The major study by Bordo and Helbing (2003) analyses the business cycle in Western economies 1881-2001. They examine four distinct periods in economic history, and conclude that there is a secular trend towards greater synchronisation for much of the 20th century. Their analysis, in common with the standard economic li…
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29 results for “synchronisation”
In this work we study permutation synchronisation for the challenging case of partial permutations, which plays an important role for the problem of matching multiple objects (e.g. images or shapes). The term synchronisation refers to the property that the set of pairwise matchings is cycle-consistent, i.e. in the full…
Most of the analytical techniques used in the business cycle synchronisation literature rely upon the estimation of an empirical correlation matrix of time series data of macroeconomic aggregates, real GDP usually being the key variable. But the small number of available observations and small number of economies mean …
On the Existence of Synchrostates in Multichannel EEG Signals during Face-perception Tasksphysics.med-ph
Phase synchronisation in multichannel EEG is known as the manifestation of functional brain connectivity. Traditional phase synchronisation studies are mostly based on time average synchrony measures hence do not preserve the temporal evolution of the phase difference. Here we propose a new method to show the existence…
New algorithm finds sparse matrices on Stiefel manifold for optimisation.
problem Finding sparse matrices on Stiefel manifold for optimisation.
method Modified Orthogonal Iteration algorithm for sparse global optimality.
result Proposed method finds globally optimal sparse Stiefel matrices.
Dynamic Function Market Makerq-fin.GN
DFMM automates market making with adaptive pricing and risk management.
problem Challenges in decentralised automated market making (AMMs).
method Data aggregator, order routing, rebalancing, arbitrageurs, protective buffers, algorithmic accounting.
result DFMM optimises inventory risk and ensures market stability.
The alignment of a set of objects by means of transformations plays an important role in computer vision. Whilst the case for only two objects can be solved globally, when multiple objects are considered usually iterative methods are used. In practice the iterative methods perform well if the relative transformations b…
We propose a method for efficient training of Q-functions for continuous-state Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) such that the traces of the resulting policies satisfy a given Linear Temporal Logic (LTL) property. LTL, a modal logic, can express a wide range of time-dependent logical properties (including "safety") that…
We run experimental asset markets to investigate the emergence of excess trading and the occurrence of synchronised trading activity leading to crashes in the artificial markets. The market environment favours early investment in the risky asset and no posterior trading, i.e. a buy-and-hold strategy with a most probabl…
Crashing Together, Rallying Apart: Dynamic Conditional Tail Dependence in Cryptocurrency Marketsq-fin.ST
Cryptocurrency markets exhibit violent, synchronised drawdowns, challenging diversification claims.
problem Cryptocurrency markets' violent drawdowns challenge diversification claims.
method Dynamic conditional tail dependence analysis
result Near-complete and stable lower-tail graph, upper tail that thins over time, dissolution of token categories into a core.
L2G2G improves graph autoencoder accuracy without sacrificing scalability.
problem Scalability issues in graph autoencoders for large networks.
method Dynamic synchronization of latent node representations in each epoch.
result L2G2G achieves higher accuracy than standard Local2Global approach on large and dense networks.
A framework for multi-agent learning improves coordination through a memory-driven communication protocol.
problem Coordination and synchronisation in multi-agent systems with limited observations.
method A memory-driven communication protocol learned concurrently with individual policies during training.
result Superior performance in small-scale systems with up to six agents, demonstrating improved coordination.
We consider a simple model of rational agents competing in a single product market described by simple linear demand curve. Contrary to accepted economic theory, the agents' production levels synchronise in the absence of conscious collusion, leading to a downward spiraling of market total production until the monopoly…
The link between different psychophysiological measures during emotion episodes is not well understood. To analyse the functional relationship between electroencephalography (EEG) and facial electromyography (EMG), we apply historical function-on-function regression models to EEG and EMG data that were simultaneously r…
Noise causes learning plateaus in neural networks.
problem Plateau phenomena in online learning due to vanishing gradients.
method Analysis of stochastic gradient descent in multi-layer perceptrons.
result Noise induces synchronisation leading to strong plateaus.
