN is an end-to-end model that uses structural subgraphs and temporal features for anomaly detection.
result StrGNN effectively detects anomalies in dynamic graphs, as shown by extensive experiments.

Within many real-world networks the links between pairs of nodes change over time. Thus, there has been a recent boom in studying temporal graphs. Recognizing patterns in temporal graphs requires a proximity measure to compare different temporal graphs. To this end, we propose to study dynamic time warping on temporal …

2018-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

In this work, we present a method for node embedding in temporal graphs. We propose an algorithm that learns the evolution of a temporal graph's nodes and edges over time and incorporates this dynamics in a temporal node embedding framework for different graph prediction tasks. We present a joint loss function that cre…

2019-03-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Federated learning interprets temporal dynamics across clients with graph attention.

problem Interpreting temporal patterns across decentralized, heterogeneous systems with nonlinear dynamics.
method Graph Attention Network for learning state transition models over latent states communicated between clients.
result First interpretable characterization of cross-client temporal interdependencies in decentralized nonlinear systems.

Proposes a GNN for multivariate time-series prediction with filtering.

problem Low signal-to-noise ratio in complex systems data.
method Integrates a spatial-temporal GNN with a matrix filtering module to generate filtered graphs.
result Proposed model outperforms baseline approaches in multivariate time-series prediction.

New model predicts travel demand uncertainty with high accuracy.

problem Uncertainty and sparsity in sparse travel demand prediction.
method Spatial-Temporal Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial Graph Neural Network (STZINB-GNN).
result STZINB-GNN outperforms benchmarks in predicting travel demand uncertainty.

TGNN4I model forecasts irregularly observed graph data using ODEs.

problem Forecasting graph-structured data with irregular time steps and partial observations.
method Introduces a time-continuous latent state in each node using ODEs and GRUs, integrating graph neural network layers.
result Validated usefulness of graph structure and time-continuous dynamics in irregular observation settings.

Networks evolve continuously over time with the addition, deletion, and changing of links and nodes. Such temporal networks (or edge streams) consist of a sequence of timestamped edges and are seemingly ubiquitous. Despite the importance of accurately modeling the temporal information, most embedding methods ignore it …

2019-04-12abs ↗pdf ↗

STOIC improves energy demand forecasting with reliable uncertainty estimates.

problem Accurate point forecasts alone are insufficient for energy systems; reliable uncertainty estimates are needed.
method Integrates graph-based forecasting with tabular foundation models for zero-shot calibration of spatial-temporal residuals.
result STOIC delivers more reliable and robust uncertainty estimates for complex graph-structured energy time series.

Proposes a new model for more accurate demand forecasting considering dynamic contextual information.

problem Traditional methods fail to capture spatio-temporal and dynamic contextual dependencies in demand forecasting.
method Integrates temporal, relational, spatial, and dynamic contextual dependencies using a Context Integrated Graph Neural Network (CIGNN).
result CIGNN outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in multi-step ahead demand forecasting.

DBGDGM models dynamic brain graphs for better understanding brain function.

problem Previous brain graph models ignore temporal dynamics, limiting their usefulness.
method DBGDGM clusters brain regions into evolving communities and learns dynamic node embeddings.
result DBGDGM outperforms baselines in graph generation, dynamic link prediction, and graph classification.

New approach models computer network activity as mixtures of sources.

problem Malicious activity detection in computer networks using standard algorithms is ineffective.
method Source separation approach to model short-term dynamics of computer network activity.
result Qualitative and quantitative experiments validate the approach.