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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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62125187249 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for targeted explanations

Proposes a method for clearer counterfactual explanations of deep networks.

problem Unclear explanations from current counterfactual methods.
method Gradual construction of explanations through masking and composition steps.
result Produces human-friendly, interpretable explanations with fewer modifications.

LLMs' explanations are often insufficient and vary with input distribution.

problem Evaluating the sufficiency of LLM explanations without predefined biases.
method Generalizing sufficiency to arbitrary explanations, using LLM's input beliefs, and introducing SCSuff metric.
result Explanation sufficiency can vary with input distribution and is weakly correlated with model size, accuracy, or output entropy.

New method provides calibrated feature importance explanations for regression models.

problem Lack of uncertainty quantification in existing local explanation methods.
method Extension of Calibrated Explanations method to support regression and probabilistic regression.
result Calibrated Explanations for regression provides quantified uncertainty and robust explanations.

This research integrates attention into XAI frameworks for better model explanations.

problem Improving the interpretability of transformer models.
method Developed two novel explanation methods: Shapley value decomposition and token-level directional derivatives.
result Attention weights can be meaningfully incorporated into XAI frameworks, enhancing transformer explainability.

Generative models explain machine learning predictions with counterfactual instances.

problem Generating human-interpretable insights into machine learning model predictions.
method Sparse counterfactual explanations using conditional generative models.
result Single forward pass generates batches of counterfactual instances.

OrphicX generates causal explanations for GNNs by isolating latent causal factors.

problem Generating interpretable causal explanations for complex graph neural networks.
method Develops a generative model and objective function to isolate latent causal factors, maximizing information flow.
result OrphicX effectively identifies causal semantics, significantly outperforming alternatives.

Proposes a method to explain black-box models using causal learning.

problem Existing explainability methods focus on micro-level inputs, not interpretable features.
method Learns causal graphical representations to differentiate between causal and confounding influences.
result Graphs can differentiate between interpretable and confounding features.

New method improves model reconstruction using counterfactuals and polytope theory.

problem Reconstructing models with minimal input changes and avoiding decision boundary shifts.
method Using polytope theory to derive loss functions that treat counterfactuals differently from ordinary instances.
result Improves fidelity between target and surrogate model predictions on multiple datasets.

Improved interpretability methods for ML models using local regressions and variable importance.

problem Inability of existing interpretability methods to provide reliable explanations for ML models, especially in high-dimensional problems with irrelevant features and non-linear relationships.
method Introduces VarImp and SupClus methods using local regressions with weighted distance considering variable importance.
result VarImp and SupClus methods yield better explanations than state-of-the-art approaches, especially in high-dimensional problems with irrelevant features and non-linear relationships.

New method uses SHapley Additive Explanations to identify anomaly detectors with complementary behaviors.

problem Challenges in unsupervised anomaly detection due to diverse data distributions and lack of labels.
method Characterize anomaly detectors using SHapley Additive Explanations to measure feature importance and similarity.
result Detectors with similar explanations produce correlated anomaly scores, while those with divergent explanations are complementary.

New method generates plausible counterfactuals for time series classification.

problem Generating realistic counterfactuals for time series data.
method Gradient-based optimization with soft-DTW alignment and multi-faceted loss function.
result Our method outperforms existing approaches in temporal realism and distributional alignment.

This paper introduces DCE for better counterfactual explanations using optimal transport.

problem Lack of nuanced distributional characteristics in existing counterfactual explanations.
method Formulates a chance-constrained optimization problem using optimal transport to derive counterfactual distributions.
result DCE provides deeper insights into decision-making models by aligning counterfactual distributions with factual ones.

Generative adversarial approach for satellite image time series land cover classification.

problem Enhance interpretability of land cover classification models.
method Generative adversarial counterfactual approach for multi-class land cover classification.
result Discovery of interesting information on land cover class relationships and sparser, interpretable solutions.

The concept of explainability is envisioned to satisfy society's demands for transparency on machine learning decisions. The concept is simple: like humans, algorithms should explain the rationale behind their decisions so that their fairness can be assessed. While this approach is promising in a local context (e.g. to…

2019-10-03abs ↗pdf ↗

PatternLocal improves XAI for non-linear models by suppressing suppressor variables.

problem Suppressor variables cause false-positive feature attributions in non-linear models.
method PatternLocal uses locally linear surrogate models and transforms weights into a generative representation.
result PatternLocal reduces false-positive attributions and provides more reliable explanations.

Proposes counterfactual explanations for deep two-sample tests on high-dimensional data.

problem Limited interpretability of deep two-sample tests on high-dimensional data.
method Combines diffusion autoencoder and pretrained deep two-sample test model to generate counterfactuals.
result Counterfactual transformations increase p-values, indicating closer distribution similarity.

