An online labor platform faces an online learning problem in matching workers with jobs and using the performance on these jobs to create better future matches. This learning problem is complicated by the rise of complex tasks on these platforms, such as web development and product design, that require a team of worker…
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arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,695 papers · 148 categories
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48 results for “team performance”
CGAs estimate team performance from data, simplifying SV computation.
problem Predicting and rewarding team performance using game theory.
method Cooperative game abstractions (CGAs) for estimating characteristic functions from data.
result CGAs enable linear-time computation of Shapley Value for team contributions.
Paper presents Transfer Portal model for accurate player performance predictions.
problem Predicting future player performance after a transfer.
method Personalized neural network and Bayesian updating framework.
result Model generates accurate predictions for player performance at new clubs.
The study uses unsupervised machine learning to identify top European football teams.
problem Selecting teams for the new European football Super League.
method Used Laplacian eigenmaps clustering on performance data.
result Successfully identified four clusters of teams based on performance metrics.
Paper studies competitive networks where teams aim to minimize their own objectives, adapting to each other's strategies.
problem Competitive networks where teams have conflicting objectives.
method Proposes diffusion learning algorithms for two classes of network games: zero-sum and non-zero-sum.
result Stability performance of proposed algorithms analyzed and demonstrated through experiments.
ContestTrade uses competitive teams to improve LLM trading performance.
problem High sensitivity to market noise in LLM-based trading systems.
method Internal competitive mechanism, data and research teams, real-time evaluation.
result Significantly outperforms other systems across various metrics.
AI benchmarks evaluate football team performance using generative models.
problem Evaluating human performance in complex interactive tasks is error-prone and unreliable.
method Trained Conditional VRNN Model on player and ball tracking data to imitate and predict team interactions.
result Trained model as a useful benchmark for evaluating team performance in football.
We propose an original model for inferring team strengths using a Markov Random Field, which can be used to generate historical estimates of the offensive and defensive strengths of a team over time. This model was designed to be applied to sports such as soccer or hockey, in which contest outcomes take value in a limi…
The paper offers algorithms for managing freelancers and in-house workers in online labor markets.
problem Managing freelancers and in-house workers in online labor markets efficiently.
method Developed algorithms for team formation with outsourcing in an online setting.
result Efficient online algorithms for minimizing costs in hiring and outsourcing.
AI systems are being deployed to support human decision making in high-stakes domains. In many cases, the human and AI form a team, in which the human makes decisions after reviewing the AI's inferences. A successful partnership requires that the human develops insights into the performance of the AI system, including …
Soccer Team Vectorscs.LG
In this work we present STEVE - Soccer TEam VEctors, a principled approach for learning real valued vectors for soccer teams where similar teams are close to each other in the resulting vector space. STEVE only relies on freely available information about the matches teams played in the past. These vectors can serve as…
Multiplayer Online Battle Arena (MOBA) games are among the most played digital games in the world. In these games, teams of players fight against each other in arena environments, and the gameplay is focused on tactical combat. Mastering MOBAs requires extensive practice, as is exemplified in the popular MOBA Defence o…
Finding Common Characteristics Among NBA Playoff and Championship Teams: A Machine Learning Approachstat.ML
In this paper, we employ machine learning techniques to analyze seventeen seasons (1999-2000 to 2015-2016) of NBA regular season data from every team to determine the common characteristics among NBA playoff teams. Each team was characterized by 26 predictor variables and one binary response variable taking on a value …
New algorithm for identifying Condorcet team in noisy comparisons.
problem Online learning with noisy comparisons of teams.
method Formalized dueling teams problem, developed algorithms for stochastic and deterministic settings.
result Identifies Condorcet winning team with reduced number of duels.
BC-Aligner maintains backward compatibility of embeddings after frequent updates.
problem Updating embeddings without requiring consumer teams to retrain their models.
method Learning backward compatible embeddings through BC-Aligner.
result BC-Aligner maintains backward compatibility with existing unintended tasks after multiple model version updates.
