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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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35810 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for surge

Study models extreme skew surges along French Atlantic coast.

problem Appropriate modelling of extreme skew surges for coastal risk management.
method Peak-over-threshold framework, multivariate generalized Pareto distribution, extreme regression framework.
result Reconstructed historical skew surge time series at stations with limited data.

The study finds generalized torsion elements in 3-manifolds from specific knot surgeries.

problem Identifying generalized torsion elements in 3-manifolds from knot surgeries.
method Using the JSJ-decomposition of the 3-manifold and bi-orderability properties.
result Existence and properties of generalized torsion elements in specific 3-manifolds.

Exchanges acquire excess processing capacity to accommodate trading activity surges associated with zero-sum high-frequency trader (HFT) "duels." The idle capacity's opportunity cost is an externality of low-latency trading. We build a model of decentralized exchanges (DEX) with flexible capacity. On DEX, HFTs acquire …

2019-07-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Neural network predicts vessel motions with high accuracy.

problem Real-time prediction of heave and surge motions for improved performance and safety.
method Developed an LSTM-based machine learning model trained on measured waves and motion data.
result The model predicts vessel motions up to 46.5 seconds into the future with an average accuracy of 90%.

Fan tokens surged before World Cup matches, but declined during them, revealing cognitive biases.

problem Analyzing the impact of FIFA World Cup matches on fan tokens.
method Event study and intraday analysis of blockchain-based fan tokens.
result Fan tokens experienced a surge in returns six months before the World Cup, followed by a decline during the matches, revealing asymmetries in performance.

Researchers introduce a method to assess the safety of interpretable machine learning models.

problem Ensuring safety in machine learning models that are easy to understand.
method Introduce maximum deviation as an optimization problem to find the largest deviation from a safe reference model.
result Interpretability helps in assessing the safety of machine learning models.

Study finds stock prices rarely appreciate during capital inflows but often appreciate during normal flows.

problem Understanding stock price behavior during capital inflows and outflows.
method Identified capital flow episodes using threshold and k-means clustering; detected stock index changepoints using PELT method; combined results over identified capital flows.
result Stock prices rarely appreciate during capital inflows but often appreciate during normal flows.

While deep learning has received a surge of interest in a variety of fields in recent years, major deep learning models barely use complex numbers. However, speech, signal and audio data are naturally complex-valued after Fourier Transform, and studies have shown a potentially richer representation of complex nets. In …

2019-10-22abs ↗pdf ↗

In recent years, there has been a surge of interest in developing deep learning methods for non-Euclidean structured data such as graphs. In this paper, we propose Dual-Primal Graph CNN, a graph convolutional architecture that alternates convolution-like operations on the graph and its dual. Our approach allows to lear…

2018-06-03abs ↗pdf ↗

As machine learning systems become ubiquitous, there has been a surge of interest in interpretable machine learning: systems that provide explanation for their outputs. These explanations are often used to qualitatively assess other criteria such as safety or non-discrimination. However, despite the interest in interpr…

2017-02-28abs ↗pdf ↗

There has been a recent surge of interest in studying permutation-based models for ranking from pairwise comparison data. Despite being structurally richer and more robust than parametric ranking models, permutation-based models are less well understood statistically and generally lack efficient learning algorithms. In…

2017-10-28abs ↗pdf ↗

We study nonconvex finite-sum problems and analyze stochastic variance reduced gradient (SVRG) methods for them. SVRG and related methods have recently surged into prominence for convex optimization given their edge over stochastic gradient descent (SGD); but their theoretical analysis almost exclusively assumes convex…

2016-03-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uses ML and statistical models to analyze climate impacts of industrial growth.

problem Understanding and predicting environmental impacts of industrial activities.
method Comparative analysis of ML and statistical models on time series data.
result ML models outperform statistical models in predicting environmental impacts.

The task of representing entire graphs has seen a surge of prominent results, mainly due to learning convolutional neural networks (CNNs) on graph-structured data. While CNNs demonstrate state-of-the-art performance in graph classification task, such methods are supervised and therefore steer away from the original pro…

2018-05-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Study confirms eurozone interbank market stability but finds higher collateral reuse.

problem Analyzing eurozone interbank market behavior and stability.
method Examined secured transactions data from ECB, tested stylized facts, measured network properties.
result Observed higher collateral reuse and network symmetry compared to unsecured markets.

