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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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11213242 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for suicide prevention

Study identifies risk factors for subsequent suicide attempts in youth.

problem Uncertainty in suicide attempt identification from medical claims data.
method Integrative Cox cure model with regularization for survival analysis with uncertain events.
result Identifies risk factors for subsequent suicide attempts and distinguishes susceptibility from timing.

Study identifies key health behaviors linked to adolescent suicide attempts.

problem Understanding health behaviors associated with increased risk of adolescent suicide attempts.
method Cross-sectional data analysis using machine learning algorithms and logistic regression.
result Non-parametric Bayesian tree ensemble model outperforms other models, achieving 80.0% accuracy in goodness-of-fit and 78.2% in predictive accuracy.

Study finds fMRI can predict suicidal ideation, but analysis questions results.

problem Predicting suicidal ideation using fMRI data.
method Naive Bayes classifier trained on fMRI responses to words related to mortality.
result Classification accuracy of 91% for predicting suicidal ideation, but analysis calls into question the accuracy of the findings.

Improved forecasting of suicide attempts using LSGPs for patients with little data.

problem Challenges in predicting suicide attempts due to their rarity and patient heterogeneity.
method Introduced Latent Similarity Gaussian Processes (LSGPs) to capture patient heterogeneity.
result LSGPs outperform baseline models, even without kernel-design, and offer new insights into patient similarity.

New method uses surrogate outcomes and single-record data to improve suicide risk modeling.

problem Lack of historical information in single-record patients hinders modeling rare medical events.
method Hybrid framework combining supervised and unsupervised learning to integrate concurrent and single-record data.
result Single-record data and concurrent diagnoses provide valuable information for improving suicide risk modeling.

Though suicide is a major public health problem in the US, machine learning methods are not commonly used to predict an individual's risk of attempting/committing suicide. In the present work, starting with an anonymized collection of electronic health records for 522,056 unique, California-resident adolescents, we dev…

2017-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗

New analysis shows rational actors will deploy AGI despite negative social value due to catastrophic risk.

problem Rational actors will deploy AGI despite negative social value due to shared catastrophic risk.
method Continuous-time preemption game with shared catastrophic externalities, showing suicide region and welfare distortion.
result The suicide region widens as catastrophic risk grows, and two mechanisms can close it.

Neural SDEs model suicide risk with compact state space constraints.

problem Modeling suicide risk with irregular, noisy, and partially observed data.
method Developed neural SDEs confined to compact state spaces, addressing domain constraints and numerical stability.
result Improved forecasts and optimization dynamics over standard models on EMA datasets.

Accurate prediction of suicide risk in mental health patients remains an open problem. Existing methods including clinician judgments have acceptable sensitivity, but yield many false positives. Exploiting administrative data has a great potential, but the data has high dimensionality and redundancies in the recording …

2016-05-03abs ↗pdf ↗

This article presents a novel method for predicting suicidal ideation from Electronic Health Records (EHR) and Ecological Momentary Assessment (EMA) data using deep sequential models. Both EHR longitudinal data and EMA question forms are defined by asynchronous, variable length, randomly-sampled data sequences. In our …

2019-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Trans-GLMC tackles source heterogeneity in transfer learning for structured clusters.

problem Source heterogeneity makes it hard to use multiple related auxiliary sources effectively.
method Trans-GLMC constructs clusters of sources, then combines global fusion, within-cluster refinement, and target debiasing.
result Improves facility-specific prediction and identifies interpretable communities of hospitals with mutual transferability.

Approach for modeling EHR data with rare features, improving prediction and interpretation.

problem Challenges in modeling rare binary features in EHR data.
method Tree-guided feature selection and logic aggregation for large-scale regression.
result Improved prediction and model interpretation of suicide risk in EHR data.

Equity-Directed Bootstrapping improves model performance across groups in imbalanced datasets.

problem Improving model performance across different groups in imbalanced datasets.
method Equity-Directed Bootstrapping to balance training data with respect to both labels and group identity.
result The equity-directed bootstrap brings test set sensitivities and specificities closer to satisfying the equal odds criterion.

