CODA simulates future data to generalize models across different datasets.
problem Concept drift in real-world machine learning models.
method CODA framework using a predicted feature correlation matrix to simulate future data.
result CODA effectively achieves temporal domain generalization across different model architectures.
IMPaCT improves node classification in chronological split temporal graphs.
problem Domain adaptation challenges in graph data due to chronological splits.
method IMPaCT proposes a method to impose invariant properties based on realistic assumptions derived from temporal graph structures.
result IMPaCT achieves a 3.8% performance improvement over current SOTA method on the ogbn-mag graph dataset.
TOQ-Nets learn to recognize complex temporal events with varying objects and sequences.
problem Recognizing complex relational-temporal events with varying numbers of objects and sequence lengths.
method Neuro-symbolic networks with reasoning layers for finite-domain quantification over objects and time.
result TOQ-Nets can generalize to scenarios with more objects than training data and temporal warpings.
Estimates time-varying network connections using multi-stage smoothing.
problem Estimating edge probabilities of time-varying networks.
method Multi-stage smoothing: temporal local smoothing followed by node-domain smoothing.
result Captures both smooth temporal evolution and structural patterns in connectivity.
FreST Loss decorrelates spatio-temporal dependencies in graph signals.
problem Complex spatio-temporal dependencies in graph-structured signals are not well captured by standard forecasting models.
method FreST Loss extends supervision to the joint spatio-temporal spectrum using Joint Fourier Transform (JFT).
result FreST Loss reduces estimation bias and improves forecasting accuracy on real-world datasets.
Networks are a fundamental tool for modeling complex systems in a variety of domains including social and communication networks as well as biology and neuroscience. Small subgraph patterns in networks, called network motifs, are crucial to understanding the structure and function of these systems. However, the role of…
Video sequences contain rich dynamic patterns, such as dynamic texture patterns that exhibit stationarity in the temporal domain, and action patterns that are non-stationary in either spatial or temporal domain. We show that a spatial-temporal generative ConvNet can be used to model and synthesize dynamic patterns. The…
Paper improves bike-sharing demand prediction by adapting to changing patterns.
problem Improving bike-sharing demand prediction under temporal domain shifts.
method Gen-ROTDA, a robust optimal transport-guided residual domain adaptation framework.
result Gen-ROTDA achieves the lowest MAE and is the best OT-family method on average.
Method improves clarity in forecasting spatio-temporal data.
problem Forecasting spatio-temporal data with clarity and interpretability.
method Supervised semi-nonnegative matrix factorization with frequency regularization.
result Method offers clearer interpretability in forecasting spatio-temporal data.
Unsupervised learning of time series data, also known as temporal clustering, is a challenging problem in machine learning. Here we propose a novel algorithm, Deep Temporal Clustering (DTC), to naturally integrate dimensionality reduction and temporal clustering into a single end-to-end learning framework, fully unsupe…
Paper introduces a conformer-based system for streaming language identification in long-form speech.
problem Language identification in long-form audio.
method Conformer layers with attentive temporal pooling and domain adaptation.
result Conformer-based models significantly outperform LSTM and transformer models.
Paper proposes a novel approach to improve temporal clustering of time series data.
problem Challenges in clustering temporal data with varying sampling rates and high dimensionality.
method Transform time series into Euclidean space using similarity measures, then use CNN-GRU autoencoder for latent representation.
result Approach outperforms existing methods by up to 32% on various time series datasets.
Due to the dynamic nature, chaotic time series are difficult predict. In conventional signal processing approaches signals are treated either in time or in space domain only. Spatio-temporal analysis of signal provides more advantages over conventional uni-dimensional approaches by harnessing the information from both …
A new model for imputing missing values in time series data across domains.
problem Imputing missing values in time series data across domains with domain shifts and high missing rates.
method A diffusion-based imputation model that integrates shared spectral components and domain-specific temporal structures, with cross-domain consistency alignment.
result Our model effectively handles missing values and domain shifts, outperforming existing methods.
New framework infers causal shifts in event sequences under out-of-domain interventions.
problem Inferring causal relationships in event sequences without considering out-of-domain interventions.
method Proposes a new causal framework to define ATE, designs an unbiased ATE estimator, and uses a Transformer-based neural network model.
result Demonstrates superior performance in ATE estimation and goodness-of-fit under out-of-domain-augmented point processes.
KOMET identifies Koopman operators from model parameter trajectories to adapt to evolving data distributions.
problem Adaptation of parametric models to non-stationary environments.
method Data-driven framework using Koopman operator identification and Extended Dynamic Mode Decomposition (EDMD).
result KOMET achieves high autonomous-rollout accuracies of 0.981 to 1.000 over 100 time steps on various drifting datasets.