Machine learning models that can exploit the inherent structure in data have gained prominence. In particular, there is a surge in deep learning solutions for graph-structured data, due to its wide-spread applicability in several fields. Graph attention networks (GAT), a recent addition to the broad class of feature le…

2018-11-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes robust estimators for heavy-tailed data with infinite variance.

problem Developing robust estimators for heavy-tailed data with infinite variance.
method Proposes two robust estimators: ridge log-truncated M-estimator and elastic net log-truncated M-estimator.
result Demonstrates robustness of log-truncated estimations over standard estimations through simulations and real data analysis.

There has been a recent surge of interest in modeling neural networks (NNs) as Gaussian processes. In the limit of a NN of infinite width the NN becomes equivalent to a Gaussian process. Here we demonstrate that for an ensemble of large, finite, fully connected networks with a single hidden layer the distribution of ou…

2019-08-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Graph neural networks improve combinatorial optimization by leveraging inductive bias.

problem Combinatorial optimization problems often arise from related data distributions.
method Using graph neural networks to enhance or solve combinatorial tasks.
result Graph neural networks effectively encode combinatorial and relational input.

Study reveals how investor flows impact stock prices, especially during herding episodes.

problem Understanding how information transmits through prices and why it breaks down.
method Combining regularized deconvolution with Hawkes process analysis.
result Institutional price impact deteriorates sharply during herding episodes in small-cap stocks, while large-cap stocks maintain resilience.

Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have experienced a recent surge in popularity, performing competitively in a variety of tasks, especially in computer vision. However, GAN training has shown limited success in natural language processing. This is largely because sequences of text are discrete, and thus gradients …

2018-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Frank-Wolfe algorithm (FW) and its variants have gained a surge of interests in machine learning community due to its projection-free property. Recently people have reduced the gradient evaluation complexity of FW algorithm to log(1ε)\log(\frac{1}ε) for the smooth and strongly convex objective. This complexity result is esp…

2018-05-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have become a powerful framework to learn generative models that arise across a wide variety of domains. While there has been a recent surge in the development of numerous GAN architectures with distinct optimization metrics, we are still lacking in our understanding on how far aw…

2019-02-25abs ↗pdf ↗

With the growing adoption of machine learning techniques, there is a surge of research interest towards making machine learning systems more transparent and interpretable. Various visualizations have been developed to help model developers understand, diagnose, and refine machine learning models. However, a large numbe…

2018-07-17abs ↗pdf ↗

In spite of the recent surge of interest in quantile regression, joint estimation of linear quantile planes remains a great challenge in statistics and econometrics. We propose a novel parametrization that characterizes any collection of non-crossing quantile planes over arbitrarily shaped convex predictor domains in a…

2015-07-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Non-exhaustive learning (NEL) is an emerging machine-learning paradigm designed to confront the challenge of non-stationary environments characterized by anon-exhaustive training sets lacking full information about the available classes.Unlike traditional supervised learning that relies on fixed models, NEL utilizes se…

2019-08-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Given the recent surge in developments of deep learning, this article provides a review of the state-of-the-art deep learning techniques for audio signal processing. Speech, music, and environmental sound processing are considered side-by-side, in order to point out similarities and differences between the domains, hig…

2019-04-30abs ↗pdf ↗

ML4CO uses machine learning to improve combinatorial optimization solvers.

problem Solving combinatorial problems in practice often involves related data distributions.
method Replacing heuristic components with machine learning approaches.
result Improved state-of-the-art combinatorial optimization solvers.

Interest in derivative-free optimization (DFO) and "evolutionary strategies" (ES) has recently surged in the Reinforcement Learning (RL) community, with growing evidence that they can match state of the art methods for policy optimization problems in Robotics. However, it is well known that DFO methods suffer from proh…

2019-03-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Recovering sparse conditional independence graphs from data is a fundamental problem in machine learning with wide applications. A popular formulation of the problem is an 1\ell_1 regularized maximum likelihood estimation. Many convex optimization algorithms have been designed to solve this formulation to recover the …

2019-06-01abs ↗pdf ↗