Recent works demonstrated the usefulness of temporal coherence to regularize supervised training or to learn invariant features with deep architectures. In particular, enforcing smooth output changes while presenting temporally-closed frames from video sequences, proved to be an effective strategy. In this paper we pro…
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48 results for “temporal coherence”
Multimodal ML models can process data in multiple modalities (e.g., video, images, audio, text) and are useful for video content analysis in a variety of problems (e.g., object detection, scene understanding). In this paper, we focus on the problem of video categorization by using a multimodal approach. We have develop…
Model predicts travel time under rare conditions using a vector-space model.
problem Predicting travel time under rare temporal conditions (e.g., holidays, school vacations) is challenging due to limited historical data and other temporal changes.
method Presented a vector-space model for encoding rare temporal conditions, allowing coherent representation learning across different conditions.
result Increased performance for travel time prediction over different baselines when using the vector-space encoding for representing the temporal setting.
We present a new model DrNET that learns disentangled image representations from video. Our approach leverages the temporal coherence of video and a novel adversarial loss to learn a representation that factorizes each frame into a stationary part and a temporally varying component. The disentangled representation can …
Study reveals benign overfitting in time series models with over-parameterization.
problem Analyzing over-parameterized linear models with dependent time-series data.
method Developed an estimator using interpolation and derived non-asymptotic risk bounds.
result Risk bound is influenced by the coherence of temporal covariance matrices at different time steps.
Point clouds, as a form of Lagrangian representation, allow for powerful and flexible applications in a large number of computational disciplines. We propose a novel deep-learning method to learn stable and temporally coherent feature spaces for points clouds that change over time. We identify a set of inherent problem…
ConvNP improves SP prediction with translation equivariance and coherent samples.
problem Predicting stationary stochastic processes with coherent samples.
method Convolutional Neural Processes (ConvNP) with a new maximum-likelihood objective.
result ConvNP outperforms standard NPs and demonstrates strong generalization on various tasks.
A new video prediction model treats videos as continuous processes, reducing sampling steps and improving efficiency.
problem Efficiency and temporal coherence in video prediction models.
method Treats videos as a continuous multi-dimensional process, reducing sampling steps.
result Reduction of 75% sampling steps, state-of-the-art performance on benchmark datasets.
Are We Winning the Wrong Game? Revisiting Evaluation Practices for Long-Term Time Series Forecastingcs.LG
This paper challenges the current metrics used for evaluating long-term forecasting models.
problem Current metrics focus on pointwise error reduction, ignoring structural properties.
method Proposes a multi-dimensional evaluation approach that includes statistical fidelity, structural coherence, and decision-level relevance.
result Current progress in forecasting may reflect specialization in benchmark configurations rather than deeper understanding of temporal dynamics.
The Temporal Dimension of Riskq-fin.PM
Multi-period measures of risk account for the path that the value of an investment portfolio takes. In the context of probabilistic risk measures, the focus has traditionally been on the magnitude of investment loss and not on the dimension associated with the passage of time. In this paper, the concept of temporal pat…
Model parameter estimation using coherent structure coloringphysics.flu-dyn
Lagrangian data assimilation is a complex problem in oceanic and atmospheric modeling. Tracking drifters in large-scale geophysical flows can involve uncertainty in drifter location, complex inertial effects, and other factors which make comparing them to simulated Lagrangian trajectories from numerical models extremel…
Recognizing facial expressions from static images or video sequences is a widely studied but still challenging problem. The recent progresses obtained by deep neural architectures, or by ensembles of heterogeneous models, have shown that integrating multiple input representations leads to state-of-the-art results. In p…
A cornerstone of human statistical learning is the ability to extract temporal regularities / patterns from random sequences. Here we present a method of computing pattern time statistics with generating functions for first-order Markov trials and independent Bernoulli trials. We show that the pattern time statistics c…
A framework uses deep learning for spatio-temporal data prediction.
problem Interpolation of continuous spatio-temporal fields on irregular points.
method Decomposes spatio-temporal processes into products of basis functions and spatial coefficients.
result Effectiveness in reconstructing coherent spatio-temporal fields.
Proposes a new algorithm for efficient probabilistic reconciliation of forecasts.
problem Ensuring coherence in forecasts for hierarchical time series.
method Bottom-Up Importance Sampling algorithm for any type of forecast distribution.
result Significant improvement over base probabilistic forecasts in experiments.