Training deep neural networks with spatio-temporal (i.e., 3D) or multidimensional convolutions of higher-order is computationally challenging due to millions of unknown parameters across dozens of layers. To alleviate this, one approach is to apply low-rank tensor decompositions to convolution kernels in order to compr…
Within many real-world networks the links between pairs of nodes change over time. Thus, there has been a recent boom in studying temporal graphs. Recognizing patterns in temporal graphs requires a proximity measure to compare different temporal graphs. To this end, we propose to study dynamic time warping on temporal …
DUET enhances multivariate time series forecasting by clustering time and channels.
problem Heterogeneous temporal patterns and complex channel correlations in multivariate time series.
method DUET uses dual clustering on temporal and channel dimensions to handle these challenges.
result DUET achieves state-of-the-art performance on 25 real-world datasets.
The spatio-temporal graph learning is becoming an increasingly important object of graph study. Many application domains involve highly dynamic graphs where temporal information is crucial, e.g. traffic networks and financial transaction graphs. Despite the constant progress made on learning structured data, there is s…
TK-GCN forecasts spatiotemporal dynamics using Koopman-enhanced graph convolutional networks.
problem Forecasting complex spatiotemporal dynamics over irregular domains.
method Two-stage framework: Koopman-enhanced Graph Convolutional Network (K-GCN) for spatial encoding and Transformer for temporal modeling.
result TK-GCN outperforms state-of-the-art methods in spatiotemporal cardiac dynamics forecasting.
Simpler ε-greedy with longer action durations improves exploration.
problem Limited exploration capability of ε-greedy in complex domains.
method Temporally extended ε-greedy with repeated actions for random durations.
result Temporally extended ε-greedy outperforms sophisticated methods on various domains.
HopCPT improves conformal prediction for time series with temporal dependencies.
problem Uncertainty quantification in time series data.
method HopCPT, a novel conformal prediction approach for time series that leverages temporal dependencies.
result HopCPT outperforms state-of-the-art methods on multiple real-world time series datasets.
G-FuNK learns solutions for nonlinear PDEs on multiple domains and parameters.
problem Predicting time-dependent dynamics of complex systems governed by nonlinear PDEs with varying parameters and domains.
method Graph Fourier Neural Kernels combining domain-adapted and transferable components for non-diffusive and diffusive terms.
result G-FuNK achieves low relative errors on unseen domains and fiber fields, significantly accelerating predictions.
Generative model identifies temporal count data components with regime-dependent contributions.
problem Modeling temporal count data with regime-dependent dynamics.
method Generative framework combining regime-adaptive dynamics with Poisson log-normal emissions.
result Established identifiability of the model and revealed co-variation patterns and regime shifts.
This letter extends the concept of graph-frequency to graph signals that evolve with time. Our goal is to generalize and, in fact, unify the familiar concepts from time- and graph-frequency analysis. To this end, we study a joint temporal and graph Fourier transform (JFT) and demonstrate its attractive properties. We b…
Compared with artificial neural networks (ANNs), spiking neural networks (SNNs) are promising to explore the brain-like behaviors since the spikes could encode more spatio-temporal information. Although pre-training from ANN or direct training based on backpropagation (BP) makes the supervised training of SNNs possible…
Temporal networks representing a stream of timestamped edges are seemingly ubiquitous in the real-world. However, the massive size and continuous nature of these networks make them fundamentally challenging to analyze and leverage for descriptive and predictive modeling tasks. In this work, we propose a general framewo…
FinCast is a foundation model for financial time-series forecasting that outperforms existing methods.
problem Challenges in financial time-series forecasting due to temporal non-stationarity, multi-domain diversity, and varying temporal resolutions.
method FinCast is a foundation model specifically designed for financial time-series forecasting, trained on large-scale financial datasets.
result FinCast exhibits robust zero-shot performance, effectively capturing diverse patterns without domain-specific fine-tuning.
Neural model uses deductive database to predict events from past patterns.
problem Difficulty in predicting future events from past patterns when event types are large.
method Temporal deductive database with rules to prove facts from other facts and past events. Neural nets model fact states and probabilities.
result Neural models derived from concise Datalog programs improve prediction by encoding domain knowledge.
Paper tackles temporal overfitting in wind power curve modeling.
problem Temporal overfitting in wind power curve modeling.
method Proposes a Gaussian process-based method to partition and model time-invariant and time-varying components.
result Significant improvement in predicting responses for different time periods.
