New cross-validation method reduces bias and improves prediction error.
problem Subsampling bias in k-fold cross-validation.
method Best-discrepancy systematic sampling.
result Reduces subsampling bias and improves prediction error.
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48 results for “subsampling bias”
Unified theory and debiasing framework for random oblique projections in high dimensions.
problem Systematic statistical bias in random oblique projections induced by sampling.
method Unified non-asymptotic theory and debiasing framework.
result Sharp bias--variance characterizations and improved approximation accuracy.
New insights into how randomization affects greedy model selection.
problem Understanding the impact of feature subsampling on greedy model selection.
method Investigated greedy forward selection with feature subsampling, proving effects on bias and variance.
result Ensembling with feature subsampling reduces both bias and variance, unlike convex base learners.
Enhances random forest performance with exogenous randomness.
problem Improving random forest performance through exogenous randomness.
method Developed non-asymptotic MSE expansions for individual trees and forests, identified two types of randomness, and conducted simulations.
result Exogenous randomness, particularly feature subsampling, reduces both bias and variance of random forests.
Asymptotic Theory and Phase Transitions for Variable Importance in Quantile Regression Forestsstat.ML
The paper develops asymptotic theory for QRF variable importance, revealing a bias-variance trade-off.
problem Challenges in statistical inference for QRF variable importance due to non-smoothness and bias-variance trade-off.
method Developed asymptotic theory using pinball loss and Knight's identity, uncovered phase transition phenomenon, derived asymptotic bias.
result Theoretical foundation for understanding QRF inference limitations in high-dimensional settings.
We propose Subsampling MCMC, a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) framework where the likelihood function for observations is estimated from a random subset of observations. We introduce a highly efficient unbiased estimator of the log-likelihood based on control variates, such that the computing cost is much smal…
Beyond Consistency: Inference for the Relative risk functional in Deep Nonparametric Cox Modelsstat.ML
Develops asymptotic theory for deep Cox models to enable valid inference.
problem Theoretical gaps in deep neural network estimators for Cox models.
method Asymptotic distribution theory linking in-sample optimization error to population risk.
result Pointwise and multivariate asymptotic normality for subsampled ensemble estimators.
Proposes BSSP to stabilize predictions in biased data.
problem Distribution shift between training and test data causes prediction instability.
method Balance-subsampled stable prediction (BSSP) algorithm based on fractional factorial design.
result Significantly improves prediction stability across unknown test data.
Overparameterized models can worsen minority group errors even when overall test error improves.
problem Overparameterization exacerbates spurious correlations, harming minority groups.
method Simulations and experiments on image datasets, theoretical analysis of linear models.
result Subsampling the majority group can achieve low minority error in overparameterized models.
A two-stage GPR framework with automatic kernel search and subsampling improves prediction accuracy and efficiency.
problem Inaccurate predictions due to misspecified mean and kernel functions in Gaussian Process Regression.
method Two-stage GPR, automatic kernel search, subsampling for hyperparameter initialization.
result Competitive or better performance compared to full dataset training, robust on real-world datasets.
Learn2Evaluate uses learning curves to estimate high-dimensional prediction performance.
problem Estimating test performance in high-dimensional data settings is challenging.
method Learn2Evaluate uses learning curves to estimate test performance at the total sample size.
result Learn2Evaluate provides a lower confidence bound for performance estimation.
Safe, Scalable, and Accurate Bayes Posterior Sampling for Large-Data Generalized Linear Mixed Modelsstat.ME
New method for Bayesian inference on large datasets.
problem Scalable sampling for Bayesian generalized linear mixed models on large datasets.
method Mirror Langevin dynamics with data subsampling, post-processing for variance estimation.
result Asymptotic, order-wise correct estimation of posterior variance.
A new method selects a representative subsample for efficient kernel density estimation.
problem Selecting a representative subsample without model assumptions.
method Optimal transport techniques for model-free subsampling with an efficient algorithm.
result The selected subsample can be used for efficient density estimation with derived convergence rates and optimal bandwidth.
Tempering by Subsamplingstat.ML
In this paper we demonstrate that tempering Markov chain Monte Carlo samplers for Bayesian models by recursively subsampling observations without replacement can improve the performance of baseline samplers in terms of effective sample size per computation. We present two tempering by subsampling algorithms, subsampled…
This paper optimizes subsampling for large datasets using Poisson distribution.
problem Efficiently subsample large datasets for quasi-likelihood estimation.
method Derives optimal Poisson subsampling probabilities and develops a distributed subsampling framework.
result Consistent and asymptotically normal estimators are obtained.
