Generative model learns vehicle trajectory distributions for better data generalization.
problem Data sparsity and privacy issues in urban vehicle trajectory analysis.
method Generative adversarial imitation learning framework for urban vehicle trajectory generation.
result TrajGAIL model produces synthetic trajectories similar to real ones, achieving significant performance gains.
Proposes SSC for estimating counterfactual survival trajectories from observational data.
problem Challenges in estimating causal effects on time-to-event outcomes from observational data.
method Synthetic Survival Control (SSC) framework for estimating counterfactual hazard trajectories in panel data settings.
result SSC estimates counterfactual hazard trajectories as a weighted combination of observed trajectories from other units.
Mobility datasets are fundamental for evaluating algorithms pertaining to geographic information systems and facilitating experimental reproducibility. But privacy implications restrict sharing such datasets, as even aggregated location-data is vulnerable to membership inference attacks. Current synthetic mobility data…
This work tackles uncertainty in multi-agent multi-modal trajectory forecasting.
problem Measuring and ranking uncertainty in multi-agent multi-modal trajectory forecasting.
method Proposes collaborative uncertainty (CU) and a CU-aware regression framework.
result The CU-aware regression framework improves SOTA systems' performances.
Algorithm generates private continuous-time data for sensitive domains.
problem Private generation of continuous-time data for sensitive domains.
method Mean-field Langevin dynamics and noisy particle gradient descent.
result Strong privacy guarantees for one-time data contributions.
A framework clusters vehicle motion trajectories efficiently.
problem Costly manual annotation of vehicle motion data.
method Five-stage framework: align, embed, extract, embed, cluster.
result Framework achieves promising results on real-world dataset.
Representation learning of pedestrian trajectories transforms variable-length timestamp-coordinate tuples of a trajectory into a fixed-length vector representation that summarizes spatiotemporal characteristics. It is a crucial technique to connect feature-based data mining with trajectory data. Trajectory representati…
Method detects trajectory outliers using Hodge Laplacian embeddings.
problem Detecting outliers in trajectory data on simplicial complexes.
method Flow-embeddings using Hodge 1-Laplacian of simplicial complexes.
result Classifies trajectories based on topological behavior.
Even though clustering trajectory data attracted considerable attention in the last few years, most of prior work assumed that moving objects can move freely in an euclidean space and did not consider the eventual presence of an underlying road network and its influence on evaluating the similarity between trajectories…
Recently, clustering moving object trajectories kept gaining interest from both the data mining and machine learning communities. This problem, however, was studied mainly and extensively in the setting where moving objects can move freely on the euclidean space. In this paper, we study the problem of clustering trajec…
Framework learns continuous dynamics from sparse trajectories.
problem Learning dynamics from sparsely sampled and high-dimensional trajectories.
method Interpolative Multi-Marginal Flow Matching (IMMFM) framework.
result IMMFM outperforms existing methods in forecasting and downstream tasks.
Bayesian method estimates dynamics from near-optimal trajectories.
problem Estimating dynamics from near-optimal expert trajectories in reinforcement learning.
method Constraint-based Bayesian approach integrating expert near-optimality.
result Significant improvements in decision-making and transfer success.
New protocol evaluates synthetic data for temporal consistency.
problem Synthetic data generators can produce invalid timestamps and trajectories.
method Characterize datasets by four properties, then measure timestamp validity and dynamics.
result Temporal fidelity must be measured, not inferred from static data.
Develops a method to infer cell trajectories from RNA sequencing data.
problem Inferring cell trajectories from single cell RNA-sequencing data.
method Entropy-regularized optimal transport for global optimization.
result Proves and implements a method to recover ground truth trajectories from limited samples.
Develops MENT for interpreting and detecting changes in network trajectories.
problem Distortion of network geometry and invalidation of temporal comparisons in dynamic network analysis.
method Develops Multiscale Euclidean Network Trajectories (MENT) framework based on second-moment geometry.
result Validates and interprets network trajectories through isotropic normalization and orthogonal transformations.
We build a model using Gaussian processes to infer a spatio-temporal vector field from observed agent trajectories. Significant landmarks or influence points in agent surroundings are jointly derived through vector calculus operations that indicate presence of sources and sinks. We evaluate these influence points by us…
Variational inference improves training of generative flow networks.
problem Training generative flow networks efficiently and accurately.
method Define variational objectives in terms of KL divergences and optimize convex combinations.
result Variational inference methods can reduce the variance of gradients in training generative flow networks.
