Recent works demonstrated the usefulness of temporal coherence to regularize supervised training or to learn invariant features with deep architectures. In particular, enforcing smooth output changes while presenting temporally-closed frames from video sequences, proved to be an effective strategy. In this paper we pro…
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48 results for “temporal extents”
WSGN detects actions from weak supervision, improving performance on THUMOS14 and Charades.
problem Challenging action detection requires detailed manual supervision.
method WSGN learns action detection from video-level labels, exploiting both video-specific and dataset-wide statistics.
result WSGN achieves significant gains in action detection for THUMOS14 and Charades datasets.
Temporal Topic Modeling to Assess Associations between News Trends and Infectious Disease Outbreakscs.SI
In retrospective assessments, internet news reports have been shown to capture early reports of unknown infectious disease transmission prior to official laboratory confirmation. In general, media interest and reporting peaks and wanes during the course of an outbreak. In this study, we quantify the extent to which med…
Forecasting multivariate time series data, such as prediction of electricity consumption, solar power production, and polyphonic piano pieces, has numerous valuable applications. However, complex and non-linear interdependencies between time steps and series complicate the task. To obtain accurate prediction, it is cru…
Predictive inference for time series: why is split conformal effective despite temporal dependence?stat.ML
Split conformal prediction works well for time series despite temporal dependence.
problem Uncertainty quantification for time series predictions with past data.
method Split conformal prediction method for time series data with predictors having memory.
result Theoretical bounds on coverage probability for split conformal prediction in time series with memory.
Improves CTR prediction by considering spatial and temporal auxiliary ads.
problem Improving CTR prediction in online advertising systems.
method Deep Spatio-Temporal Neural Networks (DSTNs) for CTR prediction.
result DSTNs outperform state-of-the-art methods in CTR prediction.
Digital currencies exhibit multifractality due to heavy-tailed returns and temporal correlations.
problem Understanding market inefficiencies and predicting volatility in digital currencies.
method Multifractal cross-correlation analysis (MFCCA) and multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MFDFA).
result Temporal correlations are the primary source of multifractality in digital currency markets.
Proposes MSTD-RCNN for improved financial time-series classification.
problem Combining Multi-Scale and Temporal Dependency for better financial time-series classification.
method Multi-Scale Temporal Dependent Recurrent Convolutional Neural Network (MSTD-RCNN).
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance in trend classification and simulated trading.
The average shape of a fluctuation: universality in excursions of stochastic processescond-mat.stat-mech
We study the average shape of a fluctuation of a time series x(t), that is the average value <x(t)-x(0)>_T before x(t) first returns, at time T, to its initial value x(0). For large classes of stochastic processes we find that a scaling law of the form <x(t) - x(0)>_T = T^αf(t/T) is obeyed. The scaling function f(s) is…
Understanding and reasoning about places and their relationships are critical for many applications. Places are traditionally curated by a small group of people as place gazetteers and are represented by an ID with spatial extent, category, and other descriptions. However, a place context is described to a large extent…
Localized CNNs improve geospatial wind forecasting.
problem Improving CNN performance in geospatial, spatio-temporal prediction.
method Localized convolutional neural networks (LCNNs) that learn local features in addition to global ones.
result LCNNs enhance wind forecasting models, often surpassing state-of-the-art.
Recent advances in deep generative models have lead to remarkable progress in synthesizing high quality images. Following their successful application in image processing and representation learning, an important next step is to consider videos. Learning generative models of video is a much harder task, requiring a mod…
Novel approach to learning models based on subjective timescales for better exploration and decision-making.
problem Learning models over multi-step timescales in environments with intermediate states.
method Developed a subjective-timescale model (STM) based on episodic memories, enabling systematic variation of temporal extent of predictions.
result STM produces more informative action-conditioned roll-outs, leading to better decision-making and exploration.
We consider a non-stationary variant of a sequential stochastic optimization problem, in which the underlying cost functions may change along the horizon. We propose a measure, termed variation budget, that controls the extent of said change, and study how restrictions on this budget impact achievable performance. We i…
Simple 1-D CNNs classify Autism from rsfMRI.
problem Classifying Autism from high-dimensional rsfMRI data.
method Sub-sampled 1-D convolutional network.
result 1-D CNNs perform as well as state-of-the-art methods.
Model trains from wifi traces to infer public transport levels.
problem Estimate the level of service of a city-wide public transport network.
method Robust unsupervised clustering for train movement inference; classification model for real-time commuter patterns.
result Accurately estimated demand-supply gap from connected devices.
