New analysis shows rational actors will deploy AGI despite negative social value due to catastrophic risk.
problem Rational actors will deploy AGI despite negative social value due to shared catastrophic risk.
method Continuous-time preemption game with shared catastrophic externalities, showing suicide region and welfare distortion.
result The suicide region widens as catastrophic risk grows, and two mechanisms can close it.
Study uses DNA methylation data to predict suicidal and non-suicidal deaths.
problem Predicting suicidal and non-suicidal deaths from DNA methylation data.
method Support Vector Machines (SVM) with dimensionality reduction using PCA and t-SNE.
result t-SNE outperforms PCA in reducing data dimensionality.
Accurate prediction of suicide risk in mental health patients remains an open problem. Existing methods including clinician judgments have acceptable sensitivity, but yield many false positives. Exploiting administrative data has a great potential, but the data has high dimensionality and redundancies in the recording …
Study identifies risk factors for subsequent suicide attempts in youth.
problem Uncertainty in suicide attempt identification from medical claims data.
method Integrative Cox cure model with regularization for survival analysis with uncertain events.
result Identifies risk factors for subsequent suicide attempts and distinguishes susceptibility from timing.
Study finds fMRI can predict suicidal ideation, but analysis questions results.
problem Predicting suicidal ideation using fMRI data.
method Naive Bayes classifier trained on fMRI responses to words related to mortality.
result Classification accuracy of 91% for predicting suicidal ideation, but analysis calls into question the accuracy of the findings.
Improved forecasting of suicide attempts using LSGPs for patients with little data.
problem Challenges in predicting suicide attempts due to their rarity and patient heterogeneity.
method Introduced Latent Similarity Gaussian Processes (LSGPs) to capture patient heterogeneity.
result LSGPs outperform baseline models, even without kernel-design, and offer new insights into patient similarity.
Study identifies key health behaviors linked to adolescent suicide attempts.
problem Understanding health behaviors associated with increased risk of adolescent suicide attempts.
method Cross-sectional data analysis using machine learning algorithms and logistic regression.
result Non-parametric Bayesian tree ensemble model outperforms other models, achieving 80.0% accuracy in goodness-of-fit and 78.2% in predictive accuracy.
New method uses surrogate outcomes and single-record data to improve suicide risk modeling.
problem Lack of historical information in single-record patients hinders modeling rare medical events.
method Hybrid framework combining supervised and unsupervised learning to integrate concurrent and single-record data.
result Single-record data and concurrent diagnoses provide valuable information for improving suicide risk modeling.
Though suicide is a major public health problem in the US, machine learning methods are not commonly used to predict an individual's risk of attempting/committing suicide. In the present work, starting with an anonymized collection of electronic health records for 522,056 unique, California-resident adolescents, we dev…
Deep models predict suicidal ideation from EHR and EMA data.
problem Predicting suicidal ideation from mixed data sources.
method Deep sequential models using RNNs for EHR and EMA data, attention schemes, and temporal alignment.
result EMA data improves recall to 67.78% from 48.13% using EHR data alone.
Neural SDEs model suicide risk with compact state space constraints.
problem Modeling suicide risk with irregular, noisy, and partially observed data.
method Developed neural SDEs confined to compact state spaces, addressing domain constraints and numerical stability.
result Improved forecasts and optimization dynamics over standard models on EMA datasets.
This paper proposes a novel profile likelihood method for estimating the covariance parameters in exploratory factor analysis of high-dimensional Gaussian datasets with fewer observations than number of variables. An implicitly restarted Lanczos algorithm and a limited-memory quasi-Newton method are implemented to deve…
Trans-GLMC tackles source heterogeneity in transfer learning for structured clusters.
problem Source heterogeneity makes it hard to use multiple related auxiliary sources effectively.
method Trans-GLMC constructs clusters of sources, then combines global fusion, within-cluster refinement, and target debiasing.
result Improves facility-specific prediction and identifies interpretable communities of hospitals with mutual transferability.
Extends multivariate regression for tensor-variate data, identifying brain regions and facial characteristics.
problem Challenges in fitting regression models with multivariate responses and covariates.
method Low-rank tensor formats on regression coefficients and tensor-variate normal distribution for errors.
result Maximum likelihood estimators for tensor-on-tensor regression via block-relaxation algorithms.