A method for fast, accurate cross-temporal forecasts using machine learning.
problem Inconsistent forecasts across different levels of platform data.
method Non-linear hierarchical forecast reconciliation using machine learning.
result Automated direct production of reconciled forecasts for high-frequency decision making.
DANR improves network regularization for spatio-temporal data.
problem Inadequate edge weights compromise network regularization.
method Discrepancy-aware network regularization (DANR) with ADMM.
result DANR achieves improved performance on various tasks.
Inspired by the observation that humans are able to process videos efficiently by only paying attention where and when it is needed, we propose an interpretable and easy plug-in spatial-temporal attention mechanism for video action recognition. For spatial attention, we learn a saliency mask to allow the model to focus…
Unified R packages for forecast reconciliation of constrained series.
problem Improving accuracy and coherence of forecasts for linearly constrained multiple time series.
method Classical and machine learning-based linear reconciliation approaches for cross-sectional, temporal, and cross-temporal frameworks.
result Unified toolbox for forecast reconciliation in R.
A big challenge in algorithmic composition is to devise a model that is both easily trainable and able to reproduce the long-range temporal dependencies typical of music. Here we investigate how artificial neural networks can be trained on a large corpus of melodies and turned into automated music composers able to gen…
Decomposing the stock market intraday dynamicscond-mat.soft
The correlation matrix formalism is used to study temporal aspects of the stock market evolution. This formalism allows to decompose the financial dynamics into noise as well as into some coherent repeatable intraday structures. The present study is based on the high-frequency Deutsche Aktienindex (DAX) data over the t…
Meta-learning framework for credit risk assessment of SMEs, aligning financial statement dates with evaluation dates.
problem Temporal misalignment of credit scoring models leading to bias and inconsistent predictions.
method Two-step temporal decomposition: static model for annual PDs, dynamic model for monthly PDs; stacking architecture to aggregate multiple models.
result Framework effectively captures credit risk evolution over time, improving temporal consistency and predictive stability.
TD learning reduces interference, leading to better generalization.
problem Understanding and reducing interference in TD learning for better generalization.
method Analyzing the inner product of gradients as interference, comparing TD and supervised learning, and examining the dynamics of interference and bootstrapping.
result TD learning leads to low-interference, under-generalizing parameters, while supervised learning does the opposite.
The automatic analysis of ultrasound sequences can substantially improve the efficiency of clinical diagnosis. In this work we present our attempt to automate the challenging task of measuring the vascular diameter of the fetal abdominal aorta from ultrasound images. We propose a neural network architecture consisting …
In this paper, a novel architecture of Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) is designed and experimented. The proposed RNN adopts a computational memory based on the concept of stigmergy. The basic principle of a Stigmergic Memory (SM) is that the activity of deposit/removal of a quantity in the SM stimulates the next activi…
New protocol evaluates synthetic data for temporal consistency.
problem Synthetic data generators can produce invalid timestamps and trajectories.
method Characterize datasets by four properties, then measure timestamp validity and dynamics.
result Temporal fidelity must be measured, not inferred from static data.
In this paper, we address the Online Unsupervised Domain Adaptation (OUDA) problem, where the target data are unlabelled and arriving sequentially. The traditional methods on the OUDA problem mainly focus on transforming each arriving target data to the source domain, and they do not sufficiently consider the temporal …
In analyses of rare-events, regardless of the domain of application, class-imbalance issue is intrinsic. Although the challenges are known to data experts, their explicit impact on the analytic and the decisions made based on the findings are often overlooked. This is in particular prevalent in interdisciplinary resear…
Prediction is arguably one of the most basic functions of an intelligent system. In general, the problem of predicting events in the future or between two waypoints is exceedingly difficult. However, most phenomena naturally pass through relatively predictable bottlenecks---while we cannot predict the precise trajector…
Hybrid model integrates GATv2 and geostatistics for better spatial prediction and uncertainty.
problem Accurate spatial prediction and uncertainty quantification in epidemiology and risk analysis.
method Integrates Graph Attention Network (GATv2) with model-based geostatistics (MBG) to capture relational and spatial dependencies.
result Hybrid model improves predictive accuracy and uncertainty quantification compared to standalone models.