New method clusters hydrological and sediment data for storm event analysis.
problem Analyzing storm events for water quality constituents like turbidity.
method Multivariate time series clustering of river discharge and sediment data.
result Clusters differ from 2-D hysteresis loop classifications.
The study assesses how market competitiveness affects electricity price forecasting.
problem Impact of market competitiveness on electricity price estimation.
method Used a multi-layer perception model with back propagation and Levenberg-Marquardt mechanism, incorporating market power indices and other variables.
result Market power indices enhance forecasting accuracy of daily electricity prices.
When assessing group solvency, an important question is to what extent intragroup transfers may be considered, as this determines to which extent diversification can be achieved. We suggest a framework to describe the families of admissible transfers that range from the free movement of capital to excluding any transac…
Study on network-valued processes with asynchronous updates, proving consistency in community and changepoint estimation.
problem Understanding the behavior of network-valued stochastic processes with asynchronous updates.
method Analysis of concentration properties of aggregated adjacency and Laplacian matrices for lazy network-valued stochastic processes.
result Demonstrates consistency of estimators in community and changepoint estimation problems.
Deep neural nets decode brain tasks from MEG data.
problem Classifying brain states from MEG data.
method Three deep neural network models with attention mechanisms.
result Attention mechanisms improve model generalization.
We describe and to some extent characterize a new family of Kähler spin manifolds admitting non-trivial imaginary Kählerian Killing spinors.
Conformal compactification of asymptotically locally hyperbolic metrics II: Weakly ALH metricsmath.DG
In this paper we pursue the work initiated in \cite{Bahuaud, BahuaudGicquaud}: study the extent to which conformally compact asymptotically hyperbolic metrics can be characterized intrinsically. We show how the decay rate of the sectional curvature to -1 controls the Hölder regularity of the compactified metric. To thi…
In a multi-armed bandit (MAB) problem a gambler needs to choose at each round of play one of K arms, each characterized by an unknown reward distribution. Reward realizations are only observed when an arm is selected, and the gambler's objective is to maximize his cumulative expected earnings over some given horizon of…
Combines CNN and LSTM for spatio-temporal graph networks.
problem Improving spatio-temporal feature extraction.
method Proposes a new architecture combining CNN and LSTM temporal blocks.
result Empirical comparison shows our model outperforms existing models.
Learn invariances in neural networks by optimizing over augmentation parameters.
problem Lack of knowledge about present invariances and their extent in data.
method Parameterize a distribution over augmentations and optimize network parameters and augmentation parameters simultaneously.
result Recover correct set and extent of invariances on various tasks from training data alone.
Temporal networks are ubiquitous and evolve over time by the addition, deletion, and changing of links, nodes, and attributes. Although many relational datasets contain temporal information, the majority of existing techniques in relational learning focus on static snapshots and ignore the temporal dynamics. We propose…
New method learns dynamic node embeddings from temporal networks.
problem Temporal networks' temporal information is often ignored or approximated.
method Continuous-time dynamic network embeddings (CTDNEs) using temporal walks.
result CTDNEs achieve an average gain of 11.9% in AUC across all methods and graphs.
Enhances SNNs for spatio-temporal feature extraction.
problem Insufficient temporal dependencies in existing SNN synaptic structures.
method Integrates temporal convolution and attention mechanisms into synaptic connections.
result Improves SNN performance on classification tasks.
Algorithm maximizes rewards with a budget and giving up option.
problem Sequential decision-making with stochastic rewards and resource consumption.
method Upper Confidence Bound (UCB) algorithm for maximizing cumulative reward.
result Logarithmic regret bound with improved dependence on problem parameters.
MTRGL learns temporal correlations from multi-modal data for improved pair trading.
problem Discerning temporal correlations among financial entities.
method Combines time series data and discrete features into a temporal graph, using a memory-based temporal graph neural network.
result MTRGL outperforms traditional methods in temporal graph link prediction and pair trading.
Proposes a new model for complex multivariate event data.
problem Modeling complex multivariate event data with spatio-temporal dynamics.
method Integrates spatial information into latent state evolution through learned temporal and spatial decay dynamics.
result Successfully recovers sensible temporal and spatial intensity structure in multivariate spatio-temporal point patterns.
A framework infers causal direction from symbolic sequences using compression measures.
problem Inferring causal direction from two observed discrete symbolic sequences.
method Lossless compressors for inferring context-free grammars (CFGs) and quantifying compression extent.
result Grammar inferred from one sequence better compresses the other sequence, indicating causal direction.