Approach for modeling EHR data with rare features, improving prediction and interpretation.
problem Challenges in modeling rare binary features in EHR data.
method Tree-guided feature selection and logic aggregation for large-scale regression.
result Improved prediction and model interpretation of suicide risk in EHR data.
Equity-Directed Bootstrapping improves model performance across groups in imbalanced datasets.
problem Improving model performance across different groups in imbalanced datasets.
method Equity-Directed Bootstrapping to balance training data with respect to both labels and group identity.
result The equity-directed bootstrap brings test set sensitivities and specificities closer to satisfying the equal odds criterion.
Detecting depression early from social media texts.
problem Early diagnosis and prevention of depression.
method Topic analysis and learned confidence scores.
result Achieved good results compared to state of the art.
Bayesian model predicts mental health symptoms from IAT data, improving accuracy over D-score.
problem Limited predictive performance of D-score method for mental health assessment.
method Sparse hierarchical Bayesian model leveraging multi-modal data.
result AUCs of 0.73 (E-IAT) and 0.76 (PSY-IAT) in best modality configurations, significant after FDR correction.
A framework predicts employment status for students considering unconscious biases.
problem Unconscious biases hinder college students' job hunting.
method Developed a framework MAYA using GAN, LSTM, and bias regularization.
result Framework effectively predicts employment status with bias consideration.
Depression is one of the most common mental health disorders, and a large number of depressed people commit suicide each year. Potential depression sufferers usually do not consult psychological doctors because they feel ashamed or are unaware of any depression, which may result in severe delay of diagnosis and treatme…
The paper identifies all link projections with isolate-region number one.
problem Determining link projections with a specific isolate-region number.
method Analyzing link projections to find isolated regions and their cardinality.
result All link projections with isolate-region number one are identified.
We introduce a local move on a link diagram named a region freeze crossing change which is close to a region crossing change, but not the same. We study similarity and difference between region crossing change and region freeze crossing change.
Regionalization is the task of dividing up a landscape into homogeneous patches with similar properties. Although this task has a wide range of applications, it has two notable challenges. First, it is assumed that the resulting regions are both homogeneous and spatially contiguous. Second, it is well-recognized that l…
Spatial graphs can be unknotted with region crossing changes.
problem Unknotted spatial graphs composed of theta-curves.
method Region crossing changes on regions of theta-curves.
result Spatial graphs of theta-curves can be unknotted.
Isoperimetric regions in scaled product manifolds are products of regions in each factor.
problem Characterizing isoperimetric regions in anisotropically scaled product manifolds.
method Analyzing regions with smooth boundaries in scaled product manifolds.
result Isoperimetric regions in scaled product manifolds are products of regions in each factor.
Two multifidelity trust-region methods use low-fidelity models for efficient optimization.
problem Efficiently solving complex optimization problems with limited data.
method Sketched Trust-Region (STR) and SVD Trust-Region (SVDTR) methods using low-fidelity models.
result Potential gain in efficiency demonstrated through numerical examples.
PerSense assesses personality traits from text for commonsense reasoning.
problem Estimating human personality traits from text for mental health analysis.
method Aggregated Probability Density Functions (PDF) and Machine Learning (ML) models.
result PerSense algorithms achieve comparable results to ground truth data, with high accuracy for personality assessment and commonsense prediction.
There are few papers about the consumption pattern of the Portuguese wine, using econometrics techniques. This work, pretend to analyze the consumers behavior of the wine produced in Portugal, determining the demand equation with panel data methods. There were used statistical data available in the Alentejo Regional Wi…
Adaptive region-based active learning seeks labels for complex data.
problem Efficiently label complex datasets with minimal human effort.
method Adaptive region partitioning and active learning for distinct predictors.
result Substantial empirical benefits over existing methods.
Isoperimetric regions minimize the size of their boundaries among all regions with the same volume. In Euclidean and Hyperbolic space, isoperimetric regions are round balls. We show that isoperimetric regions in two and three-dimensional nonpositively curved manifolds are not necessarily balls, and need not even be con…
Generalizes region select game to k-colored knot diagrams.
problem Play game on knot diagrams with multiple colors.
method Generalize region select game to k-colored knot diagrams. result Generalization of the region select game to k-colored knot diagrams. Contrast uses normalizing flows to create precise prediction regions for multi-dimensional outputs.
problem Generating reliable prediction regions for multi-dimensional outputs in supervised and unsupervised learning.
method Contrast uses normalizing flows to define nonconformity scores based on distances in latent space, creating sharp prediction regions.
result Contrast maintains guaranteed coverage probability and outperforms existing methods in generating accurate prediction regions.