We focus on the problem of search in the multilingual setting. Examining the problems of next-sentence prediction and inverse cloze, we show that at large scale, instance-based transfer learning is surprisingly effective in the multilingual setting, leading to positive transfer on all of the 35 target languages and two…

2019-11-08abs ↗pdf ↗

SurvFD and SurvSHAP-IQ provide interpretable survival models by analyzing feature interactions.

problem Non-additivity of hazard and survival functions limits standard additive explanation methods.
method SurvFD decomposes higher-order effects into time-dependent and time-independent components, extending Shapley interactions to time-indexed functions.
result SurvFD and SurvSHAP-IQ offer a new perspective on survival explanations, explicitly characterizing feature interactions.

Equivariant localization techniques give a rigorous interpretation of the Witten genus as an integral over the double loop space. This provides a geometric explanation for its modularity properties. It also reveals an interplay between the geometry of double loop spaces and complex analytic elliptic cohomology. In part…

2019-11-25abs ↗pdf ↗

The study explains how neural networks align their kernels to target functions during training.

problem Understanding how neural networks align their kernels to target functions during training.
method Theoretical analysis of kernel evolution in toy models and deep networks.
result Kernel alignment naturally emerges during training to accelerate convergence and improve generalization.

Proposes a new method to explain model predictions for consumer recourse.

problem Current explanation methods fail to provide meaningful recourse to decision subjects.
method Develops feature responsiveness scores to highlight actionable features.
result Standard practices can undermine decision subjects by highlighting unresponsive features.

This work analyzes how frequency components affect CNN predictions and robustness.

problem Lack of frequency-based explanation for CNNs leading to vulnerabilities.
method Frequency component analysis and quantification of their contribution to CNN predictions.
result Adversarial attacks exploit high-frequency features, while robustness comes from low-frequency associations.

This paper analyzes how periodic and soft target updates stabilize linear Q-learning.

problem Theoretical explanation of stabilization mechanisms for linear Q-learning.
method Exact analysis using switched linear system dynamics and the joint spectral radius.
result Periodic and soft target updates can guarantee convergence to the exact projected Q-Bellman solution under specific conditions.

A deep RL approach generates counterfactual instances efficiently.

problem Efficient generation of counterfactual instances for large datasets and diverse models.
method Deep reinforcement learning to optimize counterfactual instances in a single forward pass.
result Model-agnostic and scalable counterfactual generation.

The paper develops statistical inference methods for SHAP values.

problem Lack of statistical inference for SHAP values in model-agnostic feature importance.
method Semi-parametric approach using U-statistics and Neyman orthogonal scores for functionals of nested regressions.
result Asymptotically normal estimates of the pth powers of SHAP values for various p.

CONFETTI improves interpretability of deep learning models for MTS by providing counterfactual explanations.

problem Lack of transparency in deep learning models for multivariate time series classification.
method CONFETTI is a novel multi-objective counterfactual explanation method that balances prediction confidence, proximity, and sparsity.
result CONFETTI outperforms state-of-the-art methods in various metrics, improving interpretability and decision support.

Unified framework for distribution shift estimation, explanation, and improvement.

problem Estimating, explaining, and improving model performance on target domains with distribution shift.
method Entropic Projection Alignment (EPA) aligns source and target distributions by matching moments and minimizing KL divergence.
result EPA consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines while offering computational efficiency.

Many methods to explain black-box models, whether local or global, are additive. In this paper, we study global additive explanations for non-additive models, focusing on four explanation methods: partial dependence, Shapley explanations adapted to a global setting, distilled additive explanations, and gradient-based e…

2018-01-26abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proposes criteria and methods for evaluating and aggregating feature-based model explanations.

problem Lack of quantitative evaluation criteria for feature-based model explanations.
method Developed quantitative evaluation criteria (low sensitivity, high faithfulness, low complexity), devised a framework for aggregation, and derived a new aggregate Shapley value explanation function.
result A new aggregate Shapley value explanation function that minimizes sensitivity.

New definition reveals encoding explanations that retain predictive power.

problem Challenges in evaluating and identifying encoding explanations.
method Developed a definition of encoding based on conditional dependence.
result Existing evaluation scores do not rank non-encoding explanations correctly, but STRIPE-X does.

This work describes an outlier detection procedure (named "OutlierTree") loosely based on the GritBot software developed by RuleQuest research, which works by evaluating and following supervised decision tree splits on variables, in whose branches 1-d confidence intervals are constructed for the target variable and pot…

2020-01-02abs ↗pdf ↗