TG-GAN models dynamic graph evolution for continuous-time temporal graphs.
problem Challenges in modeling dynamic temporal graphs, especially in continuous time.
method Temporal Graph Generative Adversarial Network (TG-GAN) that models truncated edge sequences, time budgets, and node attributes.
result TG-GAN significantly outperforms existing methods in efficiency and effectiveness.
ATiSE embeds temporal information into KGs using time series decomposition.
problem Improving KG embedding models by incorporating temporal information.
method ATiSE uses Additive Time Series decomposition to map temporal KGs into multi-dimensional Gaussian distributions.
result ATiSE achieves state-of-the-art performance on link prediction over four temporal KGs.
The paper explores how mining costs, rewards, and blockchain security are interconnected.
problem Understanding the interdependencies between mining costs, mining rewards, and blockchain security.
method Theoretical derivation and empirical analysis using daily crypto market data and autoregressive distributed lag approach.
result Cryptocurrency price and mining rewards are intrinsically linked to blockchain security outcomes.
Flood extent mapping plays a crucial role in disaster management and national water forecasting. Unfortunately, traditional classification methods are often hampered by the existence of noise, obstacles and heterogeneity in spectral features as well as implicit anisotropic spatial dependency across class labels. In thi…
New framework for unbiased sampling of temporal networks.
problem Challenges in analyzing and modeling large, continuous temporal networks.
method General framework for unbiased temporal network sampling with online, single-pass algorithms and unbiased estimators.
result Effective algorithms for fast, accurate, and memory-efficient statistical estimation of temporal network patterns and properties.
This study examines how financial tick data becomes more random with time aggregation.
problem Investigating the randomness of financial tick data over time.
method Applied statistical randomness tests from NIST and TestU01 batteries to ultra-high frequency financial data.
result Financial tick data becomes increasingly random as the aggregation level of transaction time increases.
TGAT learns node embeddings for evolving graphs, capturing both static and temporal features.
problem Learning node embeddings for dynamic graphs with evolving topological structures and temporal patterns.
method Temporal Graph Attention (TGAT) layer using self-attention and functional time encoding.
result TGAT model can inductively infer node embeddings for new and observed nodes as the graph evolves.
VTA learns hierarchical temporal structure for sequential data.
problem Learning interpretable temporal structure in sequential data.
method Hierarchical recurrent state space model with variational approach.
result VTA models 2D and 3D visual sequences with hierarchical structure.
A framework uses deep learning for spatio-temporal data prediction.
problem Interpolation of continuous spatio-temporal fields on irregular points.
method Decomposes spatio-temporal processes into products of basis functions and spatial coefficients.
result Effectiveness in reconstructing coherent spatio-temporal fields.
TOQ-Nets learn to recognize complex temporal events with varying objects and sequences.
problem Recognizing complex relational-temporal events with varying numbers of objects and sequence lengths.
method Neuro-symbolic networks with reasoning layers for finite-domain quantification over objects and time.
result TOQ-Nets can generalize to scenarios with more objects than training data and temporal warpings.
STACI uses neural nets to estimate spatio-temporal fields with valid uncertainty quantification.
problem Scalable spatio-temporal deep learning models fail to capture underlying correlation structure.
method Variational Bayesian neural network approximation of non-stationary spatio-temporal Gaussian Process (GP) with conformal inference.
result STACI provides accurate prediction intervals for spatio-temporal processes, outperforming competing methods.
New approach to disentangle utility from impulse in recommendation systems.
problem Difficulty in inferring user utility from engagement signals.
method Generative model based on self-exciting Hawkes process to infer utility from return probability.
result It is possible to disentangle System-1 and System-2 decision processes to optimize content based on user utility.
Unsupervised learning of time series data, also known as temporal clustering, is a challenging problem in machine learning. Here we propose a novel algorithm, Deep Temporal Clustering (DTC), to naturally integrate dimensionality reduction and temporal clustering into a single end-to-end learning framework, fully unsupe…
Proposes a method to forecast spatial-temporal data with limited training data.
problem Forecasting with nodes having no temporal training data.
method Temporal data augmentation and spatial graph topology learning.
result Improves forecasting performance on nodes without training data.
Framework for dynamic node embeddings from graph streams.
problem Temporal prediction-based applications using graph stream data.
method ε-graph time-series representation, temporal reachability graphs, weighted temporal summary graphs.
result Dynamic embedding methods achieve better predictive performance.