Motivated by cognitive radio networks, we consider the stochastic multiplayer multi-armed bandit problem, where several players pull arms simultaneously and collisions occur if one of them is pulled by several players at the same stage. We present a decentralized algorithm that achieves the same performance as a centra…
Polynomial fusion layer improves speech-driven facial animation.
problem Recent facial synthesis relies on low-dimensional representations and concatenation, ignoring higher-order interactions.
method Proposes a polynomial fusion layer to model higher-order interactions of facial encodings.
result Demonstrates improved video quality, audiovisual synchronisation, and blink generation.
A reinforcement learning framework for Mars rover control using temporal logic.
problem Sparse rewards in continuous-state continuous-action MDPs with high-level temporal structures.
method Actor-critic, model-free, online RL framework with modular DDPG architecture.
result Success rate of synthesised policy in Mars rover experiment.
Study shows flash crashes in finance are self-organized criticality events.
problem Understanding and predicting anomalous price events in high-frequency finance.
method Investigated volume distributions during flash crashes and linked them to self-organized criticality.
result Volume distributions during flash crashes indicate a diverging second moment, suggesting self-organized criticality.
Study classifies stock price jumps as exogenous or endogenous using news data.
problem Differentiating between exogenous and endogenous price jumps.
method Synchronized news data with order book data to analyze stock price movements.
result Exogenous jumps are abrupt and follow a decaying power-law, while endogenous jumps are progressively accelerating.
Study uncovers tactical line-breaking passes in football using clustering.
problem Detecting and analyzing line-breaking passes in football matches.
method Unsupervised clustering-based framework using event and tracking data.
result Introduced tactical metrics to quantify pass effectiveness.
Study confirms the Epps effect using different volume time averaging methods for JSE stocks.
problem Demonstrating the Epps effect in stock market data using various aggregation methods.
method Used two non-parametric covariance estimators (Malliavin and Mancino, Hayashi and Yoshida) and two volume time averaging methods (asset intrinsic and synchronised volume time).
result MM estimator more representative of trade time reality, confirming market phenomenology.
Two machine learning methods detect insider trading from investor activity data.
problem Detecting insider trading from trading activity data is challenging.
method Two unsupervised machine learning methods: clustering and group identification.
result Identifies potential insider trading rings around price sensitive events.
Coding collaborations link crypto returns, revealing systemic transparency.
problem Cryptocurrencies' market behavior overlooked due to isolated code approach.
method Analyzed 4% of developers contributing to multiple cryptocurrencies.
result First coding event linking two cryptocurrencies synchronizes their returns.
We present a parallel algorithm that computes the ask and bid prices of an American option when proportional transaction costs apply to the trading of the underlying asset. The algorithm computes the prices on recombining binomial trees, and is designed for modern multi-core processors. Although parallel option pricing…
Optimising The Input Window Alignment in CD-DNN Based Phoneme Recognition for Low Latency Processingcs.CL
We present a systematic analysis on the performance of a phonetic recogniser when the window of input features is not symmetric with respect to the current frame. The recogniser is based on Context Dependent Deep Neural Networks (CD-DNNs) and Hidden Markov Models (HMMs). The objective is to reduce the latency of the sy…
Two-stage recommender systems struggle with exploration, leading to linear regret.
problem Linear regret in two-stage recommender systems due to exploration issues.
method Proposed a method to synchronize exploration strategies between the ranker and nominators using LinUCB.
result Demonstrated the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm experimentally.
Dynamic pricing aims to match power supply and demand in an energy transition.
problem Mismatch between renewable energy supply and consumer demand.
method Formalizes decision-making problem, designs forecasting models, and statistical demand response models.
result Dynamic pricing can synchronise power supply and demand effectively.
Enhances Fourier estimator performance for asynchronous event-data.
problem Improving correlation and covariance estimation on event-data.
method Implement and test NUFFT methods with different averaging kernels.
result Demonstrates improved performance and relationship between averaging scales.