LSS learns molecular trajectories from MD data.
problem Limited integration time steps in MD simulations.
method Three deep learning networks for slow collective variables, dynamics, and configuration reconstruction.
result Generates ultra-long synthetic folding trajectories.
VTrackIt creates a synthetic dataset with infrastructure and vehicle info for AVs.
problem Lack of infrastructure and pooled vehicle info in existing AV datasets.
method Developed VTrackIt, a synthetic dataset with intelligent infrastructure and pooled vehicle info, and introduced InfraGAN for trajectory predictions.
result VTrackIt reduces high-risk edge cases in AV trajectory predictions.
EPD method accurately captures parameter distributions from RCS data.
problem Limitations of traditional methods in estimating parameter distributions from RCS data.
method EPD method generates synthetic trajectories, estimates parameters, and selects parameters based on discrepancy.
result EPD provides accurate distribution of parameters without data loss.
MSBM extends SB for multi-marginal trajectory inference.
problem Trajectory inference from multiple discrete snapshots.
method Multi-Marginal Schrödinger Bridge Matching (MSBM) using iterative Markovian fitting (IMF).
result MSBM effectively captures complex trajectories and respects intermediate distributions.
A new method infers neural trajectories in real-time, improving experimental design.
problem Real-time inference of neural trajectories for immediate feedback.
method Exponential family variational Kalman filter (eVKF) for online learning.
result eVKF achieves competitive performance on synthetic and real-world data.
Consider a data set collected by (individuals-features) pairs in different times. It can be represented as a tensor of three dimensions (Individuals, features and times). The tensor biclustering problem computes a subset of individuals and a subset of features whose signal trajectories over time lie in a low-dimensiona…
Detecting anomalous activity in human mobility data has a number of applications including road hazard sensing, telematic based insurance, and fraud detection in taxi services and ride sharing. In this paper we address two challenges that arise in the study of anomalous human trajectories: 1) a lack of ground truth dat…
Proposes a model for generating survival trajectories and data.
problem Generating survival trajectories and data for new feature vectors.
method Autoencoder with specific structure, incorporating weighting scheme for robustness.
result Generates a prototype time-dependent trajectory for objects.
We study the problem of training sequential generative models for capturing coordinated multi-agent trajectory behavior, such as offensive basketball gameplay. When modeling such settings, it is often beneficial to design hierarchical models that can capture long-term coordination using intermediate variables. Furtherm…
Improves RL from historical data by stitching trajectories.
problem Lack of high-quality data for offline RL.
method Trajectory Stitching (TS) to augment historical data with synthetic actions.
result Improves RL policy performance over baseline.
EviTrack improves sequential prediction in delayed disambiguation scenarios.
problem Challenges in sequential prediction with delayed disambiguation where early observations are ambiguous.
method EviTrack operates over latent trajectories, applying evidence- and likelihood-ratio-based selection to delay commitment until supported by data.
result EviTrack outperforms sampling-based baselines in a controlled synthetic benchmark, achieving faster post-disambiguation recovery.
Improving Bayesian filtering with strictly proper scoring rules
problem Bayesian filtering of partially and noisily observed dynamical systems
method Proper scoring ensemble filter (PSEF)
result Accurate approximation of challenging filtering distributions
New method detects metastable basins in high dimensions using trajectory sampling.
problem Identifying distinct basins in high-dimensional Markov processes.
method Discriminative approach based on marginal trajectory distribution comparison.
result Bayes-optimal classifier achieves high accuracy distinguishing between basins.
A drone-based MOT algorithm tracks vehicles using neural network detections and TPMBM filter.
problem Tracking multiple vehicles from drone-mounted cameras.
method Neural network for object detection, TPMBM filter for trajectory estimation, von-Mises Fisher distribution for DOA.
result TPMBM filter optimally estimates vehicle trajectories.
Algorithm creates synthetic experiences to enhance Deep Reinforcement Learning.
problem Lack of synthetic experiences in classic Experience Replay.
method Bootstraps synthetic experiences to augment the replay memory.
result Synthetic experiences can improve learning speed and performance.