In model-based reinforcement learning, generative and temporal models of environments can be leveraged to boost agent performance, either by tuning the agent's representations during training or via use as part of an explicit planning mechanism. However, their application in practice has been limited to simplistic envi…
Transformers have a potential of learning longer-term dependency, but are limited by a fixed-length context in the setting of language modeling. We propose a novel neural architecture Transformer-XL that enables learning dependency beyond a fixed length without disrupting temporal coherence. It consists of a segment-le…
We demonstrate the application of an algorithmic trading strategy based upon the recently developed dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) on portfolios of financial data. The method is capable of characterizing complex dynamical systems, in this case financial market dynamics, in an equation-free manner by decomposing the s…
Model improves information transfer from visual streams.
problem Challenges in unsupervised learning from continuous visual data.
method Inspired by physics, maximizes mutual information through temporal process.
result Focus of attention enhances information transfer from input stream.
Coherent manifoldsmath-ph
Defines coherent manifolds and their quantum applications.
problem Understanding quantum spaces and coherent states.
method Generalizes quantum field theory and Schrödinger equation solutions.
result Solves Schrödinger equation on coherent manifolds.
Framework for continuous-time network data representation learning.
problem Learning reliable representations of dynamic network interactions.
method Three-stage process: intensity estimation, projection learning, evolving node representation construction.
result Trajectories satisfy structural and temporal coherence, providing robust inference.
Develops a machine learning model to predict ALS progression and assistive device use.
problem Challenges in predicting clinically meaningful milestones in ALS.
method Integrates longitudinal ALSFRS-R trajectories with survival modeling.
result Generates individualized survival curves and predicts wheelchair-free survival.
CoRe method improves time series forecasting coherency without strict constraints.
problem Noisy hierarchical time series data that doesn't perfectly adhere to aggregation constraints.
method Coherency Regularization using neural networks.
result Improved forecast accuracy and coherence, especially in noisy data scenarios.
In this paper we present a theoretical framework for studying coherent acceptability indices in a dynamic setup. We study dynamic coherent acceptability indices and dynamic coherent risk measures, and we establish a duality between them. We derive a representation theorem for dynamic coherent risk measures in terms of …
Reinforcement learning algorithms rely on exploration to discover new behaviors, which is typically achieved by following a stochastic policy. In continuous control tasks, policies with a Gaussian distribution have been widely adopted. Gaussian exploration however does not result in smooth trajectories that generally c…
Automatic detection of anomalies in space- and time-varying measurements is an important tool in several fields, e.g., fraud detection, climate analysis, or healthcare monitoring. We present an algorithm for detecting anomalous regions in multivariate spatio-temporal time-series, which allows for spotting the interesti…
Coherent Multiplex analyzes real-time wavelet coherence among multiple signals.
problem Identifying and visualizing coherence among multiple time series.
method Fast spectral similarity based on cosine similarity metrics of Fourier-transformed signals and sparse time-frequency wavelet coherence.
result Scalable real-time system for low-latency inference and monitoring of inter-signal relationships.
The segmentation of the left ventricle (LV) from CINE MRI images is essential to infer important clinical parameters. Typically, machine learning algorithms for automated LV segmentation use annotated contours from only two cardiac phases, diastole, and systole. In this work, we present an analysis work-flow for fully-…
Survey of counterfactual explanations for time series classification.
problem Generating plausible and actionable counterfactuals for time series data.
method Review of various counterfactual generation methods for time series classification.
result Highlight unique challenges and strengths of existing methods.
Unified framework evaluates synthetic financial data models.
problem Data scarcity and confidentiality in finance hinder model development and testing.
method Multi-criteria evaluation of three generative paradigms: ARIMA-GARCH, VAEs, and TimeGAN.
result TimeGAN achieves the best balance between realism and temporal coherence.
The transition amplitudes between coherent states on a coherent state manifold are expressed in terms of the embedding of the coherent state manifold into a projective Hilbert space. Consequences for the dimension of projective Hilbert space and a simple geometric interpretation of Calabi's diastasis follows.
We use mathematical induction to prove that the horizontal composition in the class of coherently diagonal complexes is indeed a binary operation. That is to say, the embedding of two coherently diagonal complexes in an alternating planar diagram produces a coherently diagonal complex.
Recent advances in deep generative models have lead to remarkable progress in synthesizing high quality images. Following their successful application in image processing and representation learning, an important next step is to consider videos. Learning generative models of video is a much harder task, requiring a mod…