Large sample size brings the computation bottleneck for modern data analysis. Subsampling is one of efficient strategies to handle this problem. In previous studies, researchers make more fo- cus on subsampling with replacement (SSR) than on subsampling without replacement (SSWR). In this paper we investigate a kind of…
The infinitesimal jackknife (IJ) has recently been applied to the random forest to estimate its prediction variance. These theorems were verified under a traditional random forest framework which uses classification and regression trees (CART) and bootstrap resampling. However, random forests using conditional inferenc…
A significant hurdle for analyzing large sample data is the lack of effective statistical computing and inference methods. An emerging powerful approach for analyzing large sample data is subsampling, by which one takes a random subsample from the original full sample and uses it as a surrogate for subsequent computati…
We study the problem of subsampling in differential privacy (DP), a question that is the centerpiece behind many successful differentially private machine learning algorithms. Specifically, we provide a tight upper bound on the Rényi Differential Privacy (RDP) (Mironov, 2017) parameters for algorithms that: (1) subsamp…
When does Subagging Work?stat.ML
Subagging improves regression tree performance, especially with many splits.
problem Improving regression tree performance with subsample aggregating.
method Formalized bias and variance dependencies, compared subagging to single trees, and analyzed optimal tree sizes.
result Subagging improves tree performance, especially with many splits.
A new model-free subsampling method using uniform designs is proposed.
problem Model-based subsampling methods are often dependent on model assumptions.
method Developed a criterion (GEFD) and a model-free subsampling method based on uniform designs.
result The proposed method outperforms random sampling and is robust under diverse model specifications.
WHOMP optimizes randomized controlled trials by minimizing subgroup bias.
problem Minimizing subgroup bias in randomized controlled trials.
method Wasserstein Homogeneity Partition (WHOMP) method.
result WHOMP optimally minimizes type I and type II errors in trials.
AMAGOLD improves stochastic gradient MCMC by infrequent Metropolis-Hastings corrections.
problem Bias in stochastic gradient Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (SGHMC).
method AMAGOLD infrequently uses Metropolis-Hastings corrections to remove bias, with a fixed step size schedule.
result AMAGOLD converges to the target distribution with a fixed, rather than a diminishing, step size, and at most a constant factor slower convergence rate.
A new method reduces variance in SGMCMC by preferentially subsampling data.
problem High variance in stochastic gradient estimates impacts sampler performance.
method Use a non-uniform probability distribution to preferentially subsample data points and adaptively adjust subsample size.
result Maintains accuracy while substantially reducing average subsample size.
For massive data, the family of subsampling algorithms is popular to downsize the data volume and reduce computational burden. Existing studies focus on approximating the ordinary least squares estimate in linear regression, where statistical leverage scores are often used to define subsampling probabilities. In this p…
Unified framework for subsampling mechanisms with tighter privacy guarantees.
problem Improving privacy in machine learning models through subsampling.
method Conditional optimal transport for deriving mechanism-specific subsampling guarantees.
result Tighter privacy bounds for subsampled mechanisms compared to traditional methods.
The Sampled Gaussian Mechanism's noise level decreases with larger subsampling rates, improving privacy-utility trade-offs.
problem Improving privacy-utility trade-offs in differentially private stochastic optimization.
method Proof of a conjecture about the Sampled Gaussian Mechanism's noise level and subsampling rate relationship.
result A rigorous proof of the conjecture, completing the proof of Theorem 6.2 in the original paper.
Group-equivariant subsampling layers improve CNNs' equivariance.
problem Non-translation equivariance in subsampling operations.
method Translation and group-equivariant subsampling/upsampling layers.
result Group-equivariant autoencoders learn equivariant representations.
Develops a method to optimize hyperparameters for subsampling methods.
problem Optimizing hyperparameters for subsampling methods to improve estimator efficiency.
method Careful theoretical analysis leading to an optimal choice of hyperparameters.
result Improves the statistical efficiency of subsampling estimators without extra CPU time.
New equivalences found between subsampling and ridge regularization methods.
problem Establishing precise structural and risk equivalences between subsampling and ridge regularization.
method Proved structural and risk equivalences between subsample ridge estimators and different ridge regularization levels and subsample aspect ratios.
result Optimally tuned ridge regression exhibits a monotonic prediction risk in the data aspect ratio.
New insights into privacy guarantees for subsampled mechanisms under composition.
problem Tight privacy guarantees for the composition of subsampled differentially private mechanisms.
method Addressed confusion points in privacy accounting for subsampled mechanisms, providing examples and counterexamples.
result Privacy guarantees for subsampled mechanisms differ significantly between Poisson subsampling and sampling without replacement.