Koopman-PINN framework improves epidemic model parameter inference and forecasting
problem Epidemic model parameter inference and forecasting
method Combining Koopman operator theory and physics-informed learning
result More accurate parameter estimation, trajectory reconstruction, and long-term forecasting
Method learns dynamics from aggregate data without full trajectories.
problem Learning nonlinear dynamics from aggregate data where individual trajectories are not available.
method Combines weak Fokker-Planck Equation description with Wasserstein GAN.
result Successfully learns nonlinear dynamics from aggregate data.
BALLAST optimizes Lagrangian observer placement for ocean vector fields.
problem Optimizing Lagrangian observer placement for time-dependent ocean vector fields.
method Bayesian active learning with look-ahead amendment for sea-drifter trajectories using a physics-informed spatio-temporal Gaussian process surrogate model.
result Noticeable benefits of BALLAST-aided observer placement strategies on synthetic and high-fidelity ocean models.
New framework learns interaction rules from animal trajectories.
problem Challenges in extracting interaction rules from animal movement data.
method Augmented behavioral models with neural networks and theory-guided regularization.
result Improved performance over baselines and novel biological insights.
ToolChain-CRC addresses the risk-control problem for retrieval-augmented and tool-using agents under drift.
problem Risk-control problem for retrieval-augmented and tool-using agents under drift.
method ToolChain-CRC uses conformal risk-control under exchangeable calibration runs.
result Trajectory-level risk control keeps accepted-trajectory risk below the target.
ATLAS adapts HMC step size and trajectory length for complex geometries.
problem Sampling complex geometries with constant step size HMC/NUTS.
method Adapts step size and trajectory length using local Hessian and no U-turn condition.
result ATLAS accurately samples complex geometries, outperforming NUTS.
TSC improves causal effect estimation in panel data.
problem Estimating causal effects in panel data with a single treated unit.
method Targeted synthetic control method that refines initial weights through a one-dimensional targeted update.
result TSC consistently improves estimation accuracy over state-of-the-art SCM baselines.
We introduce a probabilistic generative model for disentangling spatio-temporal disease trajectories from series of high-dimensional brain images. The model is based on spatio-temporal matrix factorization, where inference on the sources is constrained by anatomically plausible statistical priors. To model realistic tr…
Learning nonlinear dynamics from diffusion data is a challenging problem since the individuals observed may be different at different time points, generally following an aggregate behaviour. Existing work cannot handle the tasks well since they model such dynamics either directly on observations or enforce the availabi…
Unified framework evaluates synthetic financial data models.
problem Data scarcity and confidentiality in finance hinder model development and testing.
method Multi-criteria evaluation of three generative paradigms: ARIMA-GARCH, VAEs, and TimeGAN.
result TimeGAN achieves the best balance between realism and temporal coherence.
A tutorial on various methods for clustering longitudinal data.
problem Identifying groups with different trends in longitudinal data.
method Group-based trajectory modeling, growth mixture modeling, longitudinal k-means.
result Strengths, limitations, and model extensions of the methods are discussed.
Gradient flow with weight decay shows grokking effect in deep learning.
problem Understanding the grokking effect in deep learning.
method Analyzing gradient flow dynamics with weight decay.
result Weight decay causes slow norm reduction, explaining grokking.
CausalLongPFN predicts counterfactual outcomes from time-series data.
problem Predicting future outcomes under varying treatments in time-series data with confounding and heterogeneity.
method Prior-fitted network pretrained on synthetic episodes of temporal structural causal models.
result CausalLongPFN outperforms domain-trained models on factual and counterfactual prediction tasks.
Improved neural PDEs trained on augmented data enhance model accuracy and efficiency.
problem Training neural PDEs on limited data to accurately represent complex systems.
method Space-filling sampling of local states to generate augmented training data.
result Data-augmented neural PDEs outperform traditional emulators in accuracy and stability.
Most approaches to machine learning from electronic health data can only predict a single endpoint. Here, we present an alternative that uses unsupervised deep learning to simulate detailed patient trajectories. We use data comprising 18-month trajectories of 44 clinical variables from 1908 patients with Mild Cognitive…
JKO-iFlow uses neural ODEs to improve generative models with reduced memory and training complexity.
problem Efficiently training deep generative models in high dimensions with reduced memory and training complexity.
method JKO scheme inspired neural ODE flow network with adaptive time reparameterization.
result JKO-iFlow achieves competitive performance compared to existing models at reduced computational and memory cost.