PerSense assesses personality traits from text for commonsense reasoning.

problem Estimating human personality traits from text for mental health analysis.
method Aggregated Probability Density Functions (PDF) and Machine Learning (ML) models.
result PerSense algorithms achieve comparable results to ground truth data, with high accuracy for personality assessment and commonsense prediction.

Bayesian model predicts mental health symptoms from IAT data, improving accuracy over D-score.

problem Limited predictive performance of D-score method for mental health assessment.
method Sparse hierarchical Bayesian model leveraging multi-modal data.
result AUCs of 0.73 (E-IAT) and 0.76 (PSY-IAT) in best modality configurations, significant after FDR correction.

SCQRNN prevents quantile crossing and improves computational efficiency.

problem Quantile crossing issue in regression models.
method Integrates ad hoc sorting in training to prevent quantile crossing and enhance computational efficiency.
result SCQRNN achieves faster convergence and non-intersecting quantiles.

The failure of landing a job for college students could cause serious social consequences such as drunkenness and suicide. In addition to academic performance, unconscious biases can become one key obstacle for hunting jobs for graduating students. Thus, it is necessary to understand these unconscious biases so that we…

2019-12-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Many immunization strategies have been proposed to prevent infectious viruses from spreading through a network. In this study, we propose efficient immunization strategies to prevent a default contagion that might occur in a financial network. An essential difference from the previous studies on immunization strategy i…

2013-08-03abs ↗pdf ↗

New method combines regional HIV prevention trial data without sharing individual patient info.

problem Regional differences in HIV prevention efficacy, privacy concerns, and data sharing limitations.
method Federated learning approach that combines site-specific estimators via L1-regularization.
result Improved precision in estimating region-specific survival curves.

Modified model prevents volatility from approaching zero.

problem Volatility in the Gatheral model can approach zero, making it statistically indistinguishable.
method Proposed a modified model with Skorokhod reflection to prevent volatility from approaching zero.
result The modified model prevents volatility from approaching zero, preserving the model's flexibility.

This paper examines how skip connections prevent rank collapse in sequence models.

problem Rank collapse in sequence models, leading to reduced expressivity and training instabilities.
method Analytical and ablation studies of lambda-skip connections in SSMs.
result A sufficient condition to prevent rank collapse across various architectures.

The paper explores how sinks and diagonal patterns prevent attention oversmoothing.

problem Preventing attention oversmoothing in neural networks.
method Analyzing geometric conditions and conditions for dense vs. sparse attention, proving equivalence between sinks and hard attention switch, and comparing the costs of sinks vs. diagonal patterns.
result Sinks and diagonal patterns effectively prevent attention oversmoothing, and diagonal patterns provide a more flexible approach.

Extends multivariate regression for tensor-variate data, identifying brain regions and facial characteristics.

problem Challenges in fitting regression models with multivariate responses and covariates.
method Low-rank tensor formats on regression coefficients and tensor-variate normal distribution for errors.
result Maximum likelihood estimators for tensor-on-tensor regression via block-relaxation algorithms.

Prevents sensitive data generation in diffusion models using labeled and unlabeled data.

problem Generating sensitive data in diffusion models using unlabeled data.
method Positive-Unlabeled Diffusion Models, approximating ELBO with labeled and unlabeled data.
result Prevents the generation of sensitive data without compromising image quality.

Deep Neural Networks are robust to minor perturbations of the learned network parameters and their minor modifications do not change the overall network response significantly. This allows space for model stealing, where a malevolent attacker can steal an already trained network, modify the weights and claim the new ne…

2019-07-02abs ↗pdf ↗

StratLearner learns strategies to prevent misinformation in social networks.

problem Learning strategies to protect against misinformation in social networks without knowing the diffusion model.
method Structured prediction framework using random features and large margin method.
result Our method produces near-optimal protectors without diffusion model information and outperforms other methods.