A deep learning subsampling technique improves modulation classification accuracy.
problem Improving modulation classification accuracy in wireless communication systems.
method Proposes a data-driven subsampling strategy using deep neural networks to simulate signal removal.
result Improves classification accuracy to higher levels than traditional methods.
We describe an adaptation of the simulated annealing algorithm to nonparametric clustering and related probabilistic models. This new algorithm learns nonparametric latent structure over a growing and constantly churning subsample of training data, where the portion of data subsampled can be interpreted as the inverse …
Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) samples efficiently from high-dimensional posterior distributions with proposed parameter draws obtained by iterating on a discretized version of the Hamiltonian dynamics. The iterations make HMC computationally costly, especially in problems with large datasets, since it is necessary to c…
Speeding up Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) for datasets with many observations by data subsampling has recently received considerable attention. A pseudo-marginal MCMC method is proposed that estimates the likelihood by data subsampling using a block-Poisson estimator. The estimator is a product of Poisson estimators,…
The paper analyzes the risk of bagging regularized M-estimators under proportional asymptotics.
problem Characterizing the risk of ensemble estimators trained with subsamples and regularizers.
method Developed a consistent estimator for the risk of ensemble estimators under proportional asymptotics.
result Optimal subsample size tends to be in the overparameterized regime for the full-ensemble estimator.
A new method subsamples data without weights to improve model performance.
problem Training complex models on large datasets is computationally expensive.
method Unweighted Influence Data Subsampling (UIDS) method.
result The subset-model outperforms the full-set-model in diverse tasks.
New research finds many coreset methods for logistic regression are not better than simple sampling.
problem Evaluation of coreset methods for reducing data size in logistic regression.
method Comparison of multiple coreset and optimal subsampling methods for logistic regression.
result Many coreset methods do not outperform simple uniform subsampling.
Bayesian neural networks learn efficiently at infinite width, matching polynomial-width performance.
problem Understanding the inductive bias of infinite-width neural networks.
method Analyzing the reduced entropy and using subsampling techniques.
result The Bayesian mean-field learner generalizes exactly on polynomially-bounded targets.
A new Markov subsampling strategy based on Huber criterion improves data processing from noisy full data.
problem High noise level in data leads to poor performance of subsampling procedures.
method Design a Markov subsampling strategy based on Huber criterion to construct an informative subset from noisy full data.
result The estimator based on HMS is statistically consistent with a sub-Gaussian deviation bound.
The weighted nearest neighbors (WNN) estimator has been popularly used as a flexible and easy-to-implement nonparametric tool for mean regression estimation. The bagging technique is an elegant way to form WNN estimators with weights automatically generated to the nearest neighbors; we name the resulting estimator as t…
The rapid development of computing power and efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation algorithms have revolutionized Bayesian statistics, making it a highly practical inference method in applied work. However, MCMC algorithms tend to be computationally demanding, and are particularly slow for large datasets…
A new neural subsampling method reduces data volume for deep models.
problem Efficiently process huge volumes of high-dimensional data like images.
method Two-stage end-to-end neural subsampling model that optimizes for arbitrary downstream tasks.
result Outperforms baselines under low subsampling rates on various tasks.
Subsampled Newton methods approximate Hessian matrices through subsampling techniques, alleviating the cost of forming Hessian matrices but using sufficient curvature information. However, previous results require samples to approximate Hessians, where is the dimension of data points, making it less practica…
Subsampling reduces computational cost in supervised learning in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces.
problem Reducing computational cost in supervised learning
method Subsampling minimizes empirical risk in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces
result Optimal subsampling scheme revealed
SubTSBR to tackle high noise and outliers for data-driven discovery of differential equationsstat.ML
SubTSBR tackles noisy data for differential equation discovery.
problem Discovering differential equations from noisy or outlier-laden data.
method Subsampling-based threshold sparse Bayesian regression (SubTSBR) with subsampling size and number of subsamples.
result SubTSBR outperforms TSBR in accuracy for differential equation discovery.
Differential privacy comes equipped with multiple analytical tools for the design of private data analyses. One important tool is the so-called "privacy amplification by subsampling" principle, which ensures that a differentially private mechanism run on a random subsample of a population provides higher privacy guaran…
Tree-based models biased when trained on imbalanced data, requiring new calibration methods.
problem Bias in tree-based models trained on imbalanced datasets.
method Analytical calibration of random forest models, demonstrating bias in decision trees.
result Calibrating tree-based models on imbalanced data negatively impacts predictions, especially for the minority class.