We aim to reduce the burden of programming and deploying autonomous systems to work in concert with people in time-critical domains, such as military field operations and disaster response. Deployment plans for these operations are frequently negotiated on-the-fly by teams of human planners. A human operator then trans…
We study the relationship between social media output and National Football League (NFL) games, using a dataset containing messages from Twitter and NFL game statistics. Specifically, we consider tweets pertaining to specific teams and games in the NFL season and use them alongside statistical game data to build predic…
Improved trajectory prediction for team sports using sparse outputs.
problem Challenging to train deep learning models for player trajectory prediction.
method Sparse trajectory prediction and constant acceleration interpolation.
result Interpolation improves performance for all tested models.
Attackers can significantly reduce team rewards in cooperative multi-agent reinforcement learning.
problem Robustness of cooperative multi-agent reinforcement learning to adversaries.
method Novel attack method involving training a policy network and using targeted adversarial examples.
result Reduces team reward from 20 to 9.4 by attacking a single agent, reducing winning rate from 98.9% to 0%.
The availability of massive data about sports activities offers nowadays the opportunity to quantify the relation between performance and success. In this study, we analyze more than 6,000 games and 10 million events in six European leagues and investigate this relation in soccer competitions. We discover that a team's…
Human players in professional team sports achieve high level coordination by dynamically choosing complementary skills and executing primitive actions to perform these skills. As a step toward creating intelligent agents with this capability for fully cooperative multi-agent settings, we propose a two-level hierarchica…
While multi-agent interactions can be naturally modeled as a graph, the environment has traditionally been considered as a black box. We propose to create a shared agent-entity graph, where agents and environmental entities form vertices, and edges exist between the vertices which can communicate with each other. Agent…
Study fair team formation in online labor marketplaces.
problem Design fair algorithms for team formation in online labor marketplaces.
method Define and analyze the Fair Team Formation problem, provide inapproximability results, and develop four algorithms.
result Developed four algorithms for fair team formation in online labor marketplaces.
Study uncovers tactical line-breaking passes in football using clustering.
problem Detecting and analyzing line-breaking passes in football matches.
method Unsupervised clustering-based framework using event and tracking data.
result Introduced tactical metrics to quantify pass effectiveness.
Operations is a key challenge in the domain of machine learning pipeline deployments involving monitoring and management of real-time prediction quality. Typically, metrics like accuracy, RMSE etc., are used to track the performance of models in deployment. However, these metrics cannot be calculated in production due …
Framework for real-time win probability and player ability in sports.
problem Real-time evaluation and player assessment in team sports.
method Continuous dominance indicator (T-score) and T-process formulation.
result Decomposes competitive advantage into interpretable statistical components.
Human-AI teaming suffers from calibration issues.
problem Human-AI teaming
method Assume calibrated models and humans
result Existing methods for combination do not preserve human's calibration.
Technology offers new ways to measure the locations of the players and of the ball in sports. This translates to the trajectories the ball takes on the field as a result of the tactics the team applies. The challenge professionals in soccer are facing is to take the reverse path: given the trajectories of the ball is i…
Predicting Individual Treatment Effects of Large-scale Team Competitions in a Ride-sharing Economycs.CY
Study predicts individual treatment effects in ride-sharing competitions.
problem Understanding how team competitions affect individual drivers' outcomes.
method Analyzed data from 500 competitions, built machine learning models.
result Reduced out-sample prediction error by over 24%.
Cricket betting is a multi-billion dollar market. Therefore, there is a strong incentive for models that can predict the outcomes of games and beat the odds provided by bookers. The aim of this study was to investigate to what degree it is possible to predict the outcome of cricket matches. The target competition was t…
Classifier learns to ignore unreliable feedback from end users.
problem Improving classifier performance by filtering unreliable feedback.
method Modeling end users as autonomous agents, periodically retraining classifier with filtered feedback.
result Classifier can identify and filter out unreliable feedback, improving performance.
Coordinated defensive escorts can aid a navigating payload by positioning themselves in order to maintain the safety of the payload from obstacles. In this paper, we present a novel, end-to-end solution for coordinating an escort team for protecting high-value payloads. Our solution employs deep reinforcement learning …
DKULENOVO team improves speech diarization by 27.5% and 31.7% in DIHARD II.
problem Challenges in speech diarization, especially in distinguishing overlapping speakers.
method Used a combination of VAD, speaker embedding extraction, similarity scoring, clustering, and resegmentation techniques.
result Achieved 18.84% DER in Track1 and 27.90% DER in Track2, reducing baseline DERs by 27.5% and 31.7% respectively.