TAMD prevents degeneracy in finite mixtures, offering strong guarantees but modest practical improvements.

problem Degeneracy in maximum likelihood estimation of finite mixtures.
method Transcendental regularization with analytic barrier functions.
result Strong theoretical guarantees (identifiability, consistency, robustness) but modest practical improvements.

Large learning rates prevent memorization in denoising score matching.

problem Memorization of training data in diffusion-based generative models.
method Investigating the role of large learning rates in the small-noise regime, proving that they prevent convergence to the empirical optimal score.
result Large learning rates prevent memorization by making it impossible for the learned score to be arbitrarily close to the empirical optimal score.

Maker-taker fees can prevent algorithmic cooperation in market making, but not always.

problem Unexpected cooperation among independent algorithms in market making.
method Modeling market making as a repeated game, experimental analysis of transaction costs and rebates.
result Maker-taker fee models can destabilize cooperation, but not always with a specific relationship between costs and rebates.

Arguments in favor of injecting symbolic knowledge into neural architectures abound. When done right, constraining a sub-symbolic model can substantially improve its performance and sample complexity and prevent it from predicting invalid configurations. Focusing on deep probabilistic (logical) graphical models -- i.e.…

2019-12-19abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper improves fraud prevention rule sets in fintech by generating diverse rules and finding Pareto-optimal subsets.

problem Improving the quality and flexibility of fraud prevention rule sets in fintech.
method Introducing SpectralRules for generating diverse rules, and PORS for finding Pareto-optimal subsets.
result SpectralRules generates diverse rules that improve the quality of final rule subsets.

Strong inductive biases prevent harmless interpolation in overparameterized models.

problem Understanding the conditions under which overparameterized models can interpolate noise without overfitting.
method Theoretical analysis of high-dimensional kernel regression and deep neural networks, focusing on the role of inductive biases.
result The strength of an estimator's inductive bias determines whether interpolation is harmless or requires fitting noise for good generalization.

New validation method prevents privacy breaches and biases in federated learning.

problem Privacy breaches and data leakage in federated learning.
method Stratified cross-validation for unbiased and privacy-preserving federated learning.
result Stratified cross-validation prevents data leakage without demanding deduplication algorithms.

Framework prevents deep learning models from memorizing noisy labels.

problem Deep learning models memorize noisy labels during early learning phase.
method Develops a technique that exploits early learning phase via regularization.
result Framework achieves robustness to noisy annotations on benchmarks and real-world datasets.

Curvature regularization prevents distortion in graph embeddings.

problem Graph topology patterns distort in Euclidean space, making detection difficult.
method Proposes curvature regularization to enforce flatness in embedding manifolds.
result Significant improvements in five embedding methods on open graph datasets.

A new KDE model prevents singular solutions and accelerates optimization for probabilistic modeling.

problem Adapting to varying densities in data regions for probabilistic modeling.
method Adaptive KDE model with individual bandwidths, LOO-MLL criterion, and modified EM algorithm.
result The proposed models prevent singular solutions and have promising performance.

New attacks prevent both supervised and contrastive learning from private data.

problem Preventing unauthorized use of private data and commercial datasets.
method Contrastive-like data augmentations in supervised error minimization or maximization frameworks.
result Achieve state-of-the-art worst-case unlearnability across SL and CL algorithms.

Adaptive Bernstein copulas improve risk management by preventing overfitting and reducing simulation effort.

problem Overfitting and high simulation effort in estimating dependence models.
method Constructive approach to Bernstein copulas with an admissible discrete skeleton.
result Comparison of different copula approaches in risk management shows improved accuracy and efficiency.

FoSR adds edges to graphs to prevent oversquashing and oversmoothing in GNNs.

problem Oversquashing and oversmoothing in graph neural networks (GNNs).
method First-order spectral rewiring to add edges based on spectral expansion, combined with a relational architecture.
result Our algorithm outperforms existing graph rewiring methods in graph classification tasks.