We consider a generic configuration of regions, consisting of a collection of distinct compact regions {Ωi} in Rn+1 which may be either smooth regions disjoint from the others or regions which meet on their piecewise smooth boundaries Bi in a generic way. We introduce a skeletal linking …
Study examines how changing regions affects planar graphs.
problem Effect of region crossing change on planar trivalent graphs.
method Investigation of region crossing changes on planar trivalent graphs.
result Effect of region crossing change on planar trivalent graphs.
In this paper, we formulate a new local move on virtual knot diagram, called arc shift move. Further, we extend it to another local move called region arc shift defined on a region of a virtual knot diagram. We establish that these arc shift and region arc shift moves are unknotting operations by showing that any virtu…
Paper classifies link diagrams on nonorientable surfaces using region crossing changes.
problem Classifying link diagrams on nonorientable surfaces.
method Classification through region crossing changes.
result Classification of link diagrams on nonorientable surfaces.
Problems on region choices for knot and link diagrams solved using Alexander numbering.
problem Existence of solutions for region choice problems on knot and link diagrams.
method Alexander numbering for regions, alternative proofs, necessary and sufficient conditions.
result Existence of solutions for region choice problems on link diagrams.
Region crossing change is a local operation on link diagrams. The behavior of region crossing change on S2 is well understood. In this paper, we study the behavior of (modified) region crossing change on higher genus surfaces.
Despite being very effective in several classification tasks, Dynamic Ensemble Selection (DES) techniques can select classifiers that classify all samples in the region of competence as being from the same class. The Frienemy Indecision REgion DES (FIRE-DES) tackles this problem by pre-selecting classifiers that correc…
Cost-effective models detect depression from speech.
problem Detecting depression from speech with limited resources.
method Comparison of conventional and deep acoustic features for depression prediction.
result Conventional acoustic features perform as well as deep representations at lower cost.
Spatial graphs of non-Eulerian or proper Eulerian planar graphs are unknottable by region crossing changes.
problem Unknottability of spatial graphs by region crossing changes.
method Region crossing changes to switch over/under relations within regions of spatial graph diagrams.
result Spatial graphs of non-Eulerian or proper Eulerian planar graphs are unknottable by region crossing changes.
Region crossing change is a local transformation on a knot or link diagram. We show that a region crossing change on a knot diagram is an unknotting operation, and we define the region unknotting numbers for a knot diagram and a knot.
Region-specific linear models are widely used in practical applications because of their non-linear but highly interpretable model representations. One of the key challenges in their use is non-convexity in simultaneous optimization of regions and region-specific models. This paper proposes novel convex region-specific…
Bayesian optimization tackles constrained high-dimensional problems with penalties and trust regions.
problem Constrained optimization in high-dimensional black-box settings with expensive evaluations and complex feasibility regions.
method Penalty formulation, surrogate model, trust region strategy, Expected Improvement acquisition function.
result The proposed Trust Region method identifies high-quality feasible solutions with fewer evaluations and maintains stable performance.
Generic smooth boundaries for isoperimetric regions in 8D manifolds.
problem Understanding boundaries of isoperimetric regions in high-dimensional spaces.
method Generic regularity results for isoperimetric regions in closed Riemannian manifolds of dimension eight.
result Smooth nondegenerate boundaries for isoperimetric regions for generic metrics and volumes.
Conformal Prediction Regions match Imprecise Highest Density Regions under consonance.
problem Matching conformal prediction regions with highest density regions.
method Using consonance and the Imprecise Probability theory of clouds.
result Imprecise Highest Density Regions are equivalent to Conformal Prediction Regions under consonance.
New Boolean algebra method shows knot unknotting number is (c+1)/2.
problem Finding the minimum number of region crossing changes to unknot a knot.
method Boolean algebra applied to region crossing changes.
result Region unknotting number is (c+1)/2 for any knot with crossing number c.
In this paper we propose {\it a region choice problem} for a knot projection. This problem is an integral extension of Shimizu's 'region crossing change unknotting operation.' We show that there exists a solution of the region choice problem for all knot projections.