New approach for open ad hoc teamwork using graph-based policy learning.
problem Designing autonomous agents to collaborate with changing teams without prior coordination.
method Graph-based policy learning to adapt to dynamic team compositions.
result Successfully models the effects of other agents, leading to robust adaptation and superior performance.
Introduces LTQL for factored policies in cooperative MARL.
problem Learning optimal joint policies in collaborative MARL scenarios.
method Logical Team Q-learning (LTQL) as a stochastic approximation to dynamic programming.
result LTQL provides factored policies for optimal joint behavior in cooperative MARL.
CollaQ improves multi-agent performance in StarCraft by 40% with fewer samples.
problem Limited generalization and high training rounds in multi-agent reinforcement learning.
method Formulates multi-agent collaboration as joint optimization on reward assignment, decomposes Q-function into self and interactive terms, and uses MARA loss.
result Improves win rate by 40% in StarCraft maps with same number of samples compared to state-of-the-art techniques.
Many cooperative multiagent reinforcement learning environments provide agents with a sparse team-based reward, as well as a dense agent-specific reward that incentivizes learning basic skills. Training policies solely on the team-based reward is often difficult due to its sparsity. Furthermore, relying solely on the a…
SoccerCPD detects tactical changes in soccer matches using spatiotemporal tracking data.
problem Detecting consistent team formations in fluid sports like soccer.
method Two-step change-point detection: formation and role changes.
result Accurately detects tactical changes and estimates formation and role assignments.
Every day, hundreds of millions of new Tweets containing over 40 languages of ever-shifting vernacular flow through Twitter. Models that attempt to extract insight from this firehose of information must face the torrential covariate shift that is endemic to the Twitter platform. While regularly-retrained algorithms can…
Thirty Years of Academic Financeq-fin.GN
Study on academic finance evolution over 30 years.
problem Understanding changes in academic finance research over time.
method Analysis of 32 finance journals from 1992 to 2021 using Structural Topic Model.
result Most journals have become more generalist over time, covering more topics.
This paper reports the method and evaluation results of MedAusbild team for ISIC challenge task. Since early 2017, our team has worked on melanoma classification [1][6], and has employed deep learning since beginning of 2018 [7]. Deep learning helps researchers absolutely to treat and detect diseases by analyzing medic…
Algorithm learns to switch control among agents in a team.
problem Learning to switch control among reinforcement learning agents.
method 2-layer Markov decision process, upper confidence bounds, shared confidence bounds.
result Sublinear total regret with shared confidence bounds.
Machine learning for ASD diagnosis using morphological MRI networks.
problem Challenging to diagnose ASD using MRI due to heterogeneity and incomplete network neuroscience.
method Crowdsourced Kaggle competition to develop and benchmark ML pipelines.
result First-ranked team achieved 70% accuracy, 72.5% sensitivity, and 67.5% specificity.
The way developers collaborate inside and particularly across teams often escapes management's attention, despite a formal organization with designated teams being defined. Observability of the actual, organically formed engineering structure provides decision makers invaluable additional tools to manage their talent p…
We describe the submission of the Quo Vadis team to the Traffic4cast competition, which was organized as part of the NeurIPS 2019 series of challenges. Our system consists of a temporal regression module, implemented as 2d convolutions, augmented with spatio-temporal biases. We have found that using biases i…
This article is motivated by soccer positional passing networks collected across multiple games. We refer to these data as replicated spatial passing networks---to accurately model such data it is necessary to take into account the spatial positions of the passer and receiver for each passing event. This spatial regist…
New method improves compatibility of risk stratification models without sacrificing accuracy.
problem Compatibility issues arise when updating clinical machine learning models.
method Proposes rank-based compatibility measure and new loss function.
result Increased compatibility of models by 0.019 with no loss in discriminative performance.
Proposes RPG-RT for red-teaming T2I models without internal access.
problem Evaluating T2I models' security through red-teaming is challenging due to their closed-source nature and unknown defense mechanisms.
method Integrates LLM and rule-based preference modeling to dynamically adapt to unknown defense mechanisms.
result Demonstrates superior and practical approach for red-teaming T2I models.