Develops a machine learning model to predict ALS progression and assistive device use.
problem Challenges in predicting clinically meaningful milestones in ALS.
method Integrates longitudinal ALSFRS-R trajectories with survival modeling.
result Generates individualized survival curves and predicts wheelchair-free survival.
Bayesian model reconstructs time and frequency data robustly.
problem Missing observations and noise in time/frequency data.
method Probabilistic model, Bayesian update, joint reconstruction.
result Effective joint time/frequency reconstruction with missing data.
TIMeSynC combines financial service interactions for intent prediction.
problem Aligning and learning from multi-domain, multi-resolution sequences for accurate intent prediction.
method An encoder-decoder transformer model addressing sequence alignment, temporal dynamics, and dynamic/static sequence combination.
result Significant improvement in intent prediction over existing methods.
SimStock learns stock similarities for better investment management.
problem Challenges in identifying similar stocks due to non-stationary financial markets.
method Temporal self-supervised learning framework combining SSL and temporal domain generalization.
result SimStock outperforms existing methods in finding similar stocks.
Much work has been done refining and characterizing the receptive fields learned by deep learning algorithms. A lot of this work has focused on the development of Gabor-like filters learned when enforcing sparsity constraints on a natural image dataset. Little work however has investigated how these filters might expan…
CtrlNS learns latent factors and distribution shifts from sparse transitions without prior knowledge.
problem Lack of prior knowledge of domain variables limits causal temporal representation learning.
method Sparse transition assumption and identifiability results from theoretical perspective.
result Effective in identifying distribution shifts and latent factors without prior knowledge.
With the fast development of various positioning techniques such as Global Position System (GPS), mobile devices and remote sensing, spatio-temporal data has become increasingly available nowadays. Mining valuable knowledge from spatio-temporal data is critically important to many real world applications including huma…
TimeVQVAE uses VQ for better time series generation.
problem Training GANs and RNNs for time series generation have limitations.
method Vector quantization with bidirectional transformer priors in time-frequency domains.
result Generates high-quality synthetic signals with better temporal consistency.
New algorithm predicts spatio-temporal events with improved accuracy.
problem Non-stationary spatio-temporal prediction on dense and sparse sequences.
method Probabilistic approach using point processes and self-organizing decision trees.
result Significant performance improvements over baseline and state-of-the-art methods.
Paper proposes a new framework for SAD using GANs.
problem Speech Activity Detection (SAD) in diverse conditions.
method Joint learning with GANs and temporal discriminator.
result Framework outperforms state-of-the-art SAD approaches.
Forecasting multivariate time series data, such as prediction of electricity consumption, solar power production, and polyphonic piano pieces, has numerous valuable applications. However, complex and non-linear interdependencies between time steps and series complicate the task. To obtain accurate prediction, it is cru…
Temporal networks are ubiquitous and evolve over time by the addition, deletion, and changing of links, nodes, and attributes. Although many relational datasets contain temporal information, the majority of existing techniques in relational learning focus on static snapshots and ignore the temporal dynamics. We propose…
In healthcare applications, temporal variables that encode movement, health status and longitudinal patient evolution are often accompanied by rich structured information such as demographics, diagnostics and medical exam data. However, current methods do not jointly optimize over structured covariates and time series …
DMSTF models spatio-temporal data with deep Markov priors.
problem Analyzing nonlinear multimodal spatio-temporal dynamics.
method Deep Markov spatio-temporal factorization with stochastic variational inference.
result DMSTF outperforms other methods in predictive performance and clustering.
CATS adapts multivariate time series models by addressing correlation shift.
problem Correlation differences across domains in multivariate time series data.
method CATS introduces correlation shift to measure domain differences, and uses a graph attention module and temporal convolution to align target correlations with source correlations.
result CATS increases over 10% average accuracy compared to vanilla Transformer-based models with minimal additional parameters.
Paper proposes an efficient method for calibrating spatio-temporal forecasts.
problem Real-world spatio-temporal forecasting challenges like signal anomalies and distributional shifts.
method Learning with Calibration (ST-TTC) for real-time bias correction.
result ST-TTC improves spatio-temporal forecasting accuracy with reduced computational cost.
This paper benchmarks speech LVMs against deterministic models and adapts a video model to speech.
problem Speech generation models are inferior to deterministic models.
method Developed a speech benchmark of LVMs and compared them against deterministic models.
result The Clockwork VAE outperforms previous LVMs and reduces the